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Hate Begets More Hate

Page views to MacroEdgo several hours after publishing the below post on Facebook. This is a common occurrence for me, and given that 2 views (from the US) happen instantaneously once I publish links to MacroEdgo on Facebook, I can only assume that it is ‘sensorship’ with someone or thing (i.e. software) deciding on whether to limit page impressions of my post … No wonder, since spreading wokeish ideals such as love and compassion to and for all is so very threatening and dangerous … apparently, to some …

Everyone who engages in hate of ‘others’ – based on religion, race/ethnicity/heritage, nationalism, politics, ‘class’, gender, sexual orientation, etc – shares a level of responsibility in all hate crimes because they have shown and/or taught acceptance for spreading hate.

That is why it is so offensive to see those who perpetuate ‘othering’ and division in society trying to bend the narrative of atrocities – such as what we witnessed at Bondi on Sunday evening – towards advancing their own hateful agendas.

No group is ever all right or all wrong. What human can determine right from wrong in perfect clarity at all times? Only the ignorant.

Aggression begets more aggression.

Compassion for all human beings is the only path to sustainable peace.

My precious sons were at Bondi last week, but on Wednesday. It was their first ever time in Sydney and we were there for them to see Kendrick Lamar in concert.

How life twists and turns, for better or worse, on a dime. Oh the gravity of time and random circumstance.

That is a concept I, myself, have wrestled with since I was 15 and personally experienced gun violence – what if I poked my head around that corner just 10 seconds later after he had finished loading his revolver … See “How Farmers Lose Their Perspective

One thing is for certain – the men (and they almost always are men) who resort to gun violence have far more in common with each other – irrespective of their twisted reasoning and hate-filled biases – than they have ‘differences’ from those against whom they enact their violence.

Similarly, the many – the great majority infact – who love humanity do what they can to save or protect others, by selflessly responding in the face of crises including standing against violence, because they will not – cannot – witness people being hurt.

This needs to be central to how we in our societies work at eliminating hate and violence as I discussed in my essay, “For The Sons Of Deeply Insecure Men” …


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© Copyright Brett Edgerton 2025

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Rich Food, Rich Life

On Father’s Day I enjoyed the most authentic Italian food I’ve had in Australia and I wanted to share something about the experience. But this post is not really about food.

This is about the value of immigration at a moment in history when immigration is being criticised, including – incredibly – by immigrants and their descendents, themselves.

You see after enjoying this meal I was on a natural (and slightIy wine-induced) high and was speaking with the restaurant owner, a recent immigrant to Australia from Milan, Italy. I told him we have a second home in Abruzzo and visit when we can. Fairly soon he said that Italy has a big problem – migration.

Now, knowing how difficult it is (and has been for very many years) in Italy for young people to make a good start in life, and since he had emigrated also like many young Italians do, I jumped to the wrong conclusion thinking he was talking about loss of young people through emigration.

But in the car my family quickly righted my error. Of course he was talking about immigration into Italy.

An emigrant is also an immigrant, so it seems strange they would complain about immigration, right?

But it’s the thing to do right now, isn’t it, as our societies become more polarised as (far) right politicians increasingly seek to divide us for their political gain.

I’ve heard the opposite, too, an immigrant to Italy complaining about immigrants ruining the country from which they emigrated. 

It seems oddly – nonsensically – hypocritical until you focus on the real issue. 

It’s not really about people entering a country, is it – it’s about the type of people, and especially the colour of their skin.

The real underlying force at work here is xenophobia and specifically ‘white supremacy’.

Immigration is something the ‘white’ people who have immigrated to these lands now known as Australia have a long history of being concerned about. In fact, the ‘White Australia Policy’ was in force for longer than the 50 odd years that have passed since it was abolished in the 70s.

Besides the enormous hypocrisy that the only true non-immigrants on these lands have had their complexions blackened from living 65,000+ years on these tough lands where anybody with light skin gets skin cancer …

The problem is who are ‘acceptable’, and more specifically, who is ‘white’. 

So if you are somebody living in Australia right now who is not entirely of British descent, it might be a good time for you to put the following prompt into your favourite AI assistant:

“How was it that the White Australia Policy excluded some Europeans from migrating?”

If you do you will learn the extent that migration system went to exclude all bar the ‘British ideal’ immigrant. (Below the Gemini result that I was given.)



I would suggest those in Australia inclined to criticise immigration and for whom blinding hypocrisy is not enough to make them rethink regurgitating the far right anti-immigration propaganda, I suggest they do a little thinking forward to where all of this is heading.

Dividing people has no end since there is always someone more righteous or deserving – more supremely ‘white’ – than others. Pulling that thread of division leads to a total (social) unravelling unless enough smart, caring and courageous people stand up against it.

These movements born of hate snowball and get out of control – eg although hate towards Jewish people grew amongst Germans (and elsewhere) through the the 1930s, the Nazis first answer to the so-called “Jewish problem” was forced emigration, and the decision to carry out genocide through extermination (important to keep in mind we are talking about human life when we write and read these words) did not crystallise until 1941.

There are people now in Australia who subconsciously made themselves feel more included and safe by voting ‘No’ in the Voice referendum who now are feeling decidedly unwelcome and unsafe.

We all know which communities I am referring to.

Who will be next?

People of Italian, Greek, Spanish descent?

And what about women in the work force?

Many of these far right nutters – including many of the super wealthy American businessmen bankrolling the strategy, including some famous ones you may know of – believe in ‘traditional’ gender roles.

If you think you can personally take and leave the parts of this so-called ‘anti-woke’ agenda you agree with, think again.

When you support extreme division based on aggression – lacking compassion and empathy – you are highly likely to end up the target of that derision before too long, and you will then need to accept that you are partly responsible for the pain you suffer along with those you love …

Anyhow, what really is so wrong about caring about all people equally? 

I though that was what religions were supposed to preach and I know it is what most people teach their children, even if they often undo that teaching in their own actions they role model.

I haven’t been back to the restaurant yet – I haven’t been able to bring myself to support this guy given his divisive views. This post would have been all about the food and I would have told lots of people to go there and I would have written a google review raving about it. But I won’t.

I will, however, go occasionally when I miss authentic Italian food in the long gaps between being able to visit my second home. And the reason I’ll do that is because of the wisdom of my sons who basically said that we can’t just discount everyone who has such ignorant (ie naive and harsh) views because that just leaves us more isolated, and anyhow, by engaging with people you may have opportunities to challenge their views to help them grow as people.

I am so proud of those two ❤…


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© Copyright Brett Edgerton 2025

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Aussie Trumpian

Future Liberal leader or party disruptor? Andrew Hastie and the rise of the ‘Maga right’

Harnessing hate and division, when it has been so thoroughly stoked by the orange despot and his mates afar, must be incredibly enticing to a young man with extreme political aspirations … Now that the hate machine of our domestic far right has run on from the racism they whipped up in the voice referendum to swing to another target – not so much migrants but brown and black migrants – I reckon about now there are many who voted ‘No’ who realise they made a huge mistake thinking they would somehow be safer voting with the xenophobes …

Here’s the thing … there is no end to hate-driven, xenophobic, misogynistic division as someone always thinks they are more ‘pure’ or righteous than others – and they say the left are virtue signallers! – so this won’t end until ONLY people of northern European descent are ‘worthy’ of being Australian and woman are back doing their ‘natural’ duty of looking after their man and raising their children …

People who bought the anti-woke Koolaid have been duped and are simply being used to amass political power by the power-hungry ambitious, like Mr Hastie, whose real aim extends little beyond being just as Elite as anybody either side of the political aisle like to rail against …


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© Copyright Brett Edgerton 2025

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Australia’s Productivity Roundtable: Putting health and wellbeing first

ChatGPT image of “office workers extremely tired and stressed from trying to compete with AI”

All employers are in the extraction business, not just those in the ‘resources’ industry. The resource all employers mine is their people  – specifically their ideas, energy and time – ‘just’ the most personal and precious of our resources which define us as human beings.

Some workplaces have a culture where this mining is done less aggressively, without significant negative impacts on their employees, and where employees might even feel their role provides an opportunity for contributing to broader society. Other employers mine their employees harshly and destructively in a culture which shows all employees that they are commodities alike machines – soulless and replaceable – used up in their production of profits. 

As our system of capitalism has become more and more extreme the latter type of workplace has predominated increasingly.

Workers in our current system of Extreme capitalism have largely accepted the ‘reality’ of modern workplaces continually going through restructure and ‘right sizing’ (i.e. downsizing) of workforces driven by executives’ striving to meet KPIs (to achieve personal material rewards, i.e. bonuses) at the behest of owners’ unquenchable thirst for greater capital returns for their own wealth accumulation. 

More specifically, workers have come to perceive futility at attempting to exert influence over employers as worker protections – actual and cultural within our diverse citizenry – were continually undermined by compliant politicians as the influence of wealth bought the political class, the (former) left as much as the natural home of the ‘greed is good’ credo on the political (now far) right.

Adam Grant is absolutely correct when he says that workplaces are not composed of families but of communities. That is especially so the harsher the workplace. Whether people connect on an authentic level more than on a perfunctory or performative level has more to do with the conditions under which they meet than their own innate characters including desire and ability to connect with others.

That is why people feel more isolated in modern workplaces than 50 years ago, and it is a major factor in why they feel more isolated in their broader lives as work continually encroaches into what should be their personal time. If anything work from home arrangements ameliorate this isolation rather than exacerbate it.

The consequences of this increased aggressive extraction from people are being felt already, and increasingly. For instance, besides increased observation of deteriorating measures of mental health, in the unexplained increased incidence of certain types of cancers in younger people there is likely a (at least partial) causal relationship with increased anxiety and stress.

But let’s not defer to amorphous and nebulous ‘corporations’ or ‘organisations’ to blame. These are indeed communities of human beings and it is human beings who are continuously and actively deciding to mistreat and do harm to other human beings within their communities in the mistaken belief that aspiration to ‘win’ or ‘profit’ justifies just about any means to achieve those ends, just as it is human being not corporations and organisations that will attend this round table.

Even people who give the appearance of having empathy but still, when it comes down to it, knowingly load stress upon others are in effect using their social competence at feigning compassion for personal gain or at least feel equally victim to the culture. For many managers, their expression of empathy and protestations at lacking agency is in fact a strategy to lessen the guilt that they would otherwise feel.

The higher the status within the community the greater the advocacy potential, thus the higher the personal enticements to managers to compromise what it is that makes us human.

It is everyone who must make the decision to treat each other with dignity, compassion and equality, putting the wellbeing of those within our communities above our personal gain and profits.

The role of societal leaders, especially of politicians, is absolutely critical. It is they who set these key societal conditions through laws and enforcement of them, and it is they and their Governments where ultimate credit or blame resides for the consequences of those conditions.

The globalisation of the latter 20th century need not have caused the major social problems it has. These problems were in reality caused by the concomitant increasingly Extreme capitalism meaning that the wealthy Extreme capitalists (Xcaps) were able to garner the great majority of the benefits while workers in developed countries were disadvantaged and became aggrieved, and conditions for workers in poor countries advanced them little away from their precarity if at all.

It was above all else the legal corruption of the political class that foisted increased societal inequality in developed nations and perpetuated it in many developing nations.

The threat of AI replacing jobs adds greater stress upon workers through recognition of greater power shift away from them towards employers. But those efficiencies can improve work conditions and permit (restoration of) work-life balance to all workers if lawmakers are proactive and refuse to be conflicted by the wealth that buys influence over them in a break from the trend of recent decades.

We all need to recognise that societal wealth and technological progress is worse than self-defeating if it comes at the expense of our health and wellbeing rather than enhancing it.

We must, then, make it clear to our politicians that we understand this and will act accordingly, prospectively in the ballot box and retroactively potentially through the legal system (perhaps involving large class actions by those injured in and by Extreme capitalism workplaces).

To facilitate transition (back) to more compassionate workplaces required for healthier work-life balance Governments must lead. Besides there being a moral imperative on politicians to commit to improving the mental health of people in workplaces through legislation and regulation, there is an economic imperative in terms of prospective productivity and to reduce future health costs and risk of legal action for injury done in workplaces allowed to be toxic by permissive Governments.

Every health system acknowledges that an ounce of prevention is better than a pound of cure, and that is especially poignant at this current juncture where far right political actors are doing the work of Xcaps in trying to tear down national medicine procurement programs to increase profits for big pharma.

Personally I consider it a sad indictment on our current Extreme capitalist society that there must be an economic reason for everything including caring. Still, there it is …


Finalised and published in an oncology radiation waiting room


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© Copyright Brett Edgerton 2025

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The Great Reset at Work: An update on connections impacted by toxic workplaces

Three years on from writing “The Great Reset at Work“, readers will be saddened and shocked to learn the progress or fate of my connections that I mentioned therein, because my greatest concerns did not take long to manifest and in the most tragic ways.

I fear that the threat to their psychological safety that all have experienced will have lasting impacts

“The Great Reset at Work” originally published on LinkedIn on 13 July 2022

For the connection who I described as “perhaps the most concerning connection … who is reserved about how they are feeling when the stress and pain is obvious when looking into their eyes”, their outcome has probably been the best as they found a new job giving them purpose and value, but it did involve significant upheaval through international relocation and their role involves significant international travel away from their partner.

The connection who I had in mind with this passage, “[a]nother connection has spoken of altered personality including yelling at colleagues and atypical irritability with loved ones” was particularly vulnerable to workplace manipulation (working for an American multinational) while new to the country (and Western culture) on a temporary work visa, but was such a strong character that they fought back against injustice they received. Consequently they were made redundant in a messy affair which almost drove them to nervous breakdown (which I supported them to avert). Having seen a colleague previously fight the same employer successfully for unfair dismissal, but witnessing all the stress it entailed for minimal return, and given the precarity of their family’s life between a past (developing country) they don’t want to return to and a future still uncertain, they completed their migration taking citizenship and started a new business. They continue to live under a great deal of stress trying to make things work.

The connection who “quit due to stress-related health issues after a 30+ year career in what many would have perceived as significant success in a ‘dream job’” actually worked for a television company in Germany. They have not worked in paid employment since. Instead they bought a small business in a quiet Italian village, but ill-health in the family saw them return home to care for them.

But the saddest story of family loss involves the connection who could not even enjoy vacations from work because colleagues continued to call them with work issues, so much so that they quit while in Italy. They returned to that workplace soon after returning to Norway from that vacation. They had a massive heart attack on the following New Year’s day and could not be revived by their partner and mother of their children. He was only 55 and was extremely fit being an avid mountain biker.

The other connection, my closest connection, who I had mostly in mind when I wrote “I have personally witnessed chronic decaying of personal wellbeing in the form of mental health deterioration expressed in work-related nightmares, depression with bouts of extreme depression, physical cramping, feelings of helplessness and catastrophising, isolation and disengaged/disconnection from loved ones and support networks, loss of self esteem, loss of energy to perform normal daily and personal tasks, and general reduction in capacity and decision-making”, had managed to fake it (i.e. better mental health and capacity than they were actually experiencing) until they made it out and into another workplace, as their therapist had encouraged them to do, before I published “The Great Reset at Work”.

In their new workplace in the first few months it was continually surreal to them how much they prepared for and expected an onslaught of microaggressions in various work settings that never eventuated. When speaking with others who made the same transition the word toxic always was introduced into the conversation by the other in relation to the previous workplace. However, the new workplace has a serious issue with work overload – mostly due to what I have termed on these pages ‘just in case’ tasks the majority of which ultimately get de-prioritised, diminished and/or dropped altogether but never before much effort had already been expended and stress caused – which seriously impacted their ability to recover from the injury done to their mental health in the former toxic workplace.

Then, less than 30 months after leaving the former workplace and starting in the new, they were diagnosed with an aggressive form of cancer and they currently battle for their life. They are the first generation in their family line to live – and work – the majority of their life in a developed nation while their forebears never experience such ill-health and displayed notable longevity living their entire lives in developing nation conditions even into their late 90s.

The causal link between chronic exposure to toxic workplace stress and poor heart health and outcomes is well established, and the degree of causal link to cancer diagnosis, disease progression and recurrence is surely also worthy of careful consideration.

This is clearly a shocking indictment of what are the impacts of working professionally in Extreme capitalism. Unfortunately many continue to trivialise these consequences, and see themselves as either immune to them or at least powerless to effect the necessary change, even in their own behaviours. Unfortunately many will gain the perspective required to extricate themselves or at least set their own firm boundaries to protect their own wellbeing – from colleagues, even apparently empathetic ones, who will continually overload them with tasks and/or unhealthy emotional loads (from microaggressions, etc) – only once the consequences of chronic exposure to work stress are manifest.

Then there are the Xcaps who increasingly argue more and more extreme positions to justify their own sociopathic beliefs, such as Elon Musk taking up the evangelical argument for there being such a thing as ‘toxic empathy’ where “The fundamental weakness of western civilization is empathy“, apparently.

If ever there was an argument for needing to sever the link between wealth and influence it is he.

‘Toxic empathy’ is a fiction to justify a mind made cynical and heart numbed in the context of their own nature and nurture, to make that person feel less alone by perceiving themselves as alike others. It reminded me of how a former (particularly unfriendly) French colleague described an Asian student as being ‘over polite’. Of the many weaknesses of modern western civilisation, inauthentic/insincere/fake empathy is truly profound …


© Copyright Brett Edgerton 2025

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2025: A challenging year

Daily writing prompt
Write a letter to your 100-year-old self.

As I massage the hands of my love,
Her finger tips rawly sensitive and nails lifting,
One of many side-affects of carboplatin treatment,
I reflect on how the only thing I want to be remembered for
Is being the best husband and father I could be.

I ponder for a moment and think of great human beings,
Like Mother Teresa, the Dalai Llama, or Einstein,
Or great political leaders like FDR or Whitlam,
Who did so much for those who entrusted them with
great power to effect change and lead.

And then I think that such leadership does not seem possible anymore,
That we as societies have become far too cynical
And led to believe our self-interest is stronger than our caring.

Or is that just the political class and Xcaps obscuring (their) reality?

For I know in my heart many desperately seek Reset in theirs.

So I continue to massage my loves’ hand till she sleeps
Knowing that loving them really was the best I could do.

Brett Edgerton, 10 March 2025
AI-generated image by ChatGPT
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The Only Sustainable Strategy For An Authentic Centre Left

If it still exists …

“Tax Summit At Kimmel’s”

The following submission is written in full sincerity to be considered at Per Capita Australia’s “Community” Tax summit as a follow on to a debate I had with Emma Dawson, director of PCA, on LinkedIn on 6 Feb 2025 (my post was removed that evening for reasons and in a manner which remain a mystery to me). I won’t pay to attend this summit because I have participated already in too many performative political gatherings where the outcomes have been carefully cultivated and curated, and I would be embarrassed to join that lineup for very obvious reasons (note, I am certain that all of these people are decent human beings but this lack of diversity in contemporary Australia is truly shocking).

I’m going to lay this strategy out in a very specific manner by way of anecdotes, personal experience and observation so as to make it obvious to understand because Extreme capitalism has cast a long shadow which obscures much for many.

When I was a child growing up in North Queensland in the 70s I played footy with all my schoolmates and the father of one of my mates was our coach – he was Johnny Fry. Now Mr Fry worked in the railway and he knocked off work early twice a week to be at school by 3.30pm so that we could finish training and be home by around 5 to do our homework, have a little down time playing and eating dinner with our families, and getting to bed at a reasonable time for primary school children.

Yes, I lived in a small town, but there were adults all over town doing the same thing, and I can only believe that their employers all understood and respected this as a contribution to our community. Probably the lack of lighting facilities back then meant that this was accepted as much in the city as in the country.

In other words, the role of contributing to young peoples’ development was highly respected within communities – as one of many ways to contribute – including by employers, and schedules tailored to what is best for the wellbeing of our children was unquestioned.

This was supported by families because there were lots of parents able to collect children – yes, mainly women (if that makes you bristle, please remain calm – this is not a ‘Tradwife’ argument) – because few families had both parents working 40+ hours a week.

Fast forward to now and what is the situation?

From my family’s experiences, right from under 9s in soccer, and just about any other team sport you can think of, training times all revolve around what suits working parents so that training always commenced after 5pm, often running till after 7pm and sometimes much later.

As a children-centric family with a full time home parent, with our family meal time early (soon after my wife arrived home from work) and the children in bed by 7.30pm routinely while in primary school, we always found this situation challenging.

We also found it confronting and even saddening to attend events at school, like parent-teachers night, seeing children running around the school playground at 5.30pm still in their uniforms having been there since 7.30am and yet to be collected from out of school hours care.

Now as I’ve said in my writing, I am grateful to live in a society where we have choices on how we live our lives, but a good portion of my writing at MacroEdgo was devoted to explaining that there are other ways for families to live a rewarding life, and why my experience of being a stay at home Dad of now 20 years suggested to me that was better for families and societies. (See “Great Reset Era Theme: Investing in family and community” which is actually excerpted from “Full Thoughts On Prof. Michael Sandel’s Meritocracy Discourse: Pt 2“)

I only attended one parents and citizens meeting while my children were at primary school because it’s futility quickly became obvious. Even though I was in the school grounds every day, sometimes for a few hours, and at every sporting event, I didn’t recognise any of the parents on the parents’ committee. They were all full time working parents and it was clear that they were most concerned with ensuring that the school resources were used to achieve their own goals rather than those of the broad school community. For example, one point of strong contention with the Principal was over their insistence that the groundsman be made to come in midway through the Christmas holiday period to mow the entire school grounds because their children would be attending the vacation care facilities (and they took a lot of placating from the Principal that it simply was not possible given departmental directives on leave).The group controlling the presentation of interests from the family community were in reality representing one small fraction of the school community – the professional working parents – and they were well equipped to do so given their familiarity with networking and lobbying for influence.

This is how I see much of the advocacy for families in the Australian political landscape. And perhaps that is why those controlling the ‘interests’ of the mainstream Left are at least as reluctant to adopt authentic representative democracy as those on the Right.

Now I can understand how a group that has experienced historical disadvantage, at least on the basis of one trait, that being gender, could find it challenging to change tack now that it would appear they are in a position to gain privilege from a long period of intense lobbying.

Nonetheless, this debate over facilitating more parents to work more hours – not that it was ever really had in this society because both mainstream right and left parties adopted the same neoliberal ‘aspiration’ narrative in search of productivity and economic growth – is rapidly being made moot by innovation and technological development in terms of artificial intelligence and autonomous mechanisation.

Regardless of whether you believe in the workaholic ethos with a ‘side-hustle’ or two to ‘succeed’ and be a ‘winner’, and you’re actually refractory to burnout, this reality is going to catch up with you. Even budding Xcaps out of ivy league institutions who have entered the shrines of Extreme capitalism on Wall St, New York, are learning this, after having glimpsed the extreme privilege that previous cohorts had vacuumed up for themselves, as they have been cast out and are trying to scrape together a living as financial influencers on YouTube and elsewhere.

Society is changing rapidly and political and economic strategies aimed at solving the problems of 20 years ago will rapidly look even more farcical than they do now. 

For example, as some proponents from the CALD community highlight, equity measures that don’t foster inclusion but actually do the opposite, because justice and compassion are not the real driving forces, reveal how the already privileged are using DEI to maintain status. The reason why I do not join with others authentically in search of justice speaking out against DEI is because I know that by far the most ‘popular’ reasoning against it is borne of xenophobia, and that the real problem is not with DEI but the way DEI has been implemented and practised to maintain especially white privilege. A pile on risks setting things back even further. (The same reason why the Referendum for the First Nations Voice to Parliament failed and worse, leading ‘No’ First Nations voices suggesting colonialisation was positive for them pushed back recent progress.)

Which brings me to the constituency of the speakers assembled for this summit in their stale and pale homogeneity which is entirely self-evident to the point of being embarrassing in this day and age. (Note that even though Jimmy Kimmel had slightly fewer invited guests, there was actually ONE person of obvious Asian descent around his table).

I have been involved with and sincerely contributed to enough political ‘consultation’ processes over the past 2 decades to know that they are typically performances to arrive at predetermined outcomes. At a guess the predetermined outcomes of this gathering revolve mainly around female equality which in this system of Extreme capitalism essentially amounts to policies aimed at facilitating parents working more hours, thus leading to more time where families are apart.

If that is accurate, this summit will be a pointless attempt to solve the problems that should have been solved decades ago rather than address the real issues that we confront now, and if they were acknowledged and addressed could make a genuine contribution to society therby placing the progressive Left at the centre of political debate for all of the right reasons.

Besides failing to address racism, the mainstream Left has let itself down in being wedded to this ridiculous protestant theology that idle hands do the devil’s work leading to neoliberal concepts of unending aspiration for more and more – fancier status symbols of privilege, both immovable (large, modern homes) and mobile (expensive, new cars and clothing).

‘Dignity of work’ bunkum has in part sponsored the proliferation of bullshit jobs, as the self-interest (greed is good credo) of Extreme capitalism pervades every workplace, and everyone observes our political and social leaders building empires and privilege, looking out for Number 1, encouraging everyone else to co-opt any resources at their own disposal – including human capital – to work towards their own goals rather than bottom line goals of organisations whether they be for profit or not (see, for example, “If Quiet Quitting Results in Reduced Production – A Big ‘IF’​ – Then It Was Production That Never Was Paid For“).

Already a lot of work is pointless. If we cannot accept the need to Reset to a different model of sustainable living, where we work less but more meaningful hours and where we identify more broadly with our full roles in society, then the mental health crises of adult and child anxiety and depression will continue to grow.

Now it is clear that much writing on LinkedIn from professional women who are also mothers amounts to supporting each other through guilt, and I have made it clear in my writing that I have no intentions of writing in a way – like they do – to soothe that guilt. Rather I think that people should not only acknowledge that guilt but they should sit in it and deliberate on why it is they feel it because there might just be some important messages to be heard if they can open up to them. 

I believe manic activity by many parents – which often flows through into much extracurricular activity for children and little quality free time or rest – is in large part a product of that guilt for many parents and their attempt at avoidance.

If we liberate ourselves from the societal pressure to have it all and be it all, I am certain that many people will decide to work fewer hours. Moreover, even though I would encourage every father I knew to do just that, I could easily imagine more women would do that than men and would feel a great sense of relief. 

Then again, with reduced hours it could well be possible for 2 parents to work a fulltime 4 day week, or 30 hours a week, with the children spending much of their time outside of school hours with at least one parent.

I wrote “The Great Reset” at the end of March 2020 when almost everybody else was still struggling to understand what humanity confronted. Yes, once the concept was picked up by the World Economic Forum and (then) Prince Charles, and the concept of Reset appeared in the local context in a book by Ross Garnaut, the looney conspiracy theorist Right attempted to discredit it and some have backed away from using the terminology.

However, ‘Reset’ has undeniably become one of the organisational buzzwords of the post-pandemic era.

The truth is that this concept of Reset still represents a golden opportunity to the Left. There is no doubt that many are very tired of Extreme capitalism – it is everywhere on LinkedIn from discussion of burnout and extreme fatigue as people question what it is they’re doing on this hamster wheel of a life that they have acquiesced to, not chosen, and as they search for balance and meaning in life. The response to Luigi Mangioni’s brutally calculated murder of health insurance executive Brian Thompson is another expression of the same.

Moreover, I’m willing to bet that for all of the popular talk amongst two income families about how challenging home schooling was during the pandemic, the old “deathbed conversation” metric of true meaning will prove quite different, and I would expect that with the further passage of time the children remember this period fondly as a time of togetherness and connection with family when they had the attention of their parents, and they went for walks in the park together.

Now this is where the experience of being a male full time parent is pivotal because I understand as well as any how isolating it is and how vulnerable a parent who does not work finds themself in this society built on Extreme capitalism. I realised over 10 years ago, having depleted my meagre superannuation from my working years to cover life insurances, etc to put as much of our single income towards home ownership, that if my marriage were to breakdown I would be at risk of homelessness without the potential at all of resuming my prior career.

That is why I understand it is absolutely imperative that there are taxation measures for lesser and non-working parents not just to support them but to recognise their contributions to society (e.g. access to a second tax-free threshold on the working parent’s income, even if the refund is directly into the superannuation account of the non/minimal working parent). A government investment in family and community.

Initially working fewer hours will be attainable without reducing income due to increased productivity attained by eliminating bullshit jobs. However, increasingly taxation will need to tax machines (instead of human salaries) by taxing capital (business and wealth).

I think all serious thinkers on the progressive Left know that a universal basic income is an absolute necessity and it is time to start moving towards that now while labour still has some power against capital (and Xcaps).

Now all of this would be good news for a real party on the Left – in fact it represents a political golden opportunity of multifaceted proportions. 

For one, it’s going to happen anyway. AI is going to necessitate fewer human working hours. We can be afraid of that and allow anxieties to continue to brew, looking at the Jetson’s (and John Maynard Keynes predictions for that matter) as an unrealistic pipedream – continuing to create work for the sake of it which makes more people even more anxious and depressed because they know it is ultimately pointless – or we can embrace it and lead people to understand the very, very significant benefits that it can bring them in their lives and in all the lives of those they love.

But the real gift for the Left is this – this absolutely goes across the full, broad strata of society, thereby enabling a narrative – for the first time in history – that can accommodate both blue collar and white collar workers that says that a balanced, dignified, healthy and rich life is attainable.

It allows for all of the nostalgia of a simpler, inclusive, more egalitarian life, but one with all of the systemic benefits of a prosperous and developed society, without resorting to the lie that a society that has never dealt with a horrific racist past could ever have been great. 

The only real problem that the mainstream Left has is getting their own Xcap powerbrokers to part with their inequitably, disproportionate privilege.

I would not be surprised if another pre-determined outcome to this shindig is to recommend limiting negative gearing to new build homes (some speakers have a varied history on housing policy). I wrote to Labor’s newly installed Prime Minister Kevin Rudd recommending him to do that, along with ex-Queensland Premier Anna Bligh, on 11 December 2007. God help us all if Xcaps still have a stranglehold on our politics 17 years from now … 


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© Copyright Brett Edgerton 2025

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Unheeded Prescience

In my 18 year history of blogging and writing essays on socioeconomics, most of my analysis details a contrarian view on contemporary society and what is and has gone wrong, often with a warning on what is likely to happen if authentic corrective measures are not taken.

My choice of ‘homes4aussies’ as my website name and blogging ‘handle’ in 2007 is instructive. Some have confused my intention as nationalistic, but anyone who read my material from then or since will know that it is hugely out of character and inconsistent with my views on the value and importance of the global village and immigration and multiculturalism in Australia.

The simple truth is that I chose ‘homes4aussies’ as the name for my blog as a warning to the newly installed Labor federal government under Kevin Rudd that this is the direction that the debate over housing affordability will inevitably take if left unaddressed. 

My mistake then was in thinking that Labor authentically supported multiculturalism.

Almost 18 years later Labor is dog whistling xenophobes in seeking to introduce foreign student caps as a measure to address a housing affordability crisis now well into its third decade!

My most recent writing on Xcaps might come across to some readers as a step up in emotion … even angry. In truth it is probably a return to the level of emotion I put into my ‘homes4aussies’ days as well as the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic when I argued on MacroEdgo for the primacy of protecting human life.

The reason for that is that I am genuinely deeply concerned for where our society is heading – I think that any close observer feels the same, and that was heightened this week in seeing how the general public, and very much including the young, had a more nuanced view on the murder of Brian Thompson CEO of a large US health insurer by ivy league graduate Luigi Mangione ranging from seeing equivalency in his murder to the preventable deaths of very many clients of health insurers denied access to life saving drugs in the name of profiteering through to outright praise for Mangione’s actions in an ‘eye for an eye’ biblical sense and calls for his release.

For an especially well-rounded discussion of the state of the medical system and health insurance in America I recommend this article by Dhruv Khullar in The New Yorker (h/t Bob Sutton for posting the link on BlueSky).


In my earlier article defining the term Xcap (Exreme capitalist) and explaining how they have come to control almost all political power in our societies I included a popular cartoon that circulated in the days after the event.

Here is another possibly even more popular cartoon which captures the essence of the moment in a broader way as I have also done in my writing. The cartoon captures how this moment is really about inequality and how Xcaps were up till a week ago salivating at their continued agency at capturing most of the benefits of the dawning of the 4th industrial revolution (through AI) with recent extra surety provided by the imminent return to power of alpha Xcap, President-elect Donald J Trump.

Cartoon circulated widely (this one alone reposted 3,000 times garnering 17,400 likes) on BlueSky on 14 December

In my essay from 12 January 2024 “The Great Reset: Investment implications” I explained the current state of manipulated markets especially in the US as the cause of growing inequality and what are the factors that will allow Xcaps to continue to grow their egregious privilege:

[Market dynamics are based on] pure speculation because the most important consideration relates to the degree to which the system will be gamed in the future. Will this extreme form of capitalism, or indeed technofeudalism, persist into the future or will society resist the trend and if so, do ordinary people collectively have the power to turn the system towards one fairer to all?

