The Great Reset: Investment implications

The investment strategy is the same irrespective of whether our socioeconomic system is now ‘Extreme Capitalism’ or ‘Technofeudalism’

The vacuuming up of wealth resources to extreme capitalist and technofeudalist elites

In founding MacroEdgo my intention was that investment analyses and macroeconomics would be major themes of my writing along with general observations on socioeconomic and broader philosophical themes.

COVID-19 changed that as investing took a back seat to my writing to influence public biosecurity policy to elevate the primacy of protecting human life which, even though conservative politicians preach this when it comes to immigration and firearms policies, etc, was very much their secondary consideration during the COVID-19 pandemic.

The Great Reset became a major theme of my writing underpinning my view of how humanity would emerge from COVID-19 when I turned my mind towards it in March 2020 earlier than just about any other commentator. I was earliest because I did not suffer from the dissonance most others did in February 2020.

To be succinct, COVID-19 did not cause this Reset, humanity was due – in many ways overdue – for such a Reset as occurs periodically through societies as if our progress were delineated by the path of a swinging pendulum, but with it’s pivot point on a relatively steady upward trajectory.

COVID-19 was a catalyst that ensured Reset occurred at this moment in human history, and the shock to global humanity associated with it ensured that the Reset would be significant in magnitude.

(Note, I have always accepted – and acknowledged – that other and/or future analyses may time the Reset at 2008 after the Global Financial Crisis, but in that case COVID-19 was certainly a very significant accelerant).

My use of the adjective ‘Great’, however, does not only relate to the magnitude of the Reset but also to the potential for it to be great for humanity if quality leadership and broad engagement puts humanity on a more optimistic and healthy path towards truly inclusive global societies with equal opportunity to experience a reasonable standard of living in close connection with a healing natural world.

I was always clear that this outcome is far from certain.

High quality, effective leadership will nurture [The Great Reset] so that the best outcomes are realised to the benefit of humanity. Scoundrels will try to harness it to bend society to a more warped and less inclusive version. We all must show leadership and engage with the process to achieve the best outcome for ourselves and those we love, and those who succeed us. And we should all prepare to be flexible and supple in thought to make the best decisions that we can with the information that we have as we emerge from the shock of our altered existence and as our future comes into clearer focus.

How Society Will Change If a COVID-19 Vaccine Is Elusive” 17 July 2020

Although I have devoted most of my time to thinking about how these changes will affect societies, and trying to play a thought-leadership role in helping to ensure the Reset is indeed Great for humanity, by necessity I have been contemplating broader impacts on those closest to me ranging from purely social through to financial.

Obviously a significant Reset within society has significant implications for investors. That includes every Australian due to our world-leading defined contributions retirement savings system.

In late 2023, after much internal processing, I decided on my own investment strategy and began implementing it.

Then I purchased a copy of Yanis Varoufakis’ latest book “Technofeudalism: What killed capitalism” and as I read it I found so much commonality with my own thinking that I became even more certain in my strategy.

Before I explain my strategy, however, I need to restate the salient points that I have already made in my various articles and writing including on LinkedIn, delving a little more deeply in places, and comparing and contrasting with Yanis’ thoughts.

As I have said previously on occasion, historically I have found much commonality between my investing views and those of Jeremy Grantham, so I should declare up front (again) a natural inclination to contrarianism, and I will discuss where I believe Jeremy’s base framing for bubbles is being and will increasingly be challenged.


Like Yanis, I have been observing strange movements in markets, and the actions of those in both private and public sectors integral to their function, with increasing suspicion over the previous decades. I need to say upfront that as an Australian our residential property markets have for all of that period been especially irregular such that we have probably the biggest ever national property bubble that has been maintained by intense management that has confounded even the great bubble spotter, Jeremy Grantham (more on this later).

I, too, decided through the pandemic that our economies were now underpinned by entirely gamed markets. I had increasingly realised over those decades that our markets were far from ‘free’ – and Australia’s residential property market is a classic case in point where both public and private interventions for two decades have been aimed at keeping homes unaffordable to the detriment of anybody who did not own property before the new millennium and including, obviously, future generations – but actions became so extreme in the pandemic that it was clear that our system could not any longer be considered true capitalism.

First I must be clear that in early February 2020 I anticipated central bank interventions which I said in my Coronavirus Update of 11 February would constitute “absolutely extraordinary actions (as opposed to the already “extraordinary” actions that we have become desensitised to over the last decade)“. Moreover, in “Repeat After Me, This Is NOT Sars: COVID-19 is much worse” I was clear that such efforts were reasonable on this occasion as “a financial panic on top of a growing panic about an increasingly obvious pandemic will be devastating” and that this is “why Governments, even though they always prefer to egg on markets, will be right in trying to prevent it from happening“.

However, to a wary contrarian those measures clearly went much further than were openly discussed within the broader market, and in Australia this likely involved making sure that banks lent heartily, generously and without fear of future reprisal for speculators to continue their two decade-long obsession with residential property, and in early February 2020 I even suggested that public and private institutions were at work preventing (or delaying) corrections in stock markets in less than transparent fashion.

For me the strange stock market behaviours in February 2020, when participants stubbornly refused to recognise and price in what should have been obvious to anybody with even a basic undergraduate understanding of epidemiology and biosecurity, was the final piece to the puzzle. I am certain that internally and within the investment banking industry there were many keyed into what was heading our way which I likened to an impending tsunami on a well-known Australian fund manager’s blogsite on 18 February 2020 with links to my “Coronavirus Updates” page where on 12 February I had explained the tsunami analogy.

At that moment in time, however, I was caught up in the emotions I drew on in my (ultimately reasonably successful) efforts to get politicians to act in the interests of broader humanity, exemplified by how I allowed my frustration to get the better of me in “Politics Vs Society In The Coronavirus Outbreak” and ‘wonder’ aloud whether we were already living in an “Idiocracy”.

Thus my processing of the socioeconomic implications of these odd market behaviours was more gradual than an actual ‘Eureka’ moment as Yanis described for himself. However, in the following months I came to realise that this was the definitive evidence that I had been looking for of the totally gamed markets I had been increasingly observing over the previous 2 decades because the only viable explanation was that elites who ran the market required a period of time to get their affairs into order prior to the sharp market correction commencing so the music was made to continue until they were ready. My insignificant affairs, on the other hand, only required me to buy regular put options which I had done by 7th of February (and I made 30x on the $5K I spent on them which amply covered the cost of provisions should things really fall apart, e.g. a generator – remember in those early months the best available data yielded a potential mortality rate range north of 2% – and provided a level of surety against lost family income if it came to that).

The evolution of my thoughts on contemporary markets,  especially Australian residential property, are available in my electronic footprint including on my former blogsite homes4aussies and on the discussion board Bubblepedia, whatever remains of them, and over recent years at MacroEdgo where in May 2020 I described stock markets as uninvestable as they had been overrun by short term speculation, a view I reiterated in brief updates a year later and again in January 2022 where I spoke about other peculiarities such as SPACs – special purpose acquisition companies – and cryptocurrencies.

Another issue worthy of mention is that so-called private markets have expanded, one consequence being a drastic reduction in opportunities for everyday investors to buy early into new and emerging listed businesses whereby wealthy investors are holding these businesses longer to extract greater investment returns when they publicly list (through an initial public offering or SPAC) later at much higher valuations in large part because risk has increasingly been downplayed and underpriced.

It is true that the opportunities to invest in private markets have increased via private equity fund offerings, but this is little more than Visa and Mastercard extending conditions on platinum cards so that the ‘aspirationals’ feel special while these businesses clip the extra fund flows from expanding eligibility. Meanwhile, the truly elite clients have long moved onto other much more exclusive and rewarding product offerings.

This is also reminiscent of the situation with the private schooling market in Australia where many ‘aspirationals’ use up so much of their time and energy,  and most importantly their emotion, earning additional income to pay for middle-class private schools that offer no real benefits above (almost) free public school education, other than self-perceived status benefits.

All of these ultimately are representations of the same pervasive phenomenon – the vacuuming up of financial resources to the truly elite in society, and when it comes to private markets, it is simply an additional channel by which naive funds flow is created which can be clipped providing real and enduring privilege to the elite class.

So I have declared my hand and by now it should be apparent that I am highly sceptical of contemporary asset markets, especially those for US stocks and Australia’s residential property.

Once you consider a market totally gamed and manipulated, then you have to accept that if you allocate capital within it then your activity is not really that of an investor, and depending on what assets you buy, might in fact be outright speculation even if some are considered by many at the time to be the premier assets of the era. It is not dissimilar to gambling in a casino when you know that the odds are against you, but maintaining a delusion that you have special (legal) skills that can tilt the odds in your favour.

This is pure speculation because the most important consideration relates to the degree to which the system will be gamed in the future. Will this extreme form of capitalism, or indeed technofeudalism, persist into the future or will society resist the trend and if so, do ordinary people collectively have the power to turn the system towards one fairer to all?

In the final part of this essay I will give my views on the politics inherent in those considerations, but I do not need to do that prior to discussing the details of my investment strategy because it is just that – an investment strategy – and by definition that rules out speculation.


Many markets are entirely gamed and overrun with speculation, and thus are massively overpriced, and chief among them in my sphere of observation are American stock markets and Australian residential property. Of course there are always exceptions, and what makes them exceptions is that they do not fit the prevailing narratives and practices of the era. In America that is a corporate structure that actually allocated capital to growing real businesses rather than borrowing to pump up share prices in concert with the narratives that the Wall St salespeople promulgate to create churn, often referred to as ‘rotation’, to create a continual flow of fees from clipping fund flows. The best example of capital allocation agnostic to the whims of Wall St is Berkshire Hathaway, and after the passing of Charlie Munger I have re-instigated a small position with the view to increasing that position with another catalyst sadly inevitable (I suspect that some of their significant organically-acquired cash pool will also be deployed at that time).

The remainder of my strategy should be seen through the lens of overlaying my views of the socioeconomic system of the times as discussed above with the 7 investment themes that I laid out in my earliest writing on MacroEdgo, those being: Emerging Asia ex-China; Product and Food Miles; Defence and Military Spending; Autonomous Vehicles; Debt Monetisation; More Time for Personal Fulfillment; and Education Revolution. Those views are amply stated and remain in tact, so I will not restate them. To this list I now add minerals and resources required for the energy transition, but in countries with high environmental, social and governance (ESG) standards.

As I discussed in 2019, my moral compass (no doubt ‘anti-wokes’ would say my ‘virtue signaling’) prevents me from seeking to profit from factors with which I vehemently disagree, so I will not invest in military spending (in Australia, America, China, or wherever), just as I decided against shorting through put options retirement homes during the COVID-19 pandemic in early February 2020 (to me it was perfectly reasonable to seek to profit from the inevitable massive impacts on entertainment, travel and general economic activity, but I did not wish to profit from the misery of vulnerable elderly people in society – I shorted Crown Casinos, Qantas and Macquarie Bank).

So my strategy is to invest heavily in equities (all with 10 years+ horizons), especially in 1) resources required for the energy transition in regions with high ESG compliance; 2) in Asia, especially developing Asia ex-China, but with more strategic allocations to China and Japan, with close observation of developing geopolitics; 3) slower-paced allocations to Australian and European equities when value relative to economic circumstances allow; and 4) very careful, very slow-paced allocation to US equity, but only when a history of capital allocation for growth rather than share price manipulation is apparent.

These investments are primarily through the lowest cost possible index tracking exchange traded funds (ETFs) with an ESG overlay. However, I do agree with the barbell approach advocated by many in that I have a ‘scattergun’ approach to making small allocations to highly speculative recent IPOs consistent with my long term investment themes in the understanding that many – perhaps most – will go to zero, but that even one that becomes a leader of future industries will have a very significant positive affect on the overall portfolio performance over a 20 year period.

I expect elevated inflation for at least the next decade, as central banks are well past their peaks in independence from prevailing politics of the day and will baulk at imposing the societal pain Volcker did to tame inflation, and will likely see positives to Government debt being monetised by a period of higher inflation. For this reason, and because I see bond markets as not far behind equity markets in the degree to which they are gamed, I am cautious of deploying capital to fixed interest and instead prefer allocation to precious metals to hedge against inflation and also against the potential for increasing civil unrest which is possible if this Reset is not great for humanity in that society becomes less inclusive and the climate crisis worsens with continued political resistance to implementing necessary responses.

This actually marks a change in strategy for me personally and that is primarily based on my views on the developing socioeconomic circumstances.

I was right out of the Jeremy Grantham mold of contrarian investing, alert to bubbles and prepared to wait out highly speculative periods to invest in the bust when better value emerges – even before I began reading Jeremy’s brilliant insights – e.g. I went to cash in 2007 and managed to get fully invested just a few weeks before the US indices bottomed in the GFC.

However, I have come to believe that markets have become so gamed that even the boom-bust cycle has been disrupted, as we have witnessed very rapid busts since the GFC when even Jeremy regretted not managing to get fully invested as markets did not get as cheap as he forecast. Since then the corrections have become shorter and shorter.

My belief that the nature of bubbles and their busts has fundamentally changed is heavily influenced by my observation of the Australian residential property bubble which has lasted two decades. Jeremy has never given an answer to why the Australian residential property bubble has lasted as long as it has. For one, I think he disliked being called out for his predictions of a bust by voracious local commentator, something that has been a feature of this bubble whereby self-interested individuals fiercely protected the bubble by trying to discredit and embarrass, often through challenging them to wagers, those who pointed to the irrationality of residential housing markets where median prices have consistently been 7 to 10 times median incomes in virtually every major city in a nation with so much available land that a historical national anxiety has been the low population density over the landmass. (These men, full of bravado, and lacking in self-awareness, also have a habit of tediously and immaturely labouring on about their ‘exploits’ even years later.) Perhaps, also, Jeremy didn’t like the only answer he could arrive at to explain essentially the only bubble that he has identified which has not returned to historical long-term relationships over a two decade period.

I explained my own views in “[RESET]> The ‘Great’ Australian House Price Bubble” which essentially boil down to it being a totally gamed market where the public and private sectors are hell bent on preventing the bust within a system of Extreme capitalism where society has been convinced that this is either the best situation for them (the ‘aspirationals’) or at least it is an insolvable problem (the ‘vulnerables’).

Importantly I pointed out the complicity of the highest financial bureaucrats, a major distinction from the US housing bubble where they were blissfully ignorant of the potential for and damage from a bursting housing bubble which caused the GFC. The most recent previous Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) governor, Dr Phil Lowe, actually wrote a research paper when at the Bank for International Settlements, before the GFC, on the desirability of ‘leaning against’ property bubbles to reduce these risks and the RBA governor at the turn of the millennium, Ian Macfarlane, has bragged about using that approach to address a period of rampant speculation in 2003. Moreover, it is likely that it was Dr Lowe who wrote to me from an email account using his nickname of (Rin) Tin Tin to provide me with a paper empirically proving the degree of distortion to our markets caused by tax benefits to property speculators as he was rising through the upper ranks at the RBA and while I was blogging intensely on the housing bubble, suggesting that he had concerns then.

Sadly, however, that technique advocated by Dr Lowe of ‘leaning against’ – or slowing – the inflation of bubbles to prevent socioeconomic damage from a bust has been used, along with other activities by private and public actors, to perpetuate the bubble longer than any bubble spotter could have predicted, so that the socioeconomic damage to society has been far greater in terms of the inequality it has caused. Moreover, I recall that after the GFC many Australians senior within private and public sectors in the financial and real estate industry visited the US, as they were “feted by think tanks and idealized in the corridors of the Federal Reserve“, and it is my firm belief that much of that was to teach the Americans how to create and protect a housing bubble.

All in all, what has been perfected has been a set of practices, in conjunction with captured bureaucracy, that within an economic system driven by narrative-based speculation has managed to quell the busts so that the boom is perpetuated seemingly into perpetuity.

Now, I do not suggest that a bust will never occur. I strongly doubt that momentum ‘investing’ (i.e. trading) based on rotation following narrative creation and recreation can continue to carry assets prices forever beyond any relationship to their real value to human society. Even Australian residential property has a utility value, and even if Extreme capitalists continue to conspire to restrict its supply so that both renting and buying continues to become less and less affordable, at some stage people are going to realise that they can take their savings and emigrate to Italy, for instance, and buy a home for 1/20 the price, maybe with some land, and enjoy a quality of life far superior than in Australia struggling payday to payday to afford a roof over their heads.

In fact, I expect that a consequence of this gaming of markets is that busts when they do occur are truly historic, on the scale of those in 1929 and the 1990 Japanese collapse.

The simple reality is that bubbles, by their very nature in resulting from speculative euphoria tending to mania, are never accepted as bubbles until they bust. There is simply too much money to be made from denial or at least ignorance. Well-noted bubble spotters like Grantham and Yale Professor Robert Shiller have become known as ‘sages’ at spotting bubbles ahead of the bust only by being rapidly proven correct.

I suggest that the situation has changed, in no small part due to vested interests learning from the success of these two luminaries in particular, so that timing of the bust is far less predictable. I hasten to add that both Grantham and Shiller have always stressed that the timing of the bust is never certain, but both have been confident enough to speak up loudly and promote their views in the past. If I am correct and bubbles nowadays will behave more often like the millennium Australian residential property than the US housing or the NASDAQ dot-com bubbles, pronouncements of a bubble’s existence based on simplistic 2 sigma indicators of deviation from normal trends or relationships, while not incorrect in my view, will remain unproven by the bust for long periods which will allow the vested interests to undermine credibility and use the stopped analogue clock being briefly correct twice a day analogy more and more effectively.

Certainly global and regional events, and especially geopolitical events, will continue to cause reactions and even ructions in global markets just as COVID-19 eventually did. However, recent evidence suggests that the underlying market dynamics that I discussed above now act to reduce the duration, if not necessarily the depth of these ructions, so that confidence is rapidly restored to markets. Afterall, the worst outcomes for elites, and thus to be prevented at all costs, “is a dead market where nobody talks about asset prices and that will only be created by the depths of despair that are associated with a prolonged bear market“.

Others have and continue to take the opposite position to mine allocating to these momentum-based speculative markets, and have profited (at least on paper), so much so that the long record of price appreciation has reinforced the perception of the gaming of the system. For example, any deep discussion with an Australian residential property speculator will inevitably arrive at the underlying proposition that no government can afford for the bubble to pop on their watch so that it will be protected at all costs. In other words, in the speculators perception it is impossible for them to lose.

That clearly is not investing on the basis of the likelihood of future profits. That is speculating that the current inequitable system will be protected out of political and/or financial self-interest so that irrespective of profitability – and, in point of fact, because of Australian taxation laws, profitability of residential property ownership is actually discouraged – so that someone will pay more for the asset in the future.

That is not investing; it is certainly not efficient capital allocation; and thus, it is not authentic capitalism.

It seems appropriate, on many levels, to include here a favourite comment by Charlie Munger at the 2023 Daily Journal Corporation annual shareholder meeting when the then 99 year old legendary capital allocator (i.e. investor), and long time Republican supporter, highlighted just how far American politics and the socioeconomic system had shifted to the right in his lifetime. This is how I relayed it on LinkedIn:

In my opinion the best question asked of Charlie – on the basis that it elicited the most useful response from him, amongst a field littered with gold nuggets of valuable insights actionable to those able to decipher them – was sent in to Becky Quick from Peter Furland (?) from Oakville, Ontario after he had asked ChatGPT to devise the question:

“Mr. Munger, you’ve spoken about the importance of avoiding mental biases in decision-making. In your experience what’s the most challenging bias to overcome and how do you personally guard against it?”

Charlie answered, “denial”.

To prove his point on denial he used a common complaint from he and Warren Buffett; the example of fee collection by fund managers and other custodians of wealth.

His point was that 95% of money managers are “living in a state of denial”, “used to charging big fees and so forth for stuff that is not doing their clients any good” and he described it as a “deep moral depravity”

For me, however, the most critical point was made when he summed up by concentrating on how capitalism done properly is not selfish!

He highlights how he was careful not to misuse his various positions for personal gain, not even drawing directorship fees.

He and Buffett are famous for seeking to align their interests totally with those of the other owners of the business.

Furthermore he provided the example of how he provided an incentive share plan to employees of DJCO by providing his OWN stock, crediting the founder and Chairman of BYD [the chinese battery and electric car manufacturer] by saying he inspired him to follow his own generous actions.

Charlie concluded saying “so there is some of this old fashioned capitalist virtue left at Daily Journal, and there is some left at Berkshire Hathaway, and there is some left at BYD, but in most places everybody is just taking what they need without rationalising whether it is deserved or not

In other words, the antithesis of Extreme capitalism. But it is exceedingly rare…

In recent years Charlie frequently expressed doubt in his ability to outperform the market if he started out as a value investor under these market conditions, and while Warren Buffett disagreed slightly, he only did so on the basis that there are a lot more people doing dumb things now which is how opportunities arise. Both arguments actually support my argument in that I suggest that in this Extreme capitalism there is a well developed strategy that permits stupidity to run a whole lot longer, delaying the consequences of that stupidity being revealed, and that is why value investors have had difficulty in getting fully invested over now very long periods.

To conclude, and inspired by that late great man Charlie Munger, for the same reasons I did not short retirement homes leading into the COVID-19 pandemic, and I will not invest in military, I will not invest in technofeudalism, and I will not invest alongside and support someone who seeks to use their technology-derived privilege to gain a level of influence over humanity that has never before been possible.

And boy will I miss Charlie’s frequent cutting take downs of Elon Musk…

Now I have to admit that, like everything, the changes spawned in America are being exported within their sphere of influence, and also in the increasingly separate Chinese sphere of influence in a cold war (which I spotted earlier than many others, only 20 years into it!) for technological supremacy, so if this trend continues it will increasingly be a feature also in the equity markets in which I am allocating capital towards and technofeudalism will be increasingly difficult to avoid.

Thus I must now discuss what I sincerely hope will happen from here, and to do that I will critique Yannis’ thoughts on his alternative ‘now’ and contrast them with my own views in an extension on my “Reset” writings.


I commend Yanis for proposing an alternate ‘now’, a different reality had humanity taken different paths in our progress, as I did myself in “Reset“. Moreover, I applaud him for developing a new authentically left idea which I concur is absolutely critical to progress from here because our politics has been dragged so far to the right that many of the most influential contemporary actors who declare themselves on the left of politics, such as the famous banker Jamie Dimon (long time CEO of JP Morgan), in reality express views which may be considered further to the right of even luminary rightwing leaders Margaret Thatcher and Ronald Reagan.

Topically, another who very recently insisted their politics are not rightwing is Bill Ackman after he played a major role in dislodging the first black Harvard President Claudine Gay from that position, after which he wrote 4,000 words which he posted on social media and included a view that diversity, equity and inclusion (DEI) initiatives amount to racism because “reverse racism is racism, even if it is against white people.” (I apologise for not including the primary source but I do not use or promote that particular platform because I am especially concerned about the mental state and motivations of that particular technofeudalist.)

Of course, the lie of reverse racism is swiftly dismissed by anybody capable of a modicum of objective thought. That some implicitly understand the fallacy of reverse racism, while other intelligent individuals with broad life experiences do not, for me is patent evidence of the degree to which systemic racism blinds many in society to their own biased and prejudiced viewpoints, and often that is tied closely with aggression.

It is by no accident that there are just as many wealthy elites who declare allegiance to the left of politics, but I mention the JP Morgan CEO intentionally because I do consider it the main learning of JP Morgan Jr from his experience under President Franklin Delano Roosevelt that it is not good for business elites when their wealth provides influence over only the right of politics. If wealthy elites are to continually influence policy irrespective of which side of politics is in power then there must be many who support and favour either side of the political spectrum, openly with rhetoric, and explicitly through sizeable donations.

I enjoyed reading Yannis’ ideas, and while I advocate their wide dispersal and debate, ultimately I am not anti-capitalist and I don’t accept that capitalism is doomed.

I do, however, absolutely agree that people power is necessary to break the connection between wealth and political power – in fact, it is the key to stable sustainable societies – and I believe that this is possible with much simpler modifications to our socioeconomic systems than Yanis outlines.

Of course donation reforms must be a key focus. All donations by individuals or organisations to any organisation, from political parties to education to non-profit, should be limited to very reasonable levels (perhaps a certain percentage of the median income so that targeted donations are ‘affordable’ to the median income earner).

Note carefully, this does not limit the amount that can be donated to a particular aspect or issue within society. However, there is no justification for favouring one entity or organisation above another within a sector. Whenever a choice is made to favour one institution over another it is done for self-interested reasons such as to promote one self and/or to buy influence.

Those who believe in a functioning democracy and want to contribute to it should do just that rather than weaken it by self-serving donations.

Those who believe deeply in the value of education or research can support education and/or research, generally, but not use their privilege to buy influence and ego-driven rewards from targeting donations to achieve maximum return to them.

Large donations to particular aspects of society – a healthy democratic system through to NGOs – should be encouraged, but cannot be allowed to be directed at the discretion of the donor, but instead should be pooled and allocated to all relevant organisations on the basis of fair and objective criteria.

On such a basis, political donations will certainly take an enormous dive due to the lack of opportunity to extract a return to the donor, and no doubt vested interests such as media organisations will moan at the certain reduction in revenue from political advertising, which will serve to prove the point that such measures are critical to cut the link between wealth and influence.

The other great deficiency in modern democracies is the lack of leadership.

Around two decades ago political leaders in capitalist democracies began acting like the private sector could and would solve all problems and so they stopped leading and instead concentrated on winning the political battle which centred around a continually shortened news cycle – from daily down to instantaneous (as social media grew in prominence).

Surprisingly, former rightwing government Treasurer of Australia and Ambassador to the United States, Joe Hockey, likely to the chagrin of former colleagues, admitted as much in February 2020 in an interview with Leigh Sales on television on the Australian Broadcasting Corporation (ABC).

Of course this leaves plenty of time for politicians to attend lavish galas and cheerlead for billionaires who are inclined to support ultraconservatives (in this case, Trump in the US as well as ultraconservatives groups in Australia) in some sort of mutual lovefest.

Now it is increasingly clear that the rudderless ship creates anxiety within society due to its inherent directionless/meaninglessness – the gap filled by people who provide certainty and strength of viewpoint but absent logic – and societies are paying a very high price for that lack of authentic leadership over several decades.

At the same time it is entirely unsurprising that politicians numbers and remuneration have not declined commensurate with their self-perceived diminution of role in leading society.

In fact these politicians still argue for greater benefits to attract and reward their individual ‘talents’, but it is not clear to me on what basis many of these individuals are talented. For example, if we look at the Australian treasurers over my lifetime – from the 70’s – I would suggest that the best by far was Paul Keating in the 80’s (others rode the coattails of his reforms and were more fortuitous with their timing than skillful). Keating is the only one among them to have not been university educated, in fact he left school at 14 and was a pay clerk for a utility company prior to entering politics.

It simply is untenable that we continue to accept ‘followship‘ from those we elect and pay to provide leadership to society. It is time that society imposes real key performance criteria on these individuals, beyond the ballot box, which are linked over the short, medium and long term to performance and outcomes, thereby aligning their self-interest fully with that of the society that elects them to privileged positions of influence.

To do this politicians generous benefits and privileges acquired both during and post their political careers should be closely linked to the outcomes experienced by broader society and those especially related to the affairs over which they had greatest influence. For example, all of those politicians who had influence over housing policy would be assessed on criteria relevant to outcomes in housing over the medium and long term, as well as to other areas of responsibility, and to a broad measure of societal welfare which would extend to all members of parliament.

Since this would necessarily encompass income and privileges received in their post-political careers – which in itself is more often than not directly linked to the privilege and influence that was enjoyed during their political careers – all income above that which sitting members of parliament receive would be paid directly into their ‘superannuation account’ where the balance would be adjusted on the basis of assessment of societal outcomes against those KPIs.

I am certain that such a plan would result in a great deal of complaining by current parliamentarians. I simply say that we will quickly learn who truly thinks they have talent and something to offer society as those who are there mainly out of self-interest will recognise that only those who achieve outcomes for broader society will be well rewarded, and even that will be assessed over the long term.

Let me be clear, in conclusion, that I really do mean well rewarded for achieving KPIs. For example, one of the most intractable problems in Australian society is disadvantage of our First Nations peoples which results in wide gaps in life expectancy and other life outcomes relative to non-First Nations people. Who really could argue that a group of people who came together and made a real contribution towards closing that gap do not deserve to be well rewarded financially for that? Certainly not me.

The reality, however, is that those who will achieve real progress will be driven by much more than financial rewards. But the simple fact is that having long-term rewards linked to long-term outcomes will decrease the likelihood of individuals driven by self-interest occupying positions which would be better held by individuals not driven primarily by self-interest, thereby creating conditions conducive for achieving inclusive progress.

We need to free our members of parliament from any whiff of impropriety, of any potential links between views they express and positions held by major donors to their electoral campaigns which leave them open to insinuation that they would support actions causing human suffering over doing right by those who elected them, or for broader humanity including groups on the other side of the world, such as the linking of higher levels of political donations to those who have supported actions which have led to over 23,000 innocent victims in Gaza, which some are labelling genocide and arguing as such in the United Nations International Court of Justice.

The only real way to protect parliamentarians from such poor perceptions of acting with callous disregard for human rights and societal wellbeing is to definitively and explicitly cut the link between wealth and influence over their actions.

If the ideas laid out above were our ‘now’, there would be no opportunity to suggest a level of self-interest by parliamentarians in supporting actions which hurt so many innocent and vulnerable human beings. Moreover, the longer these links remain eminently plausible without these reforms, the more trust in elected officials and bureaucracy will continue to erode thereby undermining social cohesion and, ultimately, the health of our democracies.


I cannot leave this discussion without picking up on one major point that Yanis misses – besides his decision to sidestep providing views on the personalities of high-profile technofeudalists and on whether the irregular market behaviours of 18 September 2022 perhaps were a part of an agenda to out a newly installed Prime Minister and at the same time elevate an elite of their own (a former investment banker) to the most powerful position in the UK – and this one is absolutely critical in this contemporary world.

In “Technofeudalism: What killed capitalism” Yanis essentially infers that capitalism, prior to being killed itself by technofeudalism, largely killed off the authentic left via the continual weakening of collective actions by workers. While that is correct, it lets the left off much too easily in terms of the major issues it chose to leave unaddressed.

Chief amongst those issues the left refused to address is racism, prejudice and bias.

Today this inability of the left to lead towards diverse, equitable and inclusive workforces in a globalised world is it’s major historical shortcoming, and this deficiency has left humanity weak and vulnerable to opportunism from the extreme right which is further eroding the left’s blue collar base. So in Chapter 7 ‘Escape From Technofeudalism’, where Yannis says “bigotry is technofeudalism’s emotional compensation for the frustration and anxiety we feel in relation to identity and focus“, he sidesteps the truth that the left put leading on diversity in the too hard and too risky basket and thereby sowed the seeds of their own demise. Earlier in Chapter 5 Yanis does express regret that “solidarity between the workers of the North and the South remains an entirely unfulfilled dream“, but he fails to identify the real cause – the workers of the North had no interest in global equality if it meant any reduction in their privilege.

The unavoidable sad reality for humanity is that xenophobic populism has been a force too tantalising in rapidly globalising societies for almost all political actors to resist and all too often it has been harnessed by the left to achieve political ends, also, from labour relations to trade to environmental issues (even in “big empty Australia“, in Sir David Attenborough’s words)… and even with regard to, you guessed it, Australian residential property.

The left needs to learn this lesson for once and for all and provide authentic leadership within this continual race and inclusion vacuum, and never sidestep or slide back from leading on it.

Yannis is entirely correct that the left has been an utter disappointment over the past half century. As strange as it seems to me, the political centre of most democracies has been pulled so significantly right of the 1960s/70’s centre that it has unleashed even more radical actors amongst the far right whose rhetoric suggests that the opposite has occurred, that our democracies have moved dramatically to the left. These actors have then used this political momentum to create coalitions of ultraconservative interests to attack ‘lefty woke agendas’ in a fear-riddled campaign with an underlying message that white masculinity is in a battle not just for relevance but for survival. Their campaign is so broad and clever to appeal superficially to large groups brought into this ‘anti-woke’ movement, for example black men concerned about a perceived challenge to patriarchy, without noticing that they, themselves, are hurt by the attacks on DEI measures to address inequality which is another aspect of the anti-woke agenda.

My prediction from the moment that I realised that we were in a Great Reset has proven accurate to a greater degree than I could foresee at the time, that the battle for hearts and minds would be incredibly intense. I have written optimistically that the goodness at the core of the human experience would triumph over hate and division, and my concept of how Resets occur in society being like the change in swing of a pendulum allows for a period where all seems uncertain as the direction appears undetermined.

I am concerned, however, that those of us on the left who love and believe in inclusive and open-hearted humanity perhaps have too much optimism in it so that we almost believe it is inevitable that it will endure and overcome. While I have a deep belief that goodness always prevails, we also need to recognise that humanity has shown on innumerable occasions that it is capable of inflicting untold sorrow upon itself before enduring progress is achieved.

The far right is well organised and has an enormous head start in the tussle for hearts and minds, and if it weren’t for the goodness at the core of the human existence, we would be in so much worse a position.

But it is time that we stop taking for granted the triumph of good over bad, love over hate, and unity over division.

It is time that the left coalesces and develops a grand coalition that will dwarf the true ultraconservatives – which is really only limited to the minority of human beings belonging to the straight white male demographic group who choose to remain closed off to connection with themselves let alone broader humanity and the natural world – and lead humanity towards that more inclusive and compassionate future that offers the only real chance at achieving stable and sustainable lives for ourselves, those we love, and those many beautiful human beings yet to enter the world we leave for them.

Each day many more understand the interconnectedness of all of these issues and, while it is critical that responsible traditional media shares these critical insights, the net actions of every individual living human being will determine just how Great this Reset is for humanity!


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© Copyright Brett Edgerton 2024

Don’t COP It Any More: Make 2024 count!

This graphic demonstrates why each COP must be evaluated relative to the task or effort required from that moment, NOT by a simple comparison to previous COPs.

And that is why it is ridiculous to listen to self-congratulations about the first admission of the need to transition from using fossil fuel in energy systems in the COP28 text. 

Humanity has consistently failed to put in the effort to respond to climate change, thus what we have created is now a planetary crisis.

Today the response effort required of humanity is much greater – magnitudes greater (as indicated by the relative sizes of the red arrows) – than if we had genuinely begun responding after the first IPCC report was released in 1990 (left-most graphs) which underlined the global consequences of climate change and clarified our collective challenge, and it is significantly greater than at the time the Paris agreement (middle graphs) was struck to strive to limit the global temperature increase to 1.5C.

The delay has been in large part due to the fossil fuel industry always seeing those red arrows as too great a negative impact on their businesses so that the human beings having influence over their actions have used their accumulated privilege in society (through wealth and political connection) to delay and reduce the response effort enacted.

And that is the one thing that has not changed over these decades!

It is imperative that each of us see the situation for the way it is, not the way fossil fuel interests are paying a fortune in spin doctoring to have us see it. 

It has been made especially clear in the past year that this industry will not act in the interests of humanity.

These holidays, when we spend time with those we love, and we reflect on all we have in our lives for which we are grateful, please spare a moment to deeply consider what it is we are leaving for those who must follow us, and make the decision to loudly express those concerns beginning in 2024 and beyond.

The power to lead really is within each of us!

Acknowledgements: Original graphs taken from the Copernicus global temperature trend monitor website.


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© Copyright Brett Edgerton 2023

Letter To First Peoples of Australia

I sent the below letter to First Nations friends, mostly from my youth, and asked they circulate it ahead of my launch of “Alter Edgo and His Bloody Woke Kid” as an attempt to minimise retraumatisation from the content in the series. I was deeply gratified to receive all supportive responses…

First Nations people in Innisfail, Queensland and Australia

Firstly I want to apologise for not being a better friend early in my life. To mates that I played footie with and went to school and uni with, at the time I did not deserve the respect and love you showed me because I was taught within my community to hold something back in that connection with you, which made that connection from my side inauthentic.

Yet the really sad thing is that I truly admired so many of you, and that is what is so deeply wrong and insidious about racism. Please try to accept my deepest apologies.

The reason I am writing this is because I am about to release a series of videos involving my experiences growing up in Innisfail and how that led to me having racist views when I was young.

To do that I will be ‘acting’ in a character that I have created – Alter Edgo – as in my alter ego, or other personality if I had returned to Innisfail instead of staying at university. I know that I’m going to cop a lot of flack for this but that is neither here nor there – it is nothing, absolutely nothing, compared with what First Nations people have endured.

My main concern is for First Nations people to understand where I am coming from in these videos. I also wanted to warn you so hopefully you will not be triggered by the content. The first few videos will be mild to build the character and audience, but I aim to get into the nitty gritty of racism, so some of the material will be confronting.

You can imagine Alter Edgo as a cross between Reg Reagan and Borrat (Sascha Barron-Cohen’s character that mocks redneck Americans), with content like Kevin Bloody Wilson where instead of insulting and being racist towards First Nations people, Alter (me) ends up the butt of the joke and looks like an idiot especially when his (my) ‘woke’ son keeps on proving how stupid are his (my) opinions.

My hope is that the humour and local context will open eyes to the truth of our history so that, most importantly, the connection within the community improves. Secondarily, I hope that this will happen in time that it might make a difference and help to secure a win for Yes in the referendum.

Now I know, not nearly as well as you do, that there are people who will never have their eyes opened, because they don’t want to and nothing will change that. But humour has been shown to be one of the best ways to break barriers and get people to reflect more honestly.

Also, I think it is wonderful all of the First Nations leaders in the communities talking and building support, and I am in no way suggesting that I am going to have a bigger impact. But I do believe that I can say things, with the background of my upbringing and experiences, and – sadly – since I am not First Nations, so that there is a slice of people that I may be able to reach who might not be so open to messages by others.

I think it’s worth a try, and I hope that you agree.

Now that I’ve explained all of this, it is my sincerest hope that I will have your support and I hope that, knowing my intentions, you might be able to enjoy these videos in much the same way that racists sat and laughed at Kevin Bloody Wilson (so much so that he was awarded an ARIA for the album that contained “Living Next Door To Alan”!)

With warmest regards
Brett Edgerton


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© Copyright Brett Edgerton 2023

0.1%

Imagine you are a pilot – a good pilot – but you know next to nothing about the mechanics and engineering of a plane.

You are on a remote island which is the site of an airplane servicing facility with 100 airplane engineers and mechanics and one other pilot. 

A tsunami alert has been triggered and everyone must evacuate the island in under 5 hours as everything is certain to go under water. There are two planes on the island, both needing work to fly, but each has seating capacity for everyone.

The 102 human beings meet and every single engineer and mechanic, bar 1, agree that one of the planes is a much better option. In fact, they believe that choosing the other plane is an extremely dangerous option because radioactive material is certain to leak – and this cannot be repaired without new parts – and this will cause lasting serious health impacts on everyone.

The preferred choice requires everyone to pull together, but all parts are present and the team routinely completes this work within a few hours.

The team of 99 head off to work immediately while the other mechanical engineer seeks your support as they still back themself to have the other plane in a state to fly before the tsunami arrives.

You are a ‘salt of the Earth’ type, a bit sceptical of smart alec engineers, and you often support the underdog.

Do you support that one engineer, help them work on their choice while exposing yourself to radiation, and jump in the ‘hot’ seat to fly the plane❓

🚀Of course nobody in their right mind does.

That’s an example of 99 out of 100.

99.9% is 999 out of 1,000.

So when you hear people still wanting to argue against human-caused climate change, remember that they are supporting the 0.1%.

999 out of every 1,000 human beings who have chosen to spend their lives researching the relevant science have chosen the other plane.

👍🏼While I also respect that 0.1% of scientists because counter views must always be taken seriously, in fact it is critical for scientific progress like justice requires proper defense of even the most guilty, it is entirely foolish for humanity’s response to be any different to what our common sense tells us when only 1 in 1,000 hold a certain view.

In our day to day life, this ‘crash’ may appear to be happening in slow motion, but it is no less devastating to each of us, and the more we argue over our options, the more our response is delayed and the more devastating the consequences to everyone…


Of course the problem comes when both pilots are Tories and shareholders in the planes, and they refuse to fly only one plane insisting engineers and mechanics also work on the plane with leaking radiation putting in jeopardy the chance of the better option plane being able to fly. And yes, even though one of the pilots will also be badly impacted by leaked radiation, is it any different to the impacts from the climate crisis whereby we all feel its impacts no matter how rich we might be?

The really troubling possibility is that both pilots are deep down the QAnon rabbit hole and they consider the whole thing an elaborate conspiracy, in fact they reckon tsunamis don’t even exist, so neither will fly 😨

If only this were a pointless hypothetical…


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© Copyright Brett Edgerton 2023

“Reset”: Chapter 6 – “Roosevelt Weather”

Elliott opened his eyes one final time, and looked at the world with a loving smile, no doubt noting the ‘Roosevelt weather’ being enjoyed by the bustling humanity outside the window of his Scottsdale home, long jet streaks visible across an azure sky. He gently squeezed Patricia’s hand before his own softened and his ultimate breath spilled quietly over his gaped bottom lip.

James Roosevelt died 10 months later.

Elliott Roosevelt was an enigma and there remains much ambiguity over his own legacy.

More critically, Americans and broader humanity are left wondering how it was that a political family that offered and gave so much allowed their influence and potential for leadership to somehow peter away. Was it that the political enemies of Franklin and Eleanor were so rabid that they would leave no stone unturned in ensuring that there would be no continuation of the Roosevelt political dynasty. Alternatively, perhaps growing up in the glare of the increasingly voyeuristic public eye created an ambivalence in their children that left them without the desire to endure the negative aspects of a public life to achieve for the greater good, especially if they considered that their Dad sacrificed his health and ultimately his life for the greater good when Elliott, at least, was disappointed that darker forces in American politics were able to subvert much of what FDR had worked and sacrificed for; an enduring global peace. Or was it that the egalitarianism that Franklin and Eleanor’s leadership fostered made the public more sceptical, continually cajoled by the media, which hindered their children in following in their footsteps, conditions that had either dissipated or were not applied to other politically dynastic American families that followed?

Then again, did the political dynasties that followed learn from the experiences of the Roosevelts knowing that they had to have a widespread and deeply embedded political network to protect them from political blowback even when it might have been valid?

Already understanding the significance of his Dad’s death to broad humanity within a year of WWII ending, in “As He Saw It” Elliott wrote:

“Now it must be obvious that no single individual, no matter how great a world leader, can by his existence or by his death influence world history for more than a few moments of eternity. But in this case, an individual’s death meant a consequent vacuum – for those few moments – in the force for progress, for moving forward, for making sure that the war was not fought, after all, just to preserve the status quo ante. And into the vacuum, the friends of progress being out to lunch, there stepped their opposites, the foes of progress, the proponents of the world that was, the advocates of reaction.”

It is time that we acknowledge that the ‘friends of progress’ never really came back from that lunch ‘four score years ago’ and the pendulum reached an extreme with only minor resistance.

If we are to progress, then we all need to lead towards it. And while we should all expect better of our elected leaders, we would be foolish to count on it.

Politicians will follow if we Reset our own behaviours!

It is far more important and rewarding to be of value to humanity than in a market….


Chapter 5 – “It’s Not Worth Going Through All Of This Crap If You’re Not Going To Enjoy The Ride” (Previous)


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© Copyright Brett Edgerton 2023

“Reset”: Chapter 5 – “There is no point in going through all this crap if you’re not going to enjoy the ride”

In the movie “Along Came Polly” Rueben Feffer’s Dad did not say a lot, but when he did, he nailed it.

The question has always been how to establish a mindset whereby ‘the ride’ can be enjoyed because throughout human history it has been understood that some who would appear to have so little reason for happiness are the most jovial, yet those who apparently have so much should be happy yet appear so unsatisfied. The line works because there are many Sandy Lyles among us (sadly Philip Seymour Hoffmann, who so brilliantly brought Sandy to life on our screens, is no longer with us).

Now anxiety for humanity’s future is not just reasonable it is inappropriate to not be concerned. The pendulum has swung to such an extreme of late, and the consequences of it so apparent, that not many possibly could, and nobody should, ‘enjoy the ride’.

This is what a contact wrote when they read my movie treatment – bear in mind this person is one of the greatest economics minds in Australia, is a world-renowned author, and a frequently published economics commentator (on Bloomberg, The Guardian, etc):

“I don’t think it is possible to change anything as people are generally not interested, being preoccupied with the minutiae of humdrum trivialities. It is unwise to set yourself an Sisyphean (sic) task which you will come to regret and it will ultimately poison your life in ways you perhaps do not appreciate. I fully expect that in your children’s lifetime the world will become an unpleasant place- chronic food, water and energy challenges (sic), financial instability on a scale that is unimagined, climate change will make large parts of the continent difficult to inhabit, wars and conflicts of different sorts will proliferate. Australia -the Lucky Country-may find its good fortune does not last (without massive mineral exports Australian living standards would be 20-50% lower).  I am happily at the end of my life. I do not envy those who will have to deal with what is now inevitable.”

As someone who made the choice to bring life into this world, I feel that I do not have a choice but to do all that I can to make things better. The more of us committed to it, the better the world will be for those who follow us.

In “As He Saw It”, Elliott wrote that when his weary Dad was reunited with his Mum, Eleanor, after the Yalta conference – just a few months before he died, after FDR had led the most powerful nation, and consequently broader humanity, through one of its most turbulent periods in modern times – he warmly and proudly exclaimed:

“Look at the communiqué from the Crimea: the path it charts! From Yalta to Moscow, to San Francisco and Mexico City, to London and Washington and Paris! Not to forget it mentions Berlin! It’s been a global war, and we’ve already started making it a global peace!”

I can barely read these words without tearing, not just because I feel his pride as warmth in my own chest, but also because I – like Elliott did already in 1946 when he wrote of his experiences – feel the disappointment at the way humanity was turned away from the better path.

All too often we have been led by (mostly) men who have acted from self-interest in pleasing subsets of humanity, not just their own national electors, but even smaller subsets within their societies.

Rather than uniting people, these leaders seek to divide us for their own personal and narrow-interested gain, in doing so often giving the appearance of indifference if not visceral hate of those who they seek to subjugate.

Others take the idea of market-based capitalism to the extreme and suggest that political leadership is outdated and unnecessary in lieu of individual entrepreneurship. If it were in fact true, then this would invite the question for why societies should be levied to pay their expensive political salaries and for Government operation of an apparatus that has relinquished its role in leading, even if the greatest payoff to such self-interest is achieved in their post-public career when they really cash in on their political influence.

Of course, such contentions are absurd, and are indicative of an extreme form of capitalism where self-interest is not just accepted but is perversely applauded.

Moreover, the lack of leadership by those meant to provide it is in no small part the cause of the anxiety felt in many societies just as anybody aboard a rudderless vessel in a broad ocean would feel as they meandered directionless even in favourable ambient conditions, let alone when a squall arose.

Three decades of dereliction of duty to lead by our public leaders has occurred since the collapse of the largest communist state in the Soviet Union, and the adoption of ‘state capitalism’ in China which proved tentalising for Western businesses operating solely on the profit imperative and out of self-interest by executives and owners while that nation rapidly developed into the world’s second largest economy and became less ideologically-open since their current leadership came to power in 2010.

The truth, however, is that this dereliction is not just the fault of political non- or anti-leadership.

Where the individualism meme is correct is that we must all take responsibility for allowing these leaderless societies to have devolved from the 1980s, almost as if we had felt that a perfect state had been achieved, not considering all of the systemic bias that kept marginalised people and geographic regions (and nations) down, and at the same time being tantilised by the dream of wealth beyond imagination emanating from (the perception of) free capitalist markets even if it was at the cost of a hollowed-out middle class meaning that the probability of achieving social mobility upwards, or even maintaining it within the middle class, decreased.

Humanity now confronts our most serious challenge in our short history, compared with many other species, in the climate crisis from a position of compromise where we have traded away our innate and learned advantages – our social skills and empathy, and our technology to record, research, learn, and teach the lessons of history – for the chance at short term gains, and leaving ourselves more vulnerable than ever before to manipulation to create division.

We need leaders who actually want to lead within society, who share FDR’s love and optimism for humanity, and who seek to unite rather than divide both on a regional basis and globally.

Leadership must also be dispersed throughout society in the form of parents and other mentors.

The future of humanity is now too critical and too finely balanced to be allowed to drift directionlessly and remaining at the whim of random circumstance associated with the natural and anthropogenic realities of our existence, principally the life and death even of great human beings, and the potential for divisive people to ascend to positions of great power and influence. Here I am thinking especially of the impact of the timing of the death of FDR, and specifically about Elliott Roosevelt’s final sentence in ‘As He Saw It’:

“If Franklin Roosevelt was a great President, it was – in the main – thanks to the articulated intelligence of the American people during his terms in the White House.”

We know from history that there will always be those amongst us who have an unquenchable thirst for power, who will seek to drive the pendulum swing to extremes out of self-interest, so if we are to counteract their forcefulness then we need societies to be fortified by education and critical thinking skills, diffuse and inclusive leadership, and above all else, compassion from connection.

The key to human progress will always lie in the quelling of the amplitude of the pendulum swing so that more of our collective energy and capability goes into steepening the trajectory of progress, progress that is not measured in material wealth – though that will no doubt follow – but in societal advancement in terms of inclusion and contentment.

Humans, especially politicians whose main aim is to retain their grip on power, are very good at moving on and forgetting about ideas of the past, even those with significant merit. Politicians see an idea that was fostered but not quite accepted by the electorate as ‘poisoned’, something that political capital was risked for but ultimately wasted on. Thus, they are typically reluctant if not outright unwilling to again risk their political capital again for that idea or policy.

Especially in the developed world, Humanity was ‘stripped bare’ during WWII and that created a burning desire to rebuild global society, and the economy on which it depends, on sustainable foundations in the hope that mistakes leading to war would not be repeated.

Many ideas were debated, and institutions created, from the collective lessons. Compromises were necessarily made for reasons and conditions that may or may not remain valid.

One idea that has floundered is the idea of a world government, even though the solid reasoning behind it, enunciated by one of the greatest minds of the past century, Albert Einstein, remains as true today as ever because it is based on the nature of human behaviour over millennia, including over the past 80 years. This and many other ideas need to be revisited.

It might easily be said that this podcast is posing the question of what might have been made of the peace so bravely and catastrophically fought for in WWII had FDR survived. That certainly is true to an extent, but the underlying question is much deeper. Equally it is worth pondering what might have been our collective experience if more women – or even one woman – true to her/their individual nature/s rather than becoming masculinised to ascend to positions of influence within aggressively dominating patriarchal systems – were actively involved with negotiations for peace.

In truth, that one question can be extended ad infinitum to the full diversity of the human experience with its basis in one truth, that the character of society remains narrow-minded and non-inclusive.

The real underlying question is how might things have been different if the character of society were changed to not be based on dominating and discriminating, along racial and other lines, patriarchy but was based on deep appreciation, respect, and love for the full diversity of humanity.

To understand that this is indeed the question at the core of the issue we must acknowledge that we have failed to develop our societies to a level where we can be optimistic of addressing problems as they arise because society is not cohesive and cooperation is not only rare but it is actively discouraged!

If this is agreed, then it also follows that we have been stuck in a social stasis this past century where progress has been minimal and so weak that it is at continual risk of setback with the emergence of the next megalomaniac able to pull the strings of nationalism or religious extremism or racism to seize power out of self-interest.

I could easily be provocative and conclude this podcast series by saying that we, humanity, are almost out of time to get things right. That may in fact be the case – with the climate crisis and issues surrounding artificial intelligence and technology – but my opinion on that is no more valuable than that of many others.

What I do know is that it is past time that we do get back on the right track.

Moreover, we have certainly reached the stage of technological development where the odds have increased significantly that our collective actions or those of a small number can imperil us all and our way of life. We have lived in that knowledge now for ‘four score years’, long enough for humanity first to be numb to the reality of the risk of nuclear warfare, then become appropriately fearful, and back to ignorantly indifferent such that now all risks, including newly apparent or re-emergent ones, are typically considered by a majority as exaggerated.

Sleepwalking is a particularly apt analogy.

And yet the very plain truth is that the answer is really quite simple. In fact, it is one word.

Love. Love for ourselves and for all others.

We all simply must choose love over hate. When we observe ourselves being fearful at difference we need to remain calm and search our hearts first before withdrawing or responding with aggression and/or anger. When we see difference as interesting and exciting, not scary, then we appreciate the richness that variety adds to our lives. There is nothing inherently frightening about difference, after all we all appreciate choice in our consumer products, eliciting excitement when a new variety of one of our favourite products becomes available.

We must observe difference in our human form – in our appearance and our custom – for it is real and significant. Nobody wishes to be seen in a way that is not true to them, as others wish to observe them for their own benefit, or alternatively ignored as if they do not exist. Instead of becoming insular and retreating we must be curious and seek authentic connection, first with open hearts and then open minds for the latter is entirely contingent on the former.

Every individual human being continually makes decisions which determine their behaviours, and additively these decisions amount to either a good version of themselves or a less good version. These decisions are based on a personal value system – what is right or wrong, good or bad behaviour – taught to us by our mentors from our earliest existence. Thus, our value systems are deeply embedded in our psyche, but that does not mean that we all have the same values or that we each apply that system strictly. The degree to which we strictly apply our value system is itself related to those values. 

People more closely associated are more likely to share the same or similar values depending on the stage of life and related ‘impressionability’, the length of association, and the circumstances of their association. This is how cultures develop within groupings of human beings, from familial relations to geographical and now technologically, and biologists and anthropologists believe it to be an important aspect of our evolutionary biology through creating cohesion and co-operation to overcome adversity.

Circumstances and how closely they relate to the way in which we learned or previously applied our value system are important to deciding how we behave. If the circumstance is different to any which we have confronted we may feel anxiety at having to apply our value system to the new circumstance, and that will be strongly influenced by our perceptions of how other human beings are behaving, more so if we have some level of association with them.

Pride and shame are self-reinforcing elements in how we apply our value systems. While all healthy human beings have a predisposition to feeling pride over shame, shame is an emotion most human beings find challenging to consciously confront and so many will attempt to ignore those feelings, and thus memories of actions which trigger them, which then creates subconscious guilt. Guilt and shame work in a circuitous manner in the subconscious to disrupt our wellbeing, but their power in our psyche is such that we are likely to repeat those shameful behaviours in a vain attempt to prove to ourselves, and potentially to others, that our actions or behaviours ‘must’ have been right because otherwise, logically, we would not have repeated them, creating yet more subconscious shame and guilt.

Our modern understanding of neurodiversity informs us that some among us will have difficulty in making these judgements through benign autism, which must be respected, while others exhibit increasingly malign sociopathy, narcissism, psychopathy, or megalomania.

Absent these conditions, the great majority of human beings who behave in a non-cooperative and thus non-cohesive manner are well aware of it and in doing so have made an active decision to act without love in the heart and thus to not be the best version of themself.

This in no way suggests that we human beings would ever or should ever think or behave identically or programmatically like robots. It is the open expression of diverse ideas, which become increasingly broad with diverse experiences, that ploughs the field and plants the seeds for human progress.

However, it is only when our hearts are filled with love for others and the natural world that our minds can be truly open and we hear and properly consider those diverse ideas, so that those fields are the most productive possible.

No individual or society can ever reach their full potential – the best version of themselves and ourselves – until those hearts are filled with love. In a manner which is authentic to our infinitely diverse individual innate and learned personalities, and absolutely not in an inauthentic ‘Pleasantville’ or otherwise unrealistic utopian manner, this is the only way in which we need be consistent and uniform for humanity to progress inclusively and sustainably, best able to overcome any challenge which we confront.

As a professionally trained biologist I know that I would be disingenuous in the extreme if I were to suggest that climate change will lead to the extinction of all species including us human beings. Even though the accumulated effects of our activities on Earth is currently causing a mass extinction event, not all species will become extinct and life on Earth will go on. Nor will human beings become extinct over the next several centuries from the climate crisis.

Before the naysayers cheer and say “I told you so”, though, ponder for a moment what will that world be like if a lassez faire approach to addressing the climate crisis is taken (or continued?). I won’t detail it in scientific terms, I will simply state it in a way most will recognise. Humanity will increasingly take on characteristics inherent in a ‘Mad-Max-like’ Darwinian struggle for existence which, even if the physically endowed might pine for it believing that such conditions will favour them over the ‘intelligentsia’ elite, will leave nobody – not a single human being let alone a group of human beings based on geography of residence, for instance – better off than the fortunate human beings that lived especially in the developed regions at the end of the second millennium (of the Gregorian calendar). Some areas, however, will be even worse impacted than others, and in truth the signs of such a dystopia are already apparent to those with minds refractive of dissonance.  

Mass (illegal) migration is one such expression of Darwinian survivalism even if most often it is discussed from the perspective of it being a significant problem for the receiving country. By doing so the much more important issue is left unaddressed – why is there such an enormous disparity between their lived experience of life in their region of origin and their perception of how their life will be elsewhere that these people will risk everything, including their lives and the lives of those they love most, for a chance at that different life? Because it is a ‘problem’ for the receiving nation, in their literal islands of prosperity, my own country of Australia is teaching the strategies that have been so callously employed to keep out these desperate people. These are the strategies that made me feel so ashamed of my ‘home’ when I was living in Europe as an international research scientist.

Since we live in a world where aggressive patriarchy remains the norm, to produce rapid results it is justifiable that the masculinised analogy be drawn that we need to declare war on climate change if we wish for humanity to have semblance of a chance of enjoying that earlier standard of living enjoyed by the post-WWII generation through their, in the case of those in developed nations, fortunate lives. At the same time global inequality must be addressed so that quality of life is not determined by the lottery of life, that being the region in which one is born or is permitted to immigrate.

When in history a leader has progressed their society to a better position or place, it is understandable that they only, or predominantly, see this position in the context of that moment in time or the near future. When FDR set out his ideals for the post World War II peace, and as America being the dominating and discriminating force for that peace, he assumed America would stay in that image – or at least his perception of it. Little was he to know that he would not continue to shape American society and policy to the end of his 4th Presidential term.

The constant problems FDR faced in his tenure, while giving him experiences that few other Presidents could fully appreciate, were simply too great for him to fully contemplate the myriad challenges, and potential paths that follow consequentially, that might befall America and broader humanity in the decades that followed WWII. What he envisioned, and which he led a significant way towards, was a global system that had the best chance of facing humanity towards a sustainable and peaceful co-existence, with his greater conviction being power and prestige maintained by a benevolent America.

But human history has continually proved the saliency of Lord Acton’s statement, “Power corrupts, absolute power corrupts absolutely.”

Perhaps it is understandable that a leader of nation would have a predilection to optimism about the nature of the human beings they lead and thus the decisions they and their descendants will make in the future, and certainly trust that faith in deities of various kinds would hold man to a greater authority has continually been proven misplaced, or at least vulnerable to manipulation by human beings for their personal ends, but the events that have transpired over the 80 years since the end of WWII suggest to many that nationalism inherent with one nation being the most powerful over humanity is not in the best interests of that humanity.

Equally friction between powerful nations is not likely to provide the cohesion that leads to sustainable peace.

The point in our progress is here when commitment to humanity, to each other, is significantly more important than a commitment to a nation, or a religion, or any other grouping of human beings that can be considered.Our political leaders can certainly walk while they chew gum, and those that say that the issues are too big, that there are no ‘silver bullets’, and assorted other cliches justifying their inaction, need to adopt the attitude that FDR brought with him to the White House in 1932: Try!

Try with urgency, like lives depend on it, because they do!


Chapter 6 – ‘Roosevelt Weather’ (Next)

Chapter 4 – A Future Of Our Own Making (Previous)


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© Copyright Brett Edgerton 2023

“Reset”: Chapter 4 – A Future Of Our Own Making

A Father and Son Fireside Podcast

In a warm setting reminiscent of the sitting room in the Roosevelt’s Hyde Park estate, fire burning comfortingly behind them, a father sits talking with his middle-aged son, a conversation so evocative that occasional footage of actual recorded history or animation of concepts occasionally filters through their mind. The conversation ranges widely, but the tenor is one of general disappointment at the current state of affairs and concern that if things are not righted, and with urgency, then humanity will continue paying dearly.

Of course the father and son see the climate crisis as the most pressing issue that confronts humanity. But they recognise its origin, cause, and effect, and thereby its solution, lies within the greater realms and nuance of the human experience. In effect, the climate crisis constitutes little of what they discuss because the groundwork for action lies not in the science surrounding climate change, nor in the innovation to minimise it and ameliorate its affects, but in the social cohesion that is necessary to address it along with the next crises that humanity will undoubtedly face.

Following is a description of what is discussed.

Global inequality

There’s something about humanity at this point in our progress that limits our altruism and good will to other human beings.

Through guilt or empathy we in developed countries react to imagery of the suffering of poor people in poor nations. Some suggest that the reaction is less-so when the skin tone of those suffering is darker. Alternatively, the threshold for the suffering being experienced required to elicit the same level of response may be higher, roughly proportional to the darkness of the skin tone. Of course, a majority of lighter-skinned people refute this.