As the cartoon and my posts over the past week illustrates, the public reaction to Mangione’s murder of Thompson increases the perception that ordinary people are so angry with the Xcaps for their domination of our socioeconomic system – through trickle down economics –  that they will resist, and potentially in dramatic fashion.

Before moving on, however, and going further than saying just that I am a pacifist and believe in non-violence even in the face of oppression, I want to be very clear that I feel extremely sad that Brian Thompson will not see his two sons’ lives unfold, and that two young boys will not share their lives with their Dad.

That is extremely sad. It is extremely sad whenever it happens through any cause, and there is not ifs, buts or maybes – no qualifications.

One of my earliest essays at MacroEdgo.com entitled “The Authenticity Piece For Leadership Is Right In My Wheelhouse“, in part inspired by the many shocking stories that emerged from the Australian Royal Commission into Misconduct in the Banking and Finance Industry, discussed how insurance workers must gradually compromise themselves and lose their authenticity, concluding with:

What concerns me most when the Royal Commission is discussed is that there does not seem to be enough accountability directed towards the lower levels. Sure the highest levels should pay a price – a real price – not a golden parachute out. Anybody involved with treating others so despicably really should receive a punitive action which makes them reflect on the poor decisions that they too made.

It is simply not good enough to say it was the company that made them do it – it was many human beings doing bad things to other vulnerable human beings.

The full text of that section is reproduced below.*

Of course COVID-19 was the ideal cover for Xcap politicians to conveniently forget about this Royal Commission which unearthed so much harm done to people in the name of corporate profits, and with most recommendations still unactioned, given that the banking and financial industry is one of the most politically powerful lobbies in Australia, there remains little hope for meaningful reform to stop egregious profiteering and mistreatment of vulnerable people.


Now I am going to turn to talk about something that I mentioned in a comment to a post on BlueSky in recent days – and which is a key difference between my writing and the cartoon above – that being the cartoon referring to ‘wealthy elites’ and my writing over the past week talking about Extreme capitalists, Xcaps for short.

Steve Rattner, a very well known veteran of the US fund management industry, and currently managing the philanthropic fund of Michael Bloomberg, showed a graph of corporate profits versus Americans’ income as a reason – correctly – for their growing inequality saying this is why many Americans are ‘unhappy’. Of course my substantive point was that the social media outpouring showed Americans were more than ‘unhappy’.

Concluding my comment I ‘teased’ that I would be writing again on Xcaps, in part to explain why not all wealthy Elites are Xcaps, and why not all Xcaps are wealthy.

In my writing, too, I have frequently used the general term of ‘wealthy Elites’ extensively, but over the past week I decided now is the appropriate time to differentiate and be more specific in referring to Xcaps.

As early as May 2020 when talking about insufficient responses to COVID-19 by especially conservative politicians in an essay entitled “Your Life: Something the elites have always been prepared to sacrifice for their ends” I felt the need to clarify that there are wealthy Elites whom I do respect. These people I described as:

those who authentically understand the privilege that they have enjoyed, usually from birth by virtue of the luck of being born in a developed country or into middle class even if they consider themselves ‘self-made’, as well as respect and appreciate relationships with other human beings especially the people who loved and guided them.

In another essay later in 2020, “How Might Milton Friedman Respond To The COVID-19 Pandemic“, I elaborated on this in detail and that discussion is reproduced in full below.^ 

Though among the wealthy Elite they clearly are outnumbered, there are people who have become wealthy in this period of Extreme capitalism who are good and decent and who try to do good by (all?) other human beings 

For a start, any wealthy Elite prepared to point to growing inequality in America must have an open enough heart to have a mind willing to recognise and acknowledge it.

Most Xcaps deny inequality or justify it on the basis of their desire and aggressive advocacy for increasingly Extreme capitalism.

The greatest capitalists of the Extreme capitalism era, Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger, are two of the most decent, authentic, and warm-hearted human beings of any era. Warren has long argued to pay more tax noting that he pays a lower percentage of his earnings in tax than the people who work in his office, and he is giving away the majority of his wealth in a manner – unlike Xcaps – where he is not seeking to acquire additional privileges or influence from it. Charlie, who passed last year, was so aggrieved at the poor state of the American medical industry that he got personally involved and tried to sort out chronic problems.

Charlie’s hilarious take downs of another alpha Xcap in Elon Musk was another service to all of humanity that has left a void even if many others on social media now are doing a great job at it.

The simple reality is that the voices of the fair-minded wealthy Elite are largely drowned out by the aggressively outspoken Xcaps, and that is magnified by their owning of the majority of politicians, and especially the power brokers, who must also be considered Xcaps.

Now anybody who supports the continuation of Extreme capitalism, who shouts down on social media or in person attempts to strengthen meagre social safety nets with rhetoric that such measures are socialist or even Marxist has to be considered an Xcap.

Yes, many of these people are foolishly supporting a system which has hurt them and they are unwittingly supporting the continuation of their own vulnerability, but they are doing the work of embedding Extreme capitalism and the privilege of Xcaps.

Wealthy Xcaps want their gravy of obscene privilege from their wealth to continue flowing and will go to extreme measures to protect and grow their privilege. Xcaps that are not wealthy have been brainwashed over their lifetimes into a deep belief and support for a system that offers a level of privilege beyond their wildest dreams to the few who somehow ‘hustle’ ‘enough’ to make it into the 1% of wealth in society, and they are prepared to defend that ever-shrinking chance while narrowing their sense of civic fairness in doing so.


We human beings are imperfect but I steadfastly retain an enormous optimism in the goodness at the core of the human condition which with quality leadership could build such a beautiful and kind global society.

Xcaps and their conservative news media chastising ordinary people for lacking compassion to people who have lived increasingly comfortable lives by profiteering from the misery of others, while themselves creating division and promulgating a less compassionate society where selfishness is not just excused but venerated, is rich to say the least.

Xcap exuberance at the incoming XXcap White House administration was not so much shattered by a brutal and calculated murder but a more jarring public response in support of those actions.

Everyone would do well to note the signs inherent within the events of the past week and a bit.

The difficulty is that when so much populism and division is created within societies, as the Xcaps have generated as epitomised by the January 6 2021 insurgence of the US capitol, the path of least resistance – the path that cold and calculating politicians will always choose – is to continue to drive people further to the extreme.

If Xcaps do that then civil war is not just a possibility it is the most likely outcome. This conclusion disturbs me and I hate saying it – in fact I feel like Mel Gibson’s character in the motion picture “The Patriot” – but sadly my logic leads me to that inescapable conclusion.

In fact, the cold civil war that has been raging in the US and other Western nations turning into a hot war is more likely than the same happening between America (and allies?) and China, according to my uncanny prescience …


*What I have come to realise is that most of us from our earliest times are taught what is ideal behaviour for the society in which we live, and co-operation and generosity is universal in human societies.

At some point in a person’s development, however, we begin to understand that not everyone behaves in an ideal manner. And we notice that, whether it is when they are driving or while at sporting events, even our own parents do not always behave in a manner consistent with those lofty ideals that they espoused when we were younger, and most likely they still encourage them from us.

We all learn, some earlier than others, that those who “get ahead” often compromise on these ideals. And gradually we become desensitised to those little compromises and deviations from the ideal that we all make.

So let’s imagine one day you join an organisation, and maybe that is an Australian bank, perhaps in the insurance arm which has developed a culture of selling some policies which are essentially worthless as they are almost impossible to claim on, and delaying on legitimate claims by terminally ill patients thereby decreasing the probability that the claimant will live long enough for an automatic policy reset to occur so that the estate can claim under the death benefit. These are all issues that were raised during the Royal Commission with the terribly sad stories attached. 

After a while you realise what is occurring and you have a moral dilemma on whether you will continue on with the employer or leave. Now this is a large organisation, one of the best-known companies and one of the  largest listed on the Australian Stock Exchange, and you enjoy a good remuneration and other benefits which make you feel secure. You decide to stay.

After a while you move into an area that is selling the worthless policies which is an open if infrequently discussed secret. You’ve already made compromises in staying with the employer because you realised that what the business is doing is not consistent with your morals when you joined. You have told yourself that others are doing it – and they seem like good people, so it cannot be that bad what you are doing, right? – and anyhow, what good would you be doing in making a moral stance by leaving, especially when that would decrease the security of your own family? Afterall, the experience has already taught you that there are unfortunates in our society and you really would not want to fall into the have-not category. But you are not an executive anyhow – it’s they who are making the decisions and must take the majority of responsibility for the actions of the organisation.

You notice a creep in how you feel at work, and you have a few drinks most nights with your partner to take the edge off, and are a bit more snappy with the children, but you generally feel (mostly) proud when you explain your career progression in your social circles.

Then you get a tap on the shoulder and are promoted to be a manager in the claims department. The claims department is quite separate from the sales department, so you were not all that familiar with how things worked there, but it became clear in the first few weeks that upper management is forcing on you and your subordinates a go slow on claims by seriously and terminally ill people. You manage people who have to deal with claimants on the phone and it’s a high stress position. But they are well paid, relative to remuneration from other employers, to compensate them for the stress and you all share in a generous bonus pool which is related, either explicitly or implicitly, to how well the flow of claims is slowed.

You realise that sleeping well is a thing of the past and it takes a little more alcohol to take the edge off these days. But you rationalise in the same ways as earlier – and if you did not do the job then somebody else would only be too keen to step up and take it on, and you have those school fees and the mortgage to pay. Honestly, would it really be any different for those claimants regardless of whether you are in that position or somebody else? Your employer is just going to keep on doing the same thing anyhow.

I have no experience of working in a bank or for an insurer, but the actual progression for the human beings who were the employees who carried out the actions which were detailed in the Royal Commission had to be something along those lines. At least it would have been for the ones who possessed some sort of moral compass when they joined the organisation – the completely inauthentic psychopaths, the scoundrels, did not have the empathy and compassion to give a second thought right from the start.

What concerns me most when the Royal Commission is discussed is that there does not seem to be enough accountability directed towards the lower levels. Sure the highest levels should pay a price – a real price – not a golden parachute out. Anybody involved with treating others so despicably really should receive a punitive action which makes them reflect on the poor decisions that they too made.

It is simply not good enough to say it was the company that made them do it – it was many human beings doing bad things to other vulnerable human beings.

Moreover, the authentic whistleblowers should absolutely be venerated and celebrated!


^I do not identify with those who list very wealthy individuals saying that it is obscene that they have accumulated such wealth. If they hurt people, either knowingly or by choosing to remain ignorant to it, in accumulating that wealth, then I would certainly consider them as deplorable. 

Of course I prefer that everybody on this Earth does what they can to assist other people, so obviously I would hope that people of greater means undertake genuinely significant philanthropic activities aimed at making a difference for others (rather than just promoting themselves in social circles, or only engaging in egotistical and vain projects with lesser returns to humanity, or to gain goodwill which will be cashed in later for personal advantage.) I must admit, however, that in my day to day life in the suburbs I regularly encounter people who say that they can not afford to donate to charities or give of their time or in some other capacity.

I believe that giving is relative to what you have, and I have learned many times over through my life and on my travels, especially in developing countries, that one has something to give as soon as one has something, and even before that we have ourselves to give.

While perhaps it is a greater pity that somebody with means to make a more significant difference, whether that is due to their wealth or their public profile or position, declines to do so, I do not care for any mean-spirited person irrespective of their means.

Foremost among the many undeniable elites who I admire would be Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger, Bill Gates, and George Soros. I also know, for certain, that there would be many, many more who I would like and respect if I were to know them personally or observe them often and closely enough to be able to develop an informed opinion.

As I look at that list it strikes me that they are all white American men. There are some Australian men I might include such as John Hewson (I mentioned my admiration before on these pages) and probably Mike Cannon Brookes (but I do not really know that much about him).

Interestingly much of the elite political leadership that I admire presently are women including Jacinda Ardern, Christine Lagarde, Ursula von der Leyen and Kristalina Georgieva – so mostly white European women.

I also have to say that I have been impressed by some more of these individuals, who belong to a very fortunate and privileged group within society, in how they have responded to the outpouring of emotion and drive for societal change through the Black Lives Matter protests following the murder of George Floyd. Here I would make special mention of the African-American businesswoman Ursula Burns, the former CEO of Xerox, who I knew little of before but who I found extremely impressive. But there were also other white men whose response was impressive and suggested that real, durable change is finally possible.

The truth is that I like people, and I want to believe the best in all people, so it fills me with pride when I see good people stand up to be counted and try to be the best version of themselves to the benefit of humanity. And I tend to be fiercely loyal to someone once they have shown themselves to be authentic.


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© Copyright Brett Edgerton 2024

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Xcap

A social media post widely circulated and garnering many ‘likes’ on 11 December 2024

Noun. Short for Extreme capitalist. Antonym of woke. Someone with an unshakeable faith in and support for: manipulated markets to transfer wealth from the poor and vulnerable to the wealthy Elite; small government and thus limited to zero social safety nets and social justice programs (such as universal health and DEI initiatives); greed and selfishness being the prime human driver instead of collaboration and inclusion, to justify and perpetuate the trickle down system that sustains the privilege of the 1%; other humans being commoditised machines (interchangeable and disposable) only necessary in the production of wealth unless or until actual machines and/or AI can replace them; the natural world and resources only having value when used to enrich the Elite irrespective and in spite of consquent harms including to broad humanity; and the drive to win at wealth accumulation justifying any and all behaviours.

Xcaps thus typically exhibit anti-social traits and prejudicial behaviours ranging from unconscious bias to overt bigotry on the basis of class, race, gender, sexual orientation, etc, and sew seeds of populism and division. 

Even when belonging to one of those marginalised subgroupings themselves, Xcaps hate of wokes and ‘wokism’ overpowers their broader sense of social justice.

Xcaps have succeeded in having their system of Extreme capitalism entrenched in former liberal capitalistic democracies by corrupting the political system, buying the major political parties and their power brokers on either side of the former political divide, thereby pulling the political centre to the right. 

Xcap politicians conflicted by donations to their parties, and by their self-interest in extracting rents (wealth and privilege) from their position of political power, argue in support of Extreme capitalism; that contemporary markets are best able to lead and solve the problems collectively faced by humanity with inequality an unavoidable byproduct. 

Xcap politicians have not, however, answered the question of why their roles remain necessary in a system where they have abdicated their responsibility to lead, instead focusing efforts on consolidating their own power – from those who would disrupt the cosy relationship between narrowing dominant political parties – thereby increasing their agency to extract additional self-interested rents from their political power.

The late 2024 murder of Brian Thompson, the CEO of a major American health insurer, by 26 year old ivy league graduate engineer Luigi Mangione was the first challenge to the Xcaps’ domination.

Instead of condemnation for murder, many American citizens took to social media to condemn the actions of health insurers,  considering their executives guilty of murder, and valorising Mangione for his actions. 

As 2025 draws near, along with it the commencement of potentially the most oppressive US Government since slavery was abolished, led by an alpha Xcap Donald J Trump, Xcaps are faced with a choice between continuing along their path of being confined to ever-shrinking islands of egregious prosperity guarded more and more aggressively from the tired and poor whose ranks grow in size and desperation, leading to a Mad Max Darwinian state and potentially civil war(s) which will likely bring a violent end to the era of Extreme capitalism …

OR

Xcaps can voluntarily relinquish their power in a safely controlled manner, and co-operate in instituting genuine social justice with compassionate inclusion the overriding imperative.

Possessing all of the political power at this present moment, Xcaps can collectively and individually argue their own utility and co-operate in The Great Reset to place all of humanity on an optimistic and sustainable path, or continue to live selfishly in the moment in a world decreasingly hospitable especially to Xcaps until their inevitable demise …


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© Copyright Brett Edgerton 2024

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Shrinking Islands Of Prosperity

Dall.E AI-generated image from the following word prompt: Draw a pencil sketch of wealthy people flying between islands of prosperity that are guarded by heavily armed gunships to keep out the tired and poor.

I wrote the following article a fortnight ago and, as I do sometimes, I sat on it to ponder whether I might just be going ‘too’ far and that I might be seen as ‘extreme’ … and then news of this breaks on 6 December Australian time …

Brian Thompson’s killing sparks outrage over state of US healthcare

In the aftermath of the killing of United Healthcare CEO Brian Thompson, while Thompson’s colleagues grieve and politicians decry his murder, some online discussion has shown little sympathy for Thompson or the industry he represented.

Instead, social media has been in engulfed in expressions of anger at many Americans’ dire experiences at the hands of health insurance companies and outrage at the large profits that they generate.

My article drafted 26 November follows …

Already in America there are people deeply afraid of political persecution in ‘Trump 2 (infinity)’ which Trump asserted throughout his campaign would occur. These are not aggressive people but activists for a more compassionate and fairer America and American leadership of the ‘free’ world. 

These apostrophes deliberately point at all of the things that we took for granted about our ‘liberal’ ‘capitalistic’ ‘democracies’ and which have unraveled.

The continual demonisation of ‘wokes’ for daring to aspire to a more sustainable humanity through inclusion, equity, and above all else compassion, has led to them (us) being enemy number 1 to the ultraconservative Trumpist mob.

Two points.

1) what happens in America flows here to Australia quickly, and the – increasingly ultra – conservative elements in Australia are keen to make opportunistic use of the political division and tumult their American ideologues have sewn; and

2) in history there have been periods, sometimes long periods, where human beings have had their commonly accepted rights and freedoms oppressed, but no regime lasts forever, and the violence of that repression is often visited upon the oppressors when that regime changes even when the oppressed are justice-seeking, fair-minded, compassionate people.

Change will be met with a mix of ‘turning the other cheek’ and ‘an eye for an eye’; in what proportion and exactly how justice is meted out at such moments is unpredictable and indeterminable in advance.

On thing is for certain – those who expressed their power and privilege most conspicuously in the oppressive regime attract most attention for retribution.

I am a pacifist and believe deeply in non-violence.

I also believe deeply in goodness and kindness at the core of the human condition. 

Dall.E AI-generated image from 27 November 2024.

But this is not what Extreme capitalism preaches, and there are consequences to decades of telling people that it is both natural to be selfish and to return to a primitive caveman state when pushed because that narrative suits the Elites feeding at the table of over-abundance and gluttony while the majority of humanity are meant to be satisfied with struggling to gather what little trickles down to them.

Thus far the pervasive propaganda machine of the right has succeeded in convincing many of those who would benefit from social justice initiatives ending that trickle down system, especially related to health, DEI and broader ESG issues, to reject and protest against these initiatives.

However, there will come a day when even those vulnerable to believing in saviours will see that their ultraconservative emperors have been deceiving them.

I realise that it is a stretch to expect the small and extremely privileged group of Elites who benefited so greatly from this trickle down system to give up even a little of their privilege – after all the mere threat of it is what provoked them to begin culture wars  – and suddenly adopt altruistic behaviours, so I will use the ultimate self-interest argument.

It would pay all of you Extreme capitalists to ponder on where the polarisation that is being caused by inequality and popularism is leading us. If this period of Extreme capitalism ends not in a Great Reset as I have written, but by the Extreme capitalists pushing society even further to the extreme causing an even stronger snap back when that power derived from wealth is no longer sufficient to constrain it, who do you think the mob will go after?

Already things have been extreme enough in the US for the mob to go after politicians.

If the pendulum is pushed even further, regardless of whether Trump and his closest allies are seen as the ultimate swamp dwellers they are, wealthy Elites who have brought a lot of attention onto themselves through their conspicuous consumption and other expressions of their privilege may come to regret their greed-filled actions.

Globally there is a shrinking of ‘islands of prosperity’, due to inequality and the climate crisis, which to be secured must be guarded more and more forcefully by the global ‘haves’ from the ‘have nots’. The ongoing issues in the Suez canal is just one example.

The same will happen within those generally prosperous islands as inequality continues to grow. 

I explained all of this in simple terms in my earliest writing at MacroEdgo including in “Investment Theme: Defense and Military Spending” and “The Conundrum Humanity Faces: But nobody admits“, and it has been restated throughout much of my writing, most recently in “Reset: Chapter 5“.

Sure, the privileged Extreme capitalists will have the wealth to pay for protective security which will work… for a while … 

But even then their privilege really must be blinding them if they believe it is a worthwhile life they are leading on shrinking islands of prosperity as the throng ‘outside’ grow in number and desperation …

Addendum: Below is the Dall.E image that I generated on 26 November for this post – I’m glad I went with the shrinking islands of prosperity prompt … I hate conflict and gun violence, especially, and this does jar my PTSD … but if we are clear on where this is all heading there is a chance we will not repeat our mistakes … the solution, of course, is connection and compassion, not domination and inequality …

Word prompt: Draw a pencil sketch of modern day civil war in New York with one side wearing business suits, the other wearing baseball caps and old, frayed clothing.

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© Copyright Brett Edgerton 2024

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Australia’s Housing Crisis Is No Black-eyed Swan Event 17 years In The Making

AI generated image of an arrogant but powerful man with a huge jaw standing over another who is trying to put forward his reasonable point of view.

How would it play out, in the media, and I guess I’d better include the courts, if a bloke at a community gathering with senior politicians – cabinet ministers – did a Ron Casey on one of them?

See, I nearly did this in 2008. I REALLY nearly did it!

I was recovering from a nervous breakdown which I had after quitting my career as a world-renowned research scientist. I had returned from 2 prestigious international fellowships and couldn’t get a job, and wanting to start a family before the biological clock took that chance away from us, and with house prices having over doubled in the short period we were away and resettled after returning, and then our rent being increased by 30% in one year taking home ownership further away from us, I had quit my career to become a stay at home dad… and did I mention by this time our second child was on the way …

And, well, I was really vulnerable, to say the least.

And that powerful politician answered to my face the question that I had posed to him as the Treasurer of the country, along with Prime Minister Rudd, and Anna Blye (then Qld Premier, now head of the bank lobby, of course) in a letter as to whether negative gearing might be restricted to new builds before being eliminated.

I had really soaked up the “bringing back the fair go” message from their recent election and I thought they were fair dinkum.

Boy was I wrong to believe them!

As I approached Wayne Swan to request a direct conversation, from a metre away I was taken by how his oversized mandible was even larger in real life…

and when he looked me in the eyes and said, “you’re dreaming if you think negative gearing will ever be ended”

his huge jaw was all I could look at as my mind had already calculated that he was within easy reach of my right hook.

At that split moment my mind shifted from the controlled (but feeling much smaller) man in the above AI generated image to another (former) version of myself (below) …

AI generated image of angry men fighting

Keep in mind that I grew up in a culture where my parents’ school friend Warwick Crossland, a really nice bloke, was widely admired as the “King of Kurrumba”, the best bar brawler in the Gulf.

Somehow I stopped myself from reacting to Swan’s vile taunt.

Honestly I still don’t really know how I did.

As I walked away from the throng of people surrounding him and the others I was in a state of anxious shock – at what was said to me and at what I actually contemplated in a split moment of my life when so much could have changed depending on my reaction.

I literally shook all of the half hour drive home and the first thing I said to my wife is that I nearly punched the Treasurer of the country.

Over the past 17 years I’ve often deliberated about that moment in 2008 when I almost lost control and punched Australian Treasurer Wayne Swan in the jaw, and it still brings echoes of the strong anxiety I felt then. But the overriding question remains what might have happened because the court of public opinion would have been critical, not just the judicial court, in what happened.

Now as a lad from the country, not a faux larrikin as all those pollies become outside of the CBD, I well know the Aussie pub test goes along the line of …

“Well Swan was being a prick, and Edgo just dropped one on his jaw – he gave him what he deserved just like anyone being a goose around here on a Friday night would get”.

Don’t agree? What did Mick Dundee do to the arrogant New Yorker who took him and his ‘sheila’ to a swanky Italian restaurant to show him up? Mick gave him a quick chop across the jaw, politely out of sight of the lovely lady so as not to embarrass her.

And didn’t we all love it!

So I ask again, how does this play out?

Because, to be honest, it’s a question I’ve asked myself a lot over the years. I even wonder whether it might not have been such a pivotal moment that maybe the whole history of the Australian housing bubble might be very different if I did not manage to control myself and show the decency that Wayne Swan arrogantly failed to show me …

I do pride myself on being a thought-leading progressive man and exemplary role model to my sons.

But like all human beings I do try to calculate the pros and cons to my actions which flow from my values …

And, after all, the same narrative that excuses selfish behaviour as human nature also says we will revert to our primitive caveman state when provoked sufficiently …

So maybe, just maybe, on that one occasion the ends may have justified the (aggressive and uncontrolled) means.

Rest assured, President (of federal ALP) Swan is well aware that he has an open invitation from me to step outside and settle things the way men from the country do on occasions. I know for sure that I’ll enjoy the support of generations of young and not so young Aussies that have been deeply hurt by another 17 years in the squeeze of entirely unnecessary atmospherically high housing prices.

But I’ll settle for a public apology from Swan and a commitment from the Labor party to be authentic and ensure their actions mirror the values they spruik …


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© Copyright Brett Edgerton 2024

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Time To Drain The Billabong

AI generated image

The factor likely the most important in the US election result is also the most unlikely to be discussed – because it suits neither major party nor powerful interests to highlight it.

You see when I talked about the West led by America moving towards fascism in “Reset” I was not only talking about (far) right major parties.

The dragging to the right of politics means that most major parties are to the right of centre by the standards of 50 years ago.

It was, after all, a progressive right wing (Republican) President in Nixon that put a great deal of political effort into introducing the equivalent of a universal basic income (UBI) which just fell short!

Now there is essentially no progressive right wing Government anywhere, and most major parties of the former progressive left are not very progressive and not actually left.

How has this happened?

Very simply. The wealthy elite have bought both sides of politics. And our permissive systems of governance just allowed it to happen.

So no matter who wins Government, the same people have ultimate influence over decisions made.

Recall ‘Trump 1’ was built on the motto “draining the swamp”, his argument being that he is so wealthy (and virile) that all the vested interests and hangers on will be stripped of their influence.

That did occur to an extent, but then again he has lived his entire life among that group of people – the wealthy elite – and his narcissistic nature meant that winners and losers were based on his transactional viewpoint with the main aim to advance Trump himself, and certainly not the people who elected him.

This election he was surrounded much more closely by wealthy elites indicating they have learned how to play him like Putin and Kim Jong Un. But standing up to powerful interests is now deeply embedded in the personal brand that Trump’s fanatical supporters accept without question.

Note also that JP Morgan CEO Jamie Dimon was widely discussed as potentially being offered a high level position with ‘Trump 2 (infinity)’ even though he is a Democrat, supporting what I am saying herein and have said previously that this is how all major major parties are all influenced by wealthy elites. Bill Ackman who was instrumental in having Claudine Gay sacked as President of Harvard, and who has spoken harshly against DEI, also has been a significant Democrat donor.

Clearly there is little significant ideological differentiation, not in the eyes of wealthy elites who donate to so-called left political parties as well as to their historical allies on the right, nor in the eyes of the electorate.

That’s why Trump 1’s message “draining the swamp” was so very powerful and important to his election win. This time around the ‘anti-politician’ factor was very strong again, even if it went largely undiscussed.

This is not, however, only about America.

With a looming Australian federal election it would be a miscalculation to see it only or even mainly in terms of a weigh-off between the negative of incumbency in a cost of living squeeze Vs our historic reluctance to vote out a first term Government.

Albo’s re-election chances must also be seen through the lens of how differentiated Labor is from Liberal/Nationals, and he from other politicians.

The more Albanese’s Labor Government:
– grants approvals to fossil fuel extractors while trying to paint themselves as climate crisis proponents;
– fails to seriously address 2 decades of Government inaction on housing while the PM straddles the line of appearing empathetic because he grew up in housing commission while having just bought a multi-million dollar home, and while most politicians own investment properties; and
– pesky journos like Joe Aston highlight the perks which self-interestedly selfish politicians avail themselves of from businesses …

the more they show themselves to be just like any other selfish, self-interested Government to which we have been subjected for decades now.

Obviously it’s a bit late on that front and that is really why Albo is in trouble.

While the Queensland election gave Labor some hope they can repel the Greens surge from the left, and that might be enhanced by the warning to genuine left voters concerned at our drift towards ‘Trump 2 (infinity)’, the signs are more ominous than comforting given the loss of support in the regions including coal mining regions (mirrored in the US election).

The best strategy, perhaps the only viable strategy, for an incumbent one term Government in a cost of living squeeze to differentiate itself and win re-election comes down to one word:

AUTHENTICITY

The truth is it is impossible to remain authentic when you are so conflicted by self-interest and the continual demands of vested interests. There is only one real solution …

Drain the billabong!

Fess up. Politics has been corrupted by the wealth of the elites, and that can only be addressed by severing the link between wealth and influence.

Introduce fair dinkum donations and sponsorship laws that go well beyond political donations but to advertising and the myriad ways wealth buys influence.

And set out a program of review followed by reform to incentivise politicians to act in the long term interests of the people not themselves, their parties and their donors.

From gambling/fossil fuel advertising, to Qantas lounge and fare upgrades, to a Royal Commission into misconduct in the banking and finance industry conveniently forgotten, there is so much to work with that it will grab the narrative immediately, leaving the conservatives completely flat-footed, and …

most importantly, it will actually leave the people and the nation better off in the long run!

Addendum: Since posting this on LinkedIn last week Labor’s hasty attempt to change donation laws have been introduced to parliament which will do nothing to address these concerns, in fact they will deepen the billabong by entrenching the power of the two major parties. Even the progressive left-leaning Australia Institute is opposed – that should tell you how far off course are Albanese and Labor … as I said, they long ago became not very progressive and not at all left … head to Australia Institute to sign their petition to force a parliamentary inquiry to these proposed changes …


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© Copyright Brett Edgerton 2024

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Applying The Unity Bell For Cohesion and Productivity

In “The Unity Bell” I discussed how the forced grading of employees’ work performance into a normal distribution bell curve to reward and punish the few deemed by their managers at either end of the distribution is well known to demoralise the majority thereby worsening productivity instead of improving it.

Moreover, I stated that a very obvious implementation of the bell curve within organisations to actually improve productivity is to apply it retrospectively to the tasks that each employee does to eliminate the many ‘just in case’ tasks required of them that have caused high levels of burnout through overwork and demorilisation as they know that these tasks – many of which would also fit the definition for ‘bullshit jobs’ as described by David Graeber – do not add value to the ‘bottom line’ or mission statement/vision of the organisation.

I discussed the reasons for the proliferation of ‘just in case’ and bullshit jobs through this long period of increasingly Extreme capitalism in “The Unity Bell” and also “If Quiet Quitting Results In Reduced Productivity – A Big ‘IF’ – Then It Was Production That Was Never Paid For” as well as through much of my writing relating to the Great Reset.

‘Just in case’ and bullshit tasks are created by self-interested managers intent on using the resources available to them to ‘win’ status by advancing in their careers and attaining other status rewards including remuneration. The implementation of a ‘Unity Bell’ and other bottom up feedback channels are resisted in many organisations, or when implemented are usually perfunctory and ineffective, because they run counter to the top down direction of power and authority in Extreme capitalism.

Through these past five decades of increasingly Extreme capitalism the drive for worker efficiency has been relentless with nowadays most organisations remaining in an almost perpetual state of restructure and head count reductions. It has been collectively assumed by executives that their top down drive for efficiency will force that prioritising of tasks so that pointless or low return ones are eliminated as employees have already been pushed to their limits on how much work they can perform. However, as I discussed in “Reset” Chapter 4: “A future of our own making“, the experience of the past few decades has been that workers have been the pressure valve that has had no choice but to absorb more and more pressure as they are squeezed between the top down drive for efficiency from executives and the upward drive of aspirational bosses. Consequently, the actual number of tasks performed are little reduced even as employee numbers are reduced.

Consequently, real productivity is little improved but worker burnout has gone through the roof.

Workers are effectively treated like machines and are noticing – especially with the pause for reflection that occurred during the COVID-19 pandemic – that the meagre rewards on offer come with significant costs to wellbeing living in this system of increasingly Extreme capitalism.

This is the basis for my thesis that we have entered a new paradigm, which I refer to as ‘The Great Reset’, whereby many are re-evaluating what it is that is truly important to them in their lives.

This push back by employees is creating tension within organisations where executives and/or their boards refute the desirability of adopting a more compassionate and balanced work culture. There is a gap opening up with more progressive organisations driving change such as fully flexible working conditions and reduced work hours including moving to a routine 4 day work week at the same remuneration after being stubbornly stuck at a 5 day work week for almost 100 years.

Implementing a’Unity Bell’ involves a systematic process to prioritise actual work tasks completed in a manner where all are accountable to eliminating ‘just in case’ and bullshit tasks so that all effort goes towards tasks benefitting bottom line organisational goals.

Whether explicitly outlined or not, prioritisation of work tasks is the essential process implemented in organisations that authentically seek to drive efficiency through reducing work hours.

I chose to name this process the ‘Unity Bell’ as a pointer that it is a process to create unity and team work to improve productivity in contrast to the division and competition created by applying a bell curve to perceived employee performance in a harmful and self-defeating manner.

Herein I give a high level outline on how the ‘Unity Bell’ can be implemented in all organisations.


In Extreme capitalism the link between worker tasks and bottom line outcomes of the organisation are corrupted by self-interest of those who have immediate control of those labour and other resources. Of course the degree of this (mostly) legalised but highly inefficient corruption is dependent on the nature of the workplace – likely far more common in white collar settings – and in the overall culture of the organisation.

This corruption produces a positive skew to the tasks performed by the average worker in an organisation where the typical few tasks performed which adds very significant value for the organisations bottom line or mission statement/goals are dwarfed by the very many tasks that are unlikely to add very much real value if any (Figure 1).

Figure 1: Positive skewed distribution of tasks performed by a typical contemporary white collar worker – the X access is likely impact on organisational goals of tasks performed (decreasing to the right) and Y axis is time spent performing tasks.

In especially inefficient or toxic workplaces this large right tail to the distribution comprising of tasks unlikely to add real value to the organisation requires workers to consistently work beyond their normal and legislated reasonable work hours (Figure 2).

Figure 2: Same positive skewed distribution of tasks with the typical fulltime 5 day mandated work week of 37-40 hours and also a 4 day work week indicated.

Being required to consistently work unreasonably long hours is damaging to wellbeing even when fully engaged within the role and the vision of the organisation, but knowing that that extra work is essentially pointless is especially damaging to wellbeing.

It is in this long thick tail where employees’ wellbeing is seriously harmed. They first lose their ability to clearly see how they can improve efficiency in their role – in all of their tasks including the critical ones that do actually add real value – and have no bandwidth left to bring about change even if through the cognitive fog they manage to recognise potential improvements. They then develop a sense of helplessness and go into survival mode feeling utterly and continually fatigued.

They have been burnt out.

Implementing the ‘Unity Bell’ process requires ordering on a retrospective basis those tasks that were performed in order of those that created most value to the organisation through to those that created the least thereby allowing workers and managers to work together to cull and minimise the low reward tasks.

Tasks are recorded in real time by an employee in a diary with the amount of time spent on each task and who initiated the task, along with the employee’s immediate assessment on the likely impact of the work (an assessment on likelihood that the work will find it’s way to the bottom line of the organisation and how much potential impact it will have). There is another column for outcome assessment if the outcome is soon apparent. Work that was dropped through change of mind or drafting out, etc, would most often have a near zero impact.

Note that this can be a personal diary as employees can feel insecure about being specific about exactly how much time they spend on particular tasks which is natural especially with the threat of AI hanging over (almost) everyone these days. The data should be collated in relative terms, i.e. in percentages, such as “this week I worked 43 hours in total and 10% of my time was devoted to X which I assessed had a likely impact of very high” – with 100% of their time accounted for and presented in tabulated form. The detail required should be, in their confidential diaries, down to the 6 minute segment as for professional billings to provide sufficient granularity. This would force, for example, an assessment of how much value was added in tasks that consist of many small repeated subtasks, such as reading and addressing emails, where the entry might be “reading emails – low impact (all largely irrelevant)” which if a common entry would point to a need to improve communication standards.

The manager would have a chance to record their own assessment of the likely impact of the work, which in some cases may carry higher credence if it relates to higher order strategy that the subordinate may not be privy to, but this should be rare as in well functioning teams the import of strategy and consequent work should be understood by all.

Over a month or more of ordering these tasks from highest (likely) impact to lowest these data will allow the filling out of a distribution curve which will reveal how much time was actually spent on high, medium and low impact work and where, how and why low impact work is being generated so that it can be eliminated.

What will be found is that once low impact work is peeled back and employees feel engaged and empowered to contribute to improved efficiency and productivity, that space will provide them with extra bandwidth in a virtuous cycle of improving efficiency.

Instead of the distribution curve of tasks having the fat right tail simply cut off, what will happen is that this virtuous cycle of improving efficiency will push the distribution of tasks into a true normal distribution bell-shaped curve where the great majority of tasks are flowing significantly through to the bottom line outcomes for the organisation. It will enable significant reduction in work hours – allowing a reduction in work days to a 4 day work week – with at least equivalent work output at likely a higher quality level ensuring that remuneration is maintained on the same trajectory. And, critically, that thin right tail will not consist of low likelihood of low impact work – it will consist of ‘moonshots’ – ideas that are unlikely to work out but will have a hugely positive impact if they do (Figure 3).

Figure 3: By implement the ‘Unity Bell’ process the distribution of tasks becomes a true normal distribution with the thick right tail of low likelihood of low impact tasks replaced by a thin tail of tasks that have the potential to pay huge dividends to the organisation.

It is these creative moonshot ideas, that are unlikely to ever be replicated by AI, that bring real value to organisations and turn them from ordinary into extraordinary.

The cohesive and collegial work culture will improve employee wellbeing and produce significant additional benefits flowing through to the bottom line organisational goals through greater employee retention and engagement producing a win-win-win situation for all stakeholders.


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© Copyright Brett Edgerton 2024

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On DEI, You Are Very Wrong, Gentlemen

OK, it seems that you three gentlemen – Niall Ferguson, Bill Ackman and Elon Musk – have taken it upon yourselves to tear down diversity, equity and inclusion (DEI) measures on behalf of the conservative Elites as a part of this broad ‘anti-woke’ agenda so I will take it upon myself to respond to your faulty criticisms.

It is a task that is not especially intellectually challenging.

Now I do not suggest any of you lack the intelligence to figure these things out for yourselves, though I did enjoy the late, great Charlie Munger’s assessment of at least some of you as consistently over-estimating your IQ and/or value to society.

That many intelligent human beings could hold such flawed opinions against DEI and feel the need to viscerally voice harsh and aggressive retorts against measures to achieve – for the first time in human history – inclusive and sustainable societies naturally opens questions that will be answered over the decades and centuries ahead.

This essay will stand, amongst many other sources, as a line in history which aids in indicating how extreme right has become the politics of our so-called Western capitalistic democracies.

Before I begin I will also state that I have no intention of promoting your techno-fiefdom, Mr. Musk. This conversation, or my part of it, will only happen on LinkedIn and my blogsite MacroEdgo.

Dichotomous Decision Division Trees

It may be my training as a biological scientist, but this discussion will in many ways resemble a dichotomous key. It might also read as a type of decision tree. It will emphasise the logic behind the arguments in contrast with conservatives’ emotive and illogical viewpoints.

I understand conservatives’ main objection with DEI to be that it embeds systemic racism against, especially, Caucasians or ‘white’ people leading to the conclusion that it creates division within society.

Messrs. Musk and Ackman, you have both been most explicit as exemplified by these quotes:

Musk: “‘Diversity, Equity and Inclusion’ are propaganda words for racism, sexism and other -isms. This is just as morally wrong as any other racism and sexism. Changing the target doesn’t make it right!”

Ackman: “DEI is racist because reverse racism is racism, even if it is against white people (and it is remarkable that I even need to point this out).”

Professor Ferguson you described DEI as an ‘ideology’ which demostrated your scepticism of it following your long criticism of “the politicization of American universities by an illiberal coalition of ‘woke’ progressives, adherents of ‘critical race theory’, and apologists for Islamist extremism” where you compared in laborious detail the rise of ‘wokeism’ with Nazism.

It is a fine example of the polarisation of our society when essentially the same incendiary article could be written with just a few labels and names changed, i.e. from ‘left’ to ‘right’ and inclusion of the name Donald Trump and ‘copycats’, and a large slice of the population would agree with the polar opposite position.* That is mainly because for emotional effect you mostly talked about Nazism which we all agree is abhorrent. But let’s move on.

To hold a view that DEI is divisive one must believe either: 1) that society is united or cohesive and that there are not already deeply entrenched divisions between Caucasians and ‘others’ in our societies; or 2) that if divisions exist already, then DEI measures will exacerbate them.

The first is clearly a ridiculous proposition which is easily countered by an enormous amount of data and analysis in historical context and modern socioeconomics including studies on inequality. Since I just happened by chance to read it in my email feed during a break from writing, I will include this excellent article as an example of this, but literally millions of articles could be consulted.

Anybody who fails at this level to agree can be considered to be so blinded by their bias as to be considered racist, regardless of whether they acknowledge it even to themselves or not.

Now I don’t say that as lightly or as flippantly as the reader might assume. If you are familiar with my extensive writing on this topic at all then you will be aware that I have discussed how I was raised to be racist within a deeply conservative family within a deeply conservative region of Australia, and many who were previously important to my sense of place within society are racist. I have seen all my life people say deeply racist things and then immediately deny being racist.

So I do know how bias and racism works within cultures, how much division it creates, and how blinded to their own racism are the majority of racists.

As personal examples, I was teased for several years by male mentors for sitting next to a First Nations girl in my year 2 school photograph when we were just 6 years of age, and the enduring consequence of that was that I was leery of developing connections with people of colour for fear of ridicule by the white majority. In that school ground we all said rhymes that included the ‘N’ word which divided the white children from those of colour. And when I moved away to university at 17, to the shock of other young students I repeated some vilely racist statements relating to genocide of First Nations Australians that I had witnessed all of my life being spoken by my male mentors within our conservative society without challenge.

Of course I do not suggest that everyone is racist, but I do know that very many are, and I know that it is the dominant majority within society that truly knows the breadth if not necessarily the depth of prejudice and racism even though most will never acknowledge it. Moreover, I am unafraid to state it as a matter of fact.

This point is not up for negotiation or debate as it would be equivalent to arguing with a toddler that black is white, just as I said years ago in my writing that racism is wrong. Many conservatives might like to open all of this up for debate, but that is clearly a waste of everyone’s time as that was settled centuries ago.

So then we arrive at the second point, that DEI worsens divisions that already exist.

Two Wrongs Don’t Make A Right

This clearly harks back to a piece of morality taught to every toddler, of anglo-saxon background at least, that two wrongs don’t make a right. It follows the view that even if we accept that there are divisions in society caused by racism and bias it is not appropriate to introduce another bias into the system because that will exacerbate the pre-existing division.

Now that’s a fairly comfortable position for those on the side that perpetrated the wrong on the others, not so much for those who have suffered centuries of wrong against them and their ancestors and carry all of the intergenerational trauma and socioeconomic consequences from it.

Privilege certainly does equate to not being burdened with these consequences.

This, however, loses sight of the fact that DEI measures are not adding a second wrong, but are done to ‘right’ that wrong by countering racism’s consequences.

If you do not deeply connect with the truth of the consequences of racist bias at the social and systemic level, then it will be difficult to see this as righting a wrong instead of compounding the wrong, which you only superficially accept as being wrong in any case, with another one which you definitively and deeply consider wrong because DEI measures reduce opportunities for the historically dominant group.

Explaining this is best done by analogy. If you have ever watched a car wheel/tyre being balanced then you will have seen it being placed horizontally on a spinner which diagnoses the bias and tells the operator where and how much weight must be tacked to the rim to counter that bias for the optimal and efficient use of the tyres.

That is precisely what DEI is doing – countering the imbalance – the bias – that already exists and is factually and obviously apparent within society.

For a while we acted like that bias and racism could be just clamped down upon by making racism illegal as a basis for decision-making when it comes to a host of policy areas. But what was learned, not unexpectedly to anyone who truly understands how pervasive and pernicious racism is in societies, is that this is akin to clamping down on a section of a long sausage balloon where the air bubble just moves around but never shrinks.

This is essentially equivalent to the backlash against ‘political correctness’ where people object even to society exerting on them a morality of not being offensive to others, which nowadays has been subsumed into the anti-woke agenda.

The better analogy is actually one of a wire with retained shape memory so that when a bend is pressed upon the bulge simply shifts along the wire. If a straight piece of wire is needed it must be repeatedly and enduringly bent back in the opposite direction or regular kinks must be put in the wire to correct for that memory to achieve the optimal outcome. The defect, the deviation from optimal, always was the bend and the kinks were corrective because they would not have been necessary had the wire been straight.

Bias from racism, or any of the other ‘isms’, is that defect.

DEI measures are a critical part of the process necessary to correct those biases that already exist, and have existed for centuries in many cases, as a result of deeply ingrained and systemic racism.

Bias is a consequence of racism. 

Countering that bias is not racism, it is simply decent and moral.

And it truly is remarkable that this even needs to be pointed out!

Now I realise that conservatives, once they lose the argument over the need for DEI measures, as eventually they must because the lack of logic behind their position eventually will make it untenable, will move on to arguing about the specifics of DEI measures.

As I have explained previously in detail, I favour quotas as a critical DEI measure but many approaches must be considered and enacted.

DEI measures will need to be continually assessed, fine-tuned, and ultimately phased out as biases are gradually eliminated from society, but given that these biases have built up over centuries, we should expect that DEI measures will be necessary for several generations. This is where much of the great unacknowledged anxiety resides.

The Underlying Fear Of An Actual Second Wrong

I have written extensively on my view that one of the great weaknesses of humanity has been an inability to recognise that our progress resembles the path of a swinging pendulum bob where the pivot point is on a gradual incline. Even though standing back we can appreciate that over long periods we have progressed – and obviously it is a very strong drive amongst human society to achieve progress – our experience is that there are periods where we perceive that our progress has stalled or even gone backwards. That seems to me to be what Prof. Ferguson is expressing in his essay “The Treason Of The Intellectuals”.

This is due to the wide, sometimes wild, swing of the pendulum and because humanity has generally failed to recognise when a ‘sweet spot’ has been reached so that we might stop the pendulum from swinging or at least dampen its swing so that it oscillates around the optimal or relatively stable and sustainable state. For this reason we swing to and from extremes. It is my belief that if we can manage to dampen the pendulum’s oscillations then we will speed our ascent, or our rate of progress, but note that I am talking in a broad sense and certainly not just about economics.

The reason why humanity fails to recognise that sweet spot is because it is the politically astute individuals amongst us that vie to lead in those Resets, or course corrections in the swing of the pendulum, and as they achieve that success they either lack intellectual ability or morality to shift their position to a more moderate stance that is required to settle the swing of the pendulum. Just as the pendulum has maximum energy when it reaches the point at which it would rest if only under the force of gravity, i.e. hanging straight down, political operatives who have had success are captivated by the power that they have achieved from it and instead of seeking a steady state for the good of people they use that momentum in their own political power to acquire more privilege and influence. I have written about this in relation to conservative views over the past half century surrounding the teachings of Milton Friedman.

Moreover, I believe that this is something that most human beings understand intuitively even if they are not necessarily consciously aware of it.

In Australia we often talk about a societal characteristic which we refer to as ‘the tall poppy syndrome’ meaning that just as someone is becoming confident in their social standing and status, historically we Australians have ‘cut them down’ like a tall poppy standing out above the rest. It occurs essentially because we become subconsciously irked by them getting ‘too big for their own boots’.

So what does this have to do with racism and DEI?

Another analogy in the form of a personal anecdote. My brother is 8 years my senior and he was a bit of a bully so that I would often tell him that when I grow up I will be bigger than he and I will get him back. I did get bigger, a lot bigger, so much so that he would tell people that we were twins, but I was Arnie (Schwarzenegger) and he was Danny Devito. I didn’t follow through on my threat.

I cannot speak to the feelings of disempowerment and traumatisation of being a member of an oppressed peoples, and to attempt to would be completely inadequate and inappropriate. But I listen intently whenever I hear such people bravely speak their truth.

The consequence of intergenerational trauma and inequality at pivotal moments in American history has been displayed, as in other colonialised nations, and for me one of those moments was encapsulated by the powerful words of Kimberley Jones during riots following the murder of George Floyd.

Kimberley’s final words would have rang loud and long in the ears of many white Americans and invoked a level of fear and anxiety:

“…they are lucky that what black people are looking for is equality and not revenge!”

The same anxiety about the potential for revenge is no doubt held by many in societies where a dominant group has severely oppressed others, and that is certainly true of my country Australia and the oppression of especially Aboriginals and Torres Straight Islanders.

Given that humanity has been poor at Resetting to achieve an optimal state, besides the immediate self-interest of Caucasians not wishing to lose any privilege at being presented with opportunity within society – opportunity that has not been equally accessible to ‘others’ within the same society – subconsciously they also fear that the pendulum might swing past the steady state and momentum builds such that circumstances become extreme in the opposite direction and the historically oppressed become the oppressor in vengeance.

And realistically you do not have to look hard to see this in the dog whistling inherent in the writing of conservatives.

For this very reason there is a limit to how much privilege many from the side of the historical oppressor will accede to being imparted to the oppressed, and often it is very little if any.

It’s Anything But The Economy, Stupid

Finally, I will state a degree of agreement against the economic justification for DEI, but not for the same reasons as conservatives.

It’s not unlike the ‘need’ to provide an economic justification for saving the planet from the fossil fuel burning-caused climate crisis. What value do we place on the health and quality of life of future generations and the natural world? Why would we even try?

As social beings we have always appreciated that some things are just right – moral – like being kind and decent to others, typified by how we teach children to play nicely together and share, and there is no need to justify it. If we do justify to our children, it is on the basis of morality and that this is how we develop a society in which we feel safe and where we belong.

This need to provide an economic justification for everything is symptomatic of our increasingly Extreme capitalism that has meant that the social aspect of socioeconomics has been almost forgotten.

Extreme capitalists’ disagreement with economic justifications for DEI relate to scepticism of the arguments or analysis, and I note that you, Mr. Musk, also linked the well-publicised engineering issues at Boeing with their DEI policies.

This effort to economically justify DEI measures is a direct consequence of Extreme capitalism’s deleterious knack of turning any thing or deed into a saleable commodity, in this case the deed of teaching corporate leaders and staff to be aware of their and others’ unconscious bias. In other words, because an industry has developed around DEI, to present a business case for a corporation to pay for such services it became necessary to put dollars and cents figures to costs and returns.

This opens up the opportunity to argue over those analyses of dollars and cents, inputs and outputs, and return on investment, which dilutes intent and threatens progress.

In reality it is simply a matter of fairness and decency, and for healthy and cohesive – sustainable – societies we must stay the course on DEI until our compassionate collective humanity makes specific measures redundant.

100+ years of White Australia Policy in Australia, and other instruments of systemic racism in other countries and regions, has left racist biases and prejudices deeply scarred into the systems that underpin our societies, and these will not be removed by chance even with time, or by the free hand of the market (which instead of being free is controlled by those with deeply entrenched privilege in this age of Extreme capitalism).

That final quote is from “Woke AI” at MacroEdgo.


* For example Prof. Ferguson, I would write this paragraph, the hook to your article:

“A century later, American academia has gone in the opposite political direction—leftward instead of rightward—but has ended up in much the same place. The question is whether we—unlike the Germans—can do something about it.”

…in this manner which I am certain would strike an accord with a very large slice of Americans, including some Republicans who fear the consequences of another Donald Trump Presidency, along with many others in western society and including European leaders:

A century later, American [society] has gone in the [same] political direction— [extreme] rightward—[and is at risk of ending] up in much the same place. The question is whether ‘we’—unlike the Germans—can do something about it.

Note: I said “at risk” because I am more measured in my analysis and words because I am sensitive to the power and the dangers of incendiary language. If actually writing that passage I would probably also make the point that this is the nation that saved the world from, and presumed to lead it away from, fascism and communism only to lose its way and lead the world back to the former as I discussed in depth in my “Reset” writings.

I would then conclude making the point that if that is to occur – the rightward slide be arrested – then the best hope lies in the progressive-minded university communities because they are the last areas of resistance in American society, and that is why they are under such vociferous attack from the conservatives where the prefix ‘ultra’ has become redundant…


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© Copyright Brett Edgerton 2024

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Woke AI

I only learned about the latest anti-woke attack by the Technofeudalist Elon Musk Tuesday evening as I watched Jonathan Ferro and Lisa Abramowicz on Bloomberg.

Ironically a few days earlier I had decided to interrogate Open AI’s Dalle 2 about wokes by asking it to draw “a pencil sketch of a person being ‘woke'” which I had hoped to use in my T-shirt design. Some generated results are above and suggest, along with the results of slight modifications on the query, that the software struggled. The results were, however, suggestive of a level of stereotyping of what is a ‘woke’.

Honestly I hoped it would express a modern interpretation of what it is to be woke by representing diverse people being compassionate to each other, but I feared it might already have been biased by inputs and showed angry people.

And it has incorporated ‘passionate’ activism to a level with some characters that could be interpreted as depicting anger, but most responses also centred the meaning of the word as it relates to waking from sleep.

Musk’s latest salvo in the conservatives anti-woke agenda (this week) was complaints that Alphabet’s AI tool Gemini produced ‘woke’ results that reflected the company’s “insane racist, anti-civilizational programming” echoing similar comments he has been making of late as I read in the press (I do not use his platform/fiefdom and refuse to promote it by mention).

But Musk was far from alone in the online mob ready to pounce on this story.

The example given by Jonathan on Bloomberg, and mentioned widely online, was that when asked to generate images of Nazis Gemini incorporated diverse peoples which was interpreted as woke through the assumption that the imperative to incorporate diversity overrode historical fact, that being that because the Nazis were white supremacist Aryans they would not and could not be inclusive of ‘others’.

If it weren’t for the repugnance of Nazism, Musk’s and other conservatives complaints would be comical.

An organisation formed out of the underlying premise of white supremacy and vile racism towards others is misrepresented by including those ‘others’ and that apparently is more evidence of racism… against white people!

Seriously, you couldn’t write this into sci-fi because it is beyond warped!!

A little mind test for readers – others can instead focus on the Allied forces’ D Day landings in WWII, but I will ask Aussies to visualise in their mind Australian soldiers at Gallipoli in WWI.

Did you have included in visualisation people like Billy Singh and Harry Freame, Australian war heroes of Asian descent, or any of the 1000+ Aboriginals and Torres Straight Islanders who fought to protect England and the Commonwealth but were not even counted as human beings by the Australian Government for another half century? Or what about the Indian battalion that freed swathes of the Abruzzo region of Italy from under Nazi tyranny in WWII?

The sad reality is that popular culture – through systemic racism – has tended to omit these people from the way these events are ‘popularly remembered’, as if they were airbrushed out. That is precisely why people like author and Labor parliamentarian Tim Watts spend time and effort in reminding us of their efforts, achievements and sacrifices which is necessary to airbrush them back in through books like “The Golden Country: Australia’s changing identity“.

They should never have been brushed out, but 100+ years of White Australia Policy in Australia, and other instruments of systemic racism in other countries and regions, has left racist biases and prejudices deeply scarred into the systems that underpin our societies, and these will not be removed by chance even with time, or by the free hand of the market (which instead of being free is controlled by those with deeply entrenched privilege in this age of Extreme capitalism).

With this new technology, it is critical that the mistakes of the past are not repeated and compounded. For the sustainability of humanity, it is absolutely necessary that effort is made to prevent these systemic biases being incorporated in AI learning, a bit like from the outset ensuring that years – following the Gregorian calendar, no less (yes people, other cultures follow different calendars) – are presented in 4 digit form.

This whole strawman debate makes me wonder how AI might draw a crowd of people attending a Trump rally, and whether the result may be a crowd of diverse people. You could not blame any AI software if it did because visual media records of the crowd behind the lectern where Trump speaks can almost be guaranteed to contain a level of diversity belying the written accounts from those rallies – in publications that know the importance of reporting this as an aspect of balanced coverage – which usually highlight the over representation of Caucasians in the crowd. (It’s a little like how the Liberal party strategically places women in the television frame at parliamentary question time and in pressers to counter their ‘women problem’ – an impression reached from these images alone would lead to a belief that female Liberal parliamentarians outnumber males by 2 to 1 when in fact the opposite is true!)

So let’s not pretend that even actual images that we are presented with always tell the full facts and are never misleading to the point of being incorrect.

Anyone truly concerned about addressing the underlying causes for the emergence of Nazism or similarly divisive ideologies would recognise the need for AI to avoid stereotyping and include diverse representations of humanity in its output.

These example highlight that AI still leaves a lot to be desired, and that it’s a long way from fulfilling the potential that is now the primary narrative driving the crescendo melt up phase of the bubble in US stock markets especially in tech (which has benefited Musk enormously). 

That’s been my experience with AI, also.

That is hardly surprising, though, and objectively – stepping outside the febrile anti-woke environment – it will likely in the fullness of time prove to be less of a hiccup than ‘shatter-proof’ windows on the Cybertruck in fact shattering during a live demonstration broadcast around the world.

How embarrassing was that! 

If Alter Edgo the woke slayer ever went on his fiefdom he would probably ask Musk whether that was why he was so against DEI (diversity, equity and inclusion) – whether he “had a sheila in charge of that shattering ‘shatter-proof’ glass project?” as he will ponder aloud when the second series of “Alter Edgo and His Bloody Woke Kid” goes to air on YouTube in the near future.


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© Copyright Brett Edgerton 2024

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Asymmetric Markets

There are articles in financial press stating that Australian pension funds (industry super funds) are ramping up bets on risky private credit, with some intending to triple their allocation to the asset class over 18 months!

Now I am just sceptical enough to wonder what is to stop an owner of an asset turning around and buying into the capital structure of the financing facility for that asset, either directly or through an intermediary, to aid the extending and pretending that is typical and critical to preventing mark to market losses in less liquid asset categories, such as commercial realestate which has been stressed from changed conditions in interest rate markets and worker behaviours (WFH) since the pandemic.

Besides being unethical, if it is indeed against the law or at least against fund covenants, I have no doubt that backroom quid pro quo deals are struck amongst some in times of stress to achieve the same ends to their mutual benefit.

The opacity inherent in private markets, including private credit, is also concerning given the public nature of pension fund participants.

Before starting a SMSF I utilised a well-known industry super fund for a period including through the depths of the GFC. I found the stability of the Fund’s property fund… odd. It felt unnerving and eerie – a bit too similar to Bernie Madoff’s fund in the way its unit value consistently climbed irrespective of economic and market conditions. It was obviously avoiding mark to market losses at times (imagine Mark Burry in “The Big Short” complaining on the phone to his price-setting counterparties that their offered price for his CDO swaps went down when they should have increased with rising mortgage defaults). In fact this apparent stability is often advertised as a positive of the fund.

The truth is that this sort of gaming of asset markets is not a net positive for small-time investors because it is not an authentic free market where genuine price discovery occurs so that prices paid are a true and fair reflection of the intrinsic value of the asset based on its utility to society.

It introduces asymmetry – heads I win, tails you lose – into markets so that assets are nearly always overvalued which maximises fee flow to the managers and bonuses to Elites and Elite ‘wannabes’ extending to bankers, deal-makers and hangers-on.

This asymmetry is inefficient and anti-capitalistic, and it is a major feature of the vacuum apparatus that constantly sucks their modest wealth resources away from the everyday person, while the many human beings making up the pieces of the vacuum apparatus kid themselves that they are really doing it for the everyday person relying on constant returns into their pension and retirement funds.

No, gamed systems only ever favour ‘the house’ and the real wealth generated flows to the privileged, so that they are never in the interest of the everyday person.

With WFH, the utility of offices is changing, so must the price.

Now for an analogy which inspired the above graphic…


Just imagine a cart being pushed up a hill that never rolls backwards... sounds reasonable... looking closer the cart periodically stalls but to stop it rolling back chocks appear behind the wheels... still seems reasonable, right... but look closer at the chocks and realise that they are actually thousands of small people leaning into the wheels, the same small people who collectively are pushing the cart up the never-ending hill... moreover, look around and notice that there was another path that could have been taken, less steep and with regular flat resting spots... a path kinder and more compassionate to the small people... But the privileged big people riding on the cart insisted on following the tortuous path because along it there are more grains of gold to vacuum up from the ground as they pass and from the small people who can not properly secure it while they work unceasingly to support the upward trajectory of that privileged cart on the tortuous path...

The analogy can be applied to another property asset category, Australian residential property which has been in a two decade plus price bubble... Executive bankers and property developers, etc can be seen riding the cart and most other Australians are the small people pushing it... When it has slowed periodically, the big people on the cart could be heard to yell loudly "negative gearing" or "capital gains tax concessions" or "first home owners grants" or "leveraged SMSF buyers" or "first home owners boost" or "NRAS to soak up extra supply" or "looser lending standards and regulations", and the pavlovian-trained small people leaned into the wheels and chocked them, some deluded that they might somehow climb onto the cart with their gold intact, others just following everyone else living in constant fear that they might be crushed by the cart wheels in any direction...

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© Copyright Brett Edgerton 2024

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The Great Reset: Investment implications

The investment strategy is the same irrespective of whether our socioeconomic system is now ‘Extreme Capitalism’ or ‘Technofeudalism’

The vacuuming up of wealth resources to extreme capitalist and technofeudalist elites

In founding MacroEdgo my intention was that investment analyses and macroeconomics would be major themes of my writing along with general observations on socioeconomic and broader philosophical themes.

COVID-19 changed that as investing took a back seat to my writing to influence public biosecurity policy to elevate the primacy of protecting human life which, even though conservative politicians preach this when it comes to immigration and firearms policies, etc, was very much their secondary consideration during the COVID-19 pandemic.

The Great Reset became a major theme of my writing underpinning my view of how humanity would emerge from COVID-19 when I turned my mind towards it in March 2020 earlier than just about any other commentator. I was earliest because I did not suffer from the dissonance most others did in February 2020.

To be succinct, COVID-19 did not cause this Reset, humanity was due – in many ways overdue – for such a Reset as occurs periodically through societies as if our progress were delineated by the path of a swinging pendulum, but with it’s pivot point on a relatively steady upward trajectory.

COVID-19 was a catalyst that ensured Reset occurred at this moment in human history, and the shock to global humanity associated with it ensured that the Reset would be significant in magnitude.

(Note, I have always accepted – and acknowledged – that other and/or future analyses may time the Reset at 2008 after the Global Financial Crisis, but in that case COVID-19 was certainly a very significant accelerant).

My use of the adjective ‘Great’, however, does not only relate to the magnitude of the Reset but also to the potential for it to be great for humanity if quality leadership and broad engagement puts humanity on a more optimistic and healthy path towards truly inclusive global societies with equal opportunity to experience a reasonable standard of living in close connection with a healing natural world.

I was always clear that this outcome is far from certain.

High quality, effective leadership will nurture [The Great Reset] so that the best outcomes are realised to the benefit of humanity. Scoundrels will try to harness it to bend society to a more warped and less inclusive version. We all must show leadership and engage with the process to achieve the best outcome for ourselves and those we love, and those who succeed us. And we should all prepare to be flexible and supple in thought to make the best decisions that we can with the information that we have as we emerge from the shock of our altered existence and as our future comes into clearer focus.

How Society Will Change If a COVID-19 Vaccine Is Elusive” 17 July 2020

Although I have devoted most of my time to thinking about how these changes will affect societies, and trying to play a thought-leadership role in helping to ensure the Reset is indeed Great for humanity, by necessity I have been contemplating broader impacts on those closest to me ranging from purely social through to financial.

Obviously a significant Reset within society has significant implications for investors. That includes every Australian due to our world-leading defined contributions retirement savings system.

In late 2023, after much internal processing, I decided on my own investment strategy and began implementing it.

Then I purchased a copy of Yanis Varoufakis’ latest book “Technofeudalism: What killed capitalism” and as I read it I found so much commonality with my own thinking that I became even more certain in my strategy.

Before I explain my strategy, however, I need to restate the salient points that I have already made in my various articles and writing including on LinkedIn, delving a little more deeply in places, and comparing and contrasting with Yanis’ thoughts.

As I have said previously on occasion, historically I have found much commonality between my investing views and those of Jeremy Grantham, so I should declare up front (again) a natural inclination to contrarianism, and I will discuss where I believe Jeremy’s base framing for bubbles is being and will increasingly be challenged.


Like Yanis, I have been observing strange movements in markets, and the actions of those in both private and public sectors integral to their function, with increasing suspicion over the previous decades. I need to say upfront that as an Australian our residential property markets have for all of that period been especially irregular such that we have probably the biggest ever national property bubble that has been maintained by intense management that has confounded even the great bubble spotter, Jeremy Grantham (more on this later).

I, too, decided through the pandemic that our economies were now underpinned by entirely gamed markets. I had increasingly realised over those decades that our markets were far from ‘free’ – and Australia’s residential property market is a classic case in point where both public and private interventions for two decades have been aimed at keeping homes unaffordable to the detriment of anybody who did not own property before the new millennium and including, obviously, future generations – but actions became so extreme in the pandemic that it was clear that our system could not any longer be considered true capitalism.