Nonetheless, that there is a reaction from people to the suffering of the poor, which invokes decision-makers to respond, is encouraging.

However, it must be said that the response tends to be limited to the feeling that all human beings should be free of suffering. For most in rich countries there is an indifference to the subject of whether all human beings deserve a certain quality of life. Often political activists couch this in the terminology of a ‘dignified’ or ‘decent’ standard of living with all the inherent subjectivity.

On thing is true of modern society – although they wish not to be confronted with the suffering of other human beings, to this stage, the majority of the wealthy amongst humanity remain resistant to the loss of any of their privileged quality of life so that all human beings might have a quality of life significantly above subsistence (i.e. mere existence).

Capitalism at an extreme

Elliott Roosevelt was quite right in complementing the sensibilities of the American people in supporting his father’s Presidency, and the pride that American people feel in what they all achieved under his leadership is rightful.

At the other end of the spectrum, Churchill expressed feelings of superiority and condescension when he suggested that the best argument against democracy is a 5 minute chat with the average voter, as he is widely attributed for saying.

There is surely some truth to the contention that in democracies the people get the political leadership that they deserve. Perhaps that even holds true in moderate autocracies, and the degree it holds true is related to the heavy-handedness and willingness of the State leaders to oppress the citizenry and assert a centralised will over them.

If we in the developed world have progressively experienced poorer political leadership since WWII – less proactive to the point where politicians stopped leading and simply became followers of the ‘free market’ while continuing to extract rents from their privileged position through legalised corruption of politics in the form of political donations and extremely advantageous post-political business and career opportunities – the obvious question is whether that is the fault of the people.

In the 80’s the movie “Wall Street” with Gordon Gekko’s famous quote that “greed is good” captured the mood of the period. It initially shocked, but in a manner that we now have come to understand well, it also began the process of normalising this in culture.

At the same time the middle class was hallowed out largely without people noticing that they had traded their comfortable and reasonably secure existence for a shot at riches beyond their wildest dreams. But there are only so many positions in the C-suites of major businesses that pay multi-million-dollar salaries, and not everyone else can work in hedge funds. Someone had to earn the everyday salaries that produced large aggregations of deposits which the Wall St sharks take a bight from as they funnel them through a system that does little more than provide the perception of activity, a thin justification for taking those fees.

This is well summed up in the words of Charlie Munger, who together with Warren Buffett is the consummate capitalist so much so that they have been asked for advice by US Presidents and have been called on to lend credibility to stabilise markets at times of vulnerability, speaking in 2023 just after his 99th birthday:

“So there is some of this old fashioned capitalist virtue left at Daily Journal, and there is some left at Berkshire Hathaway, and there is some left at BYD, but in most places everybody is just taking what they need without rationalising whether it is deserved or not”.

Incidentally, one of the examples given – in fact, the man he credited for inspiring the actions to which he had referred – was a Chinese businessman.

At the same meeting the previous year Charlie identified the real motivation behind greed, that being envy.

The normalising of greed within our capitalist system meant that it became synonymous with self-interest which had been a concept for several centuries since the grandfather of economics, Adam Smith, identified it as a critical factor in capitalist transactions. But this was a co-option because self-interest has far wider, long-lasting connotations and implications whereas greed is very short term.

Greed for short term gains became accepted and then increasingly venerated, hand in hand with extreme interpretations of the work of Milton Friedman from the early 70’s which said that the sole social aim of a business is to make profits. This was then used to justify an increasingly extreme form of capitalism producing inequitable outcomes, often referred to as ‘trickle-down economics’, which argued that it is beneficial for society that the rich become even richer because benefits trickled down to those below them in social status. Of course, as the inequity grew, most people felt their lives had come to resemble that of hyperactive hamsters on a treadmill working harder and longer to earn the right to squabble for meagre scraps that fell from the table of the societal elite.

Add embedded social immobility through generational privilege, and systemic and widespread social racism from unchallenged histories of colonisalism and/or slavery, into a system which is said to be based on merit, and there is a brewing social discontent seeking to apportion blame. With social safety nets in America significantly less supportive than in most other developed nations, there is a working poor that had not existed since before the Great Depression and does not exist in most other developed economies. Many of the most vulnerable within society resort to extreme survival measures such as selling their blood to the producers of high value blood products.

However, the elixir of extreme wealth as advertised through sophisticated dispersive media, which became omnipresent with the invention of the smart phone and augmented with almost unfettered influencers, has had an intoxicating affect selling American culture throughout the world, especially to the young.

Other anglophone nations, especially, have experienced this cultural drift which pervades society from families right through to business and politics with concomitant creeping up in hours spent working and increasing levels of materialism concomitant with decreasing levels of life satisfaction measured in surveys and decreasing mental health measures.

The COVID-19 pandemic put a punctuation mark in this progression, with surveys of people showing greater levels of altruism and levels of self-care, including seeking more flexible working conditions, but it is too early to know whether it will be a ‘comma’ denoting a pause, a ‘full stop’ indicating a prolonged pause which may or not be a true end, or an ‘exclamation mark’ – an emphatic rejection of the earlier period of extreme capitalism.

Through this phase of human development, the demands on personal time and energy have been unrelenting, and while technology has facilitated greater productivity, the cognitive ‘bandwidth’ of human beings available to process emotions, as well as make short- and long-term decisions, has not increased but has been challenged by the extra drains on energy from modern life.

Between those working day to day for their survival, and those who have been so influenced by the ‘materialism through winning’ elixir, there is significantly less collective bandwidth available for critical thinking. Even of those now looking for answers, many had not been taught and/or practised the skill of critical thinking and are vulnerable to believing dubious sources of information which are becoming increasingly sophisticated at altering facts and influencing opinions and actions.

Thus, to answer the question of whether the people have received the leadership they deserved, the answer must be that, in general, they have not.

Whether society can be blamed for prioritising the accumulating of material wealth over other less selfish pursuits, which also affect our individual and collective quality of life, is a matter of personal values.

What broader society must accept blame for, however, is a willingness to turn a blind eye to the fact and consequences of local, regional, and global inequality; that wealth and high standards of living were attained and maintained from the exploitation and pain of other human beings.

In that way, our contemporary societies are not as different from other or alternate harsh, oppressive, and dominating societies as we would like to believe.

Racism and prejudice – personal experiences

Sadly, my own experience of racism straddles both sides of the divide.

In 2002, with my wife of Asian descent, I lived in Munich as the recipient of a fellowship from the Alexander von Humboldt Foundation (AvHF), after spending the previous year in Montpellier on a fellowship from the French Government. Besides the normal language challenges faced by any non-Bavarian living there, whereby even Germans coming from outside Bavaria would try to disguise it from the famously (or infamously) patriotic Bavarians, I found it easy to live in Munich, in fact easier than in southern France the year before. For my wife, however, whether alone or when we were together, the feeling was very different to how she and we felt moving around in ambient society. She was frequently stared and snarled at while waiting for public transport, feeling unwelcome and unsafe when travelling alone, and conspicuous as a mixed couple when together. The righteousness of some to express the power and privilege in the expectation of others cowering for their very existence was something that she and we had never experienced.

On a train trip into Austria to celebrate our 7th wedding anniversary we were confronted by four middle-aged women snarling at us from the opposite seats as if were dirt. I turned to face off with them, eyeballing each one in turn rotating my head left to right, right to left, and back again, like a carnival game clown. The women chose to continue their vile and hateful stare for at least 5 minutes before in unison they gave a huff and turned their attention away to each other, no doubt to spew hate from their mouths to reinforce each other’s opinions of superiority. At least I stared them down and showed that we are proud and loved us and ourselves – a small victory which I felt we needed at the time.

I, too, soon ran into trouble with my research whereby through stepping on the toes of someone close to the head of my institute, in a truly surreal manner – I asked that the student not keep their dog in the office that we alone shared after it bit me – all of my research was confiscated and locked in a cupboard so that I could not work for the latter half of the fellowship period. During a strange meeting with the technician who had been instructed to confiscate my work and the head of the institute they denied it and undertook to look for my work. I had, in fact, already found my worked locked in a closet outside her lab, but there was no use in my liberating it until the final night of my fellowship as I could not access equipment necessary to conduct my research.

The institute head’s dictatorial manner was confirmed when he told me that I had come into “his house” acting as if I was God’s gift to science. Sadly, a man of Arabic descent who was head and shoulders the best researcher there was being deceived into thinking that he would succeed him and become the head of the institute. Even the students knew he had no chance of that, prejudicially saying that he could not hold such a high position in Germany because his language skills after 30 years of living there were not ‘good enough’. Instead, the much less-established female colleague that I was collaborating with informed me that she had been promised the job. This colleague also said to me on multiple occasions that she was dumbfounded how a mutual colleague, who was born in Germany and whom she had studied with for her undergraduate veterinary degree, could possibly hold the high position she held in the Australian public service.

On the one hand it made me realise that Australia had progressed significantly further than Germany, but I knew this was not the case if you incorporate colourism and that was underlined with what had occurred in Australia in the lead up to the 2001 Federal election, but I am skipping ahead.

I kept the AvHF informed of what had occurred and they were extremely apologetic. An officer’s handwritten note on the responding letter said that sadly this happens all too often in Germany and that they are attempting to lead change to address it.

Living in Germany was the first time I came to understand the waste of human capital that comes from the interaction of prejudice and migration. In my institute there were lab technicians that were doctors in their home countries in eastern Europe before migrating to Germany who would never practice medicine again. That is a loss for Germany as well broader humanity, not to mention for themselves and their families.

The visa that my wife was granted to accompany me did not give her the right to work in Germany. In France her visa did but language was the barrier there to her finding a job. With cosmopolitan Munich being the centre of multinational industry, language was much less an issue. However, my wife soon learned from human resources departments that she would not be considered for a job unless she already had a visa that permitted her to work, and she was told by the Germany visa authorities that she could not gain that visa unless she had a job offer. The perverse circularity of the situation was no secret to anybody.

As we came directly from France my wife had not worked for a year and the impact from feeling isolated threatened to shorten my fellowship period even before it started. In a stroke of luck, as well as resilience and ingenuity, however, my wife managed to bypass local HR staff to speak with a manager advertising for someone to work in his multinational team which worked in English on a pan-European project. After interviewing, she was offered the position and their HR department then had the job of securing the appropriate visa. We learned that this was an all too rare occurrence.

To concentrate on these negative events would be unfair, however, to the effect of leaving an inaccurate picture of our experiences in Germany. The AvHF was an incredibly generous organisation doing an enormous amount of good to progress global science and culture. All fellows and accompanying partners were taken on a 2-week cultural tour of Germany where we learned about German culture especially during the cold war, though less so about Nazism, perhaps understandably. After all, there is plenty from that era to visit and learn, and I personally visited Dachau multiple times ensuring that every visitor to our home that we had through the year also saw the concentration camp museum.

We were incredibly fortunate to be offered at a significantly reduced rent a nice apartment in a beautiful home owned by fellow academics in one of the nicest areas of town. We entered through a side gate and even today on Google Earth Street view detail of this street is blurred because the neighbouring property on that side is the residence of the US Consular General in Munich. Being early 2002, just after 911, there were machine gun-carrying guards outside their residence and I was always careful to slowly claim my keys from out of my pocket. One day, however, coincidentally just as my visa had expired, we were stopped by police after I had roused suspicions of the guards by taking a photo from outside of the corner of our apartment showing the bare vine that crept over our apartment while pristine white snow lay on the ground. Before my welcome was rescinded by the tyrannical institute head, I had the pleasure of walking daily through Bogenhausen and across the Isar River to the institute on the other side of the English Garden.

While there were those who showed their meanness, there were more very keen to show their friendliness and would help us by very willingly switching to English when it became clear that our German was still rudimentary  though my wife was sponsored by the AvHF to undertake language course and was becoming quite proficient. We have always remembered how even elderly people were keen to assist us in English, and now being aware of the story of Schacht and how he lived his final years in the area with his second wife, I cannot help imagine what if one of those lovely ladies that helped us on occasions might have been Manci Schacht, or the daughters she shared with Hjalmar, Cordula or Konstanze.

So too would it be unfair to only discuss our experience with racism and prejudice in central Europe, even though its relevance is clear and long-lasting given a world war was fought there ostensibly on the basis that racism and the consequences of it are evil, when we have lived the majority of our lives in a colonialised nation that has itself seen frontier wars against its First Nations peoples and where a migration policy of selecting only for ‘whites’ was maintained for over 100 years. I speak of course of Australia.

I was, in fact, deeply embarrassed to be Australian as an AvHF Fellow mixing with academics from throughout the global community in this period for our own latent racism had been highlighted for the world to see during the Federal election the year before. A deeply unpopular Prime Minister was able to turn the tide and win re-election by being seen to be tough on brown-skinned illegal immigrants who attempted entry on non-sea-worthy vessels. Almost to underline the lack of scruples by these brown-skinned ‘aliens’ who would do anything, use anything or anyone at their disposal to gain entry, including risking the lives of their own children by throwing them into the water to force the hand of the attending rescue ship, this story was maintained right up to the election even though it quickly was disproved and known to the government.

My simple response to other AvFH Fellows was to express my embarrassment and suggest that it reflected as poorly on Australian people as it did the conservative politicians who used the latent racist attitudes of white voters, and naivety of more recent migrants who were compliantly trying to assimilate, for if their hearts and minds were more open then they would have rejected the government for using such evocative and divisive tactics. This led to a period, which continues today, where illegal immigration is a ‘hot button’ topic that the political left lacks the courage to right out of fear implications at elections which has resulted in terrible treatment of people seeking a better life, many genuine refugees, often in contravention of their international human rights.

Of course, this issue is not now limited to Australia, but the ‘Australian solution’ of being so tough on the migrants to act as a deterrent has been exported to many other countries including in Europe.

I was born into a family with deep pride for its colonial history in the township of Innisfail in conservative rural northern Queensland, known for being a major centre for the sugar cane industry. I grew up around racism and was taught to be racist by my most important mentors and by the white-dominant cultural system that I was raised within. In school, even though we shared our classrooms and school grounds with First Nations children, the version of “Eenie Meanie Minie Mo” that I and other children taught each other to select who was ‘in’ included the vile racist ‘N-word’. I do not recall ever being reprimanded or corrected from using the word.

I never knew its meaning, but that is irrelevant, and I can only assume now that the First Nations children would have been taught that it was a deeply racist and hateful word.

I was only taught to be racist. I was not taught how not to be racist, and I certainly wasn’t taught how to be antiracist.

In this environment, it is hardly a wonder, then, that as a teenager it was a common occurrence when with extended family – camping or vacationing over Christmas – to listen to tape recordings of a famous racist comedian of the time, Kevin Bloody Wilson. His most memorable ‘song’ for my family was “Living Next Door To Alan” which captured the ill-feeling of the period towards the initial stages of reconciliation and restoration of the rights of First Nations people to access their lands which were obliterated by the British and the first migrants whose descendants, with some sort of romantic nostalgia, prefer to refer to them as colonialists.

The song told the story of a First Nation family that used these rights to claim land in the most expensive street in Australia next to the richest man in Australia then, Alan Bond. To evoke extra anger from his mainly white listeners, Wilson had the Aboriginal subject say that it was “Dead fuckin easy!” which I especially remember family members singing with vitriol in the ridiculous assertion that First Nations peoples are benefitting enormously from white colonisation well beyond that of white Australians, which contradicted the obvious reality which I had witnessed all of my life. The final line stresses the divisiveness and hatred in the lyrics where he sings, in first person voice of the First Nations man, “At least we ain’t got fuckin coons livin next door to us!” to stress how nobody would want a First Nations family living next to them, not even other First Nations peoples.

In my view you would be hard-pressed to find a more hate-filled piece of writing. This record was sold Australia-wide and for this album Wilson was venerated by the peak Australian music industry awards in 1987 receiving an ARIA for “Best Comedy Release” and was nominated for “Best Selling Album”. The song can still be downloaded from YouTube, and one version available there (last accessed 26 May 2023) – which advertises Wilson’s website address for the sale of his comedy and merchandise – includes a racist ‘joke’ told between lyrics that Michael Jackson took with him when he toured a monkey for spare parts!

The face of migration to Australia changed in the 80s, championed by a left-wing government, so that by the 90s there was a growing backlash against Asian migration and apparent ‘political correctness’ which said that the white majority should not be called out or made to feel immoral for objecting to the changing racial composition of the nation. Asian immigration has a long history in Australia, which even predates British ‘colonisation’, but the long-running White Australia Policy – which limited migration to essentially Caucasians – kept numbers low and the early Asian migrant families had very intentionally minimised their cultural difference, i.e. assimilated, to minimise offense and castigation.

The new migrants, however, were conspicuous in number and cultural influence, and soon the objectors found their ‘champion’ in the form of a fish and chips shop owner from Ipswich in Queensland named Pauline Hanson who told parliament in her maiden speech that “Australia was in danger of being swamped by Asians”.  

I had fallen in love with my wife at university and I knew that, because of endemic racism, our relationship would cause me to lose some of my social standing in my hometown and within my immediate and extended family given that she was both a woman of colour and of Asian descent. This was underlined for me, especially, because when I asked my mother three years earlier whether it would be okay with her and Dad if I brought home a girlfriend who was of First Nations background, whom I fancied then at university, she responded: “obviously we would prefer if you didn’t”.

In some ways I thought that my parents considered my wife being Asian was not as bad as could have been if I did marry a First Nations woman.

Over those early years of our relationship, sadly, we encountered racism constantly within my family. A cousin who I deeply admired said that he wouldn’t eat anything touched by a Thai person. Other cousins proudly told me they were Hanson supporters and denied that she or they were racist. That Kevin Bloody Wilson tape continued to be played every Christmas.

Racism is omnipresent in my family culture, it is systemic.

The most poignant event happened during a Christmas vacation just after we were married when my sister-in-law called a shop assistant who did not serve her promptly enough for her liking an “Asian bitch” when recalling the experience that evening to extended family. We walked out in disgust and what ensued showed that our family would never be the same again. My sister acknowledged it was racist but my mother denied it in a surreal debate which left my wife in our room crying wanting the conflict to be over, and me walking out of the house to be alone because that was how I felt stuck between realities that were supposed to love and support me. Then my mother, thinking that she needed to calm the situation, came to hug me and instantly I could feel her hard coldness and that she could not emotionally connect with what I was experiencing, her enormous heart which had nurtured me all my life completely blocked by bitter hatred, by racism.

The next morning my sister-in-law was deeply hurt at the suggestion that she was racist and was packing to leave. It threatened to ruin everyone’s Christmas and it was all our fault – we were too sensitive was the majority opinion. We were coerced to go and apologise to my sister-in-law for upsetting her in deference of staying together for a family Christmas.

It was to be one of the last Christmases we would spend together as a family as I realised that our relationships had altered irretrievably, that continued contact always involved the risk of my wife being hurt more by bigotry, which I really wanted to avoid when we had children, and that these tensions had joined together with deep pain and trauma at being brought up in a harsh family farm environment creating a family culture that was toxic. Truly accepting that, however, was a process that took many years of me learning to stop trying so hard to have them understand and accept us.

Although I face this issue less so these days from my family because of this distance from them, I still have some interaction with my parents which, sadly, always presents a challenging situation. In recent years they have said and done things which has and will remain with me. On a recent New Years Day they observed my sons carrying out a cultural ritual of bowing on the floor in front of my wife’s parents showing respect and I overheard their outraged discussion afterwards. They have told me a story on numerous occasions of how the President of a sporting association of which they are committee members started a meeting with an acknowledgment of country to pay respect to First Nations peoples, which is standard now throughout Australia, thankfully, but to which they objected indignantly with “we don’t want that shit here!” making the woman cry. Most cuttingly, my father rhetorically told me “Who would want to live next to Indians!” not long ago which really made me confront a truth that I had not been prepared to admit previously – that he must feel some level of personal shame when in public with my family, or with my wife’s family and many of our friends, as anybody who shared his views must when with people who most in our society would easily confuse for being Indian.

Overt events of racism are what we tend to remember most and what gains the most attention in the media. The truth is, however, that these are not the most common forms or incidents of racism.

In my experience, both when I was young and insecure trying to find my own safe place within society, while knowing I was well within the white majority, and as an adult as I became increasingly aware of its impacts on minoritised people and especially on my wife and consequently our family, most often racism is expressed in degrees or shades, whatever metaphor for subtly and nuance is preferred or meets the context.

I think the most accurate way to describe it is that racism, prejudice, and unconscious bias interact with ‘thresholds’ – thresholds in relation to stimulus – that determine whether a reaction or a response will be invoked. It even intersects with shades of skin tone based on the amount of melanin in the skin often referred to as colourisation. This is why the pervasiveness of systemic racism is so difficult to prove at an individual or case-by-case level yet it is clear in topline statistics in almost all aspects of society.

Consequently, the great majority of the individual acts of racism carried out globally on a daily basis is plausibly deniable.

In truth, many of these acts will be imperceptible even to the object of the bias, and the degree to which someone is perceptive of these biases directed at them is related to their prior experiences and teachings.

Their subtly, however, should not be mistaken for insignificance, for the worst effects of these racist acts are cumulative so that they build up in the psyche of those prejudiced against perniciously impacting feelings of fairness, belonging, and safety.

I will demonstrate with a personal experience, one for which I personally carried a great deal of shame over a prolonged period.

My wife underwent an emergency caesarian section during the birth of our first son. After 18 hours, 6 hours of active labour, the birth was not progressing and my wife was becoming exhausted. Past midnight we were in a birthing suite of a private hospital, my wife mostly asleep, and me sitting in the dim light listening to the faetal heart monitor attached to our unborn son which showed that he was in distress. With each contraction his heart rate would slow so much so that it sounded like a steam train struggling to pull over the crest of an incline. When it sounded to me like it was getting dangerously close to stalling, I went to speak with the head nurse at the front desk asking for confirmation that the sound that I had been listening to with increasing concern was that of our baby’s heart, showing my clear concern.

The nurse responded, “yes, I had been thinking about calling the doctor. I will do that now.”

The question that can never be answered, not even if the nurse were asked the next day, if she could get past the natural inference that her judgment might have been influenced by factors other than purely medical, so that she answered honestly, is whether a higher threshold to become concerned might have been applied because my wife is of Asian descent.

When the doctor came, I was given the choice and I consented to an emergency caesarian. Our son took a while to take his first breath while the paediatrician was attending him, long enough for the experienced midwife to show her anxiety and mutter quietly, “c’mon little fella, breath”. For those few seconds afterwards, I was terrified and was already kicking myself for not going earlier to speak to the nurse. That, however, is not the main source of my shame.

Our son was with us in my wife’s room for his first few hours, as is usual, but we were both exhausted and my wife had struggled in vain to feed our son. After an attempt to feed him, I placed our son in his crib and we both fell asleep. When we woke our son was not in the room and I was told that he was in heated crib because he had not been covered properly and his body temperature was low. My wife, also, had a low core temperature and was soon under an insulated blanket blowing warm air on her.

Until this day I carry the shame that our newborn son might have had a serious setback or even died for my mistake in not covering him properly when he was already weakened. It was not really until later years, however, when I truly began to understand how unconscious bias from racism happens in society that I realise we should have had more attentive care from the nurses given the complications in birth, especially since we were first-time parents and we had paid for that care in a private hospital.

Again, would they have been more attentive if we were not a mixed family?

What we also remember clearly from the period was how the nurses frequently commented on our son’s “lovely skin”, telling us that there was no chance of confusing him with the other babies in the nursery, yet to our inexperienced eyes the difference was imperceptible. The point is that to the nurses there was a difference the moment our son entered their care, and describing his skin tone in a positive manner is no indication of what effect, if any, that had on the care he and we received given their experience at dealing with new and vulnerable parents and knowing what were the right things to say to be seen as caring and attentive.  

It is all the more remarkable that we never really allowed ourselves to think of these events in these terms for such a long time since when we were in Germany a couple with whom we developed a friendship, after meeting them through the AvHF, had a truly frightening and alarming experience having their first child there. The Chinese mother and Moroccan father were given precious little assistance in the hospital after their baby was born. The nurses essentially poked their heads in the door and asked in German whether they were okay and were dismissive and impatient if they responded with anything other than a simple “yes”.  However, their baby barely fed for the first few days and things only turned for the better when the mother learnt how to breastfeed through a book that her husband bought in the library of the hospital. Being the years before ubiquitous internet, that book literally became their primary source for baby care.

Having these personal experiences, I am entirely unsurprised when I hear or read of statistics showing clear inferior birth and general health outcomes for minoritised people. At a personal level, I am also well aware that my wife and I were privileged to be in a private hospital.

How can one, therefore, apportion the impact of racism or colourism through their life?

What is an appropriate time to wait at a counter, what is the threshold for gaining the attention of a server, or how can anyone know whether the server noticed that you were waiting before others of lighter complexion?

Why is it that colleagues’ work is regarded more highly so that perception of cumulative impacts in workplace performance are not seen as valuable as those colleagues’ who received higher value rewards including bonuses and promotions?

Why was your application to rent a home unsuccessful when you are an executive with a high salary with a demonstrable history of continuous work and responsible rental stewardship?

Did Herr Hoffman, the head of my institute in Munich, develop an immediate dislike of me because of who was sitting next to me when we met for the first time, that being my wife? Did it lower his threshold for becoming aggravated with me, in conjunction with my other traits which he clearly disliked, and how did these intersect?

Once alert to and understanding of how racism and prejudice works, it can be seen everywhere, yet it is always impossible to know, and thus prove, exactly how, when, and where its impacts are at work.

Those who are subjected to racism are, at the same time, told that it is they who have been applying a threshold too low or inconsistently – that their threshold for sensitivity, to have hurt feelings or to become offended, is too low so that all in society has come to ‘pander’ to this too low threshold through a societally enforced ‘political correctness’ which only ‘woke’ individuals have the desire to abide by with ‘virtue signaling’ which is circularly reinforced amongst a community of ‘wokes’.

All of this ‘performative’ reinforcement is rejected, according to this mindset, by the shrewd conservatives – ‘salt of the Earth’-types that exist in the mythology of nearly all nations or regions – on the basis that ‘wokes’ are idiot do-gooders who have no understanding of the ‘true’ (usually harsh, often misogynistic) underlying nature of human societies so they will declare openly a refusal to expend energy caring about whether they emotionally offend or hurt others. This asserts a narrow vision of society within such people and leads to them acting with more prejudicial and biased behaviours, potentially even with an agenda to counter the efforts of the ‘wokes’.

There are always any number of reasons available to give for why daily decisions of relatively minor significance are made, and younger people tend to prefer to be optimistic and believe that intentions of others mostly are fair and reasonable. Moreover, younger people tend to be more gregarious and do not wish to dwell on issues which might be divisive, often because they do not want to feel different or excluded in any way. Young people, most of all, want to feel and believe they belong.

By the time a person who has continually been the subject of prejudice reaches middle age, however, the impacts of all of these continual decisions made upon racially dependent thresholds have accumulated and affect them in deeply impactful ways including career advancement and position within society, and ultimately affect feelings of belonging and safety stemming from how they perceive others view them and even how they view themselves. The latter is especially critical because with all these decisions, each one subjective, nebulous, and deniable, and often explicitly denied when concerns are raised formerly and/or informally, there is a continual voice in the back of their head saying, “Maybe it really is me; Maybe I’m just not good enough; Maybe I do not deserve… [whatever it is].”

Few human beings innately have or learn such extreme self-belief that they never engage in self-doubt, and most who do not probably have some form of psychosis. It is entirely predictable that the self-confidence of, and the trust in the system of, the majority of minoritised people will have been broken through a lifetime of living with racism.

This is the corrosion to society caused by racism, and its affects are profound and widespread.

In my experience, most members of the white majority in society fall within two camps – those who deny the racist character of society and thus, of themselves, and those who recognise that racism is a problem, many considering themselves sympathetic, but who believe it does not affect them because they consider they do not personally experience racism. However, I take issue with that view because I have come to realise that I have more experience of overt racism living in a white-dominant colonialist nation than my wife of Asian descent, and if most other Caucasians stop and think they will realise that they have a broad experience of racism, also. The point being that one does not have to be the object of hatred or prejudice to experience racism.

I realise some might prefer or consider it more appropriate that a Caucasian use the phrase ‘experience with racism’ above ‘experience of racism’, but in truth I think it is unnecessary and unhelpful semantics.

I will share one of the most overt acts of racism that I have experienced. In my first professional job immediately after completing my PhD I worked for a public service organisation. One day walking with a senior colleague, second highest in the hierarchy at this facility, I was expressing concern for the local inhabitants of a Pacific island who were receiving the full brunt of a category 5 cyclone. My colleague responded that my concern was unwarranted because “there are only coons and grass huts out there!” Although I was raised with omnipresent racism, I was shocked to hear such a hateful comment in the work environment from a senior colleague, so I did not manage to voice my outrage or even disapproval. In shock, I was rendered speechless and then felt guilty and complicit.

A short time afterwards I was in a photocopy alcove with two other (Caucasian) colleagues besides the same senior officer when a member of the secretarial staff came looking for me and the other junior colleague who was with me. A technician from our former university department where we had studied together for our postgraduate degrees in microbiology/virology was calling as they were cleaning up the walk-in fridge and wanted to ensure that if there was any materials we left there that they did not represent biohazards. After we told the secretary that we left nothing behind, the senior colleague told us “They should just suck up the material and inject it into some gooks – there are enough of them out there now!” I don’t know whether the others were in shock but this time I was ready for it and I informed him that he should not assume that everybody agreed with his vile opinions. I walked off and immediately reported the incident to my superior, but to my nowadays regret, I chose not to take further action as I was only early in my career and was concerned about the impact making a complaint would have.

While this was particularly shocking, in my early years in conservative northern Queensland it was my common experience to be a part of Caucasian groups which openly engaged in shared racism. I grew up with the hushed, on the other side of your hand discussions about ‘abos’ after a quick glance to see who may be near enough to hear, and I heard the jokes or hateful impersonations made when none of the targets of derision were present.

I concede that not every person will have as much experience of racism as I do, and that will depend on social circles through life and/or the level of endemicity throughout regions.

Even those who grew up in less conservative social circles and/or regions, surely, also have reasonably frequent experience of racism. One must wonder whether loyalty to our closest early mentors – close and extended family, coaches, teachers, performers, colleagues, and bosses, etc. – is an important impediment to acknowledging experience of racism.

The recent example of how colleagues of Australian First Nations journalist Stan Grant, along with his employer, failed to support him in the face of racist onslaught, shows most non-First Nations people are still incapable – individually and collectively – of confronting the truth of their experience of racism and thus learning how to respond.