First I must be clear that in early February 2020 I anticipated central bank interventions which I said in my Coronavirus Update of 11 February would constitute “absolutely extraordinary actions (as opposed to the already “extraordinary” actions that we have become desensitised to over the last decade)“. Moreover, in “Repeat After Me, This Is NOT Sars: COVID-19 is much worse” I was clear that such efforts were reasonable on this occasion as “a financial panic on top of a growing panic about an increasingly obvious pandemic will be devastating” and that this is “why Governments, even though they always prefer to egg on markets, will be right in trying to prevent it from happening“.

However, to a wary contrarian those measures clearly went much further than were openly discussed within the broader market, and in Australia this likely involved making sure that banks lent heartily, generously and without fear of future reprisal for speculators to continue their two decade-long obsession with residential property, and in early February 2020 I even suggested that public and private institutions were at work preventing (or delaying) corrections in stock markets in less than transparent fashion.

For me the strange stock market behaviours in February 2020, when participants stubbornly refused to recognise and price in what should have been obvious to anybody with even a basic undergraduate understanding of epidemiology and biosecurity, was the final piece to the puzzle. I am certain that internally and within the investment banking industry there were many keyed into what was heading our way which I likened to an impending tsunami on a well-known Australian fund manager’s blogsite on 18 February 2020 with links to my “Coronavirus Updates” page where on 12 February I had explained the tsunami analogy.

At that moment in time, however, I was caught up in the emotions I drew on in my (ultimately reasonably successful) efforts to get politicians to act in the interests of broader humanity, exemplified by how I allowed my frustration to get the better of me in “Politics Vs Society In The Coronavirus Outbreak” and ‘wonder’ aloud whether we were already living in an “Idiocracy”.

Thus my processing of the socioeconomic implications of these odd market behaviours was more gradual than an actual ‘Eureka’ moment as Yanis described for himself. However, in the following months I came to realise that this was the definitive evidence that I had been looking for of the totally gamed markets I had been increasingly observing over the previous 2 decades because the only viable explanation was that elites who ran the market required a period of time to get their affairs into order prior to the sharp market correction commencing so the music was made to continue until they were ready. My insignificant affairs, on the other hand, only required me to buy regular put options which I had done by 7th of February (and I made 30x on the $5K I spent on them which amply covered the cost of provisions should things really fall apart, e.g. a generator – remember in those early months the best available data yielded a potential mortality rate range north of 2% – and provided a level of surety against lost family income if it came to that).

The evolution of my thoughts on contemporary markets,  especially Australian residential property, are available in my electronic footprint including on my former blogsite homes4aussies and on the discussion board Bubblepedia, whatever remains of them, and over recent years at MacroEdgo where in May 2020 I described stock markets as uninvestable as they had been overrun by short term speculation, a view I reiterated in brief updates a year later and again in January 2022 where I spoke about other peculiarities such as SPACs – special purpose acquisition companies – and cryptocurrencies.

Another issue worthy of mention is that so-called private markets have expanded, one consequence being a drastic reduction in opportunities for everyday investors to buy early into new and emerging listed businesses whereby wealthy investors are holding these businesses longer to extract greater investment returns when they publicly list (through an initial public offering or SPAC) later at much higher valuations in large part because risk has increasingly been downplayed and underpriced.

It is true that the opportunities to invest in private markets have increased via private equity fund offerings, but this is little more than Visa and Mastercard extending conditions on platinum cards so that the ‘aspirationals’ feel special while these businesses clip the extra fund flows from expanding eligibility. Meanwhile, the truly elite clients have long moved onto other much more exclusive and rewarding product offerings.

This is also reminiscent of the situation with the private schooling market in Australia where many ‘aspirationals’ use up so much of their time and energy,  and most importantly their emotion, earning additional income to pay for middle-class private schools that offer no real benefits above (almost) free public school education, other than self-perceived status benefits.

All of these ultimately are representations of the same pervasive phenomenon – the vacuuming up of financial resources to the truly elite in society, and when it comes to private markets, it is simply an additional channel by which naive funds flow is created which can be clipped providing real and enduring privilege to the elite class.

So I have declared my hand and by now it should be apparent that I am highly sceptical of contemporary asset markets, especially those for US stocks and Australia’s residential property.

Once you consider a market totally gamed and manipulated, then you have to accept that if you allocate capital within it then your activity is not really that of an investor, and depending on what assets you buy, might in fact be outright speculation even if some are considered by many at the time to be the premier assets of the era. It is not dissimilar to gambling in a casino when you know that the odds are against you, but maintaining a delusion that you have special (legal) skills that can tilt the odds in your favour.

This is pure speculation because the most important consideration relates to the degree to which the system will be gamed in the future. Will this extreme form of capitalism, or indeed technofeudalism, persist into the future or will society resist the trend and if so, do ordinary people collectively have the power to turn the system towards one fairer to all?

In the final part of this essay I will give my views on the politics inherent in those considerations, but I do not need to do that prior to discussing the details of my investment strategy because it is just that – an investment strategy – and by definition that rules out speculation.


Many markets are entirely gamed and overrun with speculation, and thus are massively overpriced, and chief among them in my sphere of observation are American stock markets and Australian residential property. Of course there are always exceptions, and what makes them exceptions is that they do not fit the prevailing narratives and practices of the era. In America that is a corporate structure that actually allocated capital to growing real businesses rather than borrowing to pump up share prices in concert with the narratives that the Wall St salespeople promulgate to create churn, often referred to as ‘rotation’, to create a continual flow of fees from clipping fund flows. The best example of capital allocation agnostic to the whims of Wall St is Berkshire Hathaway, and after the passing of Charlie Munger I have re-instigated a small position with the view to increasing that position with another catalyst sadly inevitable (I suspect that some of their significant organically-acquired cash pool will also be deployed at that time).

The remainder of my strategy should be seen through the lens of overlaying my views of the socioeconomic system of the times as discussed above with the 7 investment themes that I laid out in my earliest writing on MacroEdgo, those being: Emerging Asia ex-China; Product and Food Miles; Defence and Military Spending; Autonomous Vehicles; Debt Monetisation; More Time for Personal Fulfillment; and Education Revolution. Those views are amply stated and remain in tact, so I will not restate them. To this list I now add minerals and resources required for the energy transition, but in countries with high environmental, social and governance (ESG) standards.

As I discussed in 2019, my moral compass (no doubt ‘anti-wokes’ would say my ‘virtue signaling’) prevents me from seeking to profit from factors with which I vehemently disagree, so I will not invest in military spending (in Australia, America, China, or wherever), just as I decided against shorting through put options retirement homes during the COVID-19 pandemic in early February 2020 (to me it was perfectly reasonable to seek to profit from the inevitable massive impacts on entertainment, travel and general economic activity, but I did not wish to profit from the misery of vulnerable elderly people in society – I shorted Crown Casinos, Qantas and Macquarie Bank).

So my strategy is to invest heavily in equities (all with 10 years+ horizons), especially in 1) resources required for the energy transition in regions with high ESG compliance; 2) in Asia, especially developing Asia ex-China, but with more strategic allocations to China and Japan, with close observation of developing geopolitics; 3) slower-paced allocations to Australian and European equities when value relative to economic circumstances allow; and 4) very careful, very slow-paced allocation to US equity, but only when a history of capital allocation for growth rather than share price manipulation is apparent.

These investments are primarily through the lowest cost possible index tracking exchange traded funds (ETFs) with an ESG overlay. However, I do agree with the barbell approach advocated by many in that I have a ‘scattergun’ approach to making small allocations to highly speculative recent IPOs consistent with my long term investment themes in the understanding that many – perhaps most – will go to zero, but that even one that becomes a leader of future industries will have a very significant positive affect on the overall portfolio performance over a 20 year period.

I expect elevated inflation for at least the next decade, as central banks are well past their peaks in independence from prevailing politics of the day and will baulk at imposing the societal pain Volcker did to tame inflation, and will likely see positives to Government debt being monetised by a period of higher inflation. For this reason, and because I see bond markets as not far behind equity markets in the degree to which they are gamed, I am cautious of deploying capital to fixed interest and instead prefer allocation to precious metals to hedge against inflation and also against the potential for increasing civil unrest which is possible if this Reset is not great for humanity in that society becomes less inclusive and the climate crisis worsens with continued political resistance to implementing necessary responses.

This actually marks a change in strategy for me personally and that is primarily based on my views on the developing socioeconomic circumstances.

I was right out of the Jeremy Grantham mold of contrarian investing, alert to bubbles and prepared to wait out highly speculative periods to invest in the bust when better value emerges – even before I began reading Jeremy’s brilliant insights – e.g. I went to cash in 2007 and managed to get fully invested just a few weeks before the US indices bottomed in the GFC.

However, I have come to believe that markets have become so gamed that even the boom-bust cycle has been disrupted, as we have witnessed very rapid busts since the GFC when even Jeremy regretted not managing to get fully invested as markets did not get as cheap as he forecast. Since then the corrections have become shorter and shorter.

My belief that the nature of bubbles and their busts has fundamentally changed is heavily influenced by my observation of the Australian residential property bubble which has lasted two decades. Jeremy has never given an answer to why the Australian residential property bubble has lasted as long as it has. For one, I think he disliked being called out for his predictions of a bust by voracious local commentator, something that has been a feature of this bubble whereby self-interested individuals fiercely protected the bubble by trying to discredit and embarrass, often through challenging them to wagers, those who pointed to the irrationality of residential housing markets where median prices have consistently been 7 to 10 times median incomes in virtually every major city in a nation with so much available land that a historical national anxiety has been the low population density over the landmass. (These men, full of bravado, and lacking in self-awareness, also have a habit of tediously and immaturely labouring on about their ‘exploits’ even years later.) Perhaps, also, Jeremy didn’t like the only answer he could arrive at to explain essentially the only bubble that he has identified which has not returned to historical long-term relationships over a two decade period.

I explained my own views in “[RESET]> The ‘Great’ Australian House Price Bubble” which essentially boil down to it being a totally gamed market where the public and private sectors are hell bent on preventing the bust within a system of Extreme capitalism where society has been convinced that this is either the best situation for them (the ‘aspirationals’) or at least it is an insolvable problem (the ‘vulnerables’).

Importantly I pointed out the complicity of the highest financial bureaucrats, a major distinction from the US housing bubble where they were blissfully ignorant of the potential for and damage from a bursting housing bubble which caused the GFC. The most recent previous Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) governor, Dr Phil Lowe, actually wrote a research paper when at the Bank for International Settlements, before the GFC, on the desirability of ‘leaning against’ property bubbles to reduce these risks and the RBA governor at the turn of the millennium, Ian Macfarlane, has bragged about using that approach to address a period of rampant speculation in 2003. Moreover, it is likely that it was Dr Lowe who wrote to me from an email account using his nickname of (Rin) Tin Tin to provide me with a paper empirically proving the degree of distortion to our markets caused by tax benefits to property speculators as he was rising through the upper ranks at the RBA and while I was blogging intensely on the housing bubble, suggesting that he had concerns then.

Sadly, however, that technique advocated by Dr Lowe of ‘leaning against’ – or slowing – the inflation of bubbles to prevent socioeconomic damage from a bust has been used, along with other activities by private and public actors, to perpetuate the bubble longer than any bubble spotter could have predicted, so that the socioeconomic damage to society has been far greater in terms of the inequality it has caused. Moreover, I recall that after the GFC many Australians senior within private and public sectors in the financial and real estate industry visited the US, as they were “feted by think tanks and idealized in the corridors of the Federal Reserve“, and it is my firm belief that much of that was to teach the Americans how to create and protect a housing bubble.

All in all, what has been perfected has been a set of practices, in conjunction with captured bureaucracy, that within an economic system driven by narrative-based speculation has managed to quell the busts so that the boom is perpetuated seemingly into perpetuity.

Now, I do not suggest that a bust will never occur. I strongly doubt that momentum ‘investing’ (i.e. trading) based on rotation following narrative creation and recreation can continue to carry assets prices forever beyond any relationship to their real value to human society. Even Australian residential property has a utility value, and even if Extreme capitalists continue to conspire to restrict its supply so that both renting and buying continues to become less and less affordable, at some stage people are going to realise that they can take their savings and emigrate to Italy, for instance, and buy a home for 1/20 the price, maybe with some land, and enjoy a quality of life far superior than in Australia struggling payday to payday to afford a roof over their heads.

In fact, I expect that a consequence of this gaming of markets is that busts when they do occur are truly historic, on the scale of those in 1929 and the 1990 Japanese collapse.

The simple reality is that bubbles, by their very nature in resulting from speculative euphoria tending to mania, are never accepted as bubbles until they bust. There is simply too much money to be made from denial or at least ignorance. Well-noted bubble spotters like Grantham and Yale Professor Robert Shiller have become known as ‘sages’ at spotting bubbles ahead of the bust only by being rapidly proven correct.

I suggest that the situation has changed, in no small part due to vested interests learning from the success of these two luminaries in particular, so that timing of the bust is far less predictable. I hasten to add that both Grantham and Shiller have always stressed that the timing of the bust is never certain, but both have been confident enough to speak up loudly and promote their views in the past. If I am correct and bubbles nowadays will behave more often like the millennium Australian residential property than the US housing or the NASDAQ dot-com bubbles, pronouncements of a bubble’s existence based on simplistic 2 sigma indicators of deviation from normal trends or relationships, while not incorrect in my view, will remain unproven by the bust for long periods which will allow the vested interests to undermine credibility and use the stopped analogue clock being briefly correct twice a day analogy more and more effectively.

Certainly global and regional events, and especially geopolitical events, will continue to cause reactions and even ructions in global markets just as COVID-19 eventually did. However, recent evidence suggests that the underlying market dynamics that I discussed above now act to reduce the duration, if not necessarily the depth of these ructions, so that confidence is rapidly restored to markets. Afterall, the worst outcomes for elites, and thus to be prevented at all costs, “is a dead market where nobody talks about asset prices and that will only be created by the depths of despair that are associated with a prolonged bear market“.

Others have and continue to take the opposite position to mine allocating to these momentum-based speculative markets, and have profited (at least on paper), so much so that the long record of price appreciation has reinforced the perception of the gaming of the system. For example, any deep discussion with an Australian residential property speculator will inevitably arrive at the underlying proposition that no government can afford for the bubble to pop on their watch so that it will be protected at all costs. In other words, in the speculators perception it is impossible for them to lose.

That clearly is not investing on the basis of the likelihood of future profits. That is speculating that the current inequitable system will be protected out of political and/or financial self-interest so that irrespective of profitability – and, in point of fact, because of Australian taxation laws, profitability of residential property ownership is actually discouraged – so that someone will pay more for the asset in the future.

That is not investing; it is certainly not efficient capital allocation; and thus, it is not authentic capitalism.

It seems appropriate, on many levels, to include here a favourite comment by Charlie Munger at the 2023 Daily Journal Corporation annual shareholder meeting when the then 99 year old legendary capital allocator (i.e. investor), and long time Republican supporter, highlighted just how far American politics and the socioeconomic system had shifted to the right in his lifetime. This is how I relayed it on LinkedIn:

In my opinion the best question asked of Charlie – on the basis that it elicited the most useful response from him, amongst a field littered with gold nuggets of valuable insights actionable to those able to decipher them – was sent in to Becky Quick from Peter Furland (?) from Oakville, Ontario after he had asked ChatGPT to devise the question:

“Mr. Munger, you’ve spoken about the importance of avoiding mental biases in decision-making. In your experience what’s the most challenging bias to overcome and how do you personally guard against it?”

Charlie answered, “denial”.

To prove his point on denial he used a common complaint from he and Warren Buffett; the example of fee collection by fund managers and other custodians of wealth.

His point was that 95% of money managers are “living in a state of denial”, “used to charging big fees and so forth for stuff that is not doing their clients any good” and he described it as a “deep moral depravity”

For me, however, the most critical point was made when he summed up by concentrating on how capitalism done properly is not selfish!

He highlights how he was careful not to misuse his various positions for personal gain, not even drawing directorship fees.

He and Buffett are famous for seeking to align their interests totally with those of the other owners of the business.

Furthermore he provided the example of how he provided an incentive share plan to employees of DJCO by providing his OWN stock, crediting the founder and Chairman of BYD [the chinese battery and electric car manufacturer] by saying he inspired him to follow his own generous actions.

Charlie concluded saying “so there is some of this old fashioned capitalist virtue left at Daily Journal, and there is some left at Berkshire Hathaway, and there is some left at BYD, but in most places everybody is just taking what they need without rationalising whether it is deserved or not

In other words, the antithesis of Extreme capitalism. But it is exceedingly rare…

In recent years Charlie frequently expressed doubt in his ability to outperform the market if he started out as a value investor under these market conditions, and while Warren Buffett disagreed slightly, he only did so on the basis that there are a lot more people doing dumb things now which is how opportunities arise. Both arguments actually support my argument in that I suggest that in this Extreme capitalism there is a well developed strategy that permits stupidity to run a whole lot longer, delaying the consequences of that stupidity being revealed, and that is why value investors have had difficulty in getting fully invested over now very long periods.

To conclude, and inspired by that late great man Charlie Munger, for the same reasons I did not short retirement homes leading into the COVID-19 pandemic, and I will not invest in military, I will not invest in technofeudalism, and I will not invest alongside and support someone who seeks to use their technology-derived privilege to gain a level of influence over humanity that has never before been possible.

And boy will I miss Charlie’s frequent cutting take downs of Elon Musk…

Now I have to admit that, like everything, the changes spawned in America are being exported within their sphere of influence, and also in the increasingly separate Chinese sphere of influence in a cold war (which I spotted earlier than many others, only 20 years into it!) for technological supremacy, so if this trend continues it will increasingly be a feature also in the equity markets in which I am allocating capital towards and technofeudalism will be increasingly difficult to avoid.

Thus I must now discuss what I sincerely hope will happen from here, and to do that I will critique Yannis’ thoughts on his alternative ‘now’ and contrast them with my own views in an extension on my “Reset” writings.


I commend Yanis for proposing an alternate ‘now’, a different reality had humanity taken different paths in our progress, as I did myself in “Reset“. Moreover, I applaud him for developing a new authentically left idea which I concur is absolutely critical to progress from here because our politics has been dragged so far to the right that many of the most influential contemporary actors who declare themselves on the left of politics, such as the famous banker Jamie Dimon (long time CEO of JP Morgan), in reality express views which may be considered further to the right of even luminary rightwing leaders Margaret Thatcher and Ronald Reagan.

Topically, another who very recently insisted their politics are not rightwing is Bill Ackman after he played a major role in dislodging the first black Harvard President Claudine Gay from that position, after which he wrote 4,000 words which he posted on social media and included a view that diversity, equity and inclusion (DEI) initiatives amount to racism because “reverse racism is racism, even if it is against white people.” (I apologise for not including the primary source but I do not use or promote that particular platform because I am especially concerned about the mental state and motivations of that particular technofeudalist.)

Of course, the lie of reverse racism is swiftly dismissed by anybody capable of a modicum of objective thought. That some implicitly understand the fallacy of reverse racism, while other intelligent individuals with broad life experiences do not, for me is patent evidence of the degree to which systemic racism blinds many in society to their own biased and prejudiced viewpoints, and often that is tied closely with aggression.

It is by no accident that there are just as many wealthy elites who declare allegiance to the left of politics, but I mention the JP Morgan CEO intentionally because I do consider it the main learning of JP Morgan Jr from his experience under President Franklin Delano Roosevelt that it is not good for business elites when their wealth provides influence over only the right of politics. If wealthy elites are to continually influence policy irrespective of which side of politics is in power then there must be many who support and favour either side of the political spectrum, openly with rhetoric, and explicitly through sizeable donations.

I enjoyed reading Yannis’ ideas, and while I advocate their wide dispersal and debate, ultimately I am not anti-capitalist and I don’t accept that capitalism is doomed.

I do, however, absolutely agree that people power is necessary to break the connection between wealth and political power – in fact, it is the key to stable sustainable societies – and I believe that this is possible with much simpler modifications to our socioeconomic systems than Yanis outlines.

Of course donation reforms must be a key focus. All donations by individuals or organisations to any organisation, from political parties to education to non-profit, should be limited to very reasonable levels (perhaps a certain percentage of the median income so that targeted donations are ‘affordable’ to the median income earner).

Note carefully, this does not limit the amount that can be donated to a particular aspect or issue within society. However, there is no justification for favouring one entity or organisation above another within a sector. Whenever a choice is made to favour one institution over another it is done for self-interested reasons such as to promote one self and/or to buy influence.

Those who believe in a functioning democracy and want to contribute to it should do just that rather than weaken it by self-serving donations.

Those who believe deeply in the value of education or research can support education and/or research, generally, but not use their privilege to buy influence and ego-driven rewards from targeting donations to achieve maximum return to them.

Large donations to particular aspects of society – a healthy democratic system through to NGOs – should be encouraged, but cannot be allowed to be directed at the discretion of the donor, but instead should be pooled and allocated to all relevant organisations on the basis of fair and objective criteria.

On such a basis, political donations will certainly take an enormous dive due to the lack of opportunity to extract a return to the donor, and no doubt vested interests such as media organisations will moan at the certain reduction in revenue from political advertising, which will serve to prove the point that such measures are critical to cut the link between wealth and influence.

The other great deficiency in modern democracies is the lack of leadership.

Around two decades ago political leaders in capitalist democracies began acting like the private sector could and would solve all problems and so they stopped leading and instead concentrated on winning the political battle which centred around a continually shortened news cycle – from daily down to instantaneous (as social media grew in prominence).

Surprisingly, former rightwing government Treasurer of Australia and Ambassador to the United States, Joe Hockey, likely to the chagrin of former colleagues, admitted as much in February 2020 in an interview with Leigh Sales on television on the Australian Broadcasting Corporation (ABC).

Of course this leaves plenty of time for politicians to attend lavish galas and cheerlead for billionaires who are inclined to support ultraconservatives (in this case, Trump in the US as well as ultraconservatives groups in Australia) in some sort of mutual lovefest.

Now it is increasingly clear that the rudderless ship creates anxiety within society due to its inherent directionless/meaninglessness – the gap filled by people who provide certainty and strength of viewpoint but absent logic – and societies are paying a very high price for that lack of authentic leadership over several decades.

At the same time it is entirely unsurprising that politicians numbers and remuneration have not declined commensurate with their self-perceived diminution of role in leading society.

In fact these politicians still argue for greater benefits to attract and reward their individual ‘talents’, but it is not clear to me on what basis many of these individuals are talented. For example, if we look at the Australian treasurers over my lifetime – from the 70’s – I would suggest that the best by far was Paul Keating in the 80’s (others rode the coattails of his reforms and were more fortuitous with their timing than skillful). Keating is the only one among them to have not been university educated, in fact he left school at 14 and was a pay clerk for a utility company prior to entering politics.

It simply is untenable that we continue to accept ‘followship‘ from those we elect and pay to provide leadership to society. It is time that society imposes real key performance criteria on these individuals, beyond the ballot box, which are linked over the short, medium and long term to performance and outcomes, thereby aligning their self-interest fully with that of the society that elects them to privileged positions of influence.

To do this politicians generous benefits and privileges acquired both during and post their political careers should be closely linked to the outcomes experienced by broader society and those especially related to the affairs over which they had greatest influence. For example, all of those politicians who had influence over housing policy would be assessed on criteria relevant to outcomes in housing over the medium and long term, as well as to other areas of responsibility, and to a broad measure of societal welfare which would extend to all members of parliament.

Since this would necessarily encompass income and privileges received in their post-political careers – which in itself is more often than not directly linked to the privilege and influence that was enjoyed during their political careers – all income above that which sitting members of parliament receive would be paid directly into their ‘superannuation account’ where the balance would be adjusted on the basis of assessment of societal outcomes against those KPIs.

I am certain that such a plan would result in a great deal of complaining by current parliamentarians. I simply say that we will quickly learn who truly thinks they have talent and something to offer society as those who are there mainly out of self-interest will recognise that only those who achieve outcomes for broader society will be well rewarded, and even that will be assessed over the long term.

Let me be clear, in conclusion, that I really do mean well rewarded for achieving KPIs. For example, one of the most intractable problems in Australian society is disadvantage of our First Nations peoples which results in wide gaps in life expectancy and other life outcomes relative to non-First Nations people. Who really could argue that a group of people who came together and made a real contribution towards closing that gap do not deserve to be well rewarded financially for that? Certainly not me.

The reality, however, is that those who will achieve real progress will be driven by much more than financial rewards. But the simple fact is that having long-term rewards linked to long-term outcomes will decrease the likelihood of individuals driven by self-interest occupying positions which would be better held by individuals not driven primarily by self-interest, thereby creating conditions conducive for achieving inclusive progress.

We need to free our members of parliament from any whiff of impropriety, of any potential links between views they express and positions held by major donors to their electoral campaigns which leave them open to insinuation that they would support actions causing human suffering over doing right by those who elected them, or for broader humanity including groups on the other side of the world, such as the linking of higher levels of political donations to those who have supported actions which have led to over 23,000 innocent victims in Gaza, which some are labelling genocide and arguing as such in the United Nations International Court of Justice.

The only real way to protect parliamentarians from such poor perceptions of acting with callous disregard for human rights and societal wellbeing is to definitively and explicitly cut the link between wealth and influence over their actions.

If the ideas laid out above were our ‘now’, there would be no opportunity to suggest a level of self-interest by parliamentarians in supporting actions which hurt so many innocent and vulnerable human beings. Moreover, the longer these links remain eminently plausible without these reforms, the more trust in elected officials and bureaucracy will continue to erode thereby undermining social cohesion and, ultimately, the health of our democracies.


I cannot leave this discussion without picking up on one major point that Yanis misses – besides his decision to sidestep providing views on the personalities of high-profile technofeudalists and on whether the irregular market behaviours of 18 September 2022 perhaps were a part of an agenda to out a newly installed Prime Minister and at the same time elevate an elite of their own (a former investment banker) to the most powerful position in the UK – and this one is absolutely critical in this contemporary world.

In “Technofeudalism: What killed capitalism” Yanis essentially infers that capitalism, prior to being killed itself by technofeudalism, largely killed off the authentic left via the continual weakening of collective actions by workers. While that is correct, it lets the left off much too easily in terms of the major issues it chose to leave unaddressed.

Chief amongst those issues the left refused to address is racism, prejudice and bias.

Today this inability of the left to lead towards diverse, equitable and inclusive workforces in a globalised world is it’s major historical shortcoming, and this deficiency has left humanity weak and vulnerable to opportunism from the extreme right which is further eroding the left’s blue collar base. So in Chapter 7 ‘Escape From Technofeudalism’, where Yannis says “bigotry is technofeudalism’s emotional compensation for the frustration and anxiety we feel in relation to identity and focus“, he sidesteps the truth that the left put leading on diversity in the too hard and too risky basket and thereby sowed the seeds of their own demise. Earlier in Chapter 5 Yanis does express regret that “solidarity between the workers of the North and the South remains an entirely unfulfilled dream“, but he fails to identify the real cause – the workers of the North had no interest in global equality if it meant any reduction in their privilege.

The unavoidable sad reality for humanity is that xenophobic populism has been a force too tantalising in rapidly globalising societies for almost all political actors to resist and all too often it has been harnessed by the left to achieve political ends, also, from labour relations to trade to environmental issues (even in “big empty Australia“, in Sir David Attenborough’s words)… and even with regard to, you guessed it, Australian residential property.

The left needs to learn this lesson for once and for all and provide authentic leadership within this continual race and inclusion vacuum, and never sidestep or slide back from leading on it.

Yannis is entirely correct that the left has been an utter disappointment over the past half century. As strange as it seems to me, the political centre of most democracies has been pulled so significantly right of the 1960s/70’s centre that it has unleashed even more radical actors amongst the far right whose rhetoric suggests that the opposite has occurred, that our democracies have moved dramatically to the left. These actors have then used this political momentum to create coalitions of ultraconservative interests to attack ‘lefty woke agendas’ in a fear-riddled campaign with an underlying message that white masculinity is in a battle not just for relevance but for survival. Their campaign is so broad and clever to appeal superficially to large groups brought into this ‘anti-woke’ movement, for example black men concerned about a perceived challenge to patriarchy, without noticing that they, themselves, are hurt by the attacks on DEI measures to address inequality which is another aspect of the anti-woke agenda.

My prediction from the moment that I realised that we were in a Great Reset has proven accurate to a greater degree than I could foresee at the time, that the battle for hearts and minds would be incredibly intense. I have written optimistically that the goodness at the core of the human experience would triumph over hate and division, and my concept of how Resets occur in society being like the change in swing of a pendulum allows for a period where all seems uncertain as the direction appears undetermined.

I am concerned, however, that those of us on the left who love and believe in inclusive and open-hearted humanity perhaps have too much optimism in it so that we almost believe it is inevitable that it will endure and overcome. While I have a deep belief that goodness always prevails, we also need to recognise that humanity has shown on innumerable occasions that it is capable of inflicting untold sorrow upon itself before enduring progress is achieved.

The far right is well organised and has an enormous head start in the tussle for hearts and minds, and if it weren’t for the goodness at the core of the human existence, we would be in so much worse a position.

But it is time that we stop taking for granted the triumph of good over bad, love over hate, and unity over division.

It is time that the left coalesces and develops a grand coalition that will dwarf the true ultraconservatives – which is really only limited to the minority of human beings belonging to the straight white male demographic group who choose to remain closed off to connection with themselves let alone broader humanity and the natural world – and lead humanity towards that more inclusive and compassionate future that offers the only real chance at achieving stable and sustainable lives for ourselves, those we love, and those many beautiful human beings yet to enter the world we leave for them.

Each day many more understand the interconnectedness of all of these issues and, while it is critical that responsible traditional media shares these critical insights, the net actions of every individual living human being will determine just how Great this Reset is for humanity!


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© Copyright Brett Edgerton 2024

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Don’t COP It Any More: Make 2024 count!

This graphic demonstrates why each COP must be evaluated relative to the task or effort required from that moment, NOT by a simple comparison to previous COPs.

And that is why it is ridiculous to listen to self-congratulations about the first admission of the need to transition from using fossil fuel in energy systems in the COP28 text. 

Humanity has consistently failed to put in the effort to respond to climate change, thus what we have created is now a planetary crisis.

Today the response effort required of humanity is much greater – magnitudes greater (as indicated by the relative sizes of the red arrows) – than if we had genuinely begun responding after the first IPCC report was released in 1990 (left-most graphs) which underlined the global consequences of climate change and clarified our collective challenge, and it is significantly greater than at the time the Paris agreement (middle graphs) was struck to strive to limit the global temperature increase to 1.5C.

The delay has been in large part due to the fossil fuel industry always seeing those red arrows as too great a negative impact on their businesses so that the human beings having influence over their actions have used their accumulated privilege in society (through wealth and political connection) to delay and reduce the response effort enacted.

And that is the one thing that has not changed over these decades!

It is imperative that each of us see the situation for the way it is, not the way fossil fuel interests are paying a fortune in spin doctoring to have us see it. 

It has been made especially clear in the past year that this industry will not act in the interests of humanity.

These holidays, when we spend time with those we love, and we reflect on all we have in our lives for which we are grateful, please spare a moment to deeply consider what it is we are leaving for those who must follow us, and make the decision to loudly express those concerns beginning in 2024 and beyond.

The power to lead really is within each of us!

Acknowledgements: Original graphs taken from the Copernicus global temperature trend monitor website.


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© Copyright Brett Edgerton 2023

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Spare and Little Brother

I’ve finished reading “Spare” by Prince Harry and I relate to his story so very well, although our lives are miles apart, literally and figuratively, even more than I did when I wrote “For A Moment Consider That Meghan Might ‘Complete’ Harry Not ‘Contaminate’ Him“.

I found the way in which Harry presents the dialogue between him and his older brother a little disconcerting – too close to my own deep scars – he referring still boy-like to “Willy”, and in return he always referred to in an authoritative tone as “Harold”.

I am the youngest of three with my brother eight years my senior. His names for me were, when I was pre-teen, blancmange, and then later, toadie. Both were slurs at my childhood weight.

Nowadays I understand that my brother was to me, most of the time, bullying both physically and psychologically, even though I chose not to dwell on it at the time. I still sort his approval and respect.

In my very early teens things went from bad to worse in our family, as the financial stress from trying to keep the family farm as we went backwards after commodity prices fell precipitously in the early 80’s continued to build, and the emotional stress was expressed in us as confusion, hurt and anger.

When I was 15 my then 23-year-old brother, almost out of control with rage, pinned me up against farm machinery and yelled in my face, “be careful, you’re still only a little boy!” We were doing a chore we both hated, but we had been witnessing a great deal of emotion in our home without any guidance on what was happening or how we might deal with these emotions as a family or as individuals.

When I moved away to go to university I saw that other people had lives not filled with stress. Nor were they obliged to return some weekends and every holiday to work for the family. Still I prepared to return to the family farm once I completed my undergraduate degree, that was until I met the love of my life in my final year while she was in her first. 

At that point there was sufficient reason to hurt my family and not return to the farm. 