Eliminating racist division and prejudice from our society is highly dependent on the dominant majority, Caucasians in former colonialist nations, becoming a lot more responsible for acknowledging racism when they experience it so that they can be a part of – and when necessary, lead – appropriate responses to it.

The most important element in fighting endemic racism, in my opinion, is for everybody to become responsible for making it clear that the racist is in the minority and will increasingly be minoritised, themselves, if they persist with their hateful opinions.

Racial, prejudicial, and otherwise divisive opinions circulate and grow when people feel free to express them – free not just, or even mainly, because of permissive laws, but by social norms and standards. A comment about “ticking a diversity box” or against “affirmative action” might seem innocuous and harmless when the target of the comment cannot hear, but people get the message that it is socially acceptable to spread such ideas. Nobody knows what that person or the next person who receives those ideas will do with them – will their dislike grow to hate, and what will they do with their hate?

The truth is that whenever a racist act occurs, everybody who has participated in spreading divisive ideas shares responsibility for that act, irrespective of how minor that act of spreading division might have seemed.

Finally, there will always be a minority who seek to play up differences amongst humanity for their own political advantage, often to scapegoat and deflect attention from their own lack of leadership abilities and progress. Real leaders seek to unite not divide, and our societies – the human beings who make up societies – must be shrewd enough to associate attempts at creating division with self-interested power grabs so that they are promptly dismissed without damaging social cohesion.

A responsible, well-regulated media is critical.

Corruption of political processes

That democracy is ‘under attack’ is a common refrain at present. Most attention focuses on interference on the basis of geopolitical contests and frictions. As highlighted during the WWII era, this is not a new event, even if the sophistication of the tools employed are ever increasing, and it will always be the case while there is aggressive competition between peoples from different geographical regions.

This is not the only corruption of political processes, however, and in many ways it is not the most serious even if the other corruptions are largely forgotten or at least overlooked while attention is diverted towards ‘enemies’.

No democracy has solved the problem of how to ensure that parliamentarians serve the interests of their constituencies, and therefore broad humanity, over the special interests of the few that act at the level of the political party or the individual politician.

Through the history of democracies, the most powerful have not sought ‘higher office’ for themselves. No, for most that would seem like much too much hard work and effort, even if that effort were totally directed towards furthering selfish outcomes above the progress of broader humanity. Instead, those truly powerful through virtue of their wealth have sought to influence decision makers by a range of instruments at their dispersal, either directly through investing some of their own wealth to gain favourable outcomes which will grow their wealth even more, or indirectly by owning businesses through which they can influence outcomes.

Many a story has been written about illegal forms of corruption such as bribery. While dramatic, these are significantly outweighed by the legal forms of corruption that permissive democracies have allowed in the form of political donations to parties and of extremely favourable post-political careers and contracts in the private sector or in the political lobbying industry.

These corruptions have led to the interests of wealthy superseding the interests of broader society and humanity, have led to growing societal inequality, and have severely hampered international responses to crises especially the climate crisis.

While legalised corruption has grown with the size of political donations and the lobbying industry, in less contested policy areas the lack of interest shown by politicians to actually lead has had serious impacts. As politicians on both sides of the aisle (left as well as right) agreed that the capitalist market is the best arbiter of capital allocation decisions, it became accepted that corporations and individuals within society would take the lead on all areas of innovation, meaning that areas outside or of lesser importance to markets would be largely forgotten.

In other words, politicians as a group largely relinquished their roles as leaders within society, yet they did not relinquish their positions nor their salaries, even if they were fractions of their post-politics salaries.

In effect, the market arbitrated their own roles as leaders – if there was no economic payoff to them as individuals or as a political party, then it was wasted effort to concentrate on these policy areas.

It is in these forgotten areas where lies the greatest dividend and benefits to society and broad humanity.

The press has been referred to as the fourth estate of democracy given its critical role in framing and facilitating political debate in an open and objective, non-partisan manner. Nowadays, however, the traditional role of the press is strained by other forms of dispersed media created and consumed on ubiquitous electronic devices, especially smart phones. Newsrooms have had their budgets continually cut and staff numbers reduced and consolidated which has impacted the quality of investigative journalism and deeper analysis. Ownership of the press has realised a profitable business case for monopolising the content that groups – based on demography and/or ideology – are exposed to thereby reducing the breadth of opinion to which people are exposed and hardening opposition to other views when they encounter them. This has been aided by pervasive, sophisticated information technology which at the same time has been more covert.

Consequently, there has been an erosion in the level of trust in the role of the media in society and skills at discernment and critical thought have generally diminished in society.

People tend to become stuck in echo chambers with other like-minded individuals and have narrow perceptions of what is reasonable, or even what is truth, and thus are highly susceptible to being influenced by actors which seek political gain. Moreover, while not recognising their own intellectual constriction, people are increasingly pointing it out when they observe others stuck in different echo chambers.

Clearly such a system is corrupted as an instrument for objective political processes, and it is eminently corruptible for specific political goals especially when intersected with the corruption of the political system for personal gain within an increasingly extreme capitalist system.

Such a level of societal polarisation has occurred in past times, and can be ameliorated if the corruption of the political process is acknowledged and addressed via regulation of political interference, and especially of political donations and other conflicts related to politicians, and of the media.

To do so will require a level of honesty and sincerity that has become rare, especially in the anglophone world, since the death of FDR.

What separates modern capitalist societies from fascism?

Fascism is an ultraconservative ideology best known as justifying aggressive actions by especially Germany against its neighbours leading to WWII. Fascist regimes have had variable ideologies borne mainly of the political circumstances from which they derived their power, but these features were common: aggressively nationalistic and misogynistic, opposed liberal individualism, attacked Marxist and other left-wing ideologies, scapegoated minorities especially along racial lines, self-appointed arbiters of national culture and/or religion, and promoted populist right-wing economics.

Historically fascism has been associated with economic disturbance especially when it was felt disproportionately or inequitably across society.

In recent years there have been alarming incidences of ultraconservatism especially in America. There has been insurrection due to the outcome US Presidential election being contested by the incumbent such that a large proportion of the population considered the following Biden presidency illegitimate. The populist fervour that the former reality television personality-turned-President, Donald Trump, created has resulted in a host of political aspirants who initially rode his agenda and wave of populism to gain higher office, and who now attempt to be even more conspicuously conservative.

Media that is not just complicit, but elements within it that have taken on the ultraconservative platform as a business strategy to drive profits, have created echo chambers for amplifying this ultraconservative ideology.

One recent example of the consequence of this is seen in the US state of Florida where strict, but apparently arbitrarily or haphazardly applied laws, introduced by Governor DeSantis in the lead up to his bid for the Republican nomination to contest the 2024 Presidential campaign, have been used to ban specified books from schools for containing inappropriate messages. One book banned was the poem “The Hill We Climb” written and performed by Amanda Gorman for the Biden inauguration, the single claimant that led to its banning mistakenly listing famous African American television personality Oprah Winfrey as the author, and objecting on the grounds that it was “not educational and have indirectly hate messages”. The hate messages cited by the claimant were:

“We’ve braved the belly of the beast. We’ve learned that quiet isn’t always peace, And the norms and notions of what ‘just is’ isn’t always justice.”

and

“And yet the dawn is ours before we knew it. Somehow, we do it. Somehow, we’ve weathered and witnessed a nation that isn’t broken, but simply unfinished.”

Parallels with attacks on liberal thinkers by earlier fascist regimes are obvious.

The consistent feature of fascism as opposed to communism is that power is derived from the wealthy elite rather than the working class within society. It is notable that the increasingly extreme form of capitalism that has been practiced in recent decades has been accompanied by a general movement of the political debate to the right as socialism has been diminished, especially in the anglophone countries, but increasingly in all developed regions including the famously progressive northern Europeans.

This began as a consequence of ideological drift setup by circumstances arising immediately after WWII with the cold war and was exacerbated by the hubris within the west that accompanied the collapse of the USSR.

There was another major factor, however.

FDR was an incredible leader because he blended political realism with a deep optimism in and for humanity. He did not fear political consequences of falling out of favour with the elite in society, even though he had lived a privileged upbringing, and in many ways, he sought political advantage from being seen to occasionally annoy or even enrage the wealthy elite. The wealthiest businessman of the period, the banker J.P. Morgan, was a preferred target for FDR’s verbal attacks and policy measures to diminish the influence of the wealthy.

It is more than ironic, then, that nowadays the leader of JP Morgan Chase & Co, the legacy business of the original eponymous business, CEO Jamie Dimon is amongst the highest profile American businessmen who identifies as a Democrat, the left-wing party of FDR, and has a long history of significant monetary donations. Mr Dimon is considered by many as one of the most powerful men in America and is certainly one of the most acclaimed Wall Street power brokers leading the largest bank in America, indeed the largest bank in the world by 2023 market capitalisation, for over a decade and a half.

By the standards of 70s, however, the views of many of these wealthy elites who self-identify as being on the left of politics, and donate significant sums of money accordingly, would be considered well to the right side of the political divide. In fact, their actions and expressed views when compared with those of Charlie Munger’s, discussed earlier, who has been a life-long Republican, act as a clear of indication of how far the political centre has shifted to the right because Munger’s values are clearly well to the left of these other much younger elites.

This relationship between wealthy elites and the political centrality of society deserves examination not just with respect to observed affects but also as to cause.

As discussed earlier, lightly regulated political donations is one way in which political processes have been corrupted through legal means. The experience of the wealthy elites during FDR’s prolonged presidency surely taught them that it is not sufficient to only influence the right side of politics even if its long-term support for owners (of capital) through support for capitalistic markets provides a natural affinity. As the wealthy elites learned then, also, opportunistic support through large, one-off donations assures only ephemeral influence at best.

What was learned from their experience with FDR was that if enduring influence is to be achieved then it requires a good proportion of the wealthy elite being seen to be long-term supporters of the political left. And, since wealthy elites understand well the significance of always having influence, not only when one party is in power, there has been no shortage of wealthy elites prepared to be seen to be aligned with the left.

Well-known hedge fund manager Bill Ackman has even called on Jamie Dimon to run for the Democratic nomination for the 2024 Presidential election.

This factor is at least as important as any other in the drift of the political centre to the right.

With that the situation, for contemporary populist to gain significant attention they must be ultraconservative, whereas policies that in the 60s even Republicans considered seriously are cast as the realm of the far left.

While these circumstances explain the rightward drift in the political centre, so too were there natural circumstances that caused rightward movement of politics before WWII. The parallels between then and now are disquieting.

To any objective observer it is becoming difficult to see significant differences from the state of politics – fascism – which the Allies resisted and fought against in WWII and the one that America now has, and that distinction is growing less and less clear. In fact, this distinction could be lost with the election of another right-wing populist US President. The need to defeat a right-wing populist Republican candidate ensures the nomination of a right-wing Democrat.

The apparent or perceived phoniness of predominantly two-party systems where there is only very minor political difference and where both sides have been captured – through donations and other party or individual conflicts – by wealthy elites has been exploited by the populists to increase influence leading to increasingly fascist-like actions which the two parties struggle to oppose or resist. Given the influence American culture has on broad humanity, especially within anglophone regions, it is concerning how we have arrived at a moment in time where the dominant nation increasingly resembles a quasi-two-party fascist state with other major allies in danger of following.

How have we humans managed to progress through so much division?

Human progress has often been conceptualised as a swinging pendulum because it so aptly describes not just the observable but also the experiential. Perhaps the greatest contest within humanity has been between wealth, the owners of resources whether it be land or other resources nowadays expressed as some form of money, versus the workers, those who do not own much in the way of resources so they must continually acquire their regular (often daily) needs through their own labour by being self-sufficient or by selling their labour in return for money with which necessities are purchased.

This push and pull has played out over the millennia since human beings aggregated into communities and began to specialise their skillset rather than being generalists doing everything for themselves.

Those who lived through the second half of the 20th century, for example, would have witnessed and experienced in one way or another the power and influence of labour build up to an extreme largely through the instrument of collective bargaining with unionism into the 70s only for that power and influence to subside in the last decades of the century, even through reforms enacted by left-wing parties that are closely associated with unions.

Though the pendulum concept is apt, it is not complete because it would suggest that humanity does not progress as the pendulum swings about a stationary point. If we zoom out and consider how humanity has progressed from the caveman days until now it is abundantly clear that we have progressed a great deal, so there has to be much more than this to social and overall human progress.

Human progress can be more accurately depicted as a swinging pendulum where the central point of the swing is on a continual upward trajectory. That is why it feels – depending on your position in society and your values – at times like progress has slowed or even gone backwards, and then at other times it feels like progress is accelerating. In the case of the swinging pendulum, imagine that the pendulum is instead viewed from the side so that the swinging action is no longer visible, and it just appears that the vertical string is shortening and lengthening, or perhaps it appears like the stick of an upside down (inverted) lollypop. With close observation over a period it will be noticed that the top point of the string or stick, the point of articulation, is on a steady upward trajectory. If the position of the swinging bob, which denotes humanity’s lived experience of progress, is traced it will in fact show a wavey line heading up towards the top right-hand corner even though there are times when the line is actually heading downwards.

This explains why sometimes it feels like change is happening very quickly, then at other times it feels like things are actually going backwards.

The tendency of humanity to be influenced to swing from one position to another in the opposite direction is exacerbated by populists who seek to harness these swings to advantage themselves by gaining political power, influence, and privilege. Such opportunists have historically been prepared to take the pendulum, and thus humanity, to the extreme to achieve their aims, and since this work started with the events of WWII it should be abundantly clear that Nazism and Hitler are patent examples of this.

Many feel that humanity is undergoing another period of extremism at the present moment, but at this present time it is difficult to know whether the pendulum has swung back or whether it is approaching the inflexion point. Either way, it feels to many like human progress is going backwards with the emergence of right-wing extremism in America and elsewhere.

This was underlined by the way the results of 2020 US Presidential election were no accepted by Donald Trump, by the measures he took and attempted to keep hold of power, and in the insurrection that occurred at the Capitol on the20th of January 2021 after he spoke to a crowd of his supporters.

Politicians on the right trying to out-Trump Trump in order to gain power have also had significant affects, and the aforementioned banning of books in the US has disconcerting echoes with the actions of other extreme political movements including Nazism.

This move to the extreme right is also associated with an apparent rise in racism generally throughout the world.

Even though elections are won by the team on the most numerous side of the centre, modern politics has become polarised in recent years by this move to the extreme right.

Taking humanity to extremes does nothing to aid human progress, in fact it hinders it for one very important reason. The more energy put into swinging the pendulum to extremes diverts attention from the real goal – to put all the resources of our collective human endeavour towards driving progress, in other words to steepening our actual trajectory of progress.

The only way that can be done is by having guardrails from strong social norms and laws on the basis of social cohesion that lessen the amplitude of the swing of the pendulum.

It is the force of the swinging of the pendulum which makes human beings feel uncomfortable – afraid of change – such that at extremes some, the losers, feel like they are barely hanging on while others sit atop the bob and drive it on to even greater extremes for their own benefit.

It is an entirely inefficient way for humanity to progress, it is hardly capitalistic given the level of resources wasted, and it is perhaps the greatest reason why humanity remains on an unsustainable path.

The best vaccine against crises is social cohesion

The climate crisis is the greatest crisis that humanity confronts. It is, perhaps, the greatest threat of our own making that humanity has ever confronted. To this point our response to climate change has been weak, variable, and slow primarily due to a lack of agreement over identifying the threat and then the measures required.

It would be nonsensical to suggest that a response to climate change, or any other crises affecting humanity, will not be forthcoming without improving social cohesion. Of course governments have and will continue to react when crises happen, as governments are now to the climate crisis, and as they did during the recent COVID-19 pandemic.

However, the timeliness and quality of that response, and therefore the ability to manage the impacts to humanity, is highly dependent on the cohesiveness of societies both regionally and globally. And the COVID-19 pandemic underlined how the current poor level of social cohesion led to serious impacts along the divisive fissures in regional and global societies based on inequality whereby vulnerable peoples were so much more seriously impacted than the wealthy.

The COVID-19 response was inadequate in many wealthy nations. Few nations, however, reacted so poorly relative to their capacity for response as then President Donald Trump-led America, the wealthiest nation in the world, and the nation that humanity has looked to since WWII for global leadership and which, while coming at significant cost, has provided very significant preferential benefits to Americans. Instead of leading, the US President resorted to provocative language, which even the next President did not completely resile from, as aspersions were cast over the origin of the virus in a blame game to deflect attention from his inept leadership.

America also went AWOL on the climate crisis under Trump as he appeased the climate denialism that he had stoked. The serious challenges to agreeing, and even more critically, enacting, systematic responses to the climate crisis are deeply concerning to the global scientific community as well as those with the common sense to trust the views of those within humanity who chose to develop specialised skills in scientific research in areas related to climate and climate change impacts.

The future of humanity is too significant an issue to depend on only one global leader. Even if their political leadership is decided in fair elections, Americans are only a small fraction of global humanity, and that they hold a far greater share of global wealth is simply evidence of the inequality that America has done little to address.

A society that is always at war, and always must have an enemy, has become a danger to itself as well as others.

Moreover, there is no guarantee that America’s flirtation with the extreme right is over for now.

Humanity does not need a dominator. Power from wealth, no matter the various perspectives on whether it was acquired nobly or whether it was ill-gotten, does not grant a right to laud it over the majority.

Humanity needs supportive co-operation and collaboration. That is our evolutionary advantage, and it is does not preclude responding forthrightly when collective agreement is reached that it is required against recalcitrants.

In the mid-twentieth century two world wars provided the impetus for the creation of a global organisation as a force for an enduring peace. The first iteration – the League of Nations – was found wanting in its design, and after WWII the United Nations was created largely out of the vision of FDR.

While the United Nations has endured, it’s primary objective of securing peace was severely curtailed by the cold war, and it was no until sanctioned action in Kuwait in 1989 in response to Iraq’s invasion that the security council worked in the way it was meant to. Then in 2003 it was made a mockery of by an American administration bent on avenging the attacks on America property on the 11th of September 2001 that sadly caused the death of nearly 3,000 human beings who were in America at the time, a significant proportion of them being citizens of other regions.

Under President George W Bush, the son of George Bush Sr. who was President during the first Iraq war, America sought to broaden its retaliation to Iraq and the regime of Sadam Hussein after the success of operations to overturn the regime in Afghanistan where the terrorists that orchestrated the attacks had their bases. America and its key anglophone ally, Britain, told the UN Security council that they possessed intelligence that Hussein had weapons of mass destruction (WMD) that could be deployed in 45 minutes as a justification for unprovoked invasion to topple the Hussein regime. UN weapons inspectors led by Hans Blix, former Director General of the International Atomic Energy Agency, carried out approximately 700 inspections finding no WMD which was detailed in a report to the UN Security Council on the 14th of February 2003. Mass antiwar marches occurred throughout the developed world, with protesters in London alone numbering 2 million by the organisers.

Undeterred, America and Britain submitted a draft resolution to the UN stating that Iraq had missed its final opportunity to disarm peacefully, which France, Russia and Germany opposed. France and Russia on the 10th of March threatened to veto a UN security council directive to Iraq to disarm within 7 days.  On the 17th of March America, Britain and Spain abandoned all attempts at securing an UN Security Council resolution authorising force and 3 days later America launched an invasion of Iraq through ‘Operation Iraqi Freedom’.

The Iraq war involved military and other personnel from 48 nations which America briefly dubbed the ‘coalition of the willing’, the majority being small nations whose support for the war was associated with large foreign aid offerings from America. The only permanent members of the UN Security Council involved in the conflict which officially lasted for over 8 years were America and Britain. Exact numbers are impossible to determine, but civilian casualties ran into the hundreds of thousands and the region remains politically unstable today.

Hans Blix maintained that America and Britain dramatised the threat of Iraq having WMD to justify the 2003 attack, and furthermore believed that he was the subject of a public smear campaign and that American intelligence operations were conducted to undermine his credibility in an echo of the ‘reds under the bed’ era of false accusations and political attacks.

The leaders of the allied anglophone nations who supported the American invasion of Iraq, to give some level of suggestion that the operation was not unilaterally America on its own, especially Tony Blair of Britain and John Howard of Australia, did not resile from the fact that foremost in their aims was to maintain a close relationship with the dominant ‘super power’.

I intentionally suggested that these actions were to avenge the attacks on American property not the actual deaths of Americans for a very specific reason. At the height of the recent COVID-19 pandemic 3,000 American lives were lost daily, a very high proportion of them preventable if American leadership responded in a way which honoured the primacy of human life above other considerations, a demonstrable fact when mortality rates are compared with other developed nations including my own of Australia, New Zealand, and indeed, in China. These nations proved that protecting lives in the COVID-19 pandemic was indeed a matter of priority and will. Instead, the American President, Donald Trump, prioritised economy and wealth saying, “This is America – we can’t just shut things down!”. Of course, that was necessary anyway when medical facilities were overrun with seriously ill and dying patients, and when the dead were piled in refrigerated containers and buried temporarily in parks. Then to deflect attention from his own inaction which brought death and misery to many American families, at every turn he looked to sheet home blame for the pandemic to China, the country which experienced the first large scale deaths in the pandemic. Trump found an ‘enemy’ to blame.

It is clear, then, that the loss of human life was not the true driving force in American culture to support actions against nations, more specifically against certain leaders of or within those regions, which had shown their dislike for American culture – it was to avenge an attack on American prestige and power.

Any objective reader, who read his words as sincere, surely would find it challenging to reconcile a view that the man who left humanity as its leader on the 12th of April 1945 could be truly proud of such an America.

This seems unrecognised, however, presumably because those who wish to cast aspersion on his legacy question the sincerity of FDR’s words as a veiled nod to the inauthentic fashion with which many politicians behave. This ignores the repetition of his stated intent, his demonstrable efforts to establish a lasting peace amongst humanity, and perhaps most importantly, it is absent emotional connection with the context in which he led his constituency which he undoubtedly felt extended to all of humanity.

It is often said that it is the winners who write history. The experience of post-WWII shows that it is more than that – it is those within the winners who survive the longest and who have the loudest voices that get to influence what is perceived and or remembered from our history.

America and its historical allies conveniently dismiss their ‘enemies’ as evil because it stops us from engaging in a deeper examination of ourselves.

That is the importance of the “Rücksetzen” timeline where the extreme elements of a German-dominant society post-WWII are stripped away – i.e. the Nazism and associated Lebensraum extraterritorial conquering – instead adopting Schachtian neo-Weltpolitik whereby Germany is the dominant economic power within humanity with its ingrained harshness never reconciled or acknowledged.

All alternate realities invite an examination of the ways in which the imagined history differs from lived experience. What, then, are the difference between that alternate history and the America-dominant humanity that has been experienced for almost 80 years. Does it extend beyond simply which group of human beings have exerted their privilege for their own betterment, with any concomitant improvement or worsening in the situation for others simply incidental?

That is for the reader to consider.

What I will say is this. My own experiences at the beginning of the 21st century suggest that even in German society, the one society which has not been allowed by broader humanity to minimise the extreme consequences that follow hate on racial and other narrow ultraconservative ideals, the lessons of prejudice and hate were not sufficiently embedded to establish lasting inclusive social cohesion.

What will it take?

Quality globalisation

Globalisation refers to deepening connection between all human beings.

It is furthered by more frequent and authentic connection irrespective of the geography in which people reside. While globalisation is entirely a matter of human connection, in reality a humanity that has concentrated on economic transactions has tended to concentrate on human connection that facilitates an economic exchange, almost inferring that this type of connection is the only one of worth to humanity.

Nothing could be further from the truth as this treatment highlights.

It might be easy to justify this mistaken focus on it being the first type of globalisation humanity experienced – i.e. the wealthy European colonialist nations exploring and seeking out land and resources from which intercontinental trade was fostered – this, too, ignores the reality that indigenous peoples did undertake long trips without seeking economic returns but only out of curiosity and a desire to learn from and connect with others.

During a period of increasingly extreme capitalism, there is a tendency to search for economic value to all human activities. So let’s look at recent experience for what such globalisation has delivered.

COVID-19 laid bare the truth of economic globalisation. Nations that have remained poor were impacted seriously because they lacked the health system to respond, and they lacked the social infrastructure to protect people from direct impacts of the virus on them and close connections as well as shield them from the economic impacts.

The great majority of individuals in poor nations lacked the economic resiliency to protect themselves and the pandemic forced many into making difficult choices. As just one example, women who were employed in the garment industry in developing nations became unemployed as large retailers in developed nations cancelled orders as shops closed due to government measures to control the virus spread and/or as shoppers simply stopped buying (as they, themselves, were unemployed or imposed their own control measures to protect themselves and their families from infection). Many of these women, who had disproportionate caring roles in extended families, and who had no or limited savings, needed to earn money to purchase food and other necessities for survival. Many of these vulnerable women turned to illegal prostitution for survival, endangering their health and further compromising their mental well-being.

The simple reality is that economic globalisation, while touted as beneficial to broad humanity, has been allowed to be conducted in a way which has not enduringly reduced precarity in the developing world while at the same time it has increased it in the developed world. The main benefactors of this economic exchange has been the owners of capital who have used the favourable economics to increase their privileged position amongst humanity.

Deep interlinking between economies might create interdepency, which may or may not act to reduce risks of military contest, but that is not the type of connection which leads to true meeting of the minds between people. This is precisely why China was able to become so deeply enmeshed within the international trade community without enduring impacts on global social cohesion. The lack of trust from both sides, risking a new cold war between America and China, with all the inherent risks of it leading to actual war, is a troubling situation for humanity.

If anything, the regional and inter-regional social tensions that has been caused by this economic globalisation has been deleterious to human connection rather than positive.

Again, as for ‘trickle-down economics’, the human experience from economic globalisation has not nearly matched the narrative of positive affects proffered by the elites, and that is primarily because corruption of the political system has meant that all of the benefits have been soaked up by the elites and all of the costs have been experienced by the remainders of society.

The synonymity of economic globalisation as globalisation has given it a very bad reputation such that globalisation is a popular attack point for extremists on either side of the political divide, which negatively impacts social cohesion thus real globalisation.

It is hardly suprising that connection made on a transactional basis, when something is expected in return for something that was proffered, is not always authentic and is only as durable as the time taken to unearth a better deal.

For economic transactions to contribute to authentic and enduring globalisation bureaucratic oversight is necessary to ensure that the benefits and costs are shared fairly throughout humanity in such a transparent way as to engender good faith.

This, still, is insufficient to foster globalisation to the benefit of all of humanity.

What is needed is a serious program for social cohesion on a global scale, and since there is a limit in terms of economics as well environmental capacity for physically mixing to develop authentic connection, we must harness modern technology on a scale never before contemplated.

This is the area in which artificial intelligence can begin to make a very deep and enduring impact to the benefit of humanity by facilitating connection especially amongst young people. It is through this quality globalisation that technology can be a truly powerful force for progress.

bell hooks showed us how to set ourselves free

In 2004 bell hooks published “The Will To Change: Men, masculinity and love” in which she described American society as an imperialist white-supremacist capitalist patriarchy based on the organising principle of domination.

hooks was correct.

Moreover, the same holds true of all anglophone countries stemming from British colonialism as well as generally central Europe.

That’s not to say that prejudice and bias, from sexism, racism, classism, etc., are limited to Caucasian-dominant societies; far from it. In the study of human history there have been no true matriarchal societies confirmed, just a few disparate societies based on matrilineal systems where decision-making power was more shared between the genders on the basis of power, authority, and/or property being inherited through the female lineage.

hooks accurately identified again that without changing the system, women and others from marginalised groups who gain authority within dominating patriarchies do so – are selected to do so – because their behaviours either naturally or through modification meet the strong selection pressures of dominating patriarchy.

For all of the recent effort that has gone towards creating gender balance, detecting inequities, and running inclusion programs, so that this power imbalance is now openly discussed, if not necessarily accepted by a majority, progress has been slow and, in some ways, may have even gone backwards in some regards since hooks wrote this masterpiece.

This has gone hand in hand with the move further towards aggressive competition as capitalism has become increasingly extreme.

For those on the conservative right, these efforts at inclusion so that all feel a deep sense of belonging within society – i.e. creating social cohesion – are wrapped in ‘culture wars’ against the ‘woke’ in society, a word that emerged from American black culture as an encouragement to each other to continue their fight for civil rights, which has been taken on the wider meaning of seeking inclusion for all. Put simply, all ‘woke’ activities offend the dominators. That is because these societal changes threaten the privilege and anachronistic hold on power and authority of men, and especially Caucasian men in societies based on colonialism.

The longer conservatives are allowed to extend their privilege by preventing change, the more we shackle ourselves and stifle our progress, ultimately demoralising huge swathes of society who remain marginalised and are prevented from reaching their full potential by dreaming, developing, and innovating.

Worse still, social tension is perpetuated so that energy and effort is spent righting these wrongs rather than confronting the challenges that arise from our natural existence, our impacts on the nature around us, and our impacts on each other.

Changing the character of society has (many) parallels with the German visa catch 22 whereby to change the character there needs to be a solid desire within society for fairness and inclusion, but for there to be that solid desire there needs to already be a sustainable base of fairness and inclusion from which to build. This is the challenging phase that humanity remains stuck in, below the threshold for fairness and inclusion necessary for it to become sustainable. By the same token, however, once that solid base is secured, its circular self-reinforcing nature ensures the sustainability of the fairness and inclusion character in society.

Only inclusive societies are free to reach their full potential by each human being having the freedom to work towards being the best version of themselves.

A Changing relationship with work and ourselves

As soon as human beings began to specialise in their contributions to their communities, these roles became embedded in identity so deeply that often they were incorporated into hereditary names.

One of the most common surnames (family name) in anglophone countries has traditionally been Smith, for example, which is derived from the term for a metal worker, a blacksmith, and throughout European societies is equivalent to the family name of Smythe, Schmidt, Smed, Smitt, Faber, Ferrer, Ferrier, Ferraro, Lefebvre, Kovacs, Manx, Goff and Gough. Similarly the surname of Tailor or Taylor, as in a maker of clothing and other sewn goods, is equivalent to Schneider, Sarto, Sastre, Snyder, Szabo, Kravitz, Hiatt, Portnoy and Terzl.

In those first, mostly small, communities these roles were more than just the ways in which people earned resources to be able to survive, they were vital to the whole community’s survival.

As the size of our communities has grown, especially through rural to urban migration that continues in most societies, and as the increase in office work has, at least outwardly, homogenised the forms of work performed, identity associated with our contributions to society has compartmentalised. Depending on the context of association, roles performed to ‘earn a living’ may or may not be significant in relationships.

As a parent of a child in a school community, for example, it may be uncommonly known that someone is an accountant, but in the school community they are known as a frequent volunteer in a certain role at sports days and festivals. On the other hand, their colleagues who are very familiar with their role and status in the workplace may be entirely unaware, perhaps even entirely indifferent, to the other roles that they play in society outside of the workplace.

Nonetheless, especially through the recent period of extreme capitalism where self-interest and materialism has led to increasingly conspicuous consumerism, while roles performed to earn an income might have become less visible within communities, the relative ranking of one’s income-earning role within society has been increasingly displayed by the level of status goods purchased. The obvious ones are mobile and include the quality and branding of clothing warn, and the number, brand and type of motor vehicles owned. The size and quality of housing, and especially its location, are also important even if rather less mobile.

This is a common way in which societally perceived high-status income-earning roles are signaled within broader society contemporarily, and it has meant that the income-earning role performed within society has remained critically important to the great majority and to their identity.

At the same time, the quickening rate of technological progress in societies continually impacts those income-producing roles, causing anxiety at whether status can be maintained in the face of rapid change.

First mechanisation displaced manual blue-collar workers cutting the number of jobs available, and then efficient communication allowed precise supply chain management so that goods were produced entirely or mostly in regions where labour cost much less, i.e. in poor regions of the world. This was the process that gave ‘globalisation’ a bad reputation in wealthy nations.

More recently, however, the same factors have led to increasingly higher-paid, higher status, jobs moving to lower cost regions of the world. Now artificial intelligence (AI) has been developed to the point where it is likely to render many high-status jobs unnecessary.

The COVID-19 pandemic impacted humanity just as all the factors mentioned to this point were coalescing within society such that deteriorating well-being measures, especially around mental health, had been observed and increasingly discussed.

One interesting idea which had already garnered significant attention, put forward by the late David Graeber in his 2018 book ‘Bullshit Jobs’, was that many people feel stuck doing roles that they considered pointless and that this is harmful to their wellbeing. The book was popular because many could identify with having had such jobs, perhaps even many jobs, where a large proportion of tasks required of them were pointless.

To this idea can be added the proliferation of ‘just in case’ work where more tasks have been required of employees by their managers through the period of increasingly extreme capitalism that have not been directed towards the bottom-line outcomes of their employer but instead towards serving the ambitions of their manager. ‘Just in case’ work is performed to cover as many eventualities as is possible for a manager to impress their manager or others who have influence over their career rewards (remuneration including bonuses and promotions). Alternatively, within increasingly aggressive workplaces the manager may be afraid of domineering managers and all possible eventualities are covered to minimise the chances of being berated or otherwise punished by withdrawal of career rewards.

Within societies based on domination and self-interest, where many political and business leaders are so obviously conflicted, it is unsurprising that throughout the hierarchy there will be many who seek to advance their own interests even when they conflict with the overall aims of their organisation. Moreover, because domination and self-interest has been so deeply embedded in contemporary capitalist societies, such behaviour is typically rewarded and selected for so that ranks of emerging leaders are replete with aggressive dominators.

This creates a powerful impediment to changing course.

The 40-hour work week came into effect in the developed world during the Great Depression to reduce unemployment, but American entrepreneur Henry Ford was an early adopter in the late 1920s believing it was better for productivity. In the 1940’s the famous British economist John Maynard Keynes argued that the standard work week could be reduced further to 35 hours to stimulate more employment, and even then he believed that a 15-hour work week would be possible within a few generations due to technological and productivity enhancements. Keynes and others envisaged a humanity that enjoyed greater leisure time.

Keynes would be astonished to know that 80 years later the work week has not been adjusted downwards, but in terms of actual hours worked, had actually crept upwards in recent decades.

The persistence of the 40-hour work week into the new millennium is due to the increasingly extreme form of capitalism that has been practiced where a profit imperative superseded other considerations under the tutelage of politicians, even on the left of politics with their historical close association with labour unions which have diminished in authority and are under pressure to maintain relevancy. Extreme capitalism has also encouraged employees to work harder to earn more income with which to purchase status goods in competition with others in society.

Therefore, vested interests that have the agency to influence opinion within society prefer that the 40-hour work week stays in place, and the majority of workers have been too focused on materialism and/or survival, in societies where the middle class has shrunk, to reflect on whether the situation is providing a fulfilling life and/or how their situation could be improved.

Moreover, because life has become so entwined with work, the role performed to earn an income has increased in significance such that it is again very closely tied to perceptions of self-value and identity.

In this environment, economic globalisation and technological advancement does not just threaten income-earning opportunities. Human identity is threatened. It is the extreme anxiety around identity within society which is harnessed for political gain by both the right and left.

The right seeks to harness this anxiety to keep employees feeling vulnerable so that workforces are compliant.

The left seeks to exacerbate this anxiety while working towards keeping worker numbers high to maintain unionism.

Neither side has an interest in acknowledging the deterioration in lived experience for employees, and that a restructuring in society, whereby identity revolves around fuller contributions to society not just income-producing roles, in part facilitated by reductions in standard weekly work hours without reduction in income (including by government transfer payments, discussed later), would be highly beneficial for the great majority.

Leadership is necessary to assist workers towards transitioning in societies where they spend less of their time working in income-producing roles by structural change and programs aimed at building self-worth and identity outside of work. While inept and self-interested leaders dither, the majority are stuck between a past with shrinking relevance to their lived experience, and a future nobody has an interest in acknowledging.

The right counteracts any measures by workforces to reflect and publicly discuss these issues, mounting aggressive campaigns against employee movements – that have sprung up since the measures to address the COVID-19 pandemic gave employees a brief opportunity to reflect – including the great resignation, the great reshuffle, and the trend towards working from home which in the pandemic proved not just possible but preferable for many employees.

The left wraps the necessary campaign for fair pay with a glorification of hard work which embeds a work-centric ethos which it dares not relinquish.

Humanity remains entirely unprepared for the disruption that is upon us.

Revisiting forgotten ideas

In the immediate postwar years there was a significant discussion about the possibility of establishing a world government. Einstein was one of the strongest proponents and saw it as critical to avoiding future conflict – in fact, he was pessimistic for humanity without a world government.

As seems so common in politics, once a society chooses not to adopt an idea it is dropped from the consciousness of the political class. It is as if the idea were vanquished! So it has been for the idea of a world government.

The idea of a world government, however, has no less merit today than it did nearly 80 years ago, and I rather imagine that if Einstein had witnessed all of these 80 years, he would have put the continued international competition and lack of cooperation down in large part to the failure of the global community to implement a world government.

As there is no impetus to develop a world government at present, it would take a significant amount of political capital to renew such impetus, especially when recent events have suggested the pendulum’s momentum is strongly in the opposite direction, at a time when political capital must necessarily be directed at more immediate problems which are reaching crisis levels, such as the climate crisis, even if implementing a world government would go towards addressing the root causes of the issues and permitting more comprehensive and rapid responses.

One measure which would require significantly less political capital to enact, but which would produce reasonably rapid results, is the idea of placing a ‘Roosevelt clause’ in the national constitution of all members of the United Nations.

It will undoubtedly be argued that politicians must serve their constituencies, those living in the electorates from which they were elected.

On the one hand, it is true that politicians serve humanity by diligently making the best decisions for and on behalf of their constituencies. On the other, the best decision for their constituencies can only be reached within a context of what is best for them within broader humanity, as FDR so eloquently framed in his fourth inaugural speech when he said:

“We have learned that we cannot live alone, at peace; that our own well-being is dependent on the well-being of other nations far away. We have learned that we must live as [people], not as ostriches, nor as dogs in the manger. We have learned to be citizens of the world, members of the human community.”

In other words, what is best for all of humanity is what is best for each of us as individuals.

We cannot avoid that reality, and whenever in the past we have tried ignorance, the consequences have been serious if not catastrophic.

In effect, representative Government does not work by every parliamentarian voting strictly in accordance with what they believe is best for their constituencies because that is subordinate to the interests of the political party and their party team members. Ideally those decisions would be based on balanced assessment of what is best for the whole of the jurisdiction of the Government, but, as discussed earlier, this is not nearly often enough the case.

Thus, to the question of whether this really would be such a significant departure from the way politics is practiced, including in representative democracies, the only ways in which it would be different – having a broad outlook on what is best for the whole of humanity – would constitute a significant improvement over the status quo.

‘Patriotism’, ‘nationalism’, or any other favouring of one group of human beings over others, whether it is based on geography or ideology, has always been problematic to humanity.

As bell hooks so accurately identified in her (multicultural) intersectional feminist writing, domination is characteristically the organising principle of societies developed from white-supremacist – i.e. colonialist – patriarchies, and it has always tainted geopolitics with devastating consequences.

Cooperation and the avoidance of puissant competition is the character of inter-regional relations that is necessary to sustain humanity going forward.

While a certain level of competition between corporate interests will remain even with deeply embedded inter-regional co-operation, and may even be advantageous to an extent for efficient progress, this must be held closely in check to ensure that it does not spill into the political realm through reform to political interference laws (e.g. relating to political donations) at the regional and inter-regional levels.

The problem with aggressive competition is that when there must be a winner, there are always losers, and with that comes a host of negative consequences ranging from loss of prestige through to deleterious impacts on standards of living which ultimately lead to societal tension.

Obviously, any resources directed to military spending made necessary by social and inter-regional tension is ultimately inefficient for human progress, not to mention their inherent potential to inflict pain and loss.

The simple truth is that we no longer need nations for much more than to support during sporting competitions and the longer we hold to the idea of a ‘nation’ the longer humanity will be prone to populists using nationalism as a tool to advance their own self-interested political agendas.

The idea of nationhood, or any other subgrouping of human beings for the matter, must – and I have no doubt will one day – become wholly subordinate to the idea of a broad human community whereby a nation, for example, is simply a convenient administrative notion, like any other, rather than something to be divisively patriotic about to the point of being willing to kill or die ‘defending’.

The defense of ideals and ideas is best done firstly at the individual level by contribution in societal discourse, and at the global level by collaborative action supported by the greatest possible majority of human beings.

As intimated above, aggressive competition and domination transcends the issue of geopolitical tensions into the daily life of human beings including in the workplace and through broader society which must be addressed to achieve sustainable change.

A less aggressive role for competition might run counter to the virile view of capitalism that has grown more intense over the past half century, but one only needs to spend time observing our productive children in modern schools where much effort goes towards teaching co-operative and collaborative behaviours within supportively competitive environments to realise that it is far, far superior to aggressively competitive environments. In my experience as a stay-at-home parent volunteering at many school sporting events, I have often been dismayed at how the tone of proceedings changes, not for the better, when parents are present bringing their competitive work stress and general dissatisfaction with life with them, and the children take on that stress while striving harder to meet their demanding parents’ expectations of success and achievement.

This is the impact of the patriarchal system where domination and aggression are the defining characters, where even if results are achieved, the costs to the individuals involved are serious and render the system less productive over the long term and unsustainable. Moreover, it is a system where only the very ambitious are lauded and thus attain privileged positions of influence such that there is a narrowing of contributed experiences and ideas – essentially a monoculture – of aggressive competition absent the people with broader views of what is ’success’ and what is truly important in society.

In aggressive labour systems, the majority of workers are used up as if they were feedstock for production rather than as the valuable human capital assets they are, in part a flash back to pre-union histories, in part a recognition of a largely post-union modern reality, and in final part, recognition that the power of labour is being diminished by automation and advanced technologies.

This is why we have had such a growing issue of deteriorating mental health from participants in an economy, much less a society, who feel that their lives represent unrelenting treadmills.

The seeds of humanity’s success at progressing through the ages lies in our innate never-ending curiosity and desire for innovative efficiency, not in aggressive competition.

In all facets of life, seeking to dominate others through aggressive competition is harmful and societal leaders must commit to extinguishing it wherever they have influence.

To do that, first we must cease glorifying such culture where winning is everything and where it is taken by large numbers as a defining personal characteristic. In fact, we need nothing short of a revision of how many in humanity seek to define themselves mostly through income-earning roles because 1) it revolves around winning at virulent consumerism which ultimately proves dissatisfying to the participants not least of all because it is an unwinnable game as there will always be someone who has more, and 2) because it is unsustainable technologically on the basis of mechanisation and computing replacing much income-producing work performed, and on the basis that the finite natural environment which sustains all life on Earth including humans cannot yield the resources for an insatiable thirst for more.

Worse still parents have naturally extrapolated their lived experience of anxiety-riddled increasingly manic lives and have trained and advise the next generation on the assumption that the trend will continue by developing hectic schedules of post-curricular activities while they are school and then encouraging part-time work as they complete school and tertiary education.

More likely than not, such parents have passed on their anxiety from their own lives and have left the next generation ill-equipped for developing well-rounded lives where self-worth comes from broader contributions to society as the time and energy that is devotes to income-producing roles progressively decreases.

Humanity must begin to define itself by more than just what resources can be garnered and instead by our full roles in the human experience, especially how we give to others and work together towards improving all our lives.

The key question is how to secure and maintain ‘decent’ living standards while we spend less of our time and energy working in income-producing roles.

The answer has been discussed for centuries but after coming close to being implemented in the 1960’s, it is another idea that has been forgotten. It is the idea of a universal basic income.

A universal basic income (UBI) is a payment to every person in society. At its purest, it is the exact same payment to everyone at a level which ensures a dignified standard of living. It does not preclude people from working to earn other income so that the incentives to working hard and smart – i.e.  intensely efficient – that exist in our capitalist societies are maintained, but it does give people who otherwise might have struggled daily for survival the opportunity to invest in themselves through education and training or simply their wellbeing by getting more rest, or in their families by spending less hours away from the home and/or energy on income-producing work, or in their communities by myriad channels including volunteering.

The concept of a UBI was first raised by Thomas More in his classic book “Utopia” in the 16th century, and it was commonly discussed in the early 20th century. In America, the delivery of a UBI had wide support in the 1960s including from 1,200 economists who signed a petition calling for its introduction, and even Milton Friedman – a hero of the right-wing – suggested a UBI be delivered via the tax system. The politicians never managed to agree on what form it should take and by the 70s the idea fell out of favour as the move to the right commenced, and Friedman is instead remembered for his other ideas including that the social aim of business should be to increase profits.

Over the intervening half century the character of western society has changed as the harsh and corrupted outcomes of the capitalist market – as it has been allowed to develop – has left a shrinking middle-class and working poor anxious at what comes next, with a perception based on lived experience that whatever it is it is unlikely to turn around the growing inequality or produce a better experience of life for the majority.

To this point, the pressure to develop an answer to dealing with the lower demand for labour that has accompanied technological innovations, and will do so increasingly, has been subverted to an extent by vestiges of the system supported by the left and right.

The right has especially supported an aggressive, self-interested system which has worked against the continual efficiency drive within organisations whereby aspirants throughout hierarchies divert resources to achieving their aims over that of the broader organisation, which, since they are the holders of direct power over subordinates, are impervious to top down efforts to align incentives with bottom-line incentives, especially when the executives’ incentives are themselves seen to be self-serving and short-term.

The left, while being complicit in the adoption of this extreme form of capitalism, still is beholden to unionism as its base, and while it finds enticing the younger, liberal-minded, environmentally conscious voter base, it has significant competition for them from green parties.

These factors are probably the greatest in producing a significant level of over-employment. This impasse will be broken.

On one hand, employees will increasingly refuse to continue to act as the valve for releasing the pressure from the squeeze between the top-down drive for efficiency and the bottom-up drive of aspirational bosses. This is being witnessed since the start of the COVID-19 pandemic, which provided employees with separation and time for reflection, leading to movements including the great resignation, the great reshuffle and quiet quitting in response to their deteriorating wellbeing from this squeeze.

On the other hand, the owners will increasingly insist that they receive the dividend for their investments in technological innovation rather than them getting trapped within the organisation and being paid out disproportionately to the self-interest aggressive types at the top and rising through the hierarchy. They will realise that it is a better return for them when the business is run by co-operative types who are engaged, and who can lead all employees to be engaged, with the overall aims of the organisation.

The owners will have little option, and in reality will consider it a reasonable payoff, to pay a higher level of tax on operations since governments will be less able to derive revenue from incomes. This will require a high level of international co-operation to minimise corporate tax arbitrage.

And aided by UBIs, employees will come to realise that more contented lives are possible, without a reduction in the quality of experiences within a greater appreciation for the what is a life well lived, when less of the best time and quality energy of life is dedicated to income-producing activity.

The United Nations

I would never seek to pass myself as possessing a view on the working of the vast bureaucracy that the United Nations has become that would be worthy of deep consideration.

Several points are obvious to any objective observer, however.

The first is that it is a wretched disappointment that in recent years it has come to light just how deeply embedded in the United Nations workplace culture has been dominating patriarchy especially in the form of misogyny and gender-based violence. That within the organisation which is looked upon, in many ways, to lead the way in human society there have been people so hurt by extreme self-interest and power imbalance between genders is almost beyond comprehension, especially when consideration is given to the passion with which many of the victims joined their ranks with passionate commitments to make a difference for others, and instead themselves becoming victims of inequity and lacking in agency.

To me it proves the pervasiveness of dominating patriarchy and ubiquity of people in all human organisations who are driven by self-interested personal power politics, and it shows just how much reform is required to drive these aggressive, dominating types out by selecting for collaborative, supportive, empathetic personality types.

Secondly, that the security council has only really worked once as it was intended in its almost 80 years of existence, in sanctioning coordinated action against Iraq for invading Kuwait in 1989, and then it was made a mockery of in 2003 by the nation whose leader was more responsible than any other for its existence, says much. Undoubtedly the United Nations has found its critical place in humanity, but there needs to be a renewed effort to reform its culture and for it to be truly representative of humanity as a driving force for peace and human progress in responding to our many serious challenges which stem from the lost opportunity to develop humanity equitably and cohesively.

One way to do that would be to press for the ‘Roosevelt Clause’ in the administrative instruments of all members, but results will surely come from a renewed push for “bold, persistent experimentation… to take a method and try it: If it fails, admit it frankly and try another. But above all, try something.”

Finally, the United Nations came about because of the dedication and foresight of the Roosevelts, but now it will take American leadership to set it free – truly free – free to act for the good of all of humanity, and resist and counter the piling on of yet more privilege upon a fortunate few, but with no less financial and other support from the developed nations, in fact with greater and more secure funding that it has long needed.

Projects of vainglorious men

Historically and contemporarily, exploration has been the domain of men, and right now there are several billionaires involved in space projects, some with their ultimate aim of colonising other planets.

On the one hand it is a reasonably common view amongst humanity that resources used – and fossil fuel consumed, and wastes emitted – might be better diverted to solving the immediate problems that we face on Earth right now.

Simply this is a cost/risk vs benefits/rewards argument highlighting the significant cost at a very low probability of success for these projects, while the rewards are perceived as mainly to the boosting of the ego of the wealthy men who are engaging in these activities. Even if benefits are realised ultimately by broader society, as has occurred with earlier space-related projects in the forms of new materials being developed, for example, will these be useful in addressing the issues which threaten to decrease the quality of life experienced by every human being subjected to the consequences of the climate crisis?

The more critical point is overlooked, mostly because of humanity’s inability to be honest about our history.

Space exploration and colonisation and searching for answers to the deeper questions of whether life exists elsewhere in the time/space continuum, is deeply problematic and risky while humanity remains far away from the condition where all of the human beings on Earth can live peacefully with each other or in harmony with other living organisms.

Is it wise to actively seek to add interactions with other lifeforms into the mix before we have first worked this out? Would we not be inviting serious trouble, if as unlikely it seems, other lifeforms were contacted? And if the response by proponents to that question is that it is highly unlikely, in any case, then why spend precious resources on it?

If we are contacted, then that is different. At that point we need to collectively decide how to respond.

Subtextual suggestion that we need to continue to engage in a race to develop technology, effectively a de facto arms race, against an imagined lifeform that might ultimately turn out to be antagonistic is ridiculous and is a continuation of the flawed psychology of conquest, colonialisation and competition that humanity has adopted for the past 5 millennia.

I do not suggest for a moment that science stay out of space.

However, it would appear clear that the potential rewards need to be much more closely balanced with benefits to contemporary human beings when so very many remain outside a global economy which still promotes inter- and intra-regional inequality causing deeply inequitable life outcomes and poor – even weakening – social cohesion. Moreover, we must recognise that if we were to make contact with another advanced lifeform, our poor level of social cohesion surely imperils humanity irrespective of the aliens’ intentions: if they were antagonistic, experiences over the past decades (including during the COVID-19 pandemic) suggest that we would be completely unable to respond in a united front; and if they were benevolent, serious problems at incorporating their mere existence in our collective psychology – let alone if they became physically present –are certain when our societies still struggle to accommodate the diversity of humanity in a harmonious way.

If proponents wish to equate space exploration with global exploration of past centuries, then they need to answer why it should proceed when humanity has failed to reconcile the truths of past colonialisation, where some regions are only just embarking on a truth-telling process, and others totally refuse to even begin the conversation.

No, space colonization as a goal must be the preserve of a truly cohesive, post-modern society, certainly not ours. And we need to be more careful, and debate more actively and openly, what projects society permits the vainglorious to engage in, both from the point of view of what is an appropriate allocation of physical and human resources, and from the view of risks and benefits to the whole of humanity.

Towards a new universal greeting

There is probably no better illustration of the global domination of European patriarchy amongst humanity than the formal handshake greeting.

One of the earliest depictions of a handshake greeting is from a 9th century BC artefact from the modern day Middle East region where two emperors seal an agreement. Ancient Greek and then Roman artefacts show that the tradition was practiced in their societies before becoming deeply embedded in European culture. In other regions of the world formal greetings have been vastly different, and most often do not involve direct touch and may not involve eye contact. More physically intimate greetings, such as the pressing together of noses and foreheads as in the Māori hongi, the First Nations people in New Zealand, are rare.

As western business practices spread, hand shaking has become a ritualised formal greeting throughout the entire world and in many ways is the default form of greeting between peoples of different cultures, especially in a formal or a business context.

The intimacy of touching and/or of firmly shaking a stranger’s hand, especially when they are not of the same gender, is confronting in some cultures, however, rendering it an awkward and discomforting experience. Even within the same culture, women often feel uncomfortable in performing the standard greetings with men, and this is heightened when there is a power imbalance which more often than not is in favour of the man.

It is not only between cultures and genders where awkwardness emerges as the form of handshake can take on a myriad interpretations by the two greeters and/or those who observe the greeting. In the 2000s the outcome of an Australian election was heavily influenced by the publics’ perception of the greeting between the two male contestants for the Prime Ministership where the handshake was vigorous and the younger and significantly larger man stepped forward to be close and looked down upon his opponent. The public perceived that the larger man was being aggressive and dominating, and it made them less inclined to vote for him.

There is no doubt that there is a great deal of body language etiquette that is inferred from a handshake, and this occurs both consciously and unconsciously.

In this moment of reflection where we are thinking about cultural practice so that inclusion, belonging, and safety are enhanced for all, we should acknowledge that the handshake as a formal greeting is antiquated and a new universal greeting which is representative and respectful of human diversity should be developed.


Chapter 5 – “It’s Not Worth Going Through All Of This Crap If You’re Not Going To Enjoy The Ride” (Next)

Chapter 3 – Reset (Previous)


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© Copyright Brett Edgerton 2023

“Reset”: Chapter 3 – Reset

Harry Truman, who had been Vice President for all of 82 days on the 12th of April 1945, had just adjourned the day and was sharing a drink in the office of the House Speaker when he got an urgent call to immediately go to the White House. Once there Eleanor Roosevelt informed him that her husband had died. Shocked and humbled, Truman asked if there was anything he could do for the family. In reply Eleanor asked if there was anything they could do for him as he was now the one “in trouble!”

President Truman was sworn in as the 33rd President of the United States of America that evening.

FDR died from a cerebral haemorrhage while he was at his retreat at Warm Springs, Georgia. Americans were heartbroken at the passing of their beloved President who many consider their own personal adviser and confidant for the past thirteen years through one of the most tumultuous periods of their short history as a nation.

FDR’s final words, prepared just a few hours before his death and intended to be delivered by radio the following evening in commemoration of the birthday of Thomas Jefferson, founder of the Democratic Party and author of the Declaration of Independence, summed up what was in his heart until his end:

“Today we are faced with the preeminent fact that, if civilization is to survive, we must cultivate the science of human relationships—the ability of all peoples, of all kinds, to live together and work together, in the same world, at peace.

Let me assure you that my hand is the steadier for the work that is to be done, that I move more firmly into the task, knowing that you—millions and millions of you—are joined with me in the resolve to make this work endure.

The work, my friends, is peace. More than an end of this war—an end to the beginnings of all wars. Yes, an end, forever, to this impractical, unrealistic settlement of the differences between governments by the mass killing of peoples.

Today, as we move against the terrible scourge of war—as we go forward toward the greatest contribution that any generation of human beings can make in this world—the contribution of lasting peace, I ask you to keep up your faith. I measure the sound, solid achievement that can be made at this time by the straight-edge of your own confidence and your resolve.”

The day that FDR died the US Ambassador in Moscow met with Stalin to inform him in person. In the official Embassy communique Ambassador Harriman said that Stalin was deeply distressed, holding his hand for 80 seconds before sitting and asking for details on how the President had passed. Molotov, the Soviet Commisar for Foreign Affairs, who had been present for most of the important conferences, pointed out that Truman was largely unknown to them, in part because he had not given many speeches from which his viewpoints could be ascertained. Harriman assured Stalin and Molotov that Truman was aligned with FDR’s program and “heartily supported all his views”.

FDR was laid to rest at his family’s estate at Hyde Park on the 15th of April. The previous day a military procession with over 500,000 people lining the streets brought his body to lie in repose at the White House before a private service. His wishes were to not lie in State and again proceedings were intentionally less ‘stately’ given the nation remained at war. Elliott and Anna were photographed at Eleanor’s side as FDR was interned in his mother’s rose garden according to his wishes.

Historian William Leuchtenburg described the scenes of the train carrying FDR’s body from Warm Springs until his burial:

“Hundreds of thousands of people, many with tears in their eyes, lined the train route carrying his body from Georgia to Washington, D.C., and then on to Hyde Park, to pay their final respects.”

Just over two weeks later, on the 30th of April, Adolf Hitler committed suicide alongside his wife Eva Braun in a bunker in Berlin as the Red Army rapidly closed in on them, and the German Third Reich unconditionally surrendered a week later.

To say that Truman had to make a steep learning curve is an understatement of monstrous proportions and normalises it, unwisely, with situations many other human beings have confronted, for the situation he confronted was orders of magnitude more complex and fraught than that which almost any other human being has had to contend.

Truman was unaware of the American Army’s Manhattan project to develop a nuclear bomb even though it was ultimately he who made the decision to unleash its catastrophic power on the peoples of Japan to end the war. On 6th August 1945 the first atomic bomb detonation on a human population was carried out by Americans on the city of Hiroshima. To underline the reproducibility of the technology, as some elements of the Japanese military remained resistant to surrender, another nuclear detonation was planned for 9th of August for the Japanese city of Kokura, but poor visibility – due to weather conditions and smoke from conventional bombing – meant that the alternative city, Nagasaki, would forever be remembered in history as the target for the second atomic bomb detonation on human beings.

Stalin, true to his commitments at Teheran and Yalta, had declared the Soviets at war with Japan on 7th of August liberating Manchuria and North Korea, along with South Sakhalin and the Kuril islands which became Russian territory (as agreed to in Yalta even if this could not be made public then as it would effectively be a declaration of war).

The US strategic bombing survey conducted in 1946 concluded that by the end of 1945 Japan would have surrendered in any case even without the US detonation of nuclear bombs or Soviet involvement.

Several weeks earlier in July President Truman met with the Allied leaders in Potsdam in Germany to finalise organisation of the postwar period in Europe. The result of the British election become known during the conference leading to Churchill being replaced by Prime Minister Attlee. It proved to be the only time Truman met Stalin in person, and his initial thoughts were that he could work with Stalin, saying “he is honest – but smart as hell!”

Some argue that FDR was naïve to Stalin’s objectives, or at the very least overestimated his own ability to influence Stalin. Others suggest that FDR, himself, had realised Stalin’s ‘evil’ intent immediately prior to his passing, but this view incorporates a stark cold war perspective that FDR could not have had at the time. Moreover, even if his concerns about Stalin’s agenda might have grown immediately prior to his death, so too had concerns grown about the actions in Greece of the British who he felt had undue influence in American intelligence and foreign affairs organisations leaving FDR not fully trusting in the intentions behind some advice he received.

The one thing that seems certain, however, is that there was a very real connection between the American President and the Soviet Marshall as WWII was approaching a conclusion.

The affect that authentic human connection has on actions and decisions reached is challenging to predict even for brilliant game theorists.

Having been privy to the inner workings of Government and his father’s deliberations and intentions, holding no immediate ambitions of his own for higher office, and concerned to see the world be reminded of what his father was leading Americans and indeed the whole of humanity towards by fighting the ‘survival war’, as FDR had come to refer to it, before the end of 1946 Elliott had published “As He Saw It” – his account of the many discussions he had with his Dad through the war period including at the three conferences he attended as FDR’s aide and personal confidant.

In summation, Elliott wrote:

“I believe that there is one fact which, once grasped and understood leads to clarity and appreciation of all postwar political facts. This one fact is that when Franklin Roosevelt died, the force for progress in the modern world lost its most influential and most persuasive advocate. With his death, the most articulate voice for integrity among the nations of the peoples of the world was stilled. More than that, for people everywhere in the world, he had been the symbol of America, and of freedom, on whom they had pinned their hope of liberation and a now world of peace and plenty; when he died, some of their hope died with him, and their faith.”

It is hardly surprising that some who may have been described by his Dad as “pin-striped pants boys at the State Department” disagreed with some of Elliott’s recollections, finding that the tenor of the book favoured the Soviets over the British. That will always be the nature of recorded history relying on perceptions of what was said and intended, especially when decisions reached during the period were so very consequential.

The leadership vacuum to which Elliott referred was inevitable after the passing of the American President who guided the nation for so long through such troubled times, replaced by a leader who was not only inexperienced, but to whom much of the organisation and operation of the war was unknown, including the Manhattan project.

More than that, with two leaders of the Big Three changing at such a critical moment in history, the potential for misstep or mistake was obvious even if all acted in good faith with the best of intentions.

The foremost physicist of the era, Albert Einstein, who had written to FDR in 1939 recommending that America develop an atomic bomb after becoming aware that the Nazis had already commenced a project with that aim, though who never contributed to the Manhattan project as he was considered by US Army Intelligence a security risk, and who had retired by the end of WWII, was amongst those who recognised the need for others to step up into leadership roles.