For the first time, I chose me. I was not sorry.

I was made to feel guilty for not returning to the farm, however, by my parents, and especially by my brother who saw my return as his way out. My brother’s anger boiled over in the way he spoke to me, most often referring to me as “college boy” – after I started my postgraduate studies – with such a deep level of resentment that I would always see in my mind’s eye him sitting for hours on tractors frothing over my ‘good fortune’ and his torment.

During that first year after I had completed my undergraduate degree we had a family function and I was at the smorgasbord table with my brother. He looked at me and motioned at my plate saying that I was not the ‘bloke’ I used to be. I was then 21.

His words hit me in the gut. I explained that I did not have a lot on my plate because my appetite had not recovered after having Ross River Fever the year before (the photograph above was taken a couple of months after I had ‘Ross River’), and I explained that I had caught just about every bug that was going around since, even giardia which is normally only caught by immunocompromised patients.

After he left the smorgasbord table, I piled more onto my plate and over-eating became habitualised.

When I was 18 I had visible abs and I could lift 200kg in a deadlift. I wanted to compete at the university games in power lifting but did not have the money to travel, but when I saw the results I was lifting more in training than the winner of the 89kg class which I would have competed in. 

I was also considered one of the most talented young rugby league players in my home town – a place known to unearth a few stars.

That was the only period in my life that I felt my brother was proud of me… sometimes. We went out together a couple of times when I was an undergraduate and often people pulled us up and said we had to be brothers, to which my brother would say “yeah twins, he’s Arnie and I’m Danny Devito”.

Now he was disappointed that I did not have that same persona, that I had broken free of how many people saw me from my upbringing in my home town. He told me that he would have done anything to have the talent I had at rugby league, yet I wasted it by ceasing to play while I began studying towards a PhD.

But, as the years went by, I gradually realised that his disappointment in me went even deeper, and he also saw me differently, because I was in love with a woman of colour, an Asian woman. I believe my whole family did.

I had been brainwashed with the family mantra that our life was all about the farm. As I explained in “How Farmers Lose Perspective“, it had become my family’s reality that the farm was more important than the family itself, certainly more important than any one member of the family, and all of our resources should go towards our common cause of keeping the farm.

When I did not return to the farm, I had a great deal of difficulty in letting go of the guilt that I was not using my resources for the highest family priority of keeping the farm. Being a postgraduate student with no scholarship, I worked some part time jobs to help my future wife and I get by, but we were just subsisting, while I was deeply committed to my research which was going so well that I was quickly on my way to becoming a leader in my field.

My sister, having completed university, was now back at home earning an income. I was resentful that she was earning an income and not sharing it with Mum and Dad so that they could survive while still on the farm. It was also my guilt driving me to think of ways for them to be better off while I was not working on the farm. I told my sister of my disappointment in her and we had a huge argument, me telling her that she was selfish.

How deluded was I?

Still that was how things were in our family, in reality.

On the back of 2 years of researching towards a PhD without any stipend I was successful in a grant proposal which provided me with a scholarship. A year later I proposed to the love of my life to become my wife. We had a short engagement.

Not only did we refuse a contribution from my parents towards the costs of our wedding, or for them to pay for an engagement party, as my siblings had had, I insisted on paying them back more money in addition to other money that I had given to repay them for helping me to get through the final 2 years of my undergraduate degree.

Moreover, soon after, when I was informed that things were especially tight, I insisted on lending Mum and Dad money, the same money we had earlier lent to my sister and her family to fly to America to participate in the first meeting of a group of children with a rare and newly described genetic disorder which my beautiful niece had just been diagnosed with. When Mum and Dad tried to repay that money I refused to accept it.

My beautiful, caring wife never once voiced objection to any of this, even though the disparity between our two families could not have been more stark.

I will always be proud that we were able to help my sister’s family in their moment of need.

But how deluded was I to feel so deeply indebted that I needed to pay all of this money back to my parents when I had seen so many helped much more by their parents, when they did not work every holidays from daylight to dark, 7 days a week, and had worked as hard as a man from early teens.

It was the first money that my wife and I managed to save, and we could have used to set up for our own family.

Oh guilt…

Worse still, when I sort for my family to at least acknowledge my hard work towards their cause, they laughed off my contribution to working hard on the farm, out of their own guilt or something. I had continued to respond to their annual request to come home and work for a month in the busiest period, leaving my wife and my research, into my mid-20’s. And the year I finally declined their request and told them I needed to concentrate on getting my PhD finished, well that was extremely difficult. I wished they had resisted the urge to ask and not forced me to into the position of having to say no to them.

Things went on in a tense and awkward manner. In relaying a story of grievance to extended family an ‘in-law’ called a shop assistant an “Asian-bitch” which deeply hurt my wife and I. Suddenly we were the trouble makers, however, for letting it be known that it was offensive. It was followed by the obligatory conversation over whether that really was a racist thing to say!

That night I received the most emotionless hug I have ever experienced in my life which let me know that my connection with all of my family will never be as close again, or as close as I had deluded myself to believe it once was.

So then, inevitably, something happened so that I became totally estranged from my brother and sister, which obviously had the effect of pushing me out of my family. 

Suddenly I was the one who was only concerned with money…

My brother did not even acknowledge the birth of my second son with flowers or in any way.

Things can be bad, but when you cannot bring yourself to acknowledge the birth of a family member, your nephew, then I don’t think there is any hope left.

We continued to send gifts to our 5 nieces for Christmas and their birthdays, my sister reciprocating, and my brother not.

After one Christmas my mother said that she did not know why I even bothered, which I took as an indication, from somebody who had observed how our gifts were treated, at least to my brother’s daughters, that it was utterly pointless.

So I phoned my sister and said we had considered everything and thought that it was probably best if we stop exchanging gifts for our children since neither side knows us.

Her response struck me the moment I heard it: In an even and calm tone she said, “I respect your decision”.

And there it was… “respect”… I felt like crying… one of my siblings, my big sister, respects me…

I have a PhD. I am considered a global expert in my field. I am a husband and a father. I am liked by many for being a decent and good human being.

But I never had the respect of my older siblings.

For the youngest sibling, the desire to be respected and loved is enormous. It is embedded deep in our psyche because it drives our behaviours from our earliest moments of life.

Conversely, the power to withhold that respect is the greatest power that older siblings will ever have over their younger siblings.

A little brother literally craves the acceptance of his big brother as much as depleted lungs crave oxygen.

That is one of the strongest themes that I observed in Harry’s narrative of his life. He knows it’s there, surely, but I suspect he does not yet fully understand the depth of it.

If only “Willy” could understand that enough for it to pierce his armour, layered with his ‘British’ fear of vulnerability, his experience of the events that shaped his life, and his desire to protect himself from hurt. I will also say this, with only judgment of my own in-laws not Harry’s, “Willy” will be aided enormously if his greatest support were able to do likewise.

If only “Willy” could really mean it when he says that he “respects” Harry… Then there might actually be hope, for both of them…


I have to admit that I am not a ‘royal watcher’ by any measure. I could not be bothered with such ridiculous soap operas, and I understand the complicity involved in actively engaging in the gossip. Almost all of what I read was new to me.

Perhaps one of the longest-lasting memories of reading “Spare” will be how we all absorb this stuff, however, even those who say they are uninterested by it, and that became apparent to me through many channels, especially reading social media, in the intensity of views towards Harry and Meghan held by so very many.

My observations from these interactions is that while ‘idle gossip’ was beneath all, especially about such ‘unworthy and privileged’ people, most emotion surrounded transference about what is appropriate to discuss publicly from and about personal family relationships.

This is a point I am sensitive to because, like Harry, I have shared much about my own upbringing and thus about the relationships that were most important to me when young.

I have occasionally shared stories with my sons and wife, sometimes sanitised to reduce hurt to them, less sanitised nowadays. Until recently, however, I had not explained to my youngest son the depths of my anguish about my upbringing as I had done at a similar age with my eldest son. 

I needed to explain how it felt as a 15-year-old to edge down a dark veranda, my terrified mother nudging me along and shielding behind me, and then into an even darker room, alone, to take my father’s pistol from his hands to stop him from ending his life if not first the life of everyone else in my family that was present that night (As I discussed in “How Farmers Lose Perspective” and “For The Sons Of Deeply Insure Men” amongst others).

I did not want to take the chance that his curiosity might cause my very intelligent and inquisitive son to look through my blog and read what happened without my guidance or without an opportunity to discuss any issues or questions it raised for him.

I believe that sharing this pain gives my sons a little of the experience, to learn the lessons from it, without suffering the trauma first hand. Moreover, it explains why I am the father I am – telling them constantly that I love them, frequently rubbing their arms and back, speaking to them gently, and always showing my emotions as openly as I can manage – even though this is the polar opposite to how I was raised.

It cut through for both of them to understand the importance of being brave and to show vulnerabity when it is appropriate and safe.

We spoke about why I chose to talk about it with him now.

I also told him that I had long planned to speak openly about my experiences in the hope that I might help other young men come to terms with similar upbringings and experiences, and I also said that I hoped it might help fathers to stop and think before they lose perspective on what should be the most important priority in their life…

Family.

(For those who do not understand that irony in the objections of many who talk about how Harry was disloyal to his family, yet miss the point that his greatest hurt is that others did not place their family as the highest priority in their lives, and objected to him then prioritising his own family with Meghan, then that just highlights the extreme degree of tainting by poisonous drippings from the soap opera, a real life Truman show.)

I told my son that at first I intended to write in detail about my upbringing after my father’s death, to not embarrass him, but then I realised that would be disrespectful, dishonest and dishonourable. I decided that I should write now in the knowledge that he may read anything or indeed everything that I wrote.

Unlike Harry, my words are not written for his benefit, though, because so very much time has passed that I know that none of it will make one iota of difference in my family.

Although I literally saved my family, I was cast out and I became the lightning rod for all that was wrong with the family and each of my sibling’s lives.

I have come to accept that has much to do with racism.

I believe Harry still carries the unresolved trauma of a man that hopes that he will somehow earn the right to feel the love and respect of his male mentors, while he knows deep in his heart – as it was for me, so deep that it hurt to acknowledge and then accept it – that is unlikely to ever be his lived experience.

Ultimately what I said to my sons is that all of this is simple – if we are all good human beings, good to each other and especially those we love, then we should not be afraid of any truthful account of our actions, and if there are things of which we are embarrassed, then we should have the decency, love and respect for ourselves and others to acknowledge these and seek to make good with those who were affected.

It’s really not that difficult to understand, and it has nothing to do with loyalty or absence of it.


As a final point, I held this back to post on R U OK? Day 2023 because I wanted to briefly touch on something extremely important.

Confusion, unsurprisingly, was one of the strongest emotions that remained with me after that terrible night when I was 15. I was confused, however, not just about the actions of my parents and especially my father, but my own. Actually it was my inaction that confused me. Why did I not react initially knowing that my father had gone into his room when I knew exactly what he would be doing there? Then after I had gone into his room and taken the pistol from him, and my parents were in the living room fighting, my father surging to go past my mother to take the gun back from me while she kept punching him to stop his advance, why did I just stand there crying holding the gun limply in my hand as if it were there for him to take back if he chose to?

It was not until my brother came up from the shower room that he took decisive action to take the gun away.

The truth is that through discipline and culture in our family I had come to accept that my life was at the control of my parents, and if my father should choose to take it from me, since he had conceived me, that was his prerogative. I felt I had no rights.

This was brought home to me when I saw my sons for the first time, each both around 5 to 6 weeks post-conception during an ultrasound of their mother’s womb. As soon as I saw them and saw their flickering heartbeats I had the overwhelming sense that already my sons have rights! I want to emphasise that – from the moment we knew of their existence, they had rights as human beings!

(Yes, the reader can read into this statement that I have very mixed feelings about abortion, but I do understand also that reproductive rights are a vexed and nuanced topic that is not advanced by extreme views.)

This is something that I have stressed to my boys all of their lives.

We owe our parents much, but not our lives.

Tragically every year in Australia there are still men who make the statement that they control their family’s lives, their children and their partner. Often it is their final statement, resulting in heart-breaking catastrophe.

The work of freeing men from the harmful chains of masculine pride will be long but incredibly rewarding for humanity, none more so than for boys and young men…


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Alter Edgo and His Bloody Woke Kid: Series 1

Series 1 of “Alter Edgo and His Bloody Woke Kid” was filmed and produced August to September 2023 in the shadow of the looming Australian referendum on a constitutional Voice for First Nations peoples. Eleven episodes (released weekly) and 3 specials – including 2 post-season ‘backgrounders’ – were produced, with the final special released 14 October.

Alter is sharing the wisdom from his life journey where he believes he is getting his kid on the ‘straight and narrow’ but in reality his woke kid finds teachable moments to help Alter understand and live in a world that is leaving him behind, a reality which has made him feel a bit disconnected, fearful and often angry…

Episode 1: Meet Alter Edgo and His Bloody Woke Kid
Episode 2: That’s Not THAT Long
Episode 3: What Did THEY Ever Do
Episode 4: No Pride
Episode 5: Never Treated THEM Bad
Episode 6: I’m Not Responsible
Episode 7: Alter’s OK (released on R U OK? Day)
Alter Edgo Special: TED talk with Billy the woke kid & JT’ abone
Episode 8: Always On The Outs
Episode 9: XXXX Makes Ya Woke
Episode 10: Woke Rising
Episode 11: Tattoo me backside Yes
Season 1 “Alter Edgo and His Bloody Woke Kid” Finale: Exclusion
Alter Edgo Special – Me, Meself & Fergie

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0.1%

Imagine you are a pilot – a good pilot – but you know next to nothing about the mechanics and engineering of a plane.

You are on a remote island which is the site of an airplane servicing facility with 100 airplane engineers and mechanics and one other pilot. 

A tsunami alert has been triggered and everyone must evacuate the island in under 5 hours as everything is certain to go under water. There are two planes on the island, both needing work to fly, but each has seating capacity for everyone.

The 102 human beings meet and every single engineer and mechanic, bar 1, agree that one of the planes is a much better option. In fact, they believe that choosing the other plane is an extremely dangerous option because radioactive material is certain to leak – and this cannot be repaired without new parts – and this will cause lasting serious health impacts on everyone.

The preferred choice requires everyone to pull together, but all parts are present and the team routinely completes this work within a few hours.

The team of 99 head off to work immediately while the other mechanical engineer seeks your support as they still back themself to have the other plane in a state to fly before the tsunami arrives.

You are a ‘salt of the Earth’ type, a bit sceptical of smart alec engineers, and you often support the underdog.

Do you support that one engineer, help them work on their choice while exposing yourself to radiation, and jump in the ‘hot’ seat to fly the plane❓

🚀Of course nobody in their right mind does.

That’s an example of 99 out of 100.

99.9% is 999 out of 1,000.

So when you hear people still wanting to argue against human-caused climate change, remember that they are supporting the 0.1%.

999 out of every 1,000 human beings who have chosen to spend their lives researching the relevant science have chosen the other plane.

👍🏼While I also respect that 0.1% of scientists because counter views must always be taken seriously, in fact it is critical for scientific progress like justice requires proper defense of even the most guilty, it is entirely foolish for humanity’s response to be any different to what our common sense tells us when only 1 in 1,000 hold a certain view.

In our day to day life, this ‘crash’ may appear to be happening in slow motion, but it is no less devastating to each of us, and the more we argue over our options, the more our response is delayed and the more devastating the consequences to everyone…


Of course the problem comes when both pilots are Tories and shareholders in the planes, and they refuse to fly only one plane insisting engineers and mechanics also work on the plane with leaking radiation putting in jeopardy the chance of the better option plane being able to fly. And yes, even though one of the pilots will also be badly impacted by leaked radiation, is it any different to the impacts from the climate crisis whereby we all feel its impacts no matter how rich we might be?

The really troubling possibility is that both pilots are deep down the QAnon rabbit hole and they consider the whole thing an elaborate conspiracy, in fact they reckon tsunamis don’t even exist, so neither will fly 😨

If only this were a pointless hypothetical…


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“Reset”: Chapter 6 – “Roosevelt Weather”

Elliott opened his eyes one final time, and looked at the world with a loving smile, no doubt noting the ‘Roosevelt weather’ being enjoyed by the bustling humanity outside the window of his Scottsdale home, long jet streaks visible across an azure sky. He gently squeezed Patricia’s hand before his own softened and his ultimate breath spilled quietly over his gaped bottom lip.

James Roosevelt died 10 months later.

Elliott Roosevelt was an enigma and there remains much ambiguity over his own legacy.

More critically, Americans and broader humanity are left wondering how it was that a political family that offered and gave so much allowed their influence and potential for leadership to somehow peter away. Was it that the political enemies of Franklin and Eleanor were so rabid that they would leave no stone unturned in ensuring that there would be no continuation of the Roosevelt political dynasty. Alternatively, perhaps growing up in the glare of the increasingly voyeuristic public eye created an ambivalence in their children that left them without the desire to endure the negative aspects of a public life to achieve for the greater good, especially if they considered that their Dad sacrificed his health and ultimately his life for the greater good when Elliott, at least, was disappointed that darker forces in American politics were able to subvert much of what FDR had worked and sacrificed for; an enduring global peace. Or was it that the egalitarianism that Franklin and Eleanor’s leadership fostered made the public more sceptical, continually cajoled by the media, which hindered their children in following in their footsteps, conditions that had either dissipated or were not applied to other politically dynastic American families that followed?

Then again, did the political dynasties that followed learn from the experiences of the Roosevelts knowing that they had to have a widespread and deeply embedded political network to protect them from political blowback even when it might have been valid?

Already understanding the significance of his Dad’s death to broad humanity within a year of WWII ending, in “As He Saw It” Elliott wrote:

“Now it must be obvious that no single individual, no matter how great a world leader, can by his existence or by his death influence world history for more than a few moments of eternity. But in this case, an individual’s death meant a consequent vacuum – for those few moments – in the force for progress, for moving forward, for making sure that the war was not fought, after all, just to preserve the status quo ante. And into the vacuum, the friends of progress being out to lunch, there stepped their opposites, the foes of progress, the proponents of the world that was, the advocates of reaction.”

It is time that we acknowledge that the ‘friends of progress’ never really came back from that lunch ‘four score years ago’ and the pendulum reached an extreme with only minor resistance.

If we are to progress, then we all need to lead towards it. And while we should all expect better of our elected leaders, we would be foolish to count on it.

Politicians will follow if we Reset our own behaviours!

It is far more important and rewarding to be of value to humanity than in a market….


Chapter 5 – “It’s Not Worth Going Through All Of This Crap If You’re Not Going To Enjoy The Ride” (Previous)


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“Reset”: Chapter 5 – “There is no point in going through all this crap if you’re not going to enjoy the ride”

In the movie “Along Came Polly” Rueben Feffer’s Dad did not say a lot, but when he did, he nailed it.

The question has always been how to establish a mindset whereby ‘the ride’ can be enjoyed because throughout human history it has been understood that some who would appear to have so little reason for happiness are the most jovial, yet those who apparently have so much should be happy yet appear so unsatisfied. The line works because there are many Sandy Lyles among us (sadly Philip Seymour Hoffmann, who so brilliantly brought Sandy to life on our screens, is no longer with us).

Now anxiety for humanity’s future is not just reasonable it is inappropriate to not be concerned. The pendulum has swung to such an extreme of late, and the consequences of it so apparent, that not many possibly could, and nobody should, ‘enjoy the ride’.

This is what a contact wrote when they read my movie treatment – bear in mind this person is one of the greatest economics minds in Australia, is a world-renowned author, and a frequently published economics commentator (on Bloomberg, The Guardian, etc):

“I don’t think it is possible to change anything as people are generally not interested, being preoccupied with the minutiae of humdrum trivialities. It is unwise to set yourself an Sisyphean (sic) task which you will come to regret and it will ultimately poison your life in ways you perhaps do not appreciate. I fully expect that in your children’s lifetime the world will become an unpleasant place- chronic food, water and energy challenges (sic), financial instability on a scale that is unimagined, climate change will make large parts of the continent difficult to inhabit, wars and conflicts of different sorts will proliferate. Australia -the Lucky Country-may find its good fortune does not last (without massive mineral exports Australian living standards would be 20-50% lower).  I am happily at the end of my life. I do not envy those who will have to deal with what is now inevitable.”

As someone who made the choice to bring life into this world, I feel that I do not have a choice but to do all that I can to make things better. The more of us committed to it, the better the world will be for those who follow us.

In “As He Saw It”, Elliott wrote that when his weary Dad was reunited with his Mum, Eleanor, after the Yalta conference – just a few months before he died, after FDR had led the most powerful nation, and consequently broader humanity, through one of its most turbulent periods in modern times – he warmly and proudly exclaimed:

“Look at the communiqué from the Crimea: the path it charts! From Yalta to Moscow, to San Francisco and Mexico City, to London and Washington and Paris! Not to forget it mentions Berlin! It’s been a global war, and we’ve already started making it a global peace!”

I can barely read these words without tearing, not just because I feel his pride as warmth in my own chest, but also because I – like Elliott did already in 1946 when he wrote of his experiences – feel the disappointment at the way humanity was turned away from the better path.

All too often we have been led by (mostly) men who have acted from self-interest in pleasing subsets of humanity, not just their own national electors, but even smaller subsets within their societies.

Rather than uniting people, these leaders seek to divide us for their own personal and narrow-interested gain, in doing so often giving the appearance of indifference if not visceral hate of those who they seek to subjugate.

Others take the idea of market-based capitalism to the extreme and suggest that political leadership is outdated and unnecessary in lieu of individual entrepreneurship. If it were in fact true, then this would invite the question for why societies should be levied to pay their expensive political salaries and for Government operation of an apparatus that has relinquished its role in leading, even if the greatest payoff to such self-interest is achieved in their post-public career when they really cash in on their political influence.

Of course, such contentions are absurd, and are indicative of an extreme form of capitalism where self-interest is not just accepted but is perversely applauded.

Moreover, the lack of leadership by those meant to provide it is in no small part the cause of the anxiety felt in many societies just as anybody aboard a rudderless vessel in a broad ocean would feel as they meandered directionless even in favourable ambient conditions, let alone when a squall arose.

Three decades of dereliction of duty to lead by our public leaders has occurred since the collapse of the largest communist state in the Soviet Union, and the adoption of ‘state capitalism’ in China which proved tentalising for Western businesses operating solely on the profit imperative and out of self-interest by executives and owners while that nation rapidly developed into the world’s second largest economy and became less ideologically-open since their current leadership came to power in 2010.

The truth, however, is that this dereliction is not just the fault of political non- or anti-leadership.

Where the individualism meme is correct is that we must all take responsibility for allowing these leaderless societies to have devolved from the 1980s, almost as if we had felt that a perfect state had been achieved, not considering all of the systemic bias that kept marginalised people and geographic regions (and nations) down, and at the same time being tantilised by the dream of wealth beyond imagination emanating from (the perception of) free capitalist markets even if it was at the cost of a hollowed-out middle class meaning that the probability of achieving social mobility upwards, or even maintaining it within the middle class, decreased.

Humanity now confronts our most serious challenge in our short history, compared with many other species, in the climate crisis from a position of compromise where we have traded away our innate and learned advantages – our social skills and empathy, and our technology to record, research, learn, and teach the lessons of history – for the chance at short term gains, and leaving ourselves more vulnerable than ever before to manipulation to create division.

We need leaders who actually want to lead within society, who share FDR’s love and optimism for humanity, and who seek to unite rather than divide both on a regional basis and globally.

Leadership must also be dispersed throughout society in the form of parents and other mentors.

The future of humanity is now too critical and too finely balanced to be allowed to drift directionlessly and remaining at the whim of random circumstance associated with the natural and anthropogenic realities of our existence, principally the life and death even of great human beings, and the potential for divisive people to ascend to positions of great power and influence. Here I am thinking especially of the impact of the timing of the death of FDR, and specifically about Elliott Roosevelt’s final sentence in ‘As He Saw It’:

“If Franklin Roosevelt was a great President, it was – in the main – thanks to the articulated intelligence of the American people during his terms in the White House.”

We know from history that there will always be those amongst us who have an unquenchable thirst for power, who will seek to drive the pendulum swing to extremes out of self-interest, so if we are to counteract their forcefulness then we need societies to be fortified by education and critical thinking skills, diffuse and inclusive leadership, and above all else, compassion from connection.

The key to human progress will always lie in the quelling of the amplitude of the pendulum swing so that more of our collective energy and capability goes into steepening the trajectory of progress, progress that is not measured in material wealth – though that will no doubt follow – but in societal advancement in terms of inclusion and contentment.

Humans, especially politicians whose main aim is to retain their grip on power, are very good at moving on and forgetting about ideas of the past, even those with significant merit. Politicians see an idea that was fostered but not quite accepted by the electorate as ‘poisoned’, something that political capital was risked for but ultimately wasted on. Thus, they are typically reluctant if not outright unwilling to again risk their political capital again for that idea or policy.

Especially in the developed world, Humanity was ‘stripped bare’ during WWII and that created a burning desire to rebuild global society, and the economy on which it depends, on sustainable foundations in the hope that mistakes leading to war would not be repeated.

Many ideas were debated, and institutions created, from the collective lessons. Compromises were necessarily made for reasons and conditions that may or may not remain valid.

One idea that has floundered is the idea of a world government, even though the solid reasoning behind it, enunciated by one of the greatest minds of the past century, Albert Einstein, remains as true today as ever because it is based on the nature of human behaviour over millennia, including over the past 80 years. This and many other ideas need to be revisited.

It might easily be said that this podcast is posing the question of what might have been made of the peace so bravely and catastrophically fought for in WWII had FDR survived. That certainly is true to an extent, but the underlying question is much deeper. Equally it is worth pondering what might have been our collective experience if more women – or even one woman – true to her/their individual nature/s rather than becoming masculinised to ascend to positions of influence within aggressively dominating patriarchal systems – were actively involved with negotiations for peace.

In truth, that one question can be extended ad infinitum to the full diversity of the human experience with its basis in one truth, that the character of society remains narrow-minded and non-inclusive.

The real underlying question is how might things have been different if the character of society were changed to not be based on dominating and discriminating, along racial and other lines, patriarchy but was based on deep appreciation, respect, and love for the full diversity of humanity.

To understand that this is indeed the question at the core of the issue we must acknowledge that we have failed to develop our societies to a level where we can be optimistic of addressing problems as they arise because society is not cohesive and cooperation is not only rare but it is actively discouraged!

If this is agreed, then it also follows that we have been stuck in a social stasis this past century where progress has been minimal and so weak that it is at continual risk of setback with the emergence of the next megalomaniac able to pull the strings of nationalism or religious extremism or racism to seize power out of self-interest.

I could easily be provocative and conclude this podcast series by saying that we, humanity, are almost out of time to get things right. That may in fact be the case – with the climate crisis and issues surrounding artificial intelligence and technology – but my opinion on that is no more valuable than that of many others.

What I do know is that it is past time that we do get back on the right track.

Moreover, we have certainly reached the stage of technological development where the odds have increased significantly that our collective actions or those of a small number can imperil us all and our way of life. We have lived in that knowledge now for ‘four score years’, long enough for humanity first to be numb to the reality of the risk of nuclear warfare, then become appropriately fearful, and back to ignorantly indifferent such that now all risks, including newly apparent or re-emergent ones, are typically considered by a majority as exaggerated.

Sleepwalking is a particularly apt analogy.

And yet the very plain truth is that the answer is really quite simple. In fact, it is one word.

Love. Love for ourselves and for all others.

We all simply must choose love over hate. When we observe ourselves being fearful at difference we need to remain calm and search our hearts first before withdrawing or responding with aggression and/or anger. When we see difference as interesting and exciting, not scary, then we appreciate the richness that variety adds to our lives. There is nothing inherently frightening about difference, after all we all appreciate choice in our consumer products, eliciting excitement when a new variety of one of our favourite products becomes available.

We must observe difference in our human form – in our appearance and our custom – for it is real and significant. Nobody wishes to be seen in a way that is not true to them, as others wish to observe them for their own benefit, or alternatively ignored as if they do not exist. Instead of becoming insular and retreating we must be curious and seek authentic connection, first with open hearts and then open minds for the latter is entirely contingent on the former.

Every individual human being continually makes decisions which determine their behaviours, and additively these decisions amount to either a good version of themselves or a less good version. These decisions are based on a personal value system – what is right or wrong, good or bad behaviour – taught to us by our mentors from our earliest existence. Thus, our value systems are deeply embedded in our psyche, but that does not mean that we all have the same values or that we each apply that system strictly. The degree to which we strictly apply our value system is itself related to those values. 

People more closely associated are more likely to share the same or similar values depending on the stage of life and related ‘impressionability’, the length of association, and the circumstances of their association. This is how cultures develop within groupings of human beings, from familial relations to geographical and now technologically, and biologists and anthropologists believe it to be an important aspect of our evolutionary biology through creating cohesion and co-operation to overcome adversity.

Circumstances and how closely they relate to the way in which we learned or previously applied our value system are important to deciding how we behave. If the circumstance is different to any which we have confronted we may feel anxiety at having to apply our value system to the new circumstance, and that will be strongly influenced by our perceptions of how other human beings are behaving, more so if we have some level of association with them.

Pride and shame are self-reinforcing elements in how we apply our value systems. While all healthy human beings have a predisposition to feeling pride over shame, shame is an emotion most human beings find challenging to consciously confront and so many will attempt to ignore those feelings, and thus memories of actions which trigger them, which then creates subconscious guilt. Guilt and shame work in a circuitous manner in the subconscious to disrupt our wellbeing, but their power in our psyche is such that we are likely to repeat those shameful behaviours in a vain attempt to prove to ourselves, and potentially to others, that our actions or behaviours ‘must’ have been right because otherwise, logically, we would not have repeated them, creating yet more subconscious shame and guilt.

Our modern understanding of neurodiversity informs us that some among us will have difficulty in making these judgements through benign autism, which must be respected, while others exhibit increasingly malign sociopathy, narcissism, psychopathy, or megalomania.

Absent these conditions, the great majority of human beings who behave in a non-cooperative and thus non-cohesive manner are well aware of it and in doing so have made an active decision to act without love in the heart and thus to not be the best version of themself.

This in no way suggests that we human beings would ever or should ever think or behave identically or programmatically like robots. It is the open expression of diverse ideas, which become increasingly broad with diverse experiences, that ploughs the field and plants the seeds for human progress.

However, it is only when our hearts are filled with love for others and the natural world that our minds can be truly open and we hear and properly consider those diverse ideas, so that those fields are the most productive possible.

No individual or society can ever reach their full potential – the best version of themselves and ourselves – until those hearts are filled with love. In a manner which is authentic to our infinitely diverse individual innate and learned personalities, and absolutely not in an inauthentic ‘Pleasantville’ or otherwise unrealistic utopian manner, this is the only way in which we need be consistent and uniform for humanity to progress inclusively and sustainably, best able to overcome any challenge which we confront.

As a professionally trained biologist I know that I would be disingenuous in the extreme if I were to suggest that climate change will lead to the extinction of all species including us human beings. Even though the accumulated effects of our activities on Earth is currently causing a mass extinction event, not all species will become extinct and life on Earth will go on. Nor will human beings become extinct over the next several centuries from the climate crisis.

Before the naysayers cheer and say “I told you so”, though, ponder for a moment what will that world be like if a lassez faire approach to addressing the climate crisis is taken (or continued?). I won’t detail it in scientific terms, I will simply state it in a way most will recognise. Humanity will increasingly take on characteristics inherent in a ‘Mad-Max-like’ Darwinian struggle for existence which, even if the physically endowed might pine for it believing that such conditions will favour them over the ‘intelligentsia’ elite, will leave nobody – not a single human being let alone a group of human beings based on geography of residence, for instance – better off than the fortunate human beings that lived especially in the developed regions at the end of the second millennium (of the Gregorian calendar). Some areas, however, will be even worse impacted than others, and in truth the signs of such a dystopia are already apparent to those with minds refractive of dissonance.  

Mass (illegal) migration is one such expression of Darwinian survivalism even if most often it is discussed from the perspective of it being a significant problem for the receiving country. By doing so the much more important issue is left unaddressed – why is there such an enormous disparity between their lived experience of life in their region of origin and their perception of how their life will be elsewhere that these people will risk everything, including their lives and the lives of those they love most, for a chance at that different life? Because it is a ‘problem’ for the receiving nation, in their literal islands of prosperity, my own country of Australia is teaching the strategies that have been so callously employed to keep out these desperate people. These are the strategies that made me feel so ashamed of my ‘home’ when I was living in Europe as an international research scientist.

Since we live in a world where aggressive patriarchy remains the norm, to produce rapid results it is justifiable that the masculinised analogy be drawn that we need to declare war on climate change if we wish for humanity to have semblance of a chance of enjoying that earlier standard of living enjoyed by the post-WWII generation through their, in the case of those in developed nations, fortunate lives. At the same time global inequality must be addressed so that quality of life is not determined by the lottery of life, that being the region in which one is born or is permitted to immigrate.