Einstein openly admitted his regret for recommending the US develop nuclear technology with the hindsight that the Nazis failed, and he continually warned against an arms race with the Soviets. Moreover, he argued strongly for a world government, telling the New York Times Magazine:

“Today the atomic bomb has altered profoundly the nature of the world as we know it, and the human race consequently finds itself in a new habitat to which it must adapt its thinking. In the light of new knowledge, a world authority and an eventual world state are not just desirable in the name of brotherhood, they are necessary for survival… Today we must abandon competition and secure cooperation. This must be the central fact in all our considerations of international affairs; otherwise we face certain disaster. Past thinking and methods did not prevent world wars. Future thinking must prevent wars.”

Stalin had long been suspicious of the postwar motivations of his Allied partners and believed the anglophone nations would collaborate against Soviet interests. Churchill’s strong continual desire to wage war against the Axis not from the west, nearest Britain, but up through the Balkans had confirmed the British agenda for Stalin (and for FDR). The anglophone nations permitting entry of fascist Argentina into the United Nations heightened Soviet suspicions and in early 1946 Stalin gave a speech in which he suggested that capitalism and communism were incompatible which the hawkes in British and US foreign policy interpreted as hostile.

The next month ex-Prime Minister Churchill gave a speech to students where he suggested “an ‘iron curtain’ has decended on Europe”, and a few days later President Truman demanded Russia pull out of Iran. In many ways, the west’s paranoia at an iron curtain in Europe became self-fulfilling as the cohesion of the Big Three imploded. That was symbolised by the building of a wall through and around isolated west Berlin, a part of the Federal Republic of Germany commonly known as West Germany, from communist East Germany as a part of the United Soviet States of Russia (USSR).

America continued to develop and test nuclear technology and built up an arsenal of nuclear weapons. Within four years of the end of WWII the Soviets also had nuclear technology, in part aided by information supplied by ‘insiders’ which heightened American paranoia. The momentum towards paranoia and divisiveness escalated and found little resistance from progressive political leaders.

The conservative right-wing of the Republican party had long been suspicious of progressive Democrats since the New Deal era under FDR. The 1946 midterms brought in Republican majorities in both the house and the senate which ignited red-baiting – discrediting a political opponent by accusing them of being an anarchist, communist, Marxist, socialist, etc. – which grew in virulence especially in America where it became known as McCarthyism and culminated in investigations by the House Un-American Activities Committee (HUAC) into ‘leftist activity’ in the movie industry and a similar investigation of the Army by Senator McCarthy’s parliamentary subcommittee.

‘The Red scare’, used especially effectively for political gain by future President Richard Nixon, lasted a decade into the late 50’s and was responsible for extreme paranoia and division in American society with a catch phrase of “Reds under the bed” insinuating that a high proportion of public figures and the general public were communist agents and/or sympathisers plotting or waiting to overthrow American democracy.

The economist John Maynard Keynes reshaped economic thought more than any other in the first half of the 20th century, and his policy prescriptions were critical to remobilising Depression-stricken economies and to post-WWI negotiations and renogotiating onerous reparations on Germany. Even when his prescriptions were not adopted by political decision-makers, more often than not over the course of time his ideas were considered correct or at least preferable.

Even though in very poor health due to his enormous work drive to contribute, Keynes was heavily involved in negotiating the new economic order for post-WWII. The 1944 Bretton Woods Conference, in the main, was a contest between the ideas of Keynes and those of Harry Dexter White, the most senior American official. The geopolitical ascendency of America allowed most of White’s ideas to carry the day and Keynes remained concerned that the power imbalance in the economic system overly favoured America, and he argued that insufficient attention had been paid to the economic development of poor nations which was critical to global stability and prosperity.

Keynes’ brilliance was widely appreciated, but most also found him arrogant. Although warmly welcomed at the opening of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and World Bank, travelling to America against medical advice, he remained deeply concerned and disappointed with the outcomes from the Bretton Woods Conference, and is rumoured to have been working on a paper recommending the British not ratify it when he passed away on the 20th of April, 1946.

The American economist Dexter White went on to be the first US Executive Director of the IMF but in just over a year resigned abruptly and was implicated in Russian espionage including evidence of passing to a Russian spy network highly sensitive information from the State Department written in his own hand.

Hjalmar Schacht, the German economist and central banker who was influential in setting economic policy early in the Nazi period, had been arrested by the Nazis as a suspected co-conspirator in an elaborate attempt to assassinate Hitler in an explosion to stage a coup d’état on the 20th of July 1944. The conspirators aimed to negotiate a cease fire with the Allies, apparently at terms highly favourable to Germany inconsistent with their deteriorating position in the war. Although Schacht earlier enjoyed a good relationship with Hitler, who understood Schacht’s value to war preparations, his arrogant and forthright manner at expressing counter opinions to the way the economy was run for and through war had estranged him from the most extreme Nazis and Hitler had sidelined him in 1943 stripping him of any real authority. He had escaped execution by the Nazis by the end of the war, but within days of German surrender Schacht was arrested to stand trial in the Nuremberg denazification tribunal. He was one of only three to be cleared of charges and released, after cumulatively 4 years of incarceration, but was left broke and his association with Nazism left him diminished as a historical figure then in his 70s. He lived into his 90s in Munich with his much younger wife, Manci, with whom he had two daughters.

Leaving politics after his failed run for the 1940 Democratic nomination, FDR’s former right-hand man, James Farley, led Coca-Cola International for 30 years as Chairman of the board. Through political suasion, no doubt, in WWII Coke was included along with food and ammunition as a “war priority item” shipped to boost morale and energy of fighting men, and after the war the US government paid for Coca-Cola factories to be built and installed throughout Europe as a part of ‘rebuilding’.

While the Soviet Union’s iron curtain finally fell in Europe in 1989 as the economic and societal deficiencies of authoritarian communism became impossible to deny or repress, the capitalist democracies had not resisted the use of war to impose ideology within spheres of influence. Rightwing idealogues always suggested that USSR’s aggressive coercion had to be met with equal opposing force and so that besides the cold war involving nuclear standoff directly with the USSR, including some notable and terrifying close calls, the west was involved in almost continuous actual war against communism since the end of WWII including in Greece, Korea, a 30 year civil war in Vietnam (fought initially by the French and then American and other anglophone nations, and also involving Cambodia and Laos), as well as shorter conflicts in Cuba and Grenada.

A mindset of being in a continuous state of war, apparently the American ‘wholesome’ way of life under siege, resulted in a population that was either desensitised to the atrocities of war, or believed that it will always be necessary to defend the greatest lifestyle that humanity has ever devised, ignorant to the reality that if it were so virtuous and successful it would be sustainable without the bloodshed.

The enduring peace that was fought for in WWII seemed entirely forgotten. The only counter voices were the younger generations, and while they succeeded for a time in bringing an end to the forced conscription of young men from western countries to fight these wars, soon after leaving university they became mesmerised by the riches on offer to the fortunate in the capitalist system and in many ways became the most disappointing of all generations.

While it is true that nobody can ever know the counter factual of fighting against communist forces at that moment in time, predominantly in Asia, whether it resisted a momentum that might have spread like Nazism and imperialist Japan, logic and balance to policy was in short supply. Allies of the powerful American nation offered little in the way of objective counterbalance in their relationship. Instead, a cabal of mostly anglophone nations formed seeking to win favour and economic rewards from supporting America in whatever military conquest its leaders decided was necessary. These nations might even be described as opportunistic appeasers, and certainly the antipodeans have since British colonisaton felt insecure within the Asia Pacific and preferred to believe that they have had a security guarantee from the most powerful anglophone nation of the era – first Britain, then America – even though the guarantee by America has never been made explicit because, ironically, of latent American isolationism. 

By the late 80’s the mindset of the anglophone populations of the world considered the song “Born in the USA” an anthem for Americans, heartily joining in and singing loudly and proudly – especially – the line “sent me off to a foreign land to go and kill a yellow man”, in reference to the American Vietnam war, rather than understanding that it is ballad of regret at the cost of war, and wasted lives and political capital which could instead have been used to do good in the world which ultimately impacted the war veterans in terms of limited economic opportunity.

Moreover, emphasising this contradiction, while the performer, Bruce Springsteen, had the social conscience to write the lyrics, his business acumen and the wealth that flowed from the song limited his desire to underline their real meaning and moral underpinnings to his largely ignorant audiences.

Elliott Roosevelt is a largely forgotten figure in American history, as are essentially all of the descendants of Franklin and Eleanor Roosevelt. In many ways, Eleanor is as widely acclaimed for her contributions to American social culture through her contributions to civil and gender rights as FDR, and to broader humanity in being the first chairperson of the UN Commission on human rights and leading the drafting of the Universal Declaration of Human Rights. When Eleanor died in 1962, however, the influence associated with the Roosevelt name fell precipitously.

Coincidentally, Elliott’s final day in the military was V-J day. After the war he bounced around through jobs, marriages, and cities.

A postwar Senate committee investigated Elliott for his actions and involvement in a procurement contract for reconnaissance aircraft in mid-1943. It was alleged that an official of Hughes Aircraft had corrupted the process by excessively lavishing Elliott and his then girlfriend, Faye Emerson, with entertainment and gifts, even paying for their wedding at the Grand Canyon in December 1944, 18 months after the $39 Million contract had been awarded to Hughes Aircraft. In the two weeks ahead of the final procurement decision Elliott met extensively with FDR and Chief of the Army Airforces, General Arnold, and the latter was said to disagree with the choice.

Elliott represented himself at the 1947 committee investigation and presented evidence that he was on duty overseas on some of the dates when parties that he was alleged to attend took place. Denying the underlying premise of the allegations, Elliott told the committee that “If it is true that for the price of entertainment I made recommendations which would have in any way endangered the lives of the men under me…that fact should be made known to the public.”

Elliott was ultimately exonerated. It was not to be the final time, however, that Elliott’s character would be called into question in political hearings.

Always the favourite child of Eleanor, Elliott was assisted by her financially which may or may not have played a part in the family tensions that grew in latter years with siblings offering alternate views on family relationships to those which Elliott wrote about in books he wrote in the ‘70s.

For a brief period in the late ‘60s Elliott was mayor of Miami. He was linked with organised crime in his business activities and in 1973, after having moved to Portugal, in a Senate subcommittee investigation into corruption was accused by a mob hitman-turned-informant, Louis Mastriana, of attempting to contract him to murder the Bahamian Prime Minister Lynden Pindling in 1968. Mastriana alleged that Elliott, through a “mobster front man”, had paid him a $10,000 downpayment for the contract in retaliation for Pindling not granting a gambling license to an associate. Mastriana had a cheque signed by Elliott which he alleged constituted part-payment. Mastriana did not go ahead with the assassination plot because he believed he would not be able to get off the island without being apprehended. Mastriana also said that in 1970 the US Postal Service had wired him with recording equipment when he discussed with Elliott details of securities transactions.

Again, Elliott appeared in person and denied all allegations. No official actions were taken against him. Living in Portugal where he was breeding Arabian horses, he moved to England when civil war broke out in 1974, before moving back to America.

Elliott married 5 times and had 5 children with three wives, and adopted the three children of Patricia Peabody Whitehead whom he married last in 1980. They were living in Scottsdale, Arizona, in October 1990 as his health failed him. He had said, riley, that his final wish was to outlive his brother James. Elliott Roosevelt was 80 and had heart and liver failure.


Chapter 4 – A Future Of Our Own Making (Next)

Chapter 2 – Rementar (Previous)


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“Reset”: Chapter 2 – Rementar

During a business trip to New York in June 1940, Elliott stopped over in Washington to stay with his parents in the White House. Over breakfast Elliott pressed his Dad about business taxes, but for both men their minds were really on other business.

The American press had speculated all through Spring on whether FDR would run again for the Presidency. Already knowing his father’s intentions to continue to lead America through the turbulent war period, Elliott had been taken by how rapidly events had unfolded in Europe.

September 1939 Germany invaded Poland, prompting Great Britain and France to declare war on Germany. Two weeks later, countering the advance of Germany, the Soviet Union invaded eastern Poland, and Poland was divided when it surrendered. December 1939 the Soviet Union invaded Finland and in March 1940 Finland ceded territory for armistice. Spring 1940 Germany invaded and annexed Denmark and Norway followed by Western Europe and by June controlled Luxembourg, the Netherlands and the northern half of France including the Atlantic coastline.

Elliott discussed with FDR what other young men in America had increasingly wondered that Spring of 1940 – whether he should enlist in the armed forces. He wanted to know whether his father had any thoughts on it in relation to he and his brothers. Giving little away, and in his usual liberal-minded style of parenting and mentorship, his Dad left it entirely a matter for Elliott’s own conscience. Through a Texas summer the gravity of the situation in Europe broke through Elliott’s dissonance, along with that of many other observant Americans, and by August Elliott was at the War Department in Washington discussing with Army Airforce contacts how he could serve. He kept his commission as a Captain in the procurement division, having failed the medical for a pilot, quiet from his family – and especially father – until September when it became official.

Between appointments with Cabinet members Elliott slipped into the office and placed the notification before his Dad. With eyes welling with tears, and a heart swelling with pride, FDR looked upon the first of his sons to volunteer, cleared his choaked throat enough for the five words to audibly clear his lips – “I’m very proud of you.” No mention was made of how previous Roosevelts had served in the Navy.

That night when Elliott came to his Dad’s bedroom to say goodnight he lingered while they discussed how Elliott felt about his commission, and they talked plainly – as plainly as a President could to only those he most trusted from his lonely position, his flesh and blood – of his hopes for the future. They talked broadly about geopolitics, and specifically why the US was still supplying Japan with scrap iron knowing that it equated to Chinese casualties in Manchuria – FDR was concerned that Japan might consider withdrawal of supply a provocation and he accepted that it was essentially an act of appeasement (a vulgar word and concept in those fraught times).

Father and son parted that evening closer than ever before; a deep family bond that FDR would count on, along with his other children, at critical times over the remaining years of his life which were more impactful than almost any other human to walk the Earth in modern times.

Concerned about Germany’s rapid advance westward, and even though he had told his closest political confidant James Farley that he will not contest thereby leaving the field open for Farley’s own political ambitions, aided by political party bosses fearful that no other Democrat could beat the charismatic Republican candidate Wendell Willkie, FDR easily carries the Democratic National Convention in Chicago. Eleanor Roosevelt vouching for his new VP, Wallace from Iowa, after his previous VP Garner ran against him on the basis of FDR’s liberal economic and social policies, was a pivotal moment in the convention.

The Republican nominee Willkie supported intervention in the European crisis, and the rapidly evolving events there in late Spring ahead of the Republican National Convention was a clear catalyst for him defeating highly favoured isolationist candidates by coming from obscurity and claiming the nomination with rapidly growing, widespread public support. So unexpected was the result to Willkie, himself, that he had not decided on a running mate, and allowed that decision to be made by the convention chairman.

The 1940 election was a highly charged affair. Though extremely popular in some circles, in other circles Willkie was seen as a symbol of ‘big business’ which had caused the Great Depression and was often the target of hurled rotten fruit and vegetables when campaigning in working class regions. Willkie at first argued that FDR had left the nation unprepared for war, but then swung 180 degrees suggesting that FDR was secretly planning to take the nation to war after some details of war preparations were publicly released.

In the days ahead of the 1940 US Presidential election, FDR declared on a national radio broadcast that he would “not send any American boys to a foreign war” even though Britain had been engaged in influencing the election for an FDR win as they knew he was sympathetic.

FDR won the 1940 election resoundingly and remains the only US president to serve more than 2 terms.

Elliott was based in Newfoundland in March of 1941 conducting aerial reconnaissance against Nazi submarine operations which aimed to disrupt American supplies to Britain via the North Atlantic as a part of ‘lend-lease agreements”, and he participated in an operation to locate suitable staging points for the delivery of American war materiel to Britain. He had his first experience of war when he spent a few weeks in London towards the end of the Nazi aerial blitz.

In August 1941 Elliott was ordered to fly the general commanding American forces to Argentia. When the bay came into view, they observed it to be full to the brim with warships. FDR and his military chiefs were there to meet the British PM Churchill and military counterparts to negotiate the Atlantic Charter which made explicit America’s support for Britain in the war and laid out the principles by which America and Britain would seek to influence world affairs, critically promoting free global trade and economic co-operation for the advancement of all peoples along with disarmament of all nations once peace had been secured. FDR held all the cards, even though statesman Churchill played his hand to the fullest, conceding that although America was insistent that Britain move beyond its much-advantaged colonialist position in the postwar period, he knew that “without America, the Empire won’t stand”.

Elliott’s brother, James, was also present, and both were on hand for much of the sparring between Churchill and FDR over Britain’s colonial prestige, as well as for private chats with their father, which the official proceedings and outcomes showed clearly favoured FDR’s position which aimed to improve the living conditions for broad humanity.

Talks concluded, Elliott stood by FDR’s side on the ‘Augusta’, his Dad’s arm on his, as the ‘Prince of Wales’ set out to sea for an uncertain, war-wearied Britain. Father and son quickly said their goodbyes and parted, not knowing when or under what circumstances they may next meet.

Back State-side in the Fall of ’41, Elliott found the prevailing mood disconnected as friends cajoled him to lay down his uniform and avail himself of some of the many sweet business opportunities present in a rebounding US economy. That dissonance was disrupted December 7th as Japan attacked the U.S. Naval Base at Pearl Harbour. Summoned back to base, before word of the attack had spread, and following two hours of anxious attempts, Elliott was put through to his Dad by the White House switchboard operator. FDR was buzzing with the focused energy of a high voltage transmission line. He asked his son first how he was and then what had he heard. After Elliott had listed the many rumours he had heard in those few hours, FDR asked that he keep him informed of any developments as he placed down the phone, leaving Elliott puzzled by the hectic and unidirectional flow of information in their chat.

The next day FDR addressed Congress which voted to declare war on Japan and Germany, thereby America entering World War II. Only one person in Congress voted against, Jeanette Rankin who said “As a woman I can’t go to war and I refuse to send anyone else”. Rankin was the first woman to hold office in the US and was a pacifist. After the vote she needed a police escort.

January ’42 and Elliott was summoned by highly secretive orders to First Mapping Group at Bolling Field in Washington. He was to join operation ‘Rusty Project’, conducting aerial intelligence and mapping over northern Africa. Even the code name bellied its inconsequential nature to Elliott. A departing conversation with his Dad, one of their regular (when circumstances permitted) ‘post breakfast, pre work chats’, set Elliott straight on the critical importance of the operation being to secure the Mediterranean supply route. Even then, however, his location in northern Africa was likely more than opportune.

Around this time, unknown to most, FDR authorised the go ahead for the Manhattan project to develop an atomic bomb, responding in handwriting directly on a report from American scientists and asking they keep the only copy on site. America had been conducting background research since the famous physicist Albert Einstein wrote to Roosevelt in 1939 warning that the Nazis were working on developing an atomic bomb.

A year later, and two months into Allied operations in Africa, Elliott was again required to undertake highly secretive orders – this time he had an inkling of the nature of these orders, however, as his mother had mentioned as much when they spent a night together in London a few months earlier. Elliott arrived at the Casablanca Conference in January 1943, a few days ahead of his father’s arrival, and was again to act as an aide in his father’s meeting with Churchill, and, it was hoped, with Stalin.

FDR arrived by Douglas C-54 Skymaster. As they waited together for “the sacred cow” to land, the nickname later given to the Presidential flying monstrosity, Elliott mentioned to Mike Reilly, head of the Secret Service agents in charge of securing the President’s safety, that it was actually the first time his Dad had flown in a plane in over 10 years. Reilly’s body language as he responded revealed the true depths of his anxious deliberations.

“It’s a lot more firsts than that. It’s the first time any President has ever used a plane to travel outside the States. In fact, it’s the first time a President has ever used a plane, inside or outside the country, on official or unofficial business.”

His spirits still aloft by what he had just experienced and seen, for the entire ride in an old French limousine that had been requisitioned to carry them to their compound FDR spoke enthusiastically about the importance of experiencing prevailing flying conditions for himself for the first time since his Naval days. As they continued to reconnect later that evening when Elliott bid his Dad good night in his bedroom, after a small evening gathering with Churchill and his most trusted aides, merging his thoughts from his travel, and especially his observations and learnings on the ground and from the air over Africa, with the saliency of the conference, FDR was concerned for the conditions of colonialised people. It was clear that this element of great contention would continue to feature in the personal and professional exchanges between these great Allied leaders.

In a charged atmosphere where the British had continually argued to relocate to perceived safer ground in Marakesh, and as the two leaders communicated with Stalin via telegram as being a serving military commander he felt unable to be further than a day’s flight from Moscow, Britain and America hashed out a winning strategy for the Allied forces, always with a clear view to the following peace. As he saw it, Elliott gathered that FDR was especially alert to Churchill seeking to influence strategy in a way to maximise British prestige and power in the postwar period, and it was through this lens the FDR considered Churchill’s argument to focus Allied forces through the Balkans to ameliorate Russia’s postwar influence over eastern Europe, over the American preference for northern France.

That disagreement of strategy would play out between the Americans and British for several years, all the while American war production cranked on to provide the Allies an overwhelming advantage. Similarly, the British objected to the proportion of American war goods being allocated to Russia as opposed to Britain in the Allied lend-lease agreements; of course Britain argued for a greater share, but with only one eye on protecting Britain from attacks by the enemy Axis.

Agreeing to a prior movement of Allied forces northward through Sicily prior to the cross-channel invasion, and to increasing actions in the Pacific theatre, the conference concluded but with underlying tension remaining on strategy with a view to postwar power struggles. 

With the conference proceedings finalised, once more father and son bid their goodbyes, but there was just enough time for FDR to underline what was truly on his mind that day in northern Africa:

“I’ve tried to make it clear to Winston – and the others – that while we’re their allies, and in it to victory by their side, they must never get the idea that we’re in it just to help them hang on to the archaic, medieval Empire ideas. I hope they realise they’re not senior partner; that we’re not going to sit by, after we’ve won, and watch their system stultify the growth of every country in Asia and half the countries in Europe to boot… Great Britain signed the Atlantic Charter. I hope they realise the United States government means to make them live up to it.”

A knock at the door notified the President of his appointment with the Commander-in-Chief of the French North African fleet, and again they parted not knowing when they would again meet, but not before Elliott asked his Dad to give a kiss to his Mum and to look after himself, likely in part a recognition that Elliott had become increasingly perceptive of the strain of leadership through a harrowing decade on his father.

After leading the photographic reconnaissance for operation Huskey, the Allied invasion of Sicily, and with Allied troops in firm control now in Sicily, Elliott was summoned back for a role in the Pentagon in July 1943. Back home in America was too distant from the action for Elliott, but it meant that he was able to spend valuable time with his parents, especially his Dad who had aged even more obviously over the intervening 6 months.

In between, however, FDR had met with Churchill in Quebec, Canada, where the Allies finally agreed on the cross-channel invasion, even though Churchill insisted it be an agreement ‘in principle’ for continued ‘wiggle-room’.

FDR was calm and confident about military operations, and Elliott frequently dropped in to talk with his Dad, usually after his breakfast at around 9 am, or just before turning in at around 11pm.  In one of those evening chats FDR dared to draw an optimistic timeline for the conclusion of hostilities; with the Russian Red army “plowing through the centre” he felt the European theatre could be won by the end of 1944, and the Japanese defeated in the Pacific by late 1945 or early 1946 at the latest. FDR also mentioned that he was hopeful of soon meeting up with Churchill and Stalin both.

Then, around a week later when father and son met again in FDR’s study on the second floor of the White House nearing midnight, his Dad furnished Elliott another insight into the depths of his deliberations which were increasingly concerned with maintaining the postwar peace:

“War is too political a thing. Depending on how desperate are a country’s straits, she is likely to wage war only in such a way as will benefit her politically in the long run, rather than fighting to end the war as swiftly as possible… The United States will have to lead… and use good offices always to conciliate, help to solve differences which will arise between the others – between Russia and England, in Europe; between the British Empire and China and between China and Russia, in the Far East. We will be able to do that because we’re big, and we’re strong, and we’re self-sufficient. Britain is on the decline, China – still in the eighteenth century. Russia – still suspicious of us, and making us suspicious of her. America is the only great power that can make peace in the world stick.”

Having already been given the tipoff by his Dad that he would likely be seeing him again soon, saying goodbye to family was all the easier this time when in September Elliott was ordered to return to his outfit as they moved headquarters from La Marsa in Tunisia up to San Severo just south of the Molise-Puglia border in southern Italy.

Sure enough, mid-September ’43 and Elliott flew to Oran in Algeria, but this was again a slightly larger family reunion with his brother Franklin Jr also given leave to attend his father. FDR arrived on the new battleship “Iowa” appearing in slightly better health than Elliott had feared he might perceive. After a day or two in Tunisia, including FDR’s inspection of Elliott’s units in La Marsa, Franklin Jr bid his farewell to his father and brother and returned to his destroyer, to his father’s displeasure, while FDR flew on to Cairo, a day earlier than Elliott who flew in General Eisenhower’s  C-54 along with other staff officers including Elliott’s brother-in-law John Boettiger.

The agenda for discussions to be spread between Cairo and Teheran, involving the four most important strategic Allied nations in America, Britain, Russia and China, was almost entirely centred upon planning for the end of the war and organising for enduring postwar peace.

Arriving at Ambassador Kirk’s villa in Cairo, Elliott immediately went to check on his father who still, at 10.30am, was in bed enjoying a breakfast. FDR shared with his son his first impressions of Generalissimo and his wife Madam Chiang whom he had dined with that previous evening, unearthing more relevant information than in four hours of meetings of the Combined Chiefs. Chiang’s troops were not fighting against the Japanese; instead “thousands and thousands of his best men [were] up in the northwest – up on the borders of Red China.”

Then his Dad said something even more surprising. “Believe it or not, Elliott, the British are raising questions and doubts again about the western front… Winston keeps making his doubts clear to everybody… It’s still the idea of an attack through the Balkans, a common front with the Russians”.

Later that morning Elliott was enjoying the sun on the roof of the villa, looking over the pyramids, when Admiral McIntire – his Dad’s physician – interrupted his reflections on time and eternity to voice his concerns over the potential health consequences of FDR flying at high altitude to get to Teheran for the second leg of meetings, this time with Uncle Joe (Stalin). He wanted Elliott’s support in encouraging the President to undertake that part of the journey by train.

That afternoon, while greeting the many attending brief protocol visits with the President, Elliott managed a few quick words with his father’s political right hand man, Harry Hopkins, foreign policy advisor and liaison to Allied leaders, which was always good for a different perspective. He assured Elliott that his father was still the dominant voice, but highlighted the subtleties around the meeting taking place on British Empire soil in Egypt and in immediate proximity to the oil rich Middle East on which American foreign policy greatly lagged the British.

Assuredly Harry said, “He’s taking his time, a little bit. He’s still keeping his ears and his pores open. He’s learning. But he’s still boss.”

The next day was Thanksgiving and a banquet was held in the villa with the Chiangs in attendance along with Churchill and his daughter Sarah, and a swag of military brass. The mood was warm as FDR had been discussing development of China and furthering internal unity, while Allied negotiations progressed towards agreement on the western attack while the Soviet States “swept all before them”.

Over a late night cigarette with his Dad in his bedroom, Elliott learned that the British were also against the American plan to island hope to defeat Japan in the Pacific. The British favoured landings on the Malaysian Peninsula and a drive northward to push Japan out of China. The Americans were well aware that Chinese communist guerillas were actively engaging the Japanese along the coast of China but were withholding air-maps from the British at the request of the Chinese who were concerned that Britain would use the information gathered for commercial purposes postwar.

“Matter of fact, I was talking to Chiang about that at dinner, a few days ago. You see, he wants very badly to get our support against British moving into Hong Kong and Shanghai and Canton with the same old extra-territorial rights they enjoyed before the war… I’d told him that [China] was hardly the modern democracy it should be.”

FDR continued, “I was especially happy to hear the Generalissimo agree to invite the Communists in as part of the national Government prior to elections. Actually, as far as he’s concerned, the only earnest of our good faith that he expects is that when Japan is on her knees we make sure that no British warships come into Chinese ports. Only American warships. And I’ve given him my personal promise that that’s what will happen.”

When Elliott suggested that Churchill might have other ideas, his Dad responded forthrightly:

“There can’t be much argument, inasmuch as it’s ninety-nine percent American materiel and American men bringing about the defeat of Japan. American foreign policy after the war must be along the lines of bringing about a realisation on the part of the British and the French and the Dutch that the way we have run the Philippines is the only way they can run their colonies”.

The next day involved the sum up and finalization of the official communique, and FDR retired early for his flight on to Teheran as Mike Reilly and Major Otis Bryan had flown reconnaissance and found that the pass could be made in a smaller plane without going above 7,000 feet thereby assuring Admiral McIntire.

Elliott arrived with two other US military officials in the capital of Iran a few days later, a little later than had been expected due to an itinerary change decided by General Eisenhower, prompting fatherly concern when they greeted each other.

“Haven’t you got enough on your mind, Pop, what with meeting Stalin and all, without worrying about whether my plane is late or not?”.

FDR was on the point of sending out search planes, and had been having dreadful thoughts of Elliott’s plane being forced down amongst the “rough and tough” nomads of Saudi Arabia.

“I’m sorry, Pop. If [only] we’d been able to radio you…” said Elliott as they reconnected in the sitting room of his suite, in the main building of the Russian Embassy which Stalin had vacated to accommodate the American President, chosen as the site of discussion due to security concerns of travelling between the distant American Embassy. On the other hand, the British Embassy was on the other side of the street from the Russian.

His Dad was brimming with confidence having met ‘Uncle Joe’ for the first time in person and eager to fill his son in on his impressions.

“When I came over here yesterday he came up to say hello. Yesterday afternoon, it was… Right on this couch, Elliott. The Marshal [another nickname for Stalin] sat right where you’re sitting… Just me and Uncle Joe, and his interpreter, of course, Pavlov.”

FDR and Stalin just had a pleasant and polite introductory chat – no business – just to establish a personal report, and to put the discussions, at least between America and Russia, on a “non protocol basis of friendship and warm alliance”.

Elliott could see that his Dad had been impressed by Stalin, and was tickled by Churchill’s switching of civilian clothes (as he had warn in all previous conferences and discussions, pin-stripe suites or summer whites) for his high-ranking RAF officer uniforms to ‘face-off’ with the Marshal’s uniform for a dinner FDR had hosted the previous evening. Stalin was the only currently serving military officer of the three leaders and the location of Tehran was chosen on the basis that it was within a day flight of Moscow given his active service.