When in history a leader has progressed their society to a better position or place, it is understandable that they only, or predominantly, see this position in the context of that moment in time or the near future. When FDR set out his ideals for the post World War II peace, and as America being the dominating and discriminating force for that peace, he assumed America would stay in that image – or at least his perception of it. Little was he to know that he would not continue to shape American society and policy to the end of his 4th Presidential term.

The constant problems FDR faced in his tenure, while giving him experiences that few other Presidents could fully appreciate, were simply too great for him to fully contemplate the myriad challenges, and potential paths that follow consequentially, that might befall America and broader humanity in the decades that followed WWII. What he envisioned, and which he led a significant way towards, was a global system that had the best chance of facing humanity towards a sustainable and peaceful co-existence, with his greater conviction being power and prestige maintained by a benevolent America.

But human history has continually proved the saliency of Lord Acton’s statement, “Power corrupts, absolute power corrupts absolutely.”

Perhaps it is understandable that a leader of nation would have a predilection to optimism about the nature of the human beings they lead and thus the decisions they and their descendants will make in the future, and certainly trust that faith in deities of various kinds would hold man to a greater authority has continually been proven misplaced, or at least vulnerable to manipulation by human beings for their personal ends, but the events that have transpired over the 80 years since the end of WWII suggest to many that nationalism inherent with one nation being the most powerful over humanity is not in the best interests of that humanity.

Equally friction between powerful nations is not likely to provide the cohesion that leads to sustainable peace.

The point in our progress is here when commitment to humanity, to each other, is significantly more important than a commitment to a nation, or a religion, or any other grouping of human beings that can be considered.Our political leaders can certainly walk while they chew gum, and those that say that the issues are too big, that there are no ‘silver bullets’, and assorted other cliches justifying their inaction, need to adopt the attitude that FDR brought with him to the White House in 1932: Try!

Try with urgency, like lives depend on it, because they do!


Chapter 6 – ‘Roosevelt Weather’ (Next)

Chapter 4 – A Future Of Our Own Making (Previous)


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“Reset”: Chapter 4 – A Future Of Our Own Making

A Father and Son Fireside Podcast

In a warm setting reminiscent of the sitting room in the Roosevelt’s Hyde Park estate, fire burning comfortingly behind them, a father sits talking with his middle-aged son, a conversation so evocative that occasional footage of actual recorded history or animation of concepts occasionally filters through their mind. The conversation ranges widely, but the tenor is one of general disappointment at the current state of affairs and concern that if things are not righted, and with urgency, then humanity will continue paying dearly.

Of course the father and son see the climate crisis as the most pressing issue that confronts humanity. But they recognise its origin, cause, and effect, and thereby its solution, lies within the greater realms and nuance of the human experience. In effect, the climate crisis constitutes little of what they discuss because the groundwork for action lies not in the science surrounding climate change, nor in the innovation to minimise it and ameliorate its affects, but in the social cohesion that is necessary to address it along with the next crises that humanity will undoubtedly face.

Following is a description of what is discussed.

Global inequality

There’s something about humanity at this point in our progress that limits our altruism and good will to other human beings.

Through guilt or empathy we in developed countries react to imagery of the suffering of poor people in poor nations. Some suggest that the reaction is less-so when the skin tone of those suffering is darker. Alternatively, the threshold for the suffering being experienced required to elicit the same level of response may be higher, roughly proportional to the darkness of the skin tone. Of course, a majority of lighter-skinned people refute this.

Nonetheless, that there is a reaction from people to the suffering of the poor, which invokes decision-makers to respond, is encouraging.

However, it must be said that the response tends to be limited to the feeling that all human beings should be free of suffering. For most in rich countries there is an indifference to the subject of whether all human beings deserve a certain quality of life. Often political activists couch this in the terminology of a ‘dignified’ or ‘decent’ standard of living with all the inherent subjectivity.

On thing is true of modern society – although they wish not to be confronted with the suffering of other human beings, to this stage, the majority of the wealthy amongst humanity remain resistant to the loss of any of their privileged quality of life so that all human beings might have a quality of life significantly above subsistence (i.e. mere existence).

Capitalism at an extreme

Elliott Roosevelt was quite right in complementing the sensibilities of the American people in supporting his father’s Presidency, and the pride that American people feel in what they all achieved under his leadership is rightful.

At the other end of the spectrum, Churchill expressed feelings of superiority and condescension when he suggested that the best argument against democracy is a 5 minute chat with the average voter, as he is widely attributed for saying.

There is surely some truth to the contention that in democracies the people get the political leadership that they deserve. Perhaps that even holds true in moderate autocracies, and the degree it holds true is related to the heavy-handedness and willingness of the State leaders to oppress the citizenry and assert a centralised will over them.

If we in the developed world have progressively experienced poorer political leadership since WWII – less proactive to the point where politicians stopped leading and simply became followers of the ‘free market’ while continuing to extract rents from their privileged position through legalised corruption of politics in the form of political donations and extremely advantageous post-political business and career opportunities – the obvious question is whether that is the fault of the people.

In the 80’s the movie “Wall Street” with Gordon Gekko’s famous quote that “greed is good” captured the mood of the period. It initially shocked, but in a manner that we now have come to understand well, it also began the process of normalising this in culture.

At the same time the middle class was hallowed out largely without people noticing that they had traded their comfortable and reasonably secure existence for a shot at riches beyond their wildest dreams. But there are only so many positions in the C-suites of major businesses that pay multi-million-dollar salaries, and not everyone else can work in hedge funds. Someone had to earn the everyday salaries that produced large aggregations of deposits which the Wall St sharks take a bight from as they funnel them through a system that does little more than provide the perception of activity, a thin justification for taking those fees.

This is well summed up in the words of Charlie Munger, who together with Warren Buffett is the consummate capitalist so much so that they have been asked for advice by US Presidents and have been called on to lend credibility to stabilise markets at times of vulnerability, speaking in 2023 just after his 99th birthday:

“So there is some of this old fashioned capitalist virtue left at Daily Journal, and there is some left at Berkshire Hathaway, and there is some left at BYD, but in most places everybody is just taking what they need without rationalising whether it is deserved or not”.

Incidentally, one of the examples given – in fact, the man he credited for inspiring the actions to which he had referred – was a Chinese businessman.

At the same meeting the previous year Charlie identified the real motivation behind greed, that being envy.

The normalising of greed within our capitalist system meant that it became synonymous with self-interest which had been a concept for several centuries since the grandfather of economics, Adam Smith, identified it as a critical factor in capitalist transactions. But this was a co-option because self-interest has far wider, long-lasting connotations and implications whereas greed is very short term.

Greed for short term gains became accepted and then increasingly venerated, hand in hand with extreme interpretations of the work of Milton Friedman from the early 70’s which said that the sole social aim of a business is to make profits. This was then used to justify an increasingly extreme form of capitalism producing inequitable outcomes, often referred to as ‘trickle-down economics’, which argued that it is beneficial for society that the rich become even richer because benefits trickled down to those below them in social status. Of course, as the inequity grew, most people felt their lives had come to resemble that of hyperactive hamsters on a treadmill working harder and longer to earn the right to squabble for meagre scraps that fell from the table of the societal elite.

Add embedded social immobility through generational privilege, and systemic and widespread social racism from unchallenged histories of colonisalism and/or slavery, into a system which is said to be based on merit, and there is a brewing social discontent seeking to apportion blame. With social safety nets in America significantly less supportive than in most other developed nations, there is a working poor that had not existed since before the Great Depression and does not exist in most other developed economies. Many of the most vulnerable within society resort to extreme survival measures such as selling their blood to the producers of high value blood products.

However, the elixir of extreme wealth as advertised through sophisticated dispersive media, which became omnipresent with the invention of the smart phone and augmented with almost unfettered influencers, has had an intoxicating affect selling American culture throughout the world, especially to the young.

Other anglophone nations, especially, have experienced this cultural drift which pervades society from families right through to business and politics with concomitant creeping up in hours spent working and increasing levels of materialism concomitant with decreasing levels of life satisfaction measured in surveys and decreasing mental health measures.

The COVID-19 pandemic put a punctuation mark in this progression, with surveys of people showing greater levels of altruism and levels of self-care, including seeking more flexible working conditions, but it is too early to know whether it will be a ‘comma’ denoting a pause, a ‘full stop’ indicating a prolonged pause which may or not be a true end, or an ‘exclamation mark’ – an emphatic rejection of the earlier period of extreme capitalism.

Through this phase of human development, the demands on personal time and energy have been unrelenting, and while technology has facilitated greater productivity, the cognitive ‘bandwidth’ of human beings available to process emotions, as well as make short- and long-term decisions, has not increased but has been challenged by the extra drains on energy from modern life.

Between those working day to day for their survival, and those who have been so influenced by the ‘materialism through winning’ elixir, there is significantly less collective bandwidth available for critical thinking. Even of those now looking for answers, many had not been taught and/or practised the skill of critical thinking and are vulnerable to believing dubious sources of information which are becoming increasingly sophisticated at altering facts and influencing opinions and actions.

Thus, to answer the question of whether the people have received the leadership they deserved, the answer must be that, in general, they have not.

Whether society can be blamed for prioritising the accumulating of material wealth over other less selfish pursuits, which also affect our individual and collective quality of life, is a matter of personal values.

What broader society must accept blame for, however, is a willingness to turn a blind eye to the fact and consequences of local, regional, and global inequality; that wealth and high standards of living were attained and maintained from the exploitation and pain of other human beings.

In that way, our contemporary societies are not as different from other or alternate harsh, oppressive, and dominating societies as we would like to believe.

Racism and prejudice – personal experiences

Sadly, my own experience of racism straddles both sides of the divide.

In 2002, with my wife of Asian descent, I lived in Munich as the recipient of a fellowship from the Alexander von Humboldt Foundation (AvHF), after spending the previous year in Montpellier on a fellowship from the French Government. Besides the normal language challenges faced by any non-Bavarian living there, whereby even Germans coming from outside Bavaria would try to disguise it from the famously (or infamously) patriotic Bavarians, I found it easy to live in Munich, in fact easier than in southern France the year before. For my wife, however, whether alone or when we were together, the feeling was very different to how she and we felt moving around in ambient society. She was frequently stared and snarled at while waiting for public transport, feeling unwelcome and unsafe when travelling alone, and conspicuous as a mixed couple when together. The righteousness of some to express the power and privilege in the expectation of others cowering for their very existence was something that she and we had never experienced.

On a train trip into Austria to celebrate our 7th wedding anniversary we were confronted by four middle-aged women snarling at us from the opposite seats as if were dirt. I turned to face off with them, eyeballing each one in turn rotating my head left to right, right to left, and back again, like a carnival game clown. The women chose to continue their vile and hateful stare for at least 5 minutes before in unison they gave a huff and turned their attention away to each other, no doubt to spew hate from their mouths to reinforce each other’s opinions of superiority. At least I stared them down and showed that we are proud and loved us and ourselves – a small victory which I felt we needed at the time.

I, too, soon ran into trouble with my research whereby through stepping on the toes of someone close to the head of my institute, in a truly surreal manner – I asked that the student not keep their dog in the office that we alone shared after it bit me – all of my research was confiscated and locked in a cupboard so that I could not work for the latter half of the fellowship period. During a strange meeting with the technician who had been instructed to confiscate my work and the head of the institute they denied it and undertook to look for my work. I had, in fact, already found my worked locked in a closet outside her lab, but there was no use in my liberating it until the final night of my fellowship as I could not access equipment necessary to conduct my research.

The institute head’s dictatorial manner was confirmed when he told me that I had come into “his house” acting as if I was God’s gift to science. Sadly, a man of Arabic descent who was head and shoulders the best researcher there was being deceived into thinking that he would succeed him and become the head of the institute. Even the students knew he had no chance of that, prejudicially saying that he could not hold such a high position in Germany because his language skills after 30 years of living there were not ‘good enough’. Instead, the much less-established female colleague that I was collaborating with informed me that she had been promised the job. This colleague also said to me on multiple occasions that she was dumbfounded how a mutual colleague, who was born in Germany and whom she had studied with for her undergraduate veterinary degree, could possibly hold the high position she held in the Australian public service.

On the one hand it made me realise that Australia had progressed significantly further than Germany, but I knew this was not the case if you incorporate colourism and that was underlined with what had occurred in Australia in the lead up to the 2001 Federal election, but I am skipping ahead.

I kept the AvHF informed of what had occurred and they were extremely apologetic. An officer’s handwritten note on the responding letter said that sadly this happens all too often in Germany and that they are attempting to lead change to address it.

Living in Germany was the first time I came to understand the waste of human capital that comes from the interaction of prejudice and migration. In my institute there were lab technicians that were doctors in their home countries in eastern Europe before migrating to Germany who would never practice medicine again. That is a loss for Germany as well broader humanity, not to mention for themselves and their families.

The visa that my wife was granted to accompany me did not give her the right to work in Germany. In France her visa did but language was the barrier there to her finding a job. With cosmopolitan Munich being the centre of multinational industry, language was much less an issue. However, my wife soon learned from human resources departments that she would not be considered for a job unless she already had a visa that permitted her to work, and she was told by the Germany visa authorities that she could not gain that visa unless she had a job offer. The perverse circularity of the situation was no secret to anybody.

As we came directly from France my wife had not worked for a year and the impact from feeling isolated threatened to shorten my fellowship period even before it started. In a stroke of luck, as well as resilience and ingenuity, however, my wife managed to bypass local HR staff to speak with a manager advertising for someone to work in his multinational team which worked in English on a pan-European project. After interviewing, she was offered the position and their HR department then had the job of securing the appropriate visa. We learned that this was an all too rare occurrence.

To concentrate on these negative events would be unfair, however, to the effect of leaving an inaccurate picture of our experiences in Germany. The AvHF was an incredibly generous organisation doing an enormous amount of good to progress global science and culture. All fellows and accompanying partners were taken on a 2-week cultural tour of Germany where we learned about German culture especially during the cold war, though less so about Nazism, perhaps understandably. After all, there is plenty from that era to visit and learn, and I personally visited Dachau multiple times ensuring that every visitor to our home that we had through the year also saw the concentration camp museum.

We were incredibly fortunate to be offered at a significantly reduced rent a nice apartment in a beautiful home owned by fellow academics in one of the nicest areas of town. We entered through a side gate and even today on Google Earth Street view detail of this street is blurred because the neighbouring property on that side is the residence of the US Consular General in Munich. Being early 2002, just after 911, there were machine gun-carrying guards outside their residence and I was always careful to slowly claim my keys from out of my pocket. One day, however, coincidentally just as my visa had expired, we were stopped by police after I had roused suspicions of the guards by taking a photo from outside of the corner of our apartment showing the bare vine that crept over our apartment while pristine white snow lay on the ground. Before my welcome was rescinded by the tyrannical institute head, I had the pleasure of walking daily through Bogenhausen and across the Isar River to the institute on the other side of the English Garden.

While there were those who showed their meanness, there were more very keen to show their friendliness and would help us by very willingly switching to English when it became clear that our German was still rudimentary  though my wife was sponsored by the AvHF to undertake language course and was becoming quite proficient. We have always remembered how even elderly people were keen to assist us in English, and now being aware of the story of Schacht and how he lived his final years in the area with his second wife, I cannot help imagine what if one of those lovely ladies that helped us on occasions might have been Manci Schacht, or the daughters she shared with Hjalmar, Cordula or Konstanze.

So too would it be unfair to only discuss our experience with racism and prejudice in central Europe, even though its relevance is clear and long-lasting given a world war was fought there ostensibly on the basis that racism and the consequences of it are evil, when we have lived the majority of our lives in a colonialised nation that has itself seen frontier wars against its First Nations peoples and where a migration policy of selecting only for ‘whites’ was maintained for over 100 years. I speak of course of Australia.

I was, in fact, deeply embarrassed to be Australian as an AvHF Fellow mixing with academics from throughout the global community in this period for our own latent racism had been highlighted for the world to see during the Federal election the year before. A deeply unpopular Prime Minister was able to turn the tide and win re-election by being seen to be tough on brown-skinned illegal immigrants who attempted entry on non-sea-worthy vessels. Almost to underline the lack of scruples by these brown-skinned ‘aliens’ who would do anything, use anything or anyone at their disposal to gain entry, including risking the lives of their own children by throwing them into the water to force the hand of the attending rescue ship, this story was maintained right up to the election even though it quickly was disproved and known to the government.

My simple response to other AvFH Fellows was to express my embarrassment and suggest that it reflected as poorly on Australian people as it did the conservative politicians who used the latent racist attitudes of white voters, and naivety of more recent migrants who were compliantly trying to assimilate, for if their hearts and minds were more open then they would have rejected the government for using such evocative and divisive tactics. This led to a period, which continues today, where illegal immigration is a ‘hot button’ topic that the political left lacks the courage to right out of fear implications at elections which has resulted in terrible treatment of people seeking a better life, many genuine refugees, often in contravention of their international human rights.

Of course, this issue is not now limited to Australia, but the ‘Australian solution’ of being so tough on the migrants to act as a deterrent has been exported to many other countries including in Europe.

I was born into a family with deep pride for its colonial history in the township of Innisfail in conservative rural northern Queensland, known for being a major centre for the sugar cane industry. I grew up around racism and was taught to be racist by my most important mentors and by the white-dominant cultural system that I was raised within. In school, even though we shared our classrooms and school grounds with First Nations children, the version of “Eenie Meanie Minie Mo” that I and other children taught each other to select who was ‘in’ included the vile racist ‘N-word’. I do not recall ever being reprimanded or corrected from using the word.

I never knew its meaning, but that is irrelevant, and I can only assume now that the First Nations children would have been taught that it was a deeply racist and hateful word.

I was only taught to be racist. I was not taught how not to be racist, and I certainly wasn’t taught how to be antiracist.

In this environment, it is hardly a wonder, then, that as a teenager it was a common occurrence when with extended family – camping or vacationing over Christmas – to listen to tape recordings of a famous racist comedian of the time, Kevin Bloody Wilson. His most memorable ‘song’ for my family was “Living Next Door To Alan” which captured the ill-feeling of the period towards the initial stages of reconciliation and restoration of the rights of First Nations people to access their lands which were obliterated by the British and the first migrants whose descendants, with some sort of romantic nostalgia, prefer to refer to them as colonialists.

The song told the story of a First Nation family that used these rights to claim land in the most expensive street in Australia next to the richest man in Australia then, Alan Bond. To evoke extra anger from his mainly white listeners, Wilson had the Aboriginal subject say that it was “Dead fuckin easy!” which I especially remember family members singing with vitriol in the ridiculous assertion that First Nations peoples are benefitting enormously from white colonisation well beyond that of white Australians, which contradicted the obvious reality which I had witnessed all of my life. The final line stresses the divisiveness and hatred in the lyrics where he sings, in first person voice of the First Nations man, “At least we ain’t got fuckin coons livin next door to us!” to stress how nobody would want a First Nations family living next to them, not even other First Nations peoples.

In my view you would be hard-pressed to find a more hate-filled piece of writing. This record was sold Australia-wide and for this album Wilson was venerated by the peak Australian music industry awards in 1987 receiving an ARIA for “Best Comedy Release” and was nominated for “Best Selling Album”. The song can still be downloaded from YouTube, and one version available there (last accessed 26 May 2023) – which advertises Wilson’s website address for the sale of his comedy and merchandise – includes a racist ‘joke’ told between lyrics that Michael Jackson took with him when he toured a monkey for spare parts!

The face of migration to Australia changed in the 80s, championed by a left-wing government, so that by the 90s there was a growing backlash against Asian migration and apparent ‘political correctness’ which said that the white majority should not be called out or made to feel immoral for objecting to the changing racial composition of the nation. Asian immigration has a long history in Australia, which even predates British ‘colonisation’, but the long-running White Australia Policy – which limited migration to essentially Caucasians – kept numbers low and the early Asian migrant families had very intentionally minimised their cultural difference, i.e. assimilated, to minimise offense and castigation.

The new migrants, however, were conspicuous in number and cultural influence, and soon the objectors found their ‘champion’ in the form of a fish and chips shop owner from Ipswich in Queensland named Pauline Hanson who told parliament in her maiden speech that “Australia was in danger of being swamped by Asians”.  

I had fallen in love with my wife at university and I knew that, because of endemic racism, our relationship would cause me to lose some of my social standing in my hometown and within my immediate and extended family given that she was both a woman of colour and of Asian descent. This was underlined for me, especially, because when I asked my mother three years earlier whether it would be okay with her and Dad if I brought home a girlfriend who was of First Nations background, whom I fancied then at university, she responded: “obviously we would prefer if you didn’t”.

In some ways I thought that my parents considered my wife being Asian was not as bad as could have been if I did marry a First Nations woman.

Over those early years of our relationship, sadly, we encountered racism constantly within my family. A cousin who I deeply admired said that he wouldn’t eat anything touched by a Thai person. Other cousins proudly told me they were Hanson supporters and denied that she or they were racist. That Kevin Bloody Wilson tape continued to be played every Christmas.

Racism is omnipresent in my family culture, it is systemic.

The most poignant event happened during a Christmas vacation just after we were married when my sister-in-law called a shop assistant who did not serve her promptly enough for her liking an “Asian bitch” when recalling the experience that evening to extended family. We walked out in disgust and what ensued showed that our family would never be the same again. My sister acknowledged it was racist but my mother denied it in a surreal debate which left my wife in our room crying wanting the conflict to be over, and me walking out of the house to be alone because that was how I felt stuck between realities that were supposed to love and support me. Then my mother, thinking that she needed to calm the situation, came to hug me and instantly I could feel her hard coldness and that she could not emotionally connect with what I was experiencing, her enormous heart which had nurtured me all my life completely blocked by bitter hatred, by racism.

The next morning my sister-in-law was deeply hurt at the suggestion that she was racist and was packing to leave. It threatened to ruin everyone’s Christmas and it was all our fault – we were too sensitive was the majority opinion. We were coerced to go and apologise to my sister-in-law for upsetting her in deference of staying together for a family Christmas.

It was to be one of the last Christmases we would spend together as a family as I realised that our relationships had altered irretrievably, that continued contact always involved the risk of my wife being hurt more by bigotry, which I really wanted to avoid when we had children, and that these tensions had joined together with deep pain and trauma at being brought up in a harsh family farm environment creating a family culture that was toxic. Truly accepting that, however, was a process that took many years of me learning to stop trying so hard to have them understand and accept us.

Although I face this issue less so these days from my family because of this distance from them, I still have some interaction with my parents which, sadly, always presents a challenging situation. In recent years they have said and done things which has and will remain with me. On a recent New Years Day they observed my sons carrying out a cultural ritual of bowing on the floor in front of my wife’s parents showing respect and I overheard their outraged discussion afterwards. They have told me a story on numerous occasions of how the President of a sporting association of which they are committee members started a meeting with an acknowledgment of country to pay respect to First Nations peoples, which is standard now throughout Australia, thankfully, but to which they objected indignantly with “we don’t want that shit here!” making the woman cry. Most cuttingly, my father rhetorically told me “Who would want to live next to Indians!” not long ago which really made me confront a truth that I had not been prepared to admit previously – that he must feel some level of personal shame when in public with my family, or with my wife’s family and many of our friends, as anybody who shared his views must when with people who most in our society would easily confuse for being Indian.

Overt events of racism are what we tend to remember most and what gains the most attention in the media. The truth is, however, that these are not the most common forms or incidents of racism.

In my experience, both when I was young and insecure trying to find my own safe place within society, while knowing I was well within the white majority, and as an adult as I became increasingly aware of its impacts on minoritised people and especially on my wife and consequently our family, most often racism is expressed in degrees or shades, whatever metaphor for subtly and nuance is preferred or meets the context.

I think the most accurate way to describe it is that racism, prejudice, and unconscious bias interact with ‘thresholds’ – thresholds in relation to stimulus – that determine whether a reaction or a response will be invoked. It even intersects with shades of skin tone based on the amount of melanin in the skin often referred to as colourisation. This is why the pervasiveness of systemic racism is so difficult to prove at an individual or case-by-case level yet it is clear in topline statistics in almost all aspects of society.

Consequently, the great majority of the individual acts of racism carried out globally on a daily basis is plausibly deniable.

In truth, many of these acts will be imperceptible even to the object of the bias, and the degree to which someone is perceptive of these biases directed at them is related to their prior experiences and teachings.

Their subtly, however, should not be mistaken for insignificance, for the worst effects of these racist acts are cumulative so that they build up in the psyche of those prejudiced against perniciously impacting feelings of fairness, belonging, and safety.

I will demonstrate with a personal experience, one for which I personally carried a great deal of shame over a prolonged period.

My wife underwent an emergency caesarian section during the birth of our first son. After 18 hours, 6 hours of active labour, the birth was not progressing and my wife was becoming exhausted. Past midnight we were in a birthing suite of a private hospital, my wife mostly asleep, and me sitting in the dim light listening to the faetal heart monitor attached to our unborn son which showed that he was in distress. With each contraction his heart rate would slow so much so that it sounded like a steam train struggling to pull over the crest of an incline. When it sounded to me like it was getting dangerously close to stalling, I went to speak with the head nurse at the front desk asking for confirmation that the sound that I had been listening to with increasing concern was that of our baby’s heart, showing my clear concern.

The nurse responded, “yes, I had been thinking about calling the doctor. I will do that now.”

The question that can never be answered, not even if the nurse were asked the next day, if she could get past the natural inference that her judgment might have been influenced by factors other than purely medical, so that she answered honestly, is whether a higher threshold to become concerned might have been applied because my wife is of Asian descent.

When the doctor came, I was given the choice and I consented to an emergency caesarian. Our son took a while to take his first breath while the paediatrician was attending him, long enough for the experienced midwife to show her anxiety and mutter quietly, “c’mon little fella, breath”. For those few seconds afterwards, I was terrified and was already kicking myself for not going earlier to speak to the nurse. That, however, is not the main source of my shame.

Our son was with us in my wife’s room for his first few hours, as is usual, but we were both exhausted and my wife had struggled in vain to feed our son. After an attempt to feed him, I placed our son in his crib and we both fell asleep. When we woke our son was not in the room and I was told that he was in heated crib because he had not been covered properly and his body temperature was low. My wife, also, had a low core temperature and was soon under an insulated blanket blowing warm air on her.

Until this day I carry the shame that our newborn son might have had a serious setback or even died for my mistake in not covering him properly when he was already weakened. It was not really until later years, however, when I truly began to understand how unconscious bias from racism happens in society that I realise we should have had more attentive care from the nurses given the complications in birth, especially since we were first-time parents and we had paid for that care in a private hospital.

Again, would they have been more attentive if we were not a mixed family?

What we also remember clearly from the period was how the nurses frequently commented on our son’s “lovely skin”, telling us that there was no chance of confusing him with the other babies in the nursery, yet to our inexperienced eyes the difference was imperceptible. The point is that to the nurses there was a difference the moment our son entered their care, and describing his skin tone in a positive manner is no indication of what effect, if any, that had on the care he and we received given their experience at dealing with new and vulnerable parents and knowing what were the right things to say to be seen as caring and attentive.  

It is all the more remarkable that we never really allowed ourselves to think of these events in these terms for such a long time since when we were in Germany a couple with whom we developed a friendship, after meeting them through the AvHF, had a truly frightening and alarming experience having their first child there. The Chinese mother and Moroccan father were given precious little assistance in the hospital after their baby was born. The nurses essentially poked their heads in the door and asked in German whether they were okay and were dismissive and impatient if they responded with anything other than a simple “yes”.  However, their baby barely fed for the first few days and things only turned for the better when the mother learnt how to breastfeed through a book that her husband bought in the library of the hospital. Being the years before ubiquitous internet, that book literally became their primary source for baby care.

Having these personal experiences, I am entirely unsurprised when I hear or read of statistics showing clear inferior birth and general health outcomes for minoritised people. At a personal level, I am also well aware that my wife and I were privileged to be in a private hospital.

How can one, therefore, apportion the impact of racism or colourism through their life?

What is an appropriate time to wait at a counter, what is the threshold for gaining the attention of a server, or how can anyone know whether the server noticed that you were waiting before others of lighter complexion?

Why is it that colleagues’ work is regarded more highly so that perception of cumulative impacts in workplace performance are not seen as valuable as those colleagues’ who received higher value rewards including bonuses and promotions?

Why was your application to rent a home unsuccessful when you are an executive with a high salary with a demonstrable history of continuous work and responsible rental stewardship?

Did Herr Hoffman, the head of my institute in Munich, develop an immediate dislike of me because of who was sitting next to me when we met for the first time, that being my wife? Did it lower his threshold for becoming aggravated with me, in conjunction with my other traits which he clearly disliked, and how did these intersect?

Once alert to and understanding of how racism and prejudice works, it can be seen everywhere, yet it is always impossible to know, and thus prove, exactly how, when, and where its impacts are at work.

Those who are subjected to racism are, at the same time, told that it is they who have been applying a threshold too low or inconsistently – that their threshold for sensitivity, to have hurt feelings or to become offended, is too low so that all in society has come to ‘pander’ to this too low threshold through a societally enforced ‘political correctness’ which only ‘woke’ individuals have the desire to abide by with ‘virtue signaling’ which is circularly reinforced amongst a community of ‘wokes’.

All of this ‘performative’ reinforcement is rejected, according to this mindset, by the shrewd conservatives – ‘salt of the Earth’-types that exist in the mythology of nearly all nations or regions – on the basis that ‘wokes’ are idiot do-gooders who have no understanding of the ‘true’ (usually harsh, often misogynistic) underlying nature of human societies so they will declare openly a refusal to expend energy caring about whether they emotionally offend or hurt others. This asserts a narrow vision of society within such people and leads to them acting with more prejudicial and biased behaviours, potentially even with an agenda to counter the efforts of the ‘wokes’.

There are always any number of reasons available to give for why daily decisions of relatively minor significance are made, and younger people tend to prefer to be optimistic and believe that intentions of others mostly are fair and reasonable. Moreover, younger people tend to be more gregarious and do not wish to dwell on issues which might be divisive, often because they do not want to feel different or excluded in any way. Young people, most of all, want to feel and believe they belong.

By the time a person who has continually been the subject of prejudice reaches middle age, however, the impacts of all of these continual decisions made upon racially dependent thresholds have accumulated and affect them in deeply impactful ways including career advancement and position within society, and ultimately affect feelings of belonging and safety stemming from how they perceive others view them and even how they view themselves. The latter is especially critical because with all these decisions, each one subjective, nebulous, and deniable, and often explicitly denied when concerns are raised formerly and/or informally, there is a continual voice in the back of their head saying, “Maybe it really is me; Maybe I’m just not good enough; Maybe I do not deserve… [whatever it is].”

Few human beings innately have or learn such extreme self-belief that they never engage in self-doubt, and most who do not probably have some form of psychosis. It is entirely predictable that the self-confidence of, and the trust in the system of, the majority of minoritised people will have been broken through a lifetime of living with racism.

This is the corrosion to society caused by racism, and its affects are profound and widespread.

In my experience, most members of the white majority in society fall within two camps – those who deny the racist character of society and thus, of themselves, and those who recognise that racism is a problem, many considering themselves sympathetic, but who believe it does not affect them because they consider they do not personally experience racism. However, I take issue with that view because I have come to realise that I have more experience of overt racism living in a white-dominant colonialist nation than my wife of Asian descent, and if most other Caucasians stop and think they will realise that they have a broad experience of racism, also. The point being that one does not have to be the object of hatred or prejudice to experience racism.

I realise some might prefer or consider it more appropriate that a Caucasian use the phrase ‘experience with racism’ above ‘experience of racism’, but in truth I think it is unnecessary and unhelpful semantics.

I will share one of the most overt acts of racism that I have experienced. In my first professional job immediately after completing my PhD I worked for a public service organisation. One day walking with a senior colleague, second highest in the hierarchy at this facility, I was expressing concern for the local inhabitants of a Pacific island who were receiving the full brunt of a category 5 cyclone. My colleague responded that my concern was unwarranted because “there are only coons and grass huts out there!” Although I was raised with omnipresent racism, I was shocked to hear such a hateful comment in the work environment from a senior colleague, so I did not manage to voice my outrage or even disapproval. In shock, I was rendered speechless and then felt guilty and complicit.

A short time afterwards I was in a photocopy alcove with two other (Caucasian) colleagues besides the same senior officer when a member of the secretarial staff came looking for me and the other junior colleague who was with me. A technician from our former university department where we had studied together for our postgraduate degrees in microbiology/virology was calling as they were cleaning up the walk-in fridge and wanted to ensure that if there was any materials we left there that they did not represent biohazards. After we told the secretary that we left nothing behind, the senior colleague told us “They should just suck up the material and inject it into some gooks – there are enough of them out there now!” I don’t know whether the others were in shock but this time I was ready for it and I informed him that he should not assume that everybody agreed with his vile opinions. I walked off and immediately reported the incident to my superior, but to my nowadays regret, I chose not to take further action as I was only early in my career and was concerned about the impact making a complaint would have.