After lunch Elliott joined his father in a meeting with Stalin and his interpreter for a meeting where Stalin greeted the US President’s son warmly, and both leaders were at ease in each other’s company. Even though he knew Stalin was short, Elliott was surprised by his stature in person, and was impressed by his dynamic yet soft spoken, intellectually determined manner. Most of the 45mins was devoted to personal relationship development, but they briefly discussed Chinese concerns that the Chiangs had broached in Cairo, and he seemed to agree with the direction of those talks as well as agreeing to respect China’s sovereignty especially at the Manchurian frontier.

From this meeting the four men went directly into the boardroom where Prime Minister Churchill and his party had arranged a small ceremony to award Stalin on behalf of the people of Stalingrad with a British-made sword commissioned by King George VI.

It was a ceremony of deep conviction as all of the men present were deeply aware of its significance. Stalin expressed his deep appreciation to the King and walked around the table to show the sword of honour to FDR who murmured, “Truly they had hearts of steel”. It was a moment of peak unity as the leaders then went to the portico to pose for official photographs to be taken. 

Elliott was asleep in his father’s suite when discussions finally broke and FDR came in tired and of want of a rest, himself. That was not possible, however, since that evening Stalin hosted a dinner for Allied leaders and their highest officials present.

Lying on his bed for a brief rest, chatting about the days negotiations while Elliott fixed him an ‘old-fashioned’ cocktail – weak since they had been advised that Russian dinners involved much drinking – FDR revealed that still Churchill was pushing for an operation up through the Balkans in addition to the western invasion. General George Marshall had led the arguments for the past several years pushing back against the British plan which everyone knew, including Stalin, risked prolonging the war in favour of diminishing Russian influence in eastern Europe and promoting British influence there. FDR expressed that Americans owed Marshall a great gratitude for doggedly countering arguing for a single western invasion which would bring WWII to the most rapid conclusion possible and thus save countless American and Allied lives, not to mention provide greatest immediate security to Britain.

“Whenever the P.M. [Churchill] argued for invasion through the Balkans, it was quite obvious to everyone in the room what he really meant. That he was above all else anxious to knife up into central Europe, in order to keep the Red Army out of Austria and Rumania, even Hungary, if possible. Stalin knew it, I knew it, everybody knew it…” FDR explained.

When Elliott questioned whether Churchill might actually have a point, his Dad responded:

“Elliott, our chiefs of staff are convinced of one thing. The way to kill the most Germans, with the least loss of American soldiers, is to mount one great big invasion and then slam ‘em with everything we’ve got… It’s the quickest way to win the war. That’s all. Trouble is, the P.M. is thinking too much of the postwar, and where England will be. He’s scared of letting the Russians get too strong. Maybe the Russians will get strong in Europe. Whether that’s bad depends on a whole lot of factors. The one thing I’m sure of is this: if the way to save American lives, the way to win as short a war as possible, is from the west and from the west alone, without wasting landing-craft and men and materiel in the Balkans mountains, and our chiefs are convinced it is, then that’s that!”

The stirring unity from the afternoon’s ceremony was threatened that very evening, however, fueled by much too much alcohol as was the custom of Russian-hosted dinners. Elliott was not originally invited but Stalin personally brought him to the table when he realised the oversight. The tradition followed was that even to make idle conversation the speaker would stand and propose a toast to which everyone would drink, each man supplied with unlimited of his favoured drink – Churchill had his brandy, FDR was taken with the ‘Champagne’ from Stalin’s home region of Georgia, and Stalin himself drank his own special Vodka which he offered to Elliott who attested it to being 100 proof or near to it!

As the dinner progressed it became a test of who could hold their liquor as the toasts became increasingly prickly, especially between the Soviets and British. Unsurprisingly, the consumption of copious amounts of alcohol amongst a group of men bonded by circumstance but with broad cultural and experiential histories was bound to be fraught – it would be at any social gathering of much less significance, let alone the leaders that humanity was dependent on to erase Nazism.

With all a little light-headed, one Russian cried “I wish to propose a toast to your future deliveries of Lend-Lease material which I am sure will arrive on time in the future, and will not be arriving late, as have shipments to date!”. Everyone rose and emptied their glasses, the American contingent taking it as a friendly poke in the spirit of the evening.

After many more toasts a diplomatic incidence was only narrowly averted between the British and Russians, however, when Stalin proposed a salute to the swiftest possible justice for all Germany’s war criminals – justice before a firing squad, and to drink to the unity of the Allies in dispatching all of them as fast as they are caught, all 50,000 of them!

Churchill rose to his feet immediately, face and neck red, earlier from the liquor, then from coursing blood pressure, affirming that such an attitude was contrary to the British sense of justice and that the British people would never stand for mass murder.

This did highlight a definite difference of attitude between the dictator and the British, which was to become increasingly apparent later, but on this evening ‘Uncle Joe’ Stalin was delighting in a certain level of teasing, even if it was ordinarily uncouth in sobre company. Always the arbiter, but much too far to Stalin’s favour for Churchill’s comfort, FDR suggested the number be limited to 49,500 which encouraged ‘Uncle Joe’ to go around the table asking for each attendee’s own number; the British circumspect, the Americans more obliging of their guests, until it was Elliott’s turn.

Rising to his feet, to an extent following his father’s earlier lead, Elliott was positive about the prospects of rapid advancement by Allied troops from the west, and by the Soviets from the east, and suggested that perhaps many more hundreds of thousands of Nazis would be taken as well and together the Russian, American and British soldiers would (ambiguously) “take care of them”.

Stalin beamed with his response, but before Elliott’s trousers had touched his seat Churchill was back on his feet waving his finger in his direction insinuating an intention to damage Allied relations, and then arguing with Stalin over the top of Elliott’s head while he sat in stunned fear of what he may have set off.

With the final course finished, smarter heads realised the counterproductivity inherent in staying together in such a state of insobriety and the party soon dispersed, Elliott sheepishly following his father into his bedroom. His Dad found the whole thing hilarious and told him not to worry, that “Winston will have forgotten the whole thing when he wakes ups.”

The next morning FDR met with the Shah of Persia, Mohammed Reza Pahlevi and his Prime Minister and two other ministers. FDR always interested in learning of plans leaders had to allow their nations, and thus peoples, to develop and listened intently to concerns about the grip Britain had on Iran’s natural resources endowment, especially its oil. That he was impressed by what he had heard is evidenced by the fact that immediately on their departure FDR said:

“I want you to do something for me, Elliott. Go find Pat Hurley and tell him to get to work drawing up a draft memorandum guaranteeing Iran’s independence and self-determination of her economic interests”. This memorandum was agreed and signed by the three Allied leaders the following day.

Discussions the following day progressed well, and that evening FDR was pleased to confide in his son the major achievement of the conference.

“For the fourth time”, as his Dad described it to Elliott in his bedroom during a brief respite before a large function to celebrate Churchill’s birthday the next evening, the western invasion was agreed. Even the invasion date was agreed. All that was left to agree was the command, but Churchill and FDR were to hash that out when they returned to Cairo.

“We agreed, too, that there should be a thrust up from the Mediterranean.” FDR informed Elliott.

“Through the Balkans after all?”, Elliott noticing the incredulity in his response.

“No. Through southern France. Everything will be timed simultaneously – from the west, from the south, and the Russians from the east. I still say the end of the 1944 will see the end of the war in Europe. Nobody can see how – with a really concerted drive from all sides – the Nazis can hold out much over nine months after we hit ‘em”.

That evening around 30 political and military leaders of the Allies gathered to celebrate the great British war Prime Minister’s birthday. The importance of family was underlined by the fact that Churchill was joined by two of his five children, his son Randolph and daughter Sarah. FDR of course had Elliott with him and his son-in-law Peter Boettiger.

The social format for the evening followed the Russian precedent and again Elliott lost count of the number of toasts, thus the number of drinks he consumed, through the evening. The evening passed without major incident, though a British General suggesting, rather insensitively and imprudently, that their people had suffered more than any other during the war, Stalin was drawn to follow shortly with a comment undoubtedly intended to be pesky to the British:

“I want to tell you, from the Soviet point of view, what the President and the United States have done to win the war. The most important things in this war are machines. The United States has proven that it can turn out from eight to ten thousand airplanes a month. England turns out three thousand a month, principally heavy bombers. The United States, therefore, is a country of machines. Without the use of those machines, through Lend-Lease, we would lose this war.”

FDR well understood the extreme sacrifices the Soviets were making to win the war.

Elliott left that next day – to close down their rear headquarters in La Marsa in their shift northward to Italy – ahead of the allied leaders holding 10 exhaustive hours of discussion from noon so that FDR’s departure could be brought forward due to forecasts for inclement weather in Cairo a few days ahead.

As Elliott again said his goodbyes he was concerned about his Dad’s health through the intense schedule – already FDR had been overseas for 21 days.

“I don’t know exactly when I’ll be able to see you in Cairo, Pop, or even if I will”

“Try to get there, if only for a day or so”, his Dad implored of Elliott.

Entering the Kirk villa again in Cairo a few days later, Elliott was pleased to find his Dad in bed engaging in a little of one of his favourite distractions – reading detective ‘whodunit’ books. He was resting ahead of another evening engagement. The previous night FDR had hosted the Turkish President Ionu who had travelled there in an American plane with John Boettiger, after FDR’s son-in-law managed to beat the British emissary to the job. Nobody other than FDR and Churchill seemed to understand the import of that diplomatic contest.

The British and Americans had been disagreeing over the wisdom of accepting Turkey’s offer to enter the war – dependent on receiving significant sums of war materiel – but, again, it was related to the argument for a thrust upward through the Balkans and Churchill’s eye on postwar European politics. Over these days it was definitively decided that Turkey would not enter the war and a communique was carefully crafted to allow them to save face.

FDR had Elliott read the official communique from the Teheran conference and was especially keen to point out to his son that most of the wording was his. Elliott enquired why they chose to say that war would be banished for “many generations” rather than “forever”.

It was important to not be seen to overpromise to a global population that has heard it all before, his Dad asserted.

“We agreed at Teheran that our three countries, the three strongest countries in the world, could be intelligent enough about future disagreements, could so unify our foreign policies as to ensure that there would be no war ‘for many generations.’ That’s what we talked about, from noon until ten o’clock – how to unify our policies, how to mesh our individual nations’ interests in the interests of a general security for the whole world.”

Stalin’s agreement for the Soviets to declare war on Japan and fight in the Far East had also been secured, in part to settle the western invasion strategy for a final time, which was set down for 1st of May, within 6 months of Hitler’s final defeat which would allow sufficient time for logistics to be completed.

‘Uncle Joe’ and the US President also took the opportunity to chat alone, just the two of them, especially about China after the war without Churchill nearby. Stalin agreed, again, to leave Manchuria to the Chinese and to support Chiang, as well as support the American agreement with the Chinese in relation to British non-involvement in China. The always dependable Pat Hurley went to Moscow to continue those talks.

His glowing views on Hurley led FDR to rehash his contrasting view of the many ‘striped-pants boys’ in the State Department which disturbed him fully from his rest:

“You know, any number of times the men in the State Department have tried to conceal messages to me, delay them, hold them up somehow, just because some of these career diplomats aren’t in accord with what they know I think. They should be working for Winston. As a matter of fact, a lot of the time, they are. Stop to think of ‘em: any number of ‘em are convinced that the way for America to conduct foreign policy is to find out what the British are doing, and then copy that.”

Blaming his son for disturbing his rest, with jovial sarcasm, FDR began to dress for the evening which Elliott informed his Dad he would not attend as he had not slept the previous evening.

Hopefully, “But you’ll be around tomorrow?”, and Elliott was able to assure his Dad that he did not need to leave until the late afternoon.

In the morning father and son picked up where they last left off. Elliott mentioned how well his Dad had gotten on with Stalin.

The prescience of FDR’s response was patent:

“The biggest thing was in making clear to Stalin that the United States and Great Britain were not allied in one common bloc against the Soviet Union. I think we’ve got rid of that idea, once and for all. I hope so. The Thing that could upset the apple-cart, after the war, is if the world is divided again, Russia against England and us. That’s our big job now, and it’ll be our big job tomorrow, too: making sure that we continue to act as a referee, as intermediary between Russia and England.”

In that moment it was clear to Elliott, as it must have been for some time to his Dad, that America had assumed leadership of the world – of and for humanity – and Elliott was sure that his “father was convinced it would work out smoothly for all parties concerned, not the least of which were the small nations of the world”.

The next day, as he said a quick goodbye before flying on to Tunis ahead of his Dad, when Elliott mentioned that he would be seeing Ike Eisenhower later that day, FDR mentioned that Churchill had gotten his way and Ike would lead operation Overlord, the western invasion. Churchill’s way was not so much a positive in support of Eisenhower but a negative against General George Marshall who had done his job so well in refuting the British demands for an upward thrust through the Balkans that Churchill’s pettiness precluded him from agreeing to the brilliant Marshall leading Overlord. Elliott acknowledged to his Dad that he must not share this news with Ike as it was not yet 100% definite, but by the time they met later in the day in Tunis it had been properly agreed if not yet announced to either man.

Elliott was concerned for his Dad’s health which was showing, to him at least, the impact of being away for a month undertaking challenging negotiations to hold together a coalition of allies with starkly varying viewpoints especially on the postwar period. The next day FDR flew to Malta and then Sicily and back to Tunis where Elliott again greeted him along with senior military.

Though tired, his Dad was in a reflective mood showing his immense satisfaction with all that had been achieved when they debriefed before FDR slept:

“The United Nations… People at home, congressmen, editorial writers, talk about the United Nations as something which exists only on account of war. The tendency is to snipe at it by saying that only because we are forced into unity by war are we unified. But war isn’t the real force to unity. Peace is the real force. After the war – then is when I’m going to be able to make sure the United Nations are really the United Nations!”

The next morning FDR flew to Dakar to board the Iowa to return home while Elliott flow north to San Severo for a “cold and muddy” Christmas.

Early January 1944 Elliott was in England reorganising American reconnaissance air forces in preparation for the western invasion. Churchill attempted one final time to subvert that plan of two years in the making by personally insisting on launching a beachhead in Anzio on the 22nd of January, with the stated intention of liberating Rome, but its prime significance to Churchill was to force the invasion of Europe via the south rather than the west. Fighting against German forces bogged down with little Allied advancement, and the D-Day invasion forces landed in Normandy on the 6th of May 1944.

As Winter gave way to Spring Elliott’s outfit worked alongside the British RAF developing reconnaissance data from the air that he felt was extremely productive and was in part responsible for the low level of losses ultimately experienced in the D Day landings. He also had the opportunity to spend time in Moscow organizing ‘shuttle-bombing’ with Russian counterparts. Through Summer and Autumn Elliott had become exhausted with continual aerial reconnaissance work over France and Germany in support of the advancing Allied troops and was relieved to be called back to America for an assignment in the Pentagon, close to family.

Between everything else, FDR campaigned for his re-election through the Summer and Fall of 1944, doing so vigorously to dispel rumours of ill-health. In the circumstances, the fact that it would be his fourth term was an insignificant consideration and he easily won the election to claim an unprecedented fourth term as US President.

Even though he had been forewarned by his sister Anna, and it had been the subject of much press speculation, Elliott was shocked to see just how fatigued and thin his Dad appeared when they met for the first time in a year. They discussed the possibility to get away to Warm Springs for some rejuvenation and were looking forward to Christmas at Hyde Park.

FDR set aside his schedule for that evening to catch up with his returning son, suggesting that Elliott catch up beforehand by reading the newspapers. That evening Elliott did not remind his Dad of his prediction of a 1944 conclusion to the European war.

“I see what you mean, Pop. They’re all talking about Europe, after the war. Talking about how there’s not enough Big Three (America, Britain and Soviet) unity.”

“I guess it’s a question of their wanting something to be critical about. And unfortunately (sarcasm) the war is being won,” was how his Dad responded.

FDR said that there was another meeting of the Big Three in the planning, with Stalin insisting it be in Russia, and given the advances the Red Army was making, the other two allies felt they needed to oblige.

But mostly it was Elliott required to do the talking that evening, father keeping son in his bedroom until the late hours firing one question after another. Likely the caring son was happy to do the cognitive work of formulating detailed responses rather than expecting reciprocity from a weary Dad who had been living a remarkable life.

“Before and after” photographs of American Presidents – the ones who truly commit themselves to working towards the greater good – are always dramatic in the degree to which they age prematurely from the rigors of the role. FDR was President through some of the most challenging times in US and modern global history, serving for over 3 terms (when no other had or has ever been President for more than 2), and on top of all that he lived much of his adult life in pain and discomfort after his battle with infantile paralysis (polio virus) left him unable to walk, making his achievements all the more astonishing and emphasising his truly remarkable humanity.

A few days later Elliott headed to the White House early to catch up with his Dad before he started his official schedule and managed to catch him still in bed but reading the morning papers. He was contemptuous at what he had been reading:

“Greece. British troops. Fighting against guerillas who fought the Nazis for the last 4 years… How the British can dare such a thing! The lengths to which they will go to hang on to the past!”

Recognising the futility in his anger, he moved onto a subject somewhat related but more positive in prospect telling Elliott of Queen Wilhelmina of the Netherlands’ visit to the White House some months earlier, and how she had promised that after the war their Government would grant the people of the Dutch East Indies first dominion status meaning the right of self-rule and equality.

“Just as we are granting it in the Philippines,” his Dad said. “The point is we are going to be able to bring pressure on the British to fall in line with our thinking, in relation to the whole colonial question. It’s all tied up in the one package: the Dutch East Indies, French Indo-China, India, British extraterritorial rights in China… We’re going to be able to make this the twentieth century after all, you watch and see!”

A few days later Elliott left Washing bound for Arizona, and on the 3rd of December 1944 Elliott married for the third time, to actress Faye Emerson.

Although he expected to be called back to duty in Europe, Elliott was instead granted furlough and was able to spend Christmas with family which was to be his last with his Dad, and described it as a “time of great peace and contentment, [where] the world was for a brief moment shut out, and we were once more one family together, the more closely knit – as Father had pointed out, a year ago in Cairo, at Thanksgiving – because we are a big family.”

Elliott gave an insight into that family scene and the warm reverence with which his Dad was held central by them all:

“On Christmas Eve Father took his accustomed rocker, to one side of the fireplace, and opened the familiar book, while we all found places around him. My place was prone on the floor, by the gate. The fire crackled pleasingly; Father’s voice, going over the well-remembered ‘Christmas Carol’, rose and fell rhythmically; my thoughts wandered, aimless, and presently ceased altogether. Then, Jab!, in my ribs came Faye’s elbow, and her fierce whisper in my ear [telling me that I had been snoring]”

After further disruptions from grandchildren FDR closed the book laughing and saying “there’s too much competition in this family for reading aloud”.

Faye then said that by next year it will be a peacetime Christmas, to which Elliott’s Mum, Eleanor, responded:

“Next year we’ll all be home again”.

As they cleaned up the wrapping paper, FDR went to his stamp album to carefully store a much-treasured gift, and Elliott admiringly joked about one day his Dad being able place in there a United Nations stamp.

“Don’t think I won’t, Elliott. And sooner than you think, too.”

And FDR suggested, half-jokingly, that he should have it placed on the agenda for the next meeting of the Big Three scheduled for next month, to which Elliott asked if he might be able to join his Dad again as his aide.

“Depends on your Commanders, Elliott. I hope it will work out.”

“So do I”.

“But even if it shouldn’t, I’ll be seeing you soon again, anyway. I’m seriously thinking of a trip to England, in the late spring or early summer. I think that might well be the best way to sell the British people and the British Parliament on the need for Britain to put its hopes for the future in the United Nations – all the United Nations – and not just in the British Empire and the British ability to get other countries to combine in some sort of bloc against the Soviet Union.”

When Elliott asked whether he seriously thought that was a danger, FDR continued:

“It’s what we’ve got to expect. It’s what we’ve got to plan now to contend against”, and with that Eleanor broke up the much too serious for Christmas discussion between father and son with:

“We agreed, no talk of business today”.

Elliott never did see his Dad again.

FDR’s 4th Inauguration was intentionally a subdued affair reflecting the tenor of the times. Even FDR’s speech was short, likely a deliberate ploy to emphasise the powerful richness and sincerity that lifted from each sentence, as exemplified by this passage:

“We have learned that we cannot live alone, at peace; that our own well-being is dependent on the well-being of other nations far away. We have learned that we must live as men, not as ostriches, nor as dogs in the manger. We have learned to be citizens of the world, members of the human community.”

Elliott was promoted to Brigadier General in early 1945, at the recommendation of his senior officers and approved by Generals Spaatz and Eisenhower, but FDR had the power of veto and the political situation – especially the suggestions of nepotism from political combatants and right-wing press that naturally come with a family that had occupied the seat of power for such a prolonged period – meant that his Dad deliberated longer than usual, ultimately signing because he was convinced that his son was deserving.

The consequence, however, was that FDR felt that he would be pushing it too far by having Elliott join him again as his aide for the final wartime meeting of the Big Three held at Yalta on the Crimean peninsula in Soviet territory in February 1945. However, Elliott’s sister Anna attended in that capacity, and through discussions with her and with senior US military officials prior and after the conference, he was able to form an opinion that FDR continued to carry sway as the dominant figure in the alliance, made all the more critical given his increasing need to act as mediator and arbiter between the British and Soviets.

The Yalta conference focused almost entirely on the structure of the peace, the organisation of the United Nations, and the need to ameliorate in Europe and Asia the potential for a political vacuum in the immediate postwar period.

The previous Fall the Dumbarton Oaks Conference was held in Washington to develop the framework for a general international organisation led by the “Four Policemen”, a council proposed by FDR as guarantor of world piece and including America, Britain, USSR and China, which would soon become the United Nations. The month before that the Bretton Woods conference was held with 730 delegates from all 44 Allied nations to decide the order of international economic affairs which was critical since so much of the social upheaval and tension that allowed for the rise of Nazism in Europe, as well as disadvantage throughout the world during the Great Depression, was caused by ‘beggar thy neighbour’ international financial decisions.

Prior to leaving to meet FDR, Harry Hopkins met with Elliott over dinner and Elliott learned that, of course, Churchill could not help but devise another plan to justify sending British-controlled troops into the Balkans to join with the Soviets, the weakness to the plan being that it would require diversion of landing-craft that were desperately required in the Pacific, so it never had a chance of getting past the American Joint Chiefs. Harry also stressed that his Dad was insistent that self-interested parties not be allowed to control postwar Germany with an aim to building up Germany’s cartels again.

Given the breadth and finality of decisions being made, more advisers were present in Yalta than in any other of the previous conferences. At the preliminary military staff conferences held in Malta in the days immediately prior, the only real point of contention was to what degree allied resourcing should swing from the European theatre to the Pacific, and that was more between the arms of military (Navy and Army). Over that week in Yalta, as British and American military leaders speculated that Germany might collapse at any moment in the face, especially, of the rapidly advancing Red Army on the east, the leaders of the Big Three agreed on the postwar arrangements including: occupation and control of Germany (FDR argued for integrated not zonal control to create more active collaboration at all levels between the Allies, but Britain and the Soviets disagreed and their position was adopted), reparations by Germany, and they reaffirmed the principles of the Atlantic Charter and agreed on the holding of a United Nations Conference to be held in two months at San Francisco completing the groundwork done at Dumbarton Oaks (after agreeing on the structure of voting and veto powers).

More than ever the American President was at the centre of leadership but with strong personal connections with both Churchill and Stalin. No doubt FDR was looking forward to working closely with Allied leaders and believed that more meetings of the Big Three would be required. However, of the two other leaders he knew it was only Stalin that he was certain to be meeting with through the remainder of his 4th term since he had long before mentioned to Elliott his, ultimately correct, view that Churchill was unlikely to retain his station in the peace (and a British general election was to occur within two months of the conclusion of the war).

There were enduring tensions, to be sure, between and even within delegations – FDR not entirely trusting of all of his advisers, for example – but the unity of the Big Three had been fortified through a war that was aimed at yielding an enduring peace.

All three leaders were acutely aware of the importance of dialogue and co-operation in the postwar period to maintaining that peace, and before the Yalta conference ended Stalin repeated his assurance to FDR that the Soviets would declare war against Japan following V-E day, only revising his timeframe down to 3 months from 6 months in a show of strengthening support.

As the American contingent left Yalta they were gifted generously by the Soviets with Russian Vodka and wines, including the Georgian ‘Champagne’ which FDR had been especially impressed by, as well as caviar and fruit in spontaneous act of connection and warmth prior to the long trip back for most to the States.

After travelling to Egypt to board the US heavy cruiser ‘Quincy’, FDR met several important African and Middle East leaders. Most significantly he met with the King Ibn Saud of Saudi Arabia to discuss the possibility of a settlement in Palestine of homeless European Jews, and by all accounts found the King to be uncompromising. Then after the ‘Quincy’ passed through the Suez Canal, during a short stop at Algiers, FDR was informed that de Gaulle considered the timing and location for meeting inconvenient, he shrugged his shoulders and they departed for America.

Although optimistic and proud of the outcomes achieved, FDR was exhausted and gaunt as he left the Mediterranean behind, and the strain of the period was both underscored and exacerbated by the death of Pa Watson on that return trip, one of FDR’s oldest and closest friends.

On the evening of the 12th of April 1945, the mood in England lifting as victory drew nearer and nearer, Elliott attended a dinner party hosted by Lady Sylvia Ashley, future wife of Clark Gable, at a London restaurant. Soon after he arrived at 8.30pm Lady Ashley leant down to whisper to Elliott that a military officer and car were waiting in the carpark to rush him back to his base at Mount Farm.

The military officer said that his father had experienced a health episode, and that there was an urgent cablegram from his Mum waiting for him back at the base. Elliott knew that his Dad had been having heart issues for around a year and was consulting a cardiologist, Dr. Howard Bruenn, so he felt numb and disconnected as the London lights whizzed by and his gaze became hypnotically disengaged as he stared at the headrest of the front seat ….

Sooner than expected Elliott arrives at his base. The cablegram from his Mum, Eleanor, informs him that his father was at Warm Springs when he experienced discomfort in his chest and was rushed to hospital. She undertakes to call him by midnight London time with an update.

Elliott’s ruminating 3 hour wait, while ordering the memories of the many close times he had shared with his Dad through the war period, comes to a relieving end when he hears his Mum’s calm voice telling him that his father is doing well, that it had been just a minor health scare, with the election campaign and many war conferences having taken a toll on him. With genuine bedrest of not less than a week, Dr. Bruenn believes he will be able to resume his full and unrelenting work schedule.

The relief felt by Elliott was one of a son who knew that he had more work to do, more things to be cleared up and things said, to have a clear conscience. Before the war he had fought often with his Dad about political beliefs, often supporting Republicans’ viewpoints, and though his Dad had risked political capital for Elliott’s most recent promotion to Brigadier General, his Dad knew there were rumours of Elliott’s indiscretions in an airplane procurement contract and was displeased by his son’s womanising.

It is an odd but oft repeated feature of human psychology how the traits that parents pass on to their children are the greatest points of friction, as if the reflection of those flaws from their offspring are too blindingly stark to bare even though – indeed perhaps, because – they were innately acquired, genetically and/or learned, from themselves.

FDR is back on the job only a matter of weeks ahead of V-E day when Germany unconditionally surrenders on 8 May. On the 29th of April Mussolini and his mistress, Clara Petacci, are killed by Italian partisans and strung up by their heels for a while before being left in the gutter. The next day, as Russian troops close in on his compound, Hitler commits suicide after marrying his longtime partner, Eva Braun, who commits suicide beside him.

FDR then has the agonising decision no decent person, of faith in God, spirituality, or their fellow mankind, would wish to have to make – the decision to kill and maim millions of fellow human beings in an instant with the detonation of a weapon of mass destruction in the hope that it will save even more people from loss. What was developed as a tool for deterrence – knowing the tyrannical enemy was already working at its development – had the opportunity to bring the world to peace most rapidly, but only after a huge number of innocents were killed and families lost or torn apart forever.

True to Stalin’s commitments, he declares war against Japan on the 7th of August and over a million Soviet soldiers engage the Japanese occupiers in Manchuria.

Atomic bombs are dropped on Hiroshima and then Kokura on the 6th and 9th of August, 1945, respectively, and Emperor Hirohito announces Japan’s surrender on the 15th of August and signs an unconditional surrender on the 2nd of September 1945. In officially bringing WWII to an end, FDR knows that the most important – the most fraught – piece of the puzzle that he had been assiduously shaping lies ahead, succeeding in the peace, but without Churchill who loses the postwar election in July.

The American public is jubilant and united behind FDR in a postwar glow and rewards him in the 1946 mid-term elections by electing a democratic legislature to enact his full postwar plans after he assures the electorate that he will not contest the next Presidential election, a commitment he honours. Americans understand the privileged position they hold as the most powerful nation in the world, as enunciated in FDR’s 1945 inauguration, and collectively understand that with great privilege comes great responsibility.

Frictions between Britain and the Soviets simmer in the immediate postwar period, but FDR maintains the moral authority as mediator and arbiter. He especially understands and respects the contribution that Russia made to winning the war, a price paid especially in lives lost – more Soviet soldiers were killed than all of the other nations who fought in WWII combined, almost double the number of German soldiers killed! Including civilian deaths, the Soviets lost around 24 million lives in WWII whereas Britain and America each lost less than half a million lives.

After the use of the atomic bomb on Japanese people, knowing that it was only a matter of time before all other major nations would soon have the capability of producing weapons of mass destruction thus assuring mutual destruction, and fully appreciating the need to maintain trust especially amongst the Big Three, FDR shares atomic technology with Stalin and the Soviets as well as the British. This draws the hawks amongst Republicans – many former vehement isolationists – and within the State Department out into open and intense debate, but that serves to underline the strength of American democracy and FDR’s moral and intellectual standing in American and global society.

From the ashes of WWII a new global order for humanity is created. The United Nations, which meets for the first time in late Spring 1945 in San Francisco, is at the forefront along with the other institutions arising from the long negotiations between the Allies at Argentia, Casablanca, Quebec, Cairo, Teheran, Yalta and, immediately prior to V-J day, at Potsdam.

Suffering relevance deprivation, Churchill gives a provocative speech suggesting that Europe is at risk of an iron curtain descending on the eastern boundary of the buffer region that Soviets are working on, from “Stettin in the Baltic to Trieste in the Adriatic”.

The following week, at another meeting of the Big Three plus Generalissimo from China and de Gaulle from France, in Moscow, FDR provides additional assurances that satisfy Stalin, and Prime Minister Attlee walks back the comments of the ex-Prime Minister, so that Stalin resists the impulse of responding publicly to Churchill’s provocations.

FDR understands that the only way to prove the virtue of capitalism to humanity is to do so in the way capitalists live in peace rather than fight from fear, and for the remainder of his fourth term he chooses his arguments with Stalin and Attlee carefully, never losing sight of what was sacrificed and fought for, and what is the danger inherent in ceasing to listen and communicate.