While this was particularly shocking, in my early years in conservative northern Queensland it was my common experience to be a part of Caucasian groups which openly engaged in shared racism. I grew up with the hushed, on the other side of your hand discussions about ‘abos’ after a quick glance to see who may be near enough to hear, and I heard the jokes or hateful impersonations made when none of the targets of derision were present.

I concede that not every person will have as much experience of racism as I do, and that will depend on social circles through life and/or the level of endemicity throughout regions.

Even those who grew up in less conservative social circles and/or regions, surely, also have reasonably frequent experience of racism. One must wonder whether loyalty to our closest early mentors – close and extended family, coaches, teachers, performers, colleagues, and bosses, etc. – is an important impediment to acknowledging experience of racism.

The recent example of how colleagues of Australian First Nations journalist Stan Grant, along with his employer, failed to support him in the face of racist onslaught, shows most non-First Nations people are still incapable – individually and collectively – of confronting the truth of their experience of racism and thus learning how to respond.

Eliminating racist division and prejudice from our society is highly dependent on the dominant majority, Caucasians in former colonialist nations, becoming a lot more responsible for acknowledging racism when they experience it so that they can be a part of – and when necessary, lead – appropriate responses to it.

The most important element in fighting endemic racism, in my opinion, is for everybody to become responsible for making it clear that the racist is in the minority and will increasingly be minoritised, themselves, if they persist with their hateful opinions.

Racial, prejudicial, and otherwise divisive opinions circulate and grow when people feel free to express them – free not just, or even mainly, because of permissive laws, but by social norms and standards. A comment about “ticking a diversity box” or against “affirmative action” might seem innocuous and harmless when the target of the comment cannot hear, but people get the message that it is socially acceptable to spread such ideas. Nobody knows what that person or the next person who receives those ideas will do with them – will their dislike grow to hate, and what will they do with their hate?

The truth is that whenever a racist act occurs, everybody who has participated in spreading divisive ideas shares responsibility for that act, irrespective of how minor that act of spreading division might have seemed.

Finally, there will always be a minority who seek to play up differences amongst humanity for their own political advantage, often to scapegoat and deflect attention from their own lack of leadership abilities and progress. Real leaders seek to unite not divide, and our societies – the human beings who make up societies – must be shrewd enough to associate attempts at creating division with self-interested power grabs so that they are promptly dismissed without damaging social cohesion.

A responsible, well-regulated media is critical.

Corruption of political processes

That democracy is ‘under attack’ is a common refrain at present. Most attention focuses on interference on the basis of geopolitical contests and frictions. As highlighted during the WWII era, this is not a new event, even if the sophistication of the tools employed are ever increasing, and it will always be the case while there is aggressive competition between peoples from different geographical regions.

This is not the only corruption of political processes, however, and in many ways it is not the most serious even if the other corruptions are largely forgotten or at least overlooked while attention is diverted towards ‘enemies’.

No democracy has solved the problem of how to ensure that parliamentarians serve the interests of their constituencies, and therefore broad humanity, over the special interests of the few that act at the level of the political party or the individual politician.

Through the history of democracies, the most powerful have not sought ‘higher office’ for themselves. No, for most that would seem like much too much hard work and effort, even if that effort were totally directed towards furthering selfish outcomes above the progress of broader humanity. Instead, those truly powerful through virtue of their wealth have sought to influence decision makers by a range of instruments at their dispersal, either directly through investing some of their own wealth to gain favourable outcomes which will grow their wealth even more, or indirectly by owning businesses through which they can influence outcomes.

Many a story has been written about illegal forms of corruption such as bribery. While dramatic, these are significantly outweighed by the legal forms of corruption that permissive democracies have allowed in the form of political donations to parties and of extremely favourable post-political careers and contracts in the private sector or in the political lobbying industry.

These corruptions have led to the interests of wealthy superseding the interests of broader society and humanity, have led to growing societal inequality, and have severely hampered international responses to crises especially the climate crisis.

While legalised corruption has grown with the size of political donations and the lobbying industry, in less contested policy areas the lack of interest shown by politicians to actually lead has had serious impacts. As politicians on both sides of the aisle (left as well as right) agreed that the capitalist market is the best arbiter of capital allocation decisions, it became accepted that corporations and individuals within society would take the lead on all areas of innovation, meaning that areas outside or of lesser importance to markets would be largely forgotten.

In other words, politicians as a group largely relinquished their roles as leaders within society, yet they did not relinquish their positions nor their salaries, even if they were fractions of their post-politics salaries.

In effect, the market arbitrated their own roles as leaders – if there was no economic payoff to them as individuals or as a political party, then it was wasted effort to concentrate on these policy areas.

It is in these forgotten areas where lies the greatest dividend and benefits to society and broad humanity.

The press has been referred to as the fourth estate of democracy given its critical role in framing and facilitating political debate in an open and objective, non-partisan manner. Nowadays, however, the traditional role of the press is strained by other forms of dispersed media created and consumed on ubiquitous electronic devices, especially smart phones. Newsrooms have had their budgets continually cut and staff numbers reduced and consolidated which has impacted the quality of investigative journalism and deeper analysis. Ownership of the press has realised a profitable business case for monopolising the content that groups – based on demography and/or ideology – are exposed to thereby reducing the breadth of opinion to which people are exposed and hardening opposition to other views when they encounter them. This has been aided by pervasive, sophisticated information technology which at the same time has been more covert.

Consequently, there has been an erosion in the level of trust in the role of the media in society and skills at discernment and critical thought have generally diminished in society.

People tend to become stuck in echo chambers with other like-minded individuals and have narrow perceptions of what is reasonable, or even what is truth, and thus are highly susceptible to being influenced by actors which seek political gain. Moreover, while not recognising their own intellectual constriction, people are increasingly pointing it out when they observe others stuck in different echo chambers.

Clearly such a system is corrupted as an instrument for objective political processes, and it is eminently corruptible for specific political goals especially when intersected with the corruption of the political system for personal gain within an increasingly extreme capitalist system.

Such a level of societal polarisation has occurred in past times, and can be ameliorated if the corruption of the political process is acknowledged and addressed via regulation of political interference, and especially of political donations and other conflicts related to politicians, and of the media.

To do so will require a level of honesty and sincerity that has become rare, especially in the anglophone world, since the death of FDR.

What separates modern capitalist societies from fascism?

Fascism is an ultraconservative ideology best known as justifying aggressive actions by especially Germany against its neighbours leading to WWII. Fascist regimes have had variable ideologies borne mainly of the political circumstances from which they derived their power, but these features were common: aggressively nationalistic and misogynistic, opposed liberal individualism, attacked Marxist and other left-wing ideologies, scapegoated minorities especially along racial lines, self-appointed arbiters of national culture and/or religion, and promoted populist right-wing economics.

Historically fascism has been associated with economic disturbance especially when it was felt disproportionately or inequitably across society.

In recent years there have been alarming incidences of ultraconservatism especially in America. There has been insurrection due to the outcome US Presidential election being contested by the incumbent such that a large proportion of the population considered the following Biden presidency illegitimate. The populist fervour that the former reality television personality-turned-President, Donald Trump, created has resulted in a host of political aspirants who initially rode his agenda and wave of populism to gain higher office, and who now attempt to be even more conspicuously conservative.

Media that is not just complicit, but elements within it that have taken on the ultraconservative platform as a business strategy to drive profits, have created echo chambers for amplifying this ultraconservative ideology.

One recent example of the consequence of this is seen in the US state of Florida where strict, but apparently arbitrarily or haphazardly applied laws, introduced by Governor DeSantis in the lead up to his bid for the Republican nomination to contest the 2024 Presidential campaign, have been used to ban specified books from schools for containing inappropriate messages. One book banned was the poem “The Hill We Climb” written and performed by Amanda Gorman for the Biden inauguration, the single claimant that led to its banning mistakenly listing famous African American television personality Oprah Winfrey as the author, and objecting on the grounds that it was “not educational and have indirectly hate messages”. The hate messages cited by the claimant were:

“We’ve braved the belly of the beast. We’ve learned that quiet isn’t always peace, And the norms and notions of what ‘just is’ isn’t always justice.”

and

“And yet the dawn is ours before we knew it. Somehow, we do it. Somehow, we’ve weathered and witnessed a nation that isn’t broken, but simply unfinished.”

Parallels with attacks on liberal thinkers by earlier fascist regimes are obvious.

The consistent feature of fascism as opposed to communism is that power is derived from the wealthy elite rather than the working class within society. It is notable that the increasingly extreme form of capitalism that has been practiced in recent decades has been accompanied by a general movement of the political debate to the right as socialism has been diminished, especially in the anglophone countries, but increasingly in all developed regions including the famously progressive northern Europeans.

This began as a consequence of ideological drift setup by circumstances arising immediately after WWII with the cold war and was exacerbated by the hubris within the west that accompanied the collapse of the USSR.

There was another major factor, however.

FDR was an incredible leader because he blended political realism with a deep optimism in and for humanity. He did not fear political consequences of falling out of favour with the elite in society, even though he had lived a privileged upbringing, and in many ways, he sought political advantage from being seen to occasionally annoy or even enrage the wealthy elite. The wealthiest businessman of the period, the banker J.P. Morgan, was a preferred target for FDR’s verbal attacks and policy measures to diminish the influence of the wealthy.

It is more than ironic, then, that nowadays the leader of JP Morgan Chase & Co, the legacy business of the original eponymous business, CEO Jamie Dimon is amongst the highest profile American businessmen who identifies as a Democrat, the left-wing party of FDR, and has a long history of significant monetary donations. Mr Dimon is considered by many as one of the most powerful men in America and is certainly one of the most acclaimed Wall Street power brokers leading the largest bank in America, indeed the largest bank in the world by 2023 market capitalisation, for over a decade and a half.

By the standards of 70s, however, the views of many of these wealthy elites who self-identify as being on the left of politics, and donate significant sums of money accordingly, would be considered well to the right side of the political divide. In fact, their actions and expressed views when compared with those of Charlie Munger’s, discussed earlier, who has been a life-long Republican, act as a clear of indication of how far the political centre has shifted to the right because Munger’s values are clearly well to the left of these other much younger elites.

This relationship between wealthy elites and the political centrality of society deserves examination not just with respect to observed affects but also as to cause.

As discussed earlier, lightly regulated political donations is one way in which political processes have been corrupted through legal means. The experience of the wealthy elites during FDR’s prolonged presidency surely taught them that it is not sufficient to only influence the right side of politics even if its long-term support for owners (of capital) through support for capitalistic markets provides a natural affinity. As the wealthy elites learned then, also, opportunistic support through large, one-off donations assures only ephemeral influence at best.

What was learned from their experience with FDR was that if enduring influence is to be achieved then it requires a good proportion of the wealthy elite being seen to be long-term supporters of the political left. And, since wealthy elites understand well the significance of always having influence, not only when one party is in power, there has been no shortage of wealthy elites prepared to be seen to be aligned with the left.

Well-known hedge fund manager Bill Ackman has even called on Jamie Dimon to run for the Democratic nomination for the 2024 Presidential election.

This factor is at least as important as any other in the drift of the political centre to the right.

With that the situation, for contemporary populist to gain significant attention they must be ultraconservative, whereas policies that in the 60s even Republicans considered seriously are cast as the realm of the far left.

While these circumstances explain the rightward drift in the political centre, so too were there natural circumstances that caused rightward movement of politics before WWII. The parallels between then and now are disquieting.

To any objective observer it is becoming difficult to see significant differences from the state of politics – fascism – which the Allies resisted and fought against in WWII and the one that America now has, and that distinction is growing less and less clear. In fact, this distinction could be lost with the election of another right-wing populist US President. The need to defeat a right-wing populist Republican candidate ensures the nomination of a right-wing Democrat.

The apparent or perceived phoniness of predominantly two-party systems where there is only very minor political difference and where both sides have been captured – through donations and other party or individual conflicts – by wealthy elites has been exploited by the populists to increase influence leading to increasingly fascist-like actions which the two parties struggle to oppose or resist. Given the influence American culture has on broad humanity, especially within anglophone regions, it is concerning how we have arrived at a moment in time where the dominant nation increasingly resembles a quasi-two-party fascist state with other major allies in danger of following.

How have we humans managed to progress through so much division?

Human progress has often been conceptualised as a swinging pendulum because it so aptly describes not just the observable but also the experiential. Perhaps the greatest contest within humanity has been between wealth, the owners of resources whether it be land or other resources nowadays expressed as some form of money, versus the workers, those who do not own much in the way of resources so they must continually acquire their regular (often daily) needs through their own labour by being self-sufficient or by selling their labour in return for money with which necessities are purchased.

This push and pull has played out over the millennia since human beings aggregated into communities and began to specialise their skillset rather than being generalists doing everything for themselves.

Those who lived through the second half of the 20th century, for example, would have witnessed and experienced in one way or another the power and influence of labour build up to an extreme largely through the instrument of collective bargaining with unionism into the 70s only for that power and influence to subside in the last decades of the century, even through reforms enacted by left-wing parties that are closely associated with unions.

Though the pendulum concept is apt, it is not complete because it would suggest that humanity does not progress as the pendulum swings about a stationary point. If we zoom out and consider how humanity has progressed from the caveman days until now it is abundantly clear that we have progressed a great deal, so there has to be much more than this to social and overall human progress.

Human progress can be more accurately depicted as a swinging pendulum where the central point of the swing is on a continual upward trajectory. That is why it feels – depending on your position in society and your values – at times like progress has slowed or even gone backwards, and then at other times it feels like progress is accelerating. In the case of the swinging pendulum, imagine that the pendulum is instead viewed from the side so that the swinging action is no longer visible, and it just appears that the vertical string is shortening and lengthening, or perhaps it appears like the stick of an upside down (inverted) lollypop. With close observation over a period it will be noticed that the top point of the string or stick, the point of articulation, is on a steady upward trajectory. If the position of the swinging bob, which denotes humanity’s lived experience of progress, is traced it will in fact show a wavey line heading up towards the top right-hand corner even though there are times when the line is actually heading downwards.

This explains why sometimes it feels like change is happening very quickly, then at other times it feels like things are actually going backwards.

The tendency of humanity to be influenced to swing from one position to another in the opposite direction is exacerbated by populists who seek to harness these swings to advantage themselves by gaining political power, influence, and privilege. Such opportunists have historically been prepared to take the pendulum, and thus humanity, to the extreme to achieve their aims, and since this work started with the events of WWII it should be abundantly clear that Nazism and Hitler are patent examples of this.

Many feel that humanity is undergoing another period of extremism at the present moment, but at this present time it is difficult to know whether the pendulum has swung back or whether it is approaching the inflexion point. Either way, it feels to many like human progress is going backwards with the emergence of right-wing extremism in America and elsewhere.

This was underlined by the way the results of 2020 US Presidential election were no accepted by Donald Trump, by the measures he took and attempted to keep hold of power, and in the insurrection that occurred at the Capitol on the20th of January 2021 after he spoke to a crowd of his supporters.

Politicians on the right trying to out-Trump Trump in order to gain power have also had significant affects, and the aforementioned banning of books in the US has disconcerting echoes with the actions of other extreme political movements including Nazism.

This move to the extreme right is also associated with an apparent rise in racism generally throughout the world.

Even though elections are won by the team on the most numerous side of the centre, modern politics has become polarised in recent years by this move to the extreme right.

Taking humanity to extremes does nothing to aid human progress, in fact it hinders it for one very important reason. The more energy put into swinging the pendulum to extremes diverts attention from the real goal – to put all the resources of our collective human endeavour towards driving progress, in other words to steepening our actual trajectory of progress.

The only way that can be done is by having guardrails from strong social norms and laws on the basis of social cohesion that lessen the amplitude of the swing of the pendulum.

It is the force of the swinging of the pendulum which makes human beings feel uncomfortable – afraid of change – such that at extremes some, the losers, feel like they are barely hanging on while others sit atop the bob and drive it on to even greater extremes for their own benefit.

It is an entirely inefficient way for humanity to progress, it is hardly capitalistic given the level of resources wasted, and it is perhaps the greatest reason why humanity remains on an unsustainable path.

The best vaccine against crises is social cohesion

The climate crisis is the greatest crisis that humanity confronts. It is, perhaps, the greatest threat of our own making that humanity has ever confronted. To this point our response to climate change has been weak, variable, and slow primarily due to a lack of agreement over identifying the threat and then the measures required.

It would be nonsensical to suggest that a response to climate change, or any other crises affecting humanity, will not be forthcoming without improving social cohesion. Of course governments have and will continue to react when crises happen, as governments are now to the climate crisis, and as they did during the recent COVID-19 pandemic.

However, the timeliness and quality of that response, and therefore the ability to manage the impacts to humanity, is highly dependent on the cohesiveness of societies both regionally and globally. And the COVID-19 pandemic underlined how the current poor level of social cohesion led to serious impacts along the divisive fissures in regional and global societies based on inequality whereby vulnerable peoples were so much more seriously impacted than the wealthy.

The COVID-19 response was inadequate in many wealthy nations. Few nations, however, reacted so poorly relative to their capacity for response as then President Donald Trump-led America, the wealthiest nation in the world, and the nation that humanity has looked to since WWII for global leadership and which, while coming at significant cost, has provided very significant preferential benefits to Americans. Instead of leading, the US President resorted to provocative language, which even the next President did not completely resile from, as aspersions were cast over the origin of the virus in a blame game to deflect attention from his inept leadership.

America also went AWOL on the climate crisis under Trump as he appeased the climate denialism that he had stoked. The serious challenges to agreeing, and even more critically, enacting, systematic responses to the climate crisis are deeply concerning to the global scientific community as well as those with the common sense to trust the views of those within humanity who chose to develop specialised skills in scientific research in areas related to climate and climate change impacts.

The future of humanity is too significant an issue to depend on only one global leader. Even if their political leadership is decided in fair elections, Americans are only a small fraction of global humanity, and that they hold a far greater share of global wealth is simply evidence of the inequality that America has done little to address.

A society that is always at war, and always must have an enemy, has become a danger to itself as well as others.

Moreover, there is no guarantee that America’s flirtation with the extreme right is over for now.

Humanity does not need a dominator. Power from wealth, no matter the various perspectives on whether it was acquired nobly or whether it was ill-gotten, does not grant a right to laud it over the majority.

Humanity needs supportive co-operation and collaboration. That is our evolutionary advantage, and it is does not preclude responding forthrightly when collective agreement is reached that it is required against recalcitrants.

In the mid-twentieth century two world wars provided the impetus for the creation of a global organisation as a force for an enduring peace. The first iteration – the League of Nations – was found wanting in its design, and after WWII the United Nations was created largely out of the vision of FDR.

While the United Nations has endured, it’s primary objective of securing peace was severely curtailed by the cold war, and it was no until sanctioned action in Kuwait in 1989 in response to Iraq’s invasion that the security council worked in the way it was meant to. Then in 2003 it was made a mockery of by an American administration bent on avenging the attacks on America property on the 11th of September 2001 that sadly caused the death of nearly 3,000 human beings who were in America at the time, a significant proportion of them being citizens of other regions.

Under President George W Bush, the son of George Bush Sr. who was President during the first Iraq war, America sought to broaden its retaliation to Iraq and the regime of Sadam Hussein after the success of operations to overturn the regime in Afghanistan where the terrorists that orchestrated the attacks had their bases. America and its key anglophone ally, Britain, told the UN Security council that they possessed intelligence that Hussein had weapons of mass destruction (WMD) that could be deployed in 45 minutes as a justification for unprovoked invasion to topple the Hussein regime. UN weapons inspectors led by Hans Blix, former Director General of the International Atomic Energy Agency, carried out approximately 700 inspections finding no WMD which was detailed in a report to the UN Security Council on the 14th of February 2003. Mass antiwar marches occurred throughout the developed world, with protesters in London alone numbering 2 million by the organisers.

Undeterred, America and Britain submitted a draft resolution to the UN stating that Iraq had missed its final opportunity to disarm peacefully, which France, Russia and Germany opposed. France and Russia on the 10th of March threatened to veto a UN security council directive to Iraq to disarm within 7 days.  On the 17th of March America, Britain and Spain abandoned all attempts at securing an UN Security Council resolution authorising force and 3 days later America launched an invasion of Iraq through ‘Operation Iraqi Freedom’.

The Iraq war involved military and other personnel from 48 nations which America briefly dubbed the ‘coalition of the willing’, the majority being small nations whose support for the war was associated with large foreign aid offerings from America. The only permanent members of the UN Security Council involved in the conflict which officially lasted for over 8 years were America and Britain. Exact numbers are impossible to determine, but civilian casualties ran into the hundreds of thousands and the region remains politically unstable today.

Hans Blix maintained that America and Britain dramatised the threat of Iraq having WMD to justify the 2003 attack, and furthermore believed that he was the subject of a public smear campaign and that American intelligence operations were conducted to undermine his credibility in an echo of the ‘reds under the bed’ era of false accusations and political attacks.

The leaders of the allied anglophone nations who supported the American invasion of Iraq, to give some level of suggestion that the operation was not unilaterally America on its own, especially Tony Blair of Britain and John Howard of Australia, did not resile from the fact that foremost in their aims was to maintain a close relationship with the dominant ‘super power’.

I intentionally suggested that these actions were to avenge the attacks on American property not the actual deaths of Americans for a very specific reason. At the height of the recent COVID-19 pandemic 3,000 American lives were lost daily, a very high proportion of them preventable if American leadership responded in a way which honoured the primacy of human life above other considerations, a demonstrable fact when mortality rates are compared with other developed nations including my own of Australia, New Zealand, and indeed, in China. These nations proved that protecting lives in the COVID-19 pandemic was indeed a matter of priority and will. Instead, the American President, Donald Trump, prioritised economy and wealth saying, “This is America – we can’t just shut things down!”. Of course, that was necessary anyway when medical facilities were overrun with seriously ill and dying patients, and when the dead were piled in refrigerated containers and buried temporarily in parks. Then to deflect attention from his own inaction which brought death and misery to many American families, at every turn he looked to sheet home blame for the pandemic to China, the country which experienced the first large scale deaths in the pandemic. Trump found an ‘enemy’ to blame.

It is clear, then, that the loss of human life was not the true driving force in American culture to support actions against nations, more specifically against certain leaders of or within those regions, which had shown their dislike for American culture – it was to avenge an attack on American prestige and power.

Any objective reader, who read his words as sincere, surely would find it challenging to reconcile a view that the man who left humanity as its leader on the 12th of April 1945 could be truly proud of such an America.

This seems unrecognised, however, presumably because those who wish to cast aspersion on his legacy question the sincerity of FDR’s words as a veiled nod to the inauthentic fashion with which many politicians behave. This ignores the repetition of his stated intent, his demonstrable efforts to establish a lasting peace amongst humanity, and perhaps most importantly, it is absent emotional connection with the context in which he led his constituency which he undoubtedly felt extended to all of humanity.

It is often said that it is the winners who write history. The experience of post-WWII shows that it is more than that – it is those within the winners who survive the longest and who have the loudest voices that get to influence what is perceived and or remembered from our history.

America and its historical allies conveniently dismiss their ‘enemies’ as evil because it stops us from engaging in a deeper examination of ourselves.

That is the importance of the “Rücksetzen” timeline where the extreme elements of a German-dominant society post-WWII are stripped away – i.e. the Nazism and associated Lebensraum extraterritorial conquering – instead adopting Schachtian neo-Weltpolitik whereby Germany is the dominant economic power within humanity with its ingrained harshness never reconciled or acknowledged.

All alternate realities invite an examination of the ways in which the imagined history differs from lived experience. What, then, are the difference between that alternate history and the America-dominant humanity that has been experienced for almost 80 years. Does it extend beyond simply which group of human beings have exerted their privilege for their own betterment, with any concomitant improvement or worsening in the situation for others simply incidental?

That is for the reader to consider.

What I will say is this. My own experiences at the beginning of the 21st century suggest that even in German society, the one society which has not been allowed by broader humanity to minimise the extreme consequences that follow hate on racial and other narrow ultraconservative ideals, the lessons of prejudice and hate were not sufficiently embedded to establish lasting inclusive social cohesion.

What will it take?

Quality globalisation

Globalisation refers to deepening connection between all human beings.

It is furthered by more frequent and authentic connection irrespective of the geography in which people reside. While globalisation is entirely a matter of human connection, in reality a humanity that has concentrated on economic transactions has tended to concentrate on human connection that facilitates an economic exchange, almost inferring that this type of connection is the only one of worth to humanity.

Nothing could be further from the truth as this treatment highlights.

It might be easy to justify this mistaken focus on it being the first type of globalisation humanity experienced – i.e. the wealthy European colonialist nations exploring and seeking out land and resources from which intercontinental trade was fostered – this, too, ignores the reality that indigenous peoples did undertake long trips without seeking economic returns but only out of curiosity and a desire to learn from and connect with others.

During a period of increasingly extreme capitalism, there is a tendency to search for economic value to all human activities. So let’s look at recent experience for what such globalisation has delivered.

COVID-19 laid bare the truth of economic globalisation. Nations that have remained poor were impacted seriously because they lacked the health system to respond, and they lacked the social infrastructure to protect people from direct impacts of the virus on them and close connections as well as shield them from the economic impacts.

The great majority of individuals in poor nations lacked the economic resiliency to protect themselves and the pandemic forced many into making difficult choices. As just one example, women who were employed in the garment industry in developing nations became unemployed as large retailers in developed nations cancelled orders as shops closed due to government measures to control the virus spread and/or as shoppers simply stopped buying (as they, themselves, were unemployed or imposed their own control measures to protect themselves and their families from infection). Many of these women, who had disproportionate caring roles in extended families, and who had no or limited savings, needed to earn money to purchase food and other necessities for survival. Many of these vulnerable women turned to illegal prostitution for survival, endangering their health and further compromising their mental well-being.

The simple reality is that economic globalisation, while touted as beneficial to broad humanity, has been allowed to be conducted in a way which has not enduringly reduced precarity in the developing world while at the same time it has increased it in the developed world. The main benefactors of this economic exchange has been the owners of capital who have used the favourable economics to increase their privileged position amongst humanity.

Deep interlinking between economies might create interdepency, which may or may not act to reduce risks of military contest, but that is not the type of connection which leads to true meeting of the minds between people. This is precisely why China was able to become so deeply enmeshed within the international trade community without enduring impacts on global social cohesion. The lack of trust from both sides, risking a new cold war between America and China, with all the inherent risks of it leading to actual war, is a troubling situation for humanity.

If anything, the regional and inter-regional social tensions that has been caused by this economic globalisation has been deleterious to human connection rather than positive.

Again, as for ‘trickle-down economics’, the human experience from economic globalisation has not nearly matched the narrative of positive affects proffered by the elites, and that is primarily because corruption of the political system has meant that all of the benefits have been soaked up by the elites and all of the costs have been experienced by the remainders of society.

The synonymity of economic globalisation as globalisation has given it a very bad reputation such that globalisation is a popular attack point for extremists on either side of the political divide, which negatively impacts social cohesion thus real globalisation.

It is hardly suprising that connection made on a transactional basis, when something is expected in return for something that was proffered, is not always authentic and is only as durable as the time taken to unearth a better deal.

For economic transactions to contribute to authentic and enduring globalisation bureaucratic oversight is necessary to ensure that the benefits and costs are shared fairly throughout humanity in such a transparent way as to engender good faith.

This, still, is insufficient to foster globalisation to the benefit of all of humanity.

What is needed is a serious program for social cohesion on a global scale, and since there is a limit in terms of economics as well environmental capacity for physically mixing to develop authentic connection, we must harness modern technology on a scale never before contemplated.

This is the area in which artificial intelligence can begin to make a very deep and enduring impact to the benefit of humanity by facilitating connection especially amongst young people. It is through this quality globalisation that technology can be a truly powerful force for progress.

bell hooks showed us how to set ourselves free

In 2004 bell hooks published “The Will To Change: Men, masculinity and love” in which she described American society as an imperialist white-supremacist capitalist patriarchy based on the organising principle of domination.

hooks was correct.

Moreover, the same holds true of all anglophone countries stemming from British colonialism as well as generally central Europe.

That’s not to say that prejudice and bias, from sexism, racism, classism, etc., are limited to Caucasian-dominant societies; far from it. In the study of human history there have been no true matriarchal societies confirmed, just a few disparate societies based on matrilineal systems where decision-making power was more shared between the genders on the basis of power, authority, and/or property being inherited through the female lineage.

hooks accurately identified again that without changing the system, women and others from marginalised groups who gain authority within dominating patriarchies do so – are selected to do so – because their behaviours either naturally or through modification meet the strong selection pressures of dominating patriarchy.

For all of the recent effort that has gone towards creating gender balance, detecting inequities, and running inclusion programs, so that this power imbalance is now openly discussed, if not necessarily accepted by a majority, progress has been slow and, in some ways, may have even gone backwards in some regards since hooks wrote this masterpiece.

This has gone hand in hand with the move further towards aggressive competition as capitalism has become increasingly extreme.

For those on the conservative right, these efforts at inclusion so that all feel a deep sense of belonging within society – i.e. creating social cohesion – are wrapped in ‘culture wars’ against the ‘woke’ in society, a word that emerged from American black culture as an encouragement to each other to continue their fight for civil rights, which has been taken on the wider meaning of seeking inclusion for all. Put simply, all ‘woke’ activities offend the dominators. That is because these societal changes threaten the privilege and anachronistic hold on power and authority of men, and especially Caucasian men in societies based on colonialism.

The longer conservatives are allowed to extend their privilege by preventing change, the more we shackle ourselves and stifle our progress, ultimately demoralising huge swathes of society who remain marginalised and are prevented from reaching their full potential by dreaming, developing, and innovating.

Worse still, social tension is perpetuated so that energy and effort is spent righting these wrongs rather than confronting the challenges that arise from our natural existence, our impacts on the nature around us, and our impacts on each other.

Changing the character of society has (many) parallels with the German visa catch 22 whereby to change the character there needs to be a solid desire within society for fairness and inclusion, but for there to be that solid desire there needs to already be a sustainable base of fairness and inclusion from which to build. This is the challenging phase that humanity remains stuck in, below the threshold for fairness and inclusion necessary for it to become sustainable. By the same token, however, once that solid base is secured, its circular self-reinforcing nature ensures the sustainability of the fairness and inclusion character in society.

Only inclusive societies are free to reach their full potential by each human being having the freedom to work towards being the best version of themselves.

A Changing relationship with work and ourselves

As soon as human beings began to specialise in their contributions to their communities, these roles became embedded in identity so deeply that often they were incorporated into hereditary names.

One of the most common surnames (family name) in anglophone countries has traditionally been Smith, for example, which is derived from the term for a metal worker, a blacksmith, and throughout European societies is equivalent to the family name of Smythe, Schmidt, Smed, Smitt, Faber, Ferrer, Ferrier, Ferraro, Lefebvre, Kovacs, Manx, Goff and Gough. Similarly the surname of Tailor or Taylor, as in a maker of clothing and other sewn goods, is equivalent to Schneider, Sarto, Sastre, Snyder, Szabo, Kravitz, Hiatt, Portnoy and Terzl.

In those first, mostly small, communities these roles were more than just the ways in which people earned resources to be able to survive, they were vital to the whole community’s survival.

As the size of our communities has grown, especially through rural to urban migration that continues in most societies, and as the increase in office work has, at least outwardly, homogenised the forms of work performed, identity associated with our contributions to society has compartmentalised. Depending on the context of association, roles performed to ‘earn a living’ may or may not be significant in relationships.

As a parent of a child in a school community, for example, it may be uncommonly known that someone is an accountant, but in the school community they are known as a frequent volunteer in a certain role at sports days and festivals. On the other hand, their colleagues who are very familiar with their role and status in the workplace may be entirely unaware, perhaps even entirely indifferent, to the other roles that they play in society outside of the workplace.

Nonetheless, especially through the recent period of extreme capitalism where self-interest and materialism has led to increasingly conspicuous consumerism, while roles performed to earn an income might have become less visible within communities, the relative ranking of one’s income-earning role within society has been increasingly displayed by the level of status goods purchased. The obvious ones are mobile and include the quality and branding of clothing warn, and the number, brand and type of motor vehicles owned. The size and quality of housing, and especially its location, are also important even if rather less mobile.

This is a common way in which societally perceived high-status income-earning roles are signaled within broader society contemporarily, and it has meant that the income-earning role performed within society has remained critically important to the great majority and to their identity.

At the same time, the quickening rate of technological progress in societies continually impacts those income-producing roles, causing anxiety at whether status can be maintained in the face of rapid change.