In the 1946 State of Union Address, FDR speaks to the American people in plain and direct language with a level of honesty and sincerity that no other American President would, or perhaps even could, do again.

“To do right by all Americans, as your President I must always hold in my heart as much love and optimism for all of humanity, irrespective of what region they happen to be born or reside in, which deity – if any – they chose to believe in, and whether they be rich or poor. Making the best decision for all of humanity – in light of the best information available – must take precedence over what is best for subgroupings of people or the special interests of some. This is the only way to enduringly lead in the peace.

Leading in the global peace is the awesome responsibility and privilege now held by the American people. We must be in no doubt that the durability and quality of that peace will be recorded in history as achieved under our American stewardship and we should all be determined that in the account of that record we as peoples within broader humanity are proud of our deliberations and actions.

If I or a future President of the United States of America were ever to abuse the privilege of this global leadership to advance national interests at the expense of other nations, more specifically, to the detriment of the human beings living in other geographies of the world, then that would be an act of great hypocrisy, it would undermine our privileged authority, and worst of all, it would lessen the honor of the immense sacrifices made by the families and peoples of the Allied nations in freeing the world from tyranny.”

The repercussions of FDR’s speech are widespread and immediate. Democrats are successful in the midterm elections and no less than two amendments are made to the US Constitution: the 22nd to formerly limit to two the number of terms a person may be elected President; and the 23rd being formal recognition that in the execution of leadership and administration of the nation by the President and all elected and Government officials that not only are human beings ‘created’ equal, everywhere and at all times they remain equal, so that in their decision-making and administration the concerns of all human beings throughout humanity must be considered equal.

Eleanor is instrumental in lobbying to secure the success of both amendments, understanding the practicality of and strong desirability amongst Republicans for the two-term limit, ensuring that the acceptance of one amendment be conditional upon the acceptance of the other.

The non-gender specific language and the obvious implications for civil rights of the 23rd amendment have a profound impact in America and around the world, and it leads to an enduring culture of minimising the influence of special interests in political decision-making including strict regulation and policing of political donations.

Essentially it says that, not only are all human beings (‘created’) equal, they’re to be treated equal no matter where they choose to live their lives or how they live their lives.

The British and commonwealth of nations, along with central European nations, follow the American lead and incorporate similar clauses within their constitutions and/or their formal systems of governing. It is commonly referred to as the ‘Roosevelt clause’.

The most influential economist of the time, John Maynard Keynes, whose plans for the organisation of the postwar global economy were largely usurped by the Americans at the Bretton Woods conference, increases his lobbying for alterations of the agreement before Britain will ratify. His concerns centre around the privileged position that America will have within the system, especially with the dollar being the reserve currency. Keynes also has concerns about equity in the ability of poorer nations to develop, and the instability that will cause. With an exceedingly rare level of brilliance, but with failing health from an obsessive work ethic, Keynes meets directly with FDR in early 1946 after the first meeting of the United Nations General Assembly in London and convinces the US President to intervene so that modifications are made to the agreement in line with some of his original recommendations including the creation of a new reserve currency named the ‘Bancor’ and additional safeguards and measures to ensure equitable opportunity for global development. Those changes are implemented just ahead of Keynes’ passing later that year.

Tensions remain in pockets within the world, especially in Asia where Chinese people suffer a protracted civil war between the Generalissimo’s Nationalists and Mao Tse-tung’s communists which sporadically and periodically spills over in Asia. Similarly South America remains unstable as some nations, especially Argentina which was not permitted initial entry to the United Nations due to its postwar flirtation with fascism, experience civil unrest which tends to be worse in nations with important energy resources as corrupt self-interest proves difficult to contain. The nation state of Israel is created to provide a permanent home to Jews and tensions, often along religious lines, in the Middle East especially, flare occasionally.

In the history of humanity, there has always been at least one megalomaniac able to manipulate those around him, especially when education and information has been found wanting, and so it likely will always be.

Former colonialist nations of central and western Europe, however, remain united in their determination to be constructive and aid the establishment of peace in their former colonies through negotiation, and are disciplined in not becoming involved in wars or of showing partisan support for factions within other geographies, even if sometimes they and the Soviets are suspicious of the others’ actions.

With the good intentions of the global many, backed by modern international legal processes, recalcitrants rarely manage to hold out for long against the will and desires of their populations and broader humanity. Particularly sensitive to any nuclear weapon proliferation, the United Nations acts swiftly and decisively with sanctions and other peaceful forms of economic coercion to ameliorate the actions of potential bad actors.

During FDR’s fourth term rebuilding of war-torn Europe and Asia, including of the Axis nations, is carried out with vigor and optimism. However, the global disparity is immediately apparent and the machinery of government in the developed nations less directly impacted by war, including in North America, together with international bureaucracy that emanated out of WWII especially from the Atlantic Charter – including the United Nations, International Monetary Fund and World Bank – place as much vigor into developing nations previously undeveloped and improving the living standards of the greatest majority of human beings on Earth, including throughout Africa, eastern and southern Asia, Central and South America.

In effect, America’s ‘New Deal’ goes global!

The harnessing of human drive and ingenuity in a co-operative fashion, incorporating the freedom of movement of capital within democratic capitalism, combined with safeguards to prevent monopolies and unfair use of privilege of wealth or position, has a profound effect on the global economy which is mirrored in the freedoms enjoyed by the majority of humans who are engaged in the first truly global society in human history. The freedom of movement of goods and resources, of ideas, and most importantly, of people, creates a globalisation that is deeply embedded in broader society not just within the corporate or intellectual elite of humanity.

Stalin and FDR remain in contact until the latter’s death, coincidentally the 12th of April 1950, 5 years after the health scare that sent Elliott racing back through the streets of London to his British military base to read his Mum’s cablegram. Each Christmas Stalin sends FDR several cases of the Georgian ‘Champagne’ he was so charmed by at the Yalta conference, FDR still jokingly encouraging him to engage in some ‘good old-fashioned capitalism’ selling it to the American people to outcompete Champagne and “stick it to the Frenchies”. Stalin attends FDR’s funeral and is visibly moved, hugging Eleanor in a long and warm embrace, and shaking hands graciously with Elliott and most of the extended Roosevelt family.

Stalin passes two years later and is remembered with mixed emotions inside and outside of Russia. On the one hand the world is unlikely to have been freed from the tyranny of Nazism if it were not for the extreme sacrifices of the Soviets under Stalin. He was, however, undoubtedly a harsh and cruel leader largely due to his inflexible political beliefs and leadership, though it is commonly believed that his connection with FDR moderated this somewhat in his latter years.

Stalin remains Chairman until his passing and does not nominate a successor. However, the Soviets institute a collective leadership which initiates reforms and is more open in views and outlook which leads to the ultimate dissolution of the Soviet bloc.

By the early 90’s the cohesive human community values above all else individual freedoms within the solid framework of open information and expression, logic and science. Pressing domestic and global issues are addressed as they are detected by scientists and other observant members of societies. More even economic development from equitable opportunity irrespective of geography, nationality, race, religion, gender, sexual orientation, etc. has allowed the average standard of living to increase significantly.

The post-WWII baby boom causes a spike in births but the global population peaks at around 4 billion in the 1980s, due to declining birthrates as more of humanity feel secure having smaller families. The average high standard of living, however, means that observations of increased levels of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere are detected around that same time the global population peaks and thorough research convinces all members of the United Nations that the consequent warming of the planet – without rapid action – will lead to general sea level rise and more frequent and worse severe weather events, affecting the precious natural world on which we all depend, and impacting and worsening the quality of life for human beings.

Emergency meetings of the United Nations are held, and subcommittees undertake and fund extensive research into the climate changes. It is determined that alternative sources of energy, other than from fossil fuels, will need to be rapidly developed to reduce the emissions of carbon dioxide into the environment. Embracing the challenge as was done during WWII, developing new technologies for harnessing energy from renewable sources such as the sun and wind, within a decade the latest data and modelling within the scientific community has assured humanity that catastrophic outcomes that were projected within a century have been averted.

Integral to humanity’s response to the observed climate change, and in fact, to social cohesion within global society, is a great respect for First Nations peoples’ knowledge of environment and culture.

Elliott Roosevelt promptly leaves the Army and grows somewhat distant from his Dad after WWII. Republicans and the right-wing press seek to discredit the Roosevelt legacy, attempting to ensure an end of their political family dynasty, and they see Elliott as a convenient target. Minor indiscretions in Elliot’s personal and business lives, most often revealed by those who were on the losing side of business deals, are a constant distraction for his Dad in his final years. This creates tensions so that father and son never manage to clear the air and Elliott lives with great deal of regret, sadness, and repressed shame.

After multiple failed marriages and businesses, and estranged from his children and extended family, in the 70’s Elliot trades on the family name as a political lobbyist but finds that his ability to extract gain from it is waning. He becomes increasingly compromised working with shadier and shadier operators, ultimately trading in favours and blackmail of political and business targets on behalf of organised crime.

Living a destructive life of substance abuse and boozing, prostitutes and gambling, Elliott has gotten sloppy and his tangled web of compromise and lies is unravelling and threatens to bring down high profile political and crime figures with him. Elliott is considering turning informant and meets with FBI investigators that have been surveilling him. A corrupt politician becomes aware of this and together with the Mafia they attempt to frame Elliott for approaching and paying a Mafia hitman for a contract on a foreign diplomat.

Elliott denies the allegations and uses the final remnants of family connection to bury the story and allegations.

Considering Elliott a lose end that needs to be dealt with, neither the politician or Mafia can risk him squealing. A wasted Elliott, walking in an alley with a prostitute under each arm, celebrating yet another close escape, is confronted by Mafia muscle as the girls scatter. With a henchman holding each arm, the top goon cocks his pistol upright in his right hand as he walks behind Elliott and whispers in his ear, “The Boss wants to see you”. Elliott instantly cringes and tilts his head forward expecting the crunch on the back of his head…

Elliott’s head was jolted forward as his eyes refocused on the headrest of the front seat of Humber military staff car as the military officer rushed him to Mount Farm to read that cablegram from his Mum.

“Sorry for that Brigadier General – fox on the road!”

They had left the lights of London behind, and Elliott recognized the sharp bend in the road which signified they were 5 minutes from his base. He walked briskly and was greeted at the threshold by his Commanding Officer who handed Elliott the cable gram from his mother.

Eleanor’s final words on the telegram informing her beloved son of the death of his Father were, ”HE DID HIS JOB TO THE END AS HE WOULD WANT YOU TO DO”.


Chapter 3 – Reset (next)

Chapter 1 – Rücksetzen (previous)


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© Copyright Brett Edgerton 2023

“Reset”: Chapter 1 – Rücksetzen

The timeline commences in the late 1930s, as America and the rest of the world struggle to emerge from the depths of the Great Depression, and is told through the eyes of Elliott Roosevelt, the son of perhaps the greatest American President in Franklin Delano Roosevelt immortalised simply as ‘FDR’.

“The country needs and, unless I mistake its temper, the country demands bold, persistent experimentation. It is common sense to take a method and try it: If it fails, admit it frankly and try another. But above all, try something.” FDR told graduating students of Ogilthorpe University a month ahead of receiving the Democratic nomination for the 1932 US Presidential election which he won in a landslide.

FDR lived up to that pledge and Elliott Roosevelt had observed his father bring the US back from the brink of despair through ambitious and vigorously developed and implemented programs referred to collectively as the ‘New Deal’ which led to him being rewarded with a second term in 1936.

Elliott had embarked on his own deal – running a small network of radio stations in Texas – in September 1938 as the Munich Conference was held and France, Britain and Italy agreed to Germany’s annexation of Sudetenland in western Czechoslovakia hoping it would appease their expansionary impulse.

FDR, acutely aware of swirling geopolitics as the 1940 election was approaching, had been weighing up whether to run for a third term – on the one hand he believed it was his duty to continue steady leadership through the countervailing currents, especially with Europe on the brink of war which he feared might drawer in other nations including America, and ongoing hostilities between Japan and China in Manchuria, but on the other hand he would be going against convention which, whilst his uncle Teddy ignored it when he failed to be elected for a third term, his closest political confidant – the “Kingmaker” James Farley – had strongly advised him against.

Even Eleanor, his wife, had serious reservations and was looking forward to stepping back from her own very busy schedule as first lady.

Sitting in his Dad’s well-worn leather lounge chair at his family’s Hyde Park estate, enveloped by paternal safety, in plush comfort, newspaper lowered across his knee (exposing an article debating whether Germany is set to move eastward into France), Elliott drifted off remembering back to the conversation he had with his father in the oval office only days earlier where they shared their deepest thoughts and concerns for the world, and he, rather imprudently, about his business interests…

His Dad, normally clear in his convictions, was torn. Farley had been with FDR from the very beginnings of his political career, with political intuition surpassed by none of his contemporaries. The father and son talked long and earnestly, uncharacteristically so for a relationship where the father was so accomplished and admired, even for a politician.

FDR confides that more likely than not he will seek the Democratic nomination to contest the 1940 US Presidential election, even if he must compete against his right-hand man in Farley.

Nazi strategists, aware of the significance of the Presidential election to whether America would join (again) with forces against Germany, concentrate efforts on building up armaments and fortifying their eastern positions in Poland, etc through the spring of 1940. Herr Schacht, former Finance Minister and longtime head of the Reichsbank, had long warned the Nazi regime that Germany was not economically capable of waging a long war against the British with their ‘Anglo Saxon mentality’, and even though he had lost the ear of Hitler because of his ‘defeatist comments’, his views still had influence over some of those who retained Hitler’s confidence.

The British Empire, through its colonies, protectorates and independent dominions of Australia, New Zealand, Canada and South Africa, controlled 25% of the global population and 30% of the landmass, and the engagement of the broad Commonwealth in the conflict was predictable. FDR had been talking with the British, including with King George VI on a visit to his family estate Hyde Park in June 1939, and his inner circle knew him to privately support involvement in a European conflict. Americans, too, had suffered severe losses in WWI and their wives and mothers had not forgotten their pain of loss; in fact, those anguished feelings had only grown through the toughest years of the Great Depression.

The delayed advance of Germany eastward leads to the Republican party nominating Robert A. Taft as their candidate on an isolationist platform and the support of American hero Charles Lindbergh means Taft will mount a formidable challenge. At the Democratic National Convention Farley resists FDR’s wife Eleanor’s late appeal and throws his support behind Bennet Clark, an avid isolationist, to counter the strong isolationist platform on the right. A young Harry Truman, also from Clark’s home state of Missouri, has also impressed the politically pragmatic Farley. Truman holds a strong view that America cannot afford the cost of war and is sceptical of the waste inherent in producing supplies sent already to support the British. At the Democratic National Convention FDR promises that no American boys would go to a foreign war under his watch, but it is to no avail as Farley’s influence carries sway and Clark wins the Democratic nomination.

Clark ultimately wins the 1940 Presidential election with Farley his Vice President in November 1940. Hitler, however, does not need to wait for the election to be held to expand Nazi held territory eastward. With two avowed isolationists as Presidential candidates, and Americans in huge numbers joining up to the newly formed America First Committee, growing out of a movement started at Yale University (and with support of future Presidents Gerald Ford and John F Kennedy), it is increasingly clear American involvement in the war will be at most ambiguous with minimal supply of war resources. Nazi blitzkrieg by its powerful Wehrmacht allows it to annex Belgium, the Netherlands and Luxembourg, and has France in retreat, by the time the ballots are being counted, and soon after Italy and Japan sign the tripartite agreement with Germany while it battles the United Soviet States of Russia (USSR) on the east and Italians commenced operations in Africa.

The British repel the first air war, The Battle for England, against the Nazis largely with covert aid from America (in place under FDR). Knowing this, Hitler warns the US against further involvement. President Clark assures the Nazis that they had already wound down their war production, of which Henry Ford and others were somewhat ambiguous on in any case, and that the US wouldn’t enter the war so long as Japan did not move against American interests in the Pacific. German strategists talk down Japanese military strategists from actions on the Aleutian islands off Alaska and leave the Philippines untouched, while at the same time Axis members commit to acquiring American territories, indeed North America, once they have won the European war.

War rages on in northern Africa, remorselessly over England with them attempting to return fire over German cities with limited success, and in the east on the Russian front. With limited opposition, Japan marches downward through the Asia Pacific and only encounters tough opposition in New Guinea, but eventually claims Australia and New Zealand in late 1944 with resources and support of other Axis partners as the ground war in Europe winds down and a second front is opened against Russia to capture the Sakhalin Island north of Japan and the adjacent mainland territory of Primorsky Krai, including the important port city of Vladivostok, and territories against the Sea of Okhotsk. When Britain formerly surrenders in May 1945, followed shortly later in August 1945 by the Soviet States, the great Eurasian war is over.

The Soviet States are convinced to surrender following the Japanese explosion of an atomic bomb in Novosibirsk which on the one hand demonstrates the power of the technology the Japanese has first mastered, and on the other hand destroys the major site of military production for the Red Army after it was shifted from the west.

Neither Hitler nor Mussolini survive to the end of the war, however, as both are assassinated by more moderate groups within their ranks in an elaborate plot which unfolds on 20 July 1944. First Hitler is killed by a bomb explosion. Then Mussolini is killed when he arrives for a planned meeting with Hitler later that day and his entourage each is presented with a stark choice of overthrowing their fascist dictator and each putting a bullet in Mussolini or dying with him. Though the full plot has never been disclosed, nor the full list of conspirators, a large number (believed to be over 300) senior and influential members in their ranks accepted that their dictatorial and destructive style of leadership would fail to lead in the peace which many had been insisting leadership focus on from mid-1942 when an Axis win grew increasingly likely.

Emperor Hirohito, a man of science and logic, whose support for the war was always ambiguous, after the nuclear bomb detonation manages to gain sufficient support from the Japanese public and key political moderates to rest power from the ruthless conquering military leaders. A national radio address, the first time that Japanese people ever hears his voice, entitled the “Jewel Voice” where he discusses the harsh treatment of vanquished Chinese and other people in invaded territories, as well as prisoners of war, swings public opinion strongly away from military leaders.

In the postwar European power struggle neofascists triumph and throughout all of Europe the character of society becomes decidedly Teutonic (Germanic) with Berlin the centre of power and wealth, and all nation states responsible for selecting a certain number of party members (based on economic parameters) to the Pan-European People’s Conference (PEPC) in a pan-European autocracy. The leaders of the PEPC are selected via internal party politics and are typically rotated every 5 years. The form of neofascism practiced could best be described as fascism light, Hitlerism without dictatorship, Nazism without the systematic eugenics, oppression and murder, but state sanctioned racism is only thinly veiled and normalised such that very, very few Caucasian Europeans consider it a problem or even an issue.

Harry Truman, Secretary of State from 1940, becomes US President when both Clark and Farley die before the end of their term (October 8 and February 25, respectively) in 1944 and he wins the 1944 Presidential election (he was VP briefly after Farley’s death).

From the vantage point of the early 1990s, North America is the last bastion of  democratic capitalism, though its sphere of influence is largely limited to North Mexico, which fought a fierce and protracted civil war – a proxy war between capitalist and neofascist interests – through the early 60’s, repeated in Brazil a decade later resulting in a similar North-South split between capitalists and neofascists, and a handful of other small and essentially inconsequential South American countries.

America and Canada survive in a hostile world due to its development of nuclear weapon technology through a collaboration known as the Manhattan project. It was initiated in complete secrecy under FDR, mothballed for a year after he lost the 1940 election, but re-instigated with increased vigor as Canadians and Americans became fully aware of the brutality of Nazism and Japanese imperialism. Canada may not be superior to America in economic strength, but it has maintained a moral authority due to its involvement in the European war. Since the late 40s when it became apparent that Japan, Europe and North America all had developed nuclear weapon technology, assured mutual destruction from further war has largely prevented full scale warfare. The world is taken to the brink in the ‘60s, however, when an increasingly insecure America attempts to deploy missiles on Attu Island, the westernmost island of the Aleutians off Alaska. The Japanese maritime blockade of US ships carrying the missiles brings a showdown between President John F Kennedy and the Japanese Prime Minister whereby all of humanity fears that the first nuclear war had arrived. America stands down, narrowly averting catastrophe, but it acts as warning to global leaders and reductions of nuclear weapon stockpiles are negotiated.

The economist Hjalmar Schacht rose to global prominence as the architect of the post-war world economic order, though many insiders know that this success was not just in not repeating the mistakes of the Weimar Republic, e.g. limiting war reparations by Britain and the broader commonwealth of nations so as not to be overly onerous, but in Schacht’s willingness to listen to a largely forgotten British economist, Maynard Keynes (who, though 6 years junior to Schacht, has health issues through the war period and dies within a year of the war’s end). Schacht is widely considered a likely co-conspirator in the assassination of Hitler.

Europe is the centre of global corporate and social culture which emphasizes Teutonic doggedness, pragmatism and discipline, and eschews Jewish ‘fussiness’ – as Dr. Schacht describes it – and the ‘flamboyance’ of the latinised Mediterraneans. Schachtian economics emphasises the need for individuals and nations to live within their means, through austerity when necessary, with speculative activity and excessive borrowing strictly regulated to prevent speculative manias that precipitated the global depression of the late 1920s.

With single party autocracies predominating throughout the world besides North America and a few nation states within its sphere of influence, constitutional monarchies have enjoyed a renaissance to give the perception of a level of political balance but in reality most have very limited discretionary powers.

This said, in recent years technological development in communications and rapid information transfer has tested the neofascists’ hold on power in Europe, with increasing understanding there of democratic capitalism as practiced in North America forcing a certain level of liberalism. However, the dominance of the central European languages, especially German, hinders information spread especially in central and eastern Europe.

Japanese-dominant Asia and Europe maintain a competitive and mostly functional relationship as the main geopolitical powers, though Japan has never really accepted the supremacy of the Deutschmark as the reserve currency of the world which has conferred a significant advantage to European interests. The industrial machinery of Europe dwarfs that of Japan’s, advantaged by proximity and greater geopolitical influence over the energy states of the Middle East and Russia. Japan has remained more dependent on North American and South American energy suppliers. Japan is further disadvantaged by the geographical spread and the more disparate cultures within its sphere of influence. It is constantly plagued by discontent in the anglophone antipodeans and in the East Indies, for example.

Neither Japan nor Europe has much concern for central and southern Africa, except in relation to resource-rich regions, never more so than when the North Americans are actively courting their governments for resources access for their companies.

Global inequality has improved little since the Eurasian war, and has only improved, albeit marginally, in those nations of geographic importance in the contest between capitalism and neofascism, and/or with advantageous natural resources. Of course, neither sphere really cares who shares those benefits and whether they reach the citizens of those nations – they simply seek to serve their own interests, and if a thin layer of corrupt officials sequesters the benefits, which ultimately results in lower costs to the powerful nations, then so be it.

Population growth has been explosive as most of humanity has remained poor and did what all living beings are biologically programmed to do – have larger families to increase the chances of survival for themselves (as they age) and of their family lines. European, Asian and American scientists have recently noted the buildup of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere at a rate suggestive that humanity’s activities are having a serious affect which is resulting in a warming global climate which some extreme scientists suggest will result in increasingly unstable weather patterns and melting polar icecaps making parts of the world uninhabitable, first low-lying Pacific islands.

The largest global oil and gas company, Deutschpetroleum, has produced research that suggests this is not at all the case, convincing the political class that actions which would be a drag initially on economic growth were unnecessary. This is also politically convenient since many politicians and party associates have close financial links with the industry. Nonetheless the industry is working on developing hydrogen technology to power motor vehicles, especially the many millions of VWs, BMWs and Mercedes Benz that move the great majority of families daily around the globe. Few can afford the premium Japanese and Italian cars. Every nation has tried to build a car industry, with mixed success, but everyone knows the stories of the ‘lemons’ produced by inferior American car manufacturers Ford and General Motors along with Russia’s Lada Niva.

Life is tough for the majority of the world’s human inhabitants. There has always been an elite few that have soaked up the riches of the world, and then there is the rest, but the brutal and prejudicial character of the winning Axis is undeniable. Although never substantiated and strongly denied by Teutonic Europe, there are rumours that Jews especially were persecuted and executed during the Eurasian war. Very few people in Europe self-identify as being Jewish, and while they have limited access to sites of historical significance, Jewish people are welcomed postwar in Japanese held territories and in North America.

Political debate is curtailed and strictly regulated in Eurasia and most of Africa and South America. The only truly progressive region is North America with a remarkably open society built on free speech and a strong social safety network including free medical benefits and education, and support for the unemployed. Their leaders, especially JFK in America and Trudeau in Canada in the 60s, realised that social cohesion was vital to keeping those living within their island of prosperity safe. In fact, the social safety network was so favourable that a trial of a universal basic income found little benefit to most since they feel secure and regular surveys show Americans to be the happiest people in the world, though many also put that down to realistic expectations for their lives and their ambivalence to materialism.

Gun laws are the strictest in the world in America, as everyone knows that guns kill humans, and they are unnecessary in a society which can afford to protect itself from aggressors at the State level so the outdated and irrelevant 2nd amendment to the US constitution, originating from 300-year-old British law, was prudently deleted in the ‘70s.

Official and illegal migration into North America via Mexico, from South America, especially, however, is beginning to fray the social compact. And nobody suggests that America and Canada have truly dealt with racist pasts. Papering over the cracks is closer to the truth, though some headway has been made in corporate circles with a smattering of black CEOs, and while around 30% of corporate executives are females, there are very few black female CEOs, a few more Hispanic female CEOs, and no Asian female CEOs.

Europe made use of migrant labour from north Africa in the postwar rebuilding effort, and in Britain from Asia, especially India. Most returned home, however, as harsh regulations meant that they were required to live outside the limits of towns and cities, and curfews meant that at night they were not able to be in the cities that they were rebuilding during the day. Most believed that they would be better off closer to family connections and support networks once the rebuilding work dried up, while those who remained live in poor ghettoes and are subjected to ongoing discrimination and prejudice.

Throughout Teutonic Europe few in executive positions have a non-Germanic family name, certainly none are of Jewish descent, neither are there any of Middle Eastern, Asian or African descent. Inferior German language skills are often blamed as the reason. Only modest progress has been made on gender equality.

 On a train heading west from Innsbruck towards the Oetztal Valley in Austria in the late 80s Elliott observes a young Australian couple, the man Caucasian and his wife of Asian descent, subjected to overt racism. Four middle-aged women sitting in the opposite seats stare at the couple barely in their 30s to make their abhorrence with their mixed relationship apparent, looking upon them as if they are less than human, as the couple sink into their seats feeling powerless given their obvious lack of agency. Elliott speaks to the young couple to help ease their discomfort, learning that the husband is a scientist with a fellowship to research in Germany, and that they were on a planned weekend away to celebrate their 7th wedding anniversary. The young woman of colour tells Elliott how frequently on train platforms in the Bavarian capital of Munich middle-aged people, especially, stare at her with a deep scowl. The previous year living in southern France, also on an international research fellowship, they quickly became aware of the underlying dislike of the ‘Arabs’ who had remained in lower socioeconomic regions of the cities they had rebuilt after the war, unable to improve their circumstance substantially due to systemic racism. Elliott recounts to them a brief friendship with a British family where the man was of German heritage, and how shocked he was when the man – who was raised near the Black Forest, and after returning from a family trip there – spoke about how the Arab people swimming in natural springs were fowling the water for ‘others’, because they wore pants with pockets rather than swimming briefs, and suggested that they should be excluded. He also used the vile ‘N-word’ in discussion alike the deeply racist groups that remained in America on the fringes.

The situation throughout Asia is not much better with Japanese domination of corporates and broader society. Interestingly, however, in British dominions the former colonisers, now oppressed and dominated themselves, have developed close relationships with the former indigenous peoples and those they had previously minoritised, as evidenced for example in Australia through the White Australia Policy, in their common struggle for existence. Those earlier migrants of central European descent who had previously developed close relationships with indigenous peoples on the basis of their common status outside of general society are now significantly more favoured and are referred to as ‘model migrants’ in comparison to anglophones and others.

The European middle class has become precarious and proportionally has shrunk, and in recent years those in central Europe who have not shared in the benefits of strong economic growth over the past half century since the Eurasian war have become discontent and have become a manipulable force for populist sections within the one-party structure. Some politicians appeal to the disaffected with a slogan of Making Europe Great Again (in the lesser spoken vulgar English, MEGA), yet none define which period in Europe was truly great and what made it so, though it clearly involves more extreme fascism including greater systemic prejudice and overt racism.

Elliott Roosevelt has lived a life of distinguished public service. Having listened to his father extoll the virtues of American involvement in the Eurasian war, and of how a true enduring peace was only possible through reduced colonialism/imperialism and equality of opportunity on a global basis, and his mother about civil rights and gender equality, Elliott has taken it upon himself to fulfill the destiny his parents felt so strongly. FDR lived through into his 70s, dying 12 April 1955, a fair age given his significant medical issues; the women in his life agreed that he might have lived longer without the stress of leading the nation for two terms through such a troubled period.

Elliott was a Democrat powerbroker through the 50s becoming a chief advisor to JFK and was second only to his brother Bobby Kennedy in the influence he had over JFK, though many considered Elliott more influential. Elliott later became the American representative to the international League of Nations which was reinstituted after the Eurasian war, but quit in the late 80s when European nations conspired to invade Ecuador under the guise that their dictator had instigated a program to develop weapons of mass destruction and it was close to achieving nuclear status. It quickly became apparent in the war that the nation was essentially a failed state and could not manufacture a lightbulb let alone a nuclear bomb, but hundreds of thousands of innocent civilians were killed as collateral, along with the broken bodies and, more so, minds of many of those who fought. The puppet government then put in place has secured energy resources for Europe, and more importantly, has restricted access to it by Japan and North America.

Married twice, with one child to his first wife, and three with his second, Elliott Roosevelt lives a long life in close contact with his entire family, especially his mother Eleanor after his Dad’s death. He was highly regarded as a great American and many felt that he would have made an even better president than his father, FDR. In October 1991, 10 months after the death of his brother James, Elliott has a heart attack – surrounded by family and loved ones, in a hospital bed he drifts off with only the noise of a mechanical ventilator piercing the stark quiet of the room…

Elliott stirs in his Dad’s well-worn leather lounge chair at Hyde Park, disturbed by the housemaid reviving the dwindling fire by squeezing a set of bellows to direct air onto the glowing coals, and notices the paper that has fallen off his knee onto the ground. Staring blankly at the headline, as we all do when awoken from a deep Sunday afternoon slumber – even those not yet 30 years of age – reflecting on the vividness of his dream.


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