First mechanisation displaced manual blue-collar workers cutting the number of jobs available, and then efficient communication allowed precise supply chain management so that goods were produced entirely or mostly in regions where labour cost much less, i.e. in poor regions of the world. This was the process that gave ‘globalisation’ a bad reputation in wealthy nations.

More recently, however, the same factors have led to increasingly higher-paid, higher status, jobs moving to lower cost regions of the world. Now artificial intelligence (AI) has been developed to the point where it is likely to render many high-status jobs unnecessary.

The COVID-19 pandemic impacted humanity just as all the factors mentioned to this point were coalescing within society such that deteriorating well-being measures, especially around mental health, had been observed and increasingly discussed.

One interesting idea which had already garnered significant attention, put forward by the late David Graeber in his 2018 book ‘Bullshit Jobs’, was that many people feel stuck doing roles that they considered pointless and that this is harmful to their wellbeing. The book was popular because many could identify with having had such jobs, perhaps even many jobs, where a large proportion of tasks required of them were pointless.

To this idea can be added the proliferation of ‘just in case’ work where more tasks have been required of employees by their managers through the period of increasingly extreme capitalism that have not been directed towards the bottom-line outcomes of their employer but instead towards serving the ambitions of their manager. ‘Just in case’ work is performed to cover as many eventualities as is possible for a manager to impress their manager or others who have influence over their career rewards (remuneration including bonuses and promotions). Alternatively, within increasingly aggressive workplaces the manager may be afraid of domineering managers and all possible eventualities are covered to minimise the chances of being berated or otherwise punished by withdrawal of career rewards.

Within societies based on domination and self-interest, where many political and business leaders are so obviously conflicted, it is unsurprising that throughout the hierarchy there will be many who seek to advance their own interests even when they conflict with the overall aims of their organisation. Moreover, because domination and self-interest has been so deeply embedded in contemporary capitalist societies, such behaviour is typically rewarded and selected for so that ranks of emerging leaders are replete with aggressive dominators.

This creates a powerful impediment to changing course.

The 40-hour work week came into effect in the developed world during the Great Depression to reduce unemployment, but American entrepreneur Henry Ford was an early adopter in the late 1920s believing it was better for productivity. In the 1940’s the famous British economist John Maynard Keynes argued that the standard work week could be reduced further to 35 hours to stimulate more employment, and even then he believed that a 15-hour work week would be possible within a few generations due to technological and productivity enhancements. Keynes and others envisaged a humanity that enjoyed greater leisure time.

Keynes would be astonished to know that 80 years later the work week has not been adjusted downwards, but in terms of actual hours worked, had actually crept upwards in recent decades.

The persistence of the 40-hour work week into the new millennium is due to the increasingly extreme form of capitalism that has been practiced where a profit imperative superseded other considerations under the tutelage of politicians, even on the left of politics with their historical close association with labour unions which have diminished in authority and are under pressure to maintain relevancy. Extreme capitalism has also encouraged employees to work harder to earn more income with which to purchase status goods in competition with others in society.

Therefore, vested interests that have the agency to influence opinion within society prefer that the 40-hour work week stays in place, and the majority of workers have been too focused on materialism and/or survival, in societies where the middle class has shrunk, to reflect on whether the situation is providing a fulfilling life and/or how their situation could be improved.

Moreover, because life has become so entwined with work, the role performed to earn an income has increased in significance such that it is again very closely tied to perceptions of self-value and identity.

In this environment, economic globalisation and technological advancement does not just threaten income-earning opportunities. Human identity is threatened. It is the extreme anxiety around identity within society which is harnessed for political gain by both the right and left.

The right seeks to harness this anxiety to keep employees feeling vulnerable so that workforces are compliant.

The left seeks to exacerbate this anxiety while working towards keeping worker numbers high to maintain unionism.

Neither side has an interest in acknowledging the deterioration in lived experience for employees, and that a restructuring in society, whereby identity revolves around fuller contributions to society not just income-producing roles, in part facilitated by reductions in standard weekly work hours without reduction in income (including by government transfer payments, discussed later), would be highly beneficial for the great majority.

Leadership is necessary to assist workers towards transitioning in societies where they spend less of their time working in income-producing roles by structural change and programs aimed at building self-worth and identity outside of work. While inept and self-interested leaders dither, the majority are stuck between a past with shrinking relevance to their lived experience, and a future nobody has an interest in acknowledging.

The right counteracts any measures by workforces to reflect and publicly discuss these issues, mounting aggressive campaigns against employee movements – that have sprung up since the measures to address the COVID-19 pandemic gave employees a brief opportunity to reflect – including the great resignation, the great reshuffle, and the trend towards working from home which in the pandemic proved not just possible but preferable for many employees.

The left wraps the necessary campaign for fair pay with a glorification of hard work which embeds a work-centric ethos which it dares not relinquish.

Humanity remains entirely unprepared for the disruption that is upon us.

Revisiting forgotten ideas

In the immediate postwar years there was a significant discussion about the possibility of establishing a world government. Einstein was one of the strongest proponents and saw it as critical to avoiding future conflict – in fact, he was pessimistic for humanity without a world government.

As seems so common in politics, once a society chooses not to adopt an idea it is dropped from the consciousness of the political class. It is as if the idea were vanquished! So it has been for the idea of a world government.

The idea of a world government, however, has no less merit today than it did nearly 80 years ago, and I rather imagine that if Einstein had witnessed all of these 80 years, he would have put the continued international competition and lack of cooperation down in large part to the failure of the global community to implement a world government.

As there is no impetus to develop a world government at present, it would take a significant amount of political capital to renew such impetus, especially when recent events have suggested the pendulum’s momentum is strongly in the opposite direction, at a time when political capital must necessarily be directed at more immediate problems which are reaching crisis levels, such as the climate crisis, even if implementing a world government would go towards addressing the root causes of the issues and permitting more comprehensive and rapid responses.

One measure which would require significantly less political capital to enact, but which would produce reasonably rapid results, is the idea of placing a ‘Roosevelt clause’ in the national constitution of all members of the United Nations.

It will undoubtedly be argued that politicians must serve their constituencies, those living in the electorates from which they were elected.

On the one hand, it is true that politicians serve humanity by diligently making the best decisions for and on behalf of their constituencies. On the other, the best decision for their constituencies can only be reached within a context of what is best for them within broader humanity, as FDR so eloquently framed in his fourth inaugural speech when he said:

“We have learned that we cannot live alone, at peace; that our own well-being is dependent on the well-being of other nations far away. We have learned that we must live as [people], not as ostriches, nor as dogs in the manger. We have learned to be citizens of the world, members of the human community.”

In other words, what is best for all of humanity is what is best for each of us as individuals.

We cannot avoid that reality, and whenever in the past we have tried ignorance, the consequences have been serious if not catastrophic.

In effect, representative Government does not work by every parliamentarian voting strictly in accordance with what they believe is best for their constituencies because that is subordinate to the interests of the political party and their party team members. Ideally those decisions would be based on balanced assessment of what is best for the whole of the jurisdiction of the Government, but, as discussed earlier, this is not nearly often enough the case.

Thus, to the question of whether this really would be such a significant departure from the way politics is practiced, including in representative democracies, the only ways in which it would be different – having a broad outlook on what is best for the whole of humanity – would constitute a significant improvement over the status quo.

‘Patriotism’, ‘nationalism’, or any other favouring of one group of human beings over others, whether it is based on geography or ideology, has always been problematic to humanity.

As bell hooks so accurately identified in her (multicultural) intersectional feminist writing, domination is characteristically the organising principle of societies developed from white-supremacist – i.e. colonialist – patriarchies, and it has always tainted geopolitics with devastating consequences.

Cooperation and the avoidance of puissant competition is the character of inter-regional relations that is necessary to sustain humanity going forward.

While a certain level of competition between corporate interests will remain even with deeply embedded inter-regional co-operation, and may even be advantageous to an extent for efficient progress, this must be held closely in check to ensure that it does not spill into the political realm through reform to political interference laws (e.g. relating to political donations) at the regional and inter-regional levels.

The problem with aggressive competition is that when there must be a winner, there are always losers, and with that comes a host of negative consequences ranging from loss of prestige through to deleterious impacts on standards of living which ultimately lead to societal tension.

Obviously, any resources directed to military spending made necessary by social and inter-regional tension is ultimately inefficient for human progress, not to mention their inherent potential to inflict pain and loss.

The simple truth is that we no longer need nations for much more than to support during sporting competitions and the longer we hold to the idea of a ‘nation’ the longer humanity will be prone to populists using nationalism as a tool to advance their own self-interested political agendas.

The idea of nationhood, or any other subgrouping of human beings for the matter, must – and I have no doubt will one day – become wholly subordinate to the idea of a broad human community whereby a nation, for example, is simply a convenient administrative notion, like any other, rather than something to be divisively patriotic about to the point of being willing to kill or die ‘defending’.

The defense of ideals and ideas is best done firstly at the individual level by contribution in societal discourse, and at the global level by collaborative action supported by the greatest possible majority of human beings.

As intimated above, aggressive competition and domination transcends the issue of geopolitical tensions into the daily life of human beings including in the workplace and through broader society which must be addressed to achieve sustainable change.

A less aggressive role for competition might run counter to the virile view of capitalism that has grown more intense over the past half century, but one only needs to spend time observing our productive children in modern schools where much effort goes towards teaching co-operative and collaborative behaviours within supportively competitive environments to realise that it is far, far superior to aggressively competitive environments. In my experience as a stay-at-home parent volunteering at many school sporting events, I have often been dismayed at how the tone of proceedings changes, not for the better, when parents are present bringing their competitive work stress and general dissatisfaction with life with them, and the children take on that stress while striving harder to meet their demanding parents’ expectations of success and achievement.

This is the impact of the patriarchal system where domination and aggression are the defining characters, where even if results are achieved, the costs to the individuals involved are serious and render the system less productive over the long term and unsustainable. Moreover, it is a system where only the very ambitious are lauded and thus attain privileged positions of influence such that there is a narrowing of contributed experiences and ideas – essentially a monoculture – of aggressive competition absent the people with broader views of what is ’success’ and what is truly important in society.

In aggressive labour systems, the majority of workers are used up as if they were feedstock for production rather than as the valuable human capital assets they are, in part a flash back to pre-union histories, in part a recognition of a largely post-union modern reality, and in final part, recognition that the power of labour is being diminished by automation and advanced technologies.

This is why we have had such a growing issue of deteriorating mental health from participants in an economy, much less a society, who feel that their lives represent unrelenting treadmills.

The seeds of humanity’s success at progressing through the ages lies in our innate never-ending curiosity and desire for innovative efficiency, not in aggressive competition.

In all facets of life, seeking to dominate others through aggressive competition is harmful and societal leaders must commit to extinguishing it wherever they have influence.

To do that, first we must cease glorifying such culture where winning is everything and where it is taken by large numbers as a defining personal characteristic. In fact, we need nothing short of a revision of how many in humanity seek to define themselves mostly through income-earning roles because 1) it revolves around winning at virulent consumerism which ultimately proves dissatisfying to the participants not least of all because it is an unwinnable game as there will always be someone who has more, and 2) because it is unsustainable technologically on the basis of mechanisation and computing replacing much income-producing work performed, and on the basis that the finite natural environment which sustains all life on Earth including humans cannot yield the resources for an insatiable thirst for more.

Worse still parents have naturally extrapolated their lived experience of anxiety-riddled increasingly manic lives and have trained and advise the next generation on the assumption that the trend will continue by developing hectic schedules of post-curricular activities while they are school and then encouraging part-time work as they complete school and tertiary education.

More likely than not, such parents have passed on their anxiety from their own lives and have left the next generation ill-equipped for developing well-rounded lives where self-worth comes from broader contributions to society as the time and energy that is devotes to income-producing roles progressively decreases.

Humanity must begin to define itself by more than just what resources can be garnered and instead by our full roles in the human experience, especially how we give to others and work together towards improving all our lives.

The key question is how to secure and maintain ‘decent’ living standards while we spend less of our time and energy working in income-producing roles.

The answer has been discussed for centuries but after coming close to being implemented in the 1960’s, it is another idea that has been forgotten. It is the idea of a universal basic income.

A universal basic income (UBI) is a payment to every person in society. At its purest, it is the exact same payment to everyone at a level which ensures a dignified standard of living. It does not preclude people from working to earn other income so that the incentives to working hard and smart – i.e.  intensely efficient – that exist in our capitalist societies are maintained, but it does give people who otherwise might have struggled daily for survival the opportunity to invest in themselves through education and training or simply their wellbeing by getting more rest, or in their families by spending less hours away from the home and/or energy on income-producing work, or in their communities by myriad channels including volunteering.

The concept of a UBI was first raised by Thomas More in his classic book “Utopia” in the 16th century, and it was commonly discussed in the early 20th century. In America, the delivery of a UBI had wide support in the 1960s including from 1,200 economists who signed a petition calling for its introduction, and even Milton Friedman – a hero of the right-wing – suggested a UBI be delivered via the tax system. The politicians never managed to agree on what form it should take and by the 70s the idea fell out of favour as the move to the right commenced, and Friedman is instead remembered for his other ideas including that the social aim of business should be to increase profits.

Over the intervening half century the character of western society has changed as the harsh and corrupted outcomes of the capitalist market – as it has been allowed to develop – has left a shrinking middle-class and working poor anxious at what comes next, with a perception based on lived experience that whatever it is it is unlikely to turn around the growing inequality or produce a better experience of life for the majority.

To this point, the pressure to develop an answer to dealing with the lower demand for labour that has accompanied technological innovations, and will do so increasingly, has been subverted to an extent by vestiges of the system supported by the left and right.

The right has especially supported an aggressive, self-interested system which has worked against the continual efficiency drive within organisations whereby aspirants throughout hierarchies divert resources to achieving their aims over that of the broader organisation, which, since they are the holders of direct power over subordinates, are impervious to top down efforts to align incentives with bottom-line incentives, especially when the executives’ incentives are themselves seen to be self-serving and short-term.

The left, while being complicit in the adoption of this extreme form of capitalism, still is beholden to unionism as its base, and while it finds enticing the younger, liberal-minded, environmentally conscious voter base, it has significant competition for them from green parties.

These factors are probably the greatest in producing a significant level of over-employment. This impasse will be broken.

On one hand, employees will increasingly refuse to continue to act as the valve for releasing the pressure from the squeeze between the top-down drive for efficiency and the bottom-up drive of aspirational bosses. This is being witnessed since the start of the COVID-19 pandemic, which provided employees with separation and time for reflection, leading to movements including the great resignation, the great reshuffle and quiet quitting in response to their deteriorating wellbeing from this squeeze.

On the other hand, the owners will increasingly insist that they receive the dividend for their investments in technological innovation rather than them getting trapped within the organisation and being paid out disproportionately to the self-interest aggressive types at the top and rising through the hierarchy. They will realise that it is a better return for them when the business is run by co-operative types who are engaged, and who can lead all employees to be engaged, with the overall aims of the organisation.

The owners will have little option, and in reality will consider it a reasonable payoff, to pay a higher level of tax on operations since governments will be less able to derive revenue from incomes. This will require a high level of international co-operation to minimise corporate tax arbitrage.

And aided by UBIs, employees will come to realise that more contented lives are possible, without a reduction in the quality of experiences within a greater appreciation for the what is a life well lived, when less of the best time and quality energy of life is dedicated to income-producing activity.

The United Nations

I would never seek to pass myself as possessing a view on the working of the vast bureaucracy that the United Nations has become that would be worthy of deep consideration.

Several points are obvious to any objective observer, however.

The first is that it is a wretched disappointment that in recent years it has come to light just how deeply embedded in the United Nations workplace culture has been dominating patriarchy especially in the form of misogyny and gender-based violence. That within the organisation which is looked upon, in many ways, to lead the way in human society there have been people so hurt by extreme self-interest and power imbalance between genders is almost beyond comprehension, especially when consideration is given to the passion with which many of the victims joined their ranks with passionate commitments to make a difference for others, and instead themselves becoming victims of inequity and lacking in agency.

To me it proves the pervasiveness of dominating patriarchy and ubiquity of people in all human organisations who are driven by self-interested personal power politics, and it shows just how much reform is required to drive these aggressive, dominating types out by selecting for collaborative, supportive, empathetic personality types.

Secondly, that the security council has only really worked once as it was intended in its almost 80 years of existence, in sanctioning coordinated action against Iraq for invading Kuwait in 1989, and then it was made a mockery of in 2003 by the nation whose leader was more responsible than any other for its existence, says much. Undoubtedly the United Nations has found its critical place in humanity, but there needs to be a renewed effort to reform its culture and for it to be truly representative of humanity as a driving force for peace and human progress in responding to our many serious challenges which stem from the lost opportunity to develop humanity equitably and cohesively.

One way to do that would be to press for the ‘Roosevelt Clause’ in the administrative instruments of all members, but results will surely come from a renewed push for “bold, persistent experimentation… to take a method and try it: If it fails, admit it frankly and try another. But above all, try something.”

Finally, the United Nations came about because of the dedication and foresight of the Roosevelts, but now it will take American leadership to set it free – truly free – free to act for the good of all of humanity, and resist and counter the piling on of yet more privilege upon a fortunate few, but with no less financial and other support from the developed nations, in fact with greater and more secure funding that it has long needed.

Projects of vainglorious men

Historically and contemporarily, exploration has been the domain of men, and right now there are several billionaires involved in space projects, some with their ultimate aim of colonising other planets.

On the one hand it is a reasonably common view amongst humanity that resources used – and fossil fuel consumed, and wastes emitted – might be better diverted to solving the immediate problems that we face on Earth right now.

Simply this is a cost/risk vs benefits/rewards argument highlighting the significant cost at a very low probability of success for these projects, while the rewards are perceived as mainly to the boosting of the ego of the wealthy men who are engaging in these activities. Even if benefits are realised ultimately by broader society, as has occurred with earlier space-related projects in the forms of new materials being developed, for example, will these be useful in addressing the issues which threaten to decrease the quality of life experienced by every human being subjected to the consequences of the climate crisis?

The more critical point is overlooked, mostly because of humanity’s inability to be honest about our history.

Space exploration and colonisation and searching for answers to the deeper questions of whether life exists elsewhere in the time/space continuum, is deeply problematic and risky while humanity remains far away from the condition where all of the human beings on Earth can live peacefully with each other or in harmony with other living organisms.

Is it wise to actively seek to add interactions with other lifeforms into the mix before we have first worked this out? Would we not be inviting serious trouble, if as unlikely it seems, other lifeforms were contacted? And if the response by proponents to that question is that it is highly unlikely, in any case, then why spend precious resources on it?

If we are contacted, then that is different. At that point we need to collectively decide how to respond.

Subtextual suggestion that we need to continue to engage in a race to develop technology, effectively a de facto arms race, against an imagined lifeform that might ultimately turn out to be antagonistic is ridiculous and is a continuation of the flawed psychology of conquest, colonialisation and competition that humanity has adopted for the past 5 millennia.

I do not suggest for a moment that science stay out of space.

However, it would appear clear that the potential rewards need to be much more closely balanced with benefits to contemporary human beings when so very many remain outside a global economy which still promotes inter- and intra-regional inequality causing deeply inequitable life outcomes and poor – even weakening – social cohesion. Moreover, we must recognise that if we were to make contact with another advanced lifeform, our poor level of social cohesion surely imperils humanity irrespective of the aliens’ intentions: if they were antagonistic, experiences over the past decades (including during the COVID-19 pandemic) suggest that we would be completely unable to respond in a united front; and if they were benevolent, serious problems at incorporating their mere existence in our collective psychology – let alone if they became physically present –are certain when our societies still struggle to accommodate the diversity of humanity in a harmonious way.

If proponents wish to equate space exploration with global exploration of past centuries, then they need to answer why it should proceed when humanity has failed to reconcile the truths of past colonialisation, where some regions are only just embarking on a truth-telling process, and others totally refuse to even begin the conversation.

No, space colonization as a goal must be the preserve of a truly cohesive, post-modern society, certainly not ours. And we need to be more careful, and debate more actively and openly, what projects society permits the vainglorious to engage in, both from the point of view of what is an appropriate allocation of physical and human resources, and from the view of risks and benefits to the whole of humanity.

Towards a new universal greeting

There is probably no better illustration of the global domination of European patriarchy amongst humanity than the formal handshake greeting.

One of the earliest depictions of a handshake greeting is from a 9th century BC artefact from the modern day Middle East region where two emperors seal an agreement. Ancient Greek and then Roman artefacts show that the tradition was practiced in their societies before becoming deeply embedded in European culture. In other regions of the world formal greetings have been vastly different, and most often do not involve direct touch and may not involve eye contact. More physically intimate greetings, such as the pressing together of noses and foreheads as in the Māori hongi, the First Nations people in New Zealand, are rare.

As western business practices spread, hand shaking has become a ritualised formal greeting throughout the entire world and in many ways is the default form of greeting between peoples of different cultures, especially in a formal or a business context.

The intimacy of touching and/or of firmly shaking a stranger’s hand, especially when they are not of the same gender, is confronting in some cultures, however, rendering it an awkward and discomforting experience. Even within the same culture, women often feel uncomfortable in performing the standard greetings with men, and this is heightened when there is a power imbalance which more often than not is in favour of the man.

It is not only between cultures and genders where awkwardness emerges as the form of handshake can take on a myriad interpretations by the two greeters and/or those who observe the greeting. In the 2000s the outcome of an Australian election was heavily influenced by the publics’ perception of the greeting between the two male contestants for the Prime Ministership where the handshake was vigorous and the younger and significantly larger man stepped forward to be close and looked down upon his opponent. The public perceived that the larger man was being aggressive and dominating, and it made them less inclined to vote for him.

There is no doubt that there is a great deal of body language etiquette that is inferred from a handshake, and this occurs both consciously and unconsciously.

In this moment of reflection where we are thinking about cultural practice so that inclusion, belonging, and safety are enhanced for all, we should acknowledge that the handshake as a formal greeting is antiquated and a new universal greeting which is representative and respectful of human diversity should be developed.


Chapter 5 – “It’s Not Worth Going Through All Of This Crap If You’re Not Going To Enjoy The Ride” (Next)

Chapter 3 – Reset (Previous)


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© Copyright Brett Edgerton 2023

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“Reset”: Chapter 3 – Reset

Harry Truman, who had been Vice President for all of 82 days on the 12th of April 1945, had just adjourned the day and was sharing a drink in the office of the House Speaker when he got an urgent call to immediately go to the White House. Once there Eleanor Roosevelt informed him that her husband had died. Shocked and humbled, Truman asked if there was anything he could do for the family. In reply Eleanor asked if there was anything they could do for him as he was now the one “in trouble!”

President Truman was sworn in as the 33rd President of the United States of America that evening.

FDR died from a cerebral haemorrhage while he was at his retreat at Warm Springs, Georgia. Americans were heartbroken at the passing of their beloved President who many consider their own personal adviser and confidant for the past thirteen years through one of the most tumultuous periods of their short history as a nation.

FDR’s final words, prepared just a few hours before his death and intended to be delivered by radio the following evening in commemoration of the birthday of Thomas Jefferson, founder of the Democratic Party and author of the Declaration of Independence, summed up what was in his heart until his end:

“Today we are faced with the preeminent fact that, if civilization is to survive, we must cultivate the science of human relationships—the ability of all peoples, of all kinds, to live together and work together, in the same world, at peace.

Let me assure you that my hand is the steadier for the work that is to be done, that I move more firmly into the task, knowing that you—millions and millions of you—are joined with me in the resolve to make this work endure.

The work, my friends, is peace. More than an end of this war—an end to the beginnings of all wars. Yes, an end, forever, to this impractical, unrealistic settlement of the differences between governments by the mass killing of peoples.

Today, as we move against the terrible scourge of war—as we go forward toward the greatest contribution that any generation of human beings can make in this world—the contribution of lasting peace, I ask you to keep up your faith. I measure the sound, solid achievement that can be made at this time by the straight-edge of your own confidence and your resolve.”

The day that FDR died the US Ambassador in Moscow met with Stalin to inform him in person. In the official Embassy communique Ambassador Harriman said that Stalin was deeply distressed, holding his hand for 80 seconds before sitting and asking for details on how the President had passed. Molotov, the Soviet Commisar for Foreign Affairs, who had been present for most of the important conferences, pointed out that Truman was largely unknown to them, in part because he had not given many speeches from which his viewpoints could be ascertained. Harriman assured Stalin and Molotov that Truman was aligned with FDR’s program and “heartily supported all his views”.

FDR was laid to rest at his family’s estate at Hyde Park on the 15th of April. The previous day a military procession with over 500,000 people lining the streets brought his body to lie in repose at the White House before a private service. His wishes were to not lie in State and again proceedings were intentionally less ‘stately’ given the nation remained at war. Elliott and Anna were photographed at Eleanor’s side as FDR was interned in his mother’s rose garden according to his wishes.

Historian William Leuchtenburg described the scenes of the train carrying FDR’s body from Warm Springs until his burial:

“Hundreds of thousands of people, many with tears in their eyes, lined the train route carrying his body from Georgia to Washington, D.C., and then on to Hyde Park, to pay their final respects.”

Just over two weeks later, on the 30th of April, Adolf Hitler committed suicide alongside his wife Eva Braun in a bunker in Berlin as the Red Army rapidly closed in on them, and the German Third Reich unconditionally surrendered a week later.

To say that Truman had to make a steep learning curve is an understatement of monstrous proportions and normalises it, unwisely, with situations many other human beings have confronted, for the situation he confronted was orders of magnitude more complex and fraught than that which almost any other human being has had to contend.

Truman was unaware of the American Army’s Manhattan project to develop a nuclear bomb even though it was ultimately he who made the decision to unleash its catastrophic power on the peoples of Japan to end the war. On 6th August 1945 the first atomic bomb detonation on a human population was carried out by Americans on the city of Hiroshima. To underline the reproducibility of the technology, as some elements of the Japanese military remained resistant to surrender, another nuclear detonation was planned for 9th of August for the Japanese city of Kokura, but poor visibility – due to weather conditions and smoke from conventional bombing – meant that the alternative city, Nagasaki, would forever be remembered in history as the target for the second atomic bomb detonation on human beings.

Stalin, true to his commitments at Teheran and Yalta, had declared the Soviets at war with Japan on 7th of August liberating Manchuria and North Korea, along with South Sakhalin and the Kuril islands which became Russian territory (as agreed to in Yalta even if this could not be made public then as it would effectively be a declaration of war).

The US strategic bombing survey conducted in 1946 concluded that by the end of 1945 Japan would have surrendered in any case even without the US detonation of nuclear bombs or Soviet involvement.

Several weeks earlier in July President Truman met with the Allied leaders in Potsdam in Germany to finalise organisation of the postwar period in Europe. The result of the British election become known during the conference leading to Churchill being replaced by Prime Minister Attlee. It proved to be the only time Truman met Stalin in person, and his initial thoughts were that he could work with Stalin, saying “he is honest – but smart as hell!”

Some argue that FDR was naïve to Stalin’s objectives, or at the very least overestimated his own ability to influence Stalin. Others suggest that FDR, himself, had realised Stalin’s ‘evil’ intent immediately prior to his passing, but this view incorporates a stark cold war perspective that FDR could not have had at the time. Moreover, even if his concerns about Stalin’s agenda might have grown immediately prior to his death, so too had concerns grown about the actions in Greece of the British who he felt had undue influence in American intelligence and foreign affairs organisations leaving FDR not fully trusting in the intentions behind some advice he received.

The one thing that seems certain, however, is that there was a very real connection between the American President and the Soviet Marshall as WWII was approaching a conclusion.

The affect that authentic human connection has on actions and decisions reached is challenging to predict even for brilliant game theorists.

Having been privy to the inner workings of Government and his father’s deliberations and intentions, holding no immediate ambitions of his own for higher office, and concerned to see the world be reminded of what his father was leading Americans and indeed the whole of humanity towards by fighting the ‘survival war’, as FDR had come to refer to it, before the end of 1946 Elliott had published “As He Saw It” – his account of the many discussions he had with his Dad through the war period including at the three conferences he attended as FDR’s aide and personal confidant.

In summation, Elliott wrote:

“I believe that there is one fact which, once grasped and understood leads to clarity and appreciation of all postwar political facts. This one fact is that when Franklin Roosevelt died, the force for progress in the modern world lost its most influential and most persuasive advocate. With his death, the most articulate voice for integrity among the nations of the peoples of the world was stilled. More than that, for people everywhere in the world, he had been the symbol of America, and of freedom, on whom they had pinned their hope of liberation and a now world of peace and plenty; when he died, some of their hope died with him, and their faith.”

It is hardly surprising that some who may have been described by his Dad as “pin-striped pants boys at the State Department” disagreed with some of Elliott’s recollections, finding that the tenor of the book favoured the Soviets over the British. That will always be the nature of recorded history relying on perceptions of what was said and intended, especially when decisions reached during the period were so very consequential.

The leadership vacuum to which Elliott referred was inevitable after the passing of the American President who guided the nation for so long through such troubled times, replaced by a leader who was not only inexperienced, but to whom much of the organisation and operation of the war was unknown, including the Manhattan project.

More than that, with two leaders of the Big Three changing at such a critical moment in history, the potential for misstep or mistake was obvious even if all acted in good faith with the best of intentions.

The foremost physicist of the era, Albert Einstein, who had written to FDR in 1939 recommending that America develop an atomic bomb after becoming aware that the Nazis had already commenced a project with that aim, though who never contributed to the Manhattan project as he was considered by US Army Intelligence a security risk, and who had retired by the end of WWII, was amongst those who recognised the need for others to step up into leadership roles.

Einstein openly admitted his regret for recommending the US develop nuclear technology with the hindsight that the Nazis failed, and he continually warned against an arms race with the Soviets. Moreover, he argued strongly for a world government, telling the New York Times Magazine:

“Today the atomic bomb has altered profoundly the nature of the world as we know it, and the human race consequently finds itself in a new habitat to which it must adapt its thinking. In the light of new knowledge, a world authority and an eventual world state are not just desirable in the name of brotherhood, they are necessary for survival… Today we must abandon competition and secure cooperation. This must be the central fact in all our considerations of international affairs; otherwise we face certain disaster. Past thinking and methods did not prevent world wars. Future thinking must prevent wars.”

Stalin had long been suspicious of the postwar motivations of his Allied partners and believed the anglophone nations would collaborate against Soviet interests. Churchill’s strong continual desire to wage war against the Axis not from the west, nearest Britain, but up through the Balkans had confirmed the British agenda for Stalin (and for FDR). The anglophone nations permitting entry of fascist Argentina into the United Nations heightened Soviet suspicions and in early 1946 Stalin gave a speech in which he suggested that capitalism and communism were incompatible which the hawkes in British and US foreign policy interpreted as hostile.

The next month ex-Prime Minister Churchill gave a speech to students where he suggested “an ‘iron curtain’ has decended on Europe”, and a few days later President Truman demanded Russia pull out of Iran. In many ways, the west’s paranoia at an iron curtain in Europe became self-fulfilling as the cohesion of the Big Three imploded. That was symbolised by the building of a wall through and around isolated west Berlin, a part of the Federal Republic of Germany commonly known as West Germany, from communist East Germany as a part of the United Soviet States of Russia (USSR).

America continued to develop and test nuclear technology and built up an arsenal of nuclear weapons. Within four years of the end of WWII the Soviets also had nuclear technology, in part aided by information supplied by ‘insiders’ which heightened American paranoia. The momentum towards paranoia and divisiveness escalated and found little resistance from progressive political leaders.

The conservative right-wing of the Republican party had long been suspicious of progressive Democrats since the New Deal era under FDR. The 1946 midterms brought in Republican majorities in both the house and the senate which ignited red-baiting – discrediting a political opponent by accusing them of being an anarchist, communist, Marxist, socialist, etc. – which grew in virulence especially in America where it became known as McCarthyism and culminated in investigations by the House Un-American Activities Committee (HUAC) into ‘leftist activity’ in the movie industry and a similar investigation of the Army by Senator McCarthy’s parliamentary subcommittee.

‘The Red scare’, used especially effectively for political gain by future President Richard Nixon, lasted a decade into the late 50’s and was responsible for extreme paranoia and division in American society with a catch phrase of “Reds under the bed” insinuating that a high proportion of public figures and the general public were communist agents and/or sympathisers plotting or waiting to overthrow American democracy.

The economist John Maynard Keynes reshaped economic thought more than any other in the first half of the 20th century, and his policy prescriptions were critical to remobilising Depression-stricken economies and to post-WWI negotiations and renogotiating onerous reparations on Germany. Even when his prescriptions were not adopted by political decision-makers, more often than not over the course of time his ideas were considered correct or at least preferable.

Even though in very poor health due to his enormous work drive to contribute, Keynes was heavily involved in negotiating the new economic order for post-WWII. The 1944 Bretton Woods Conference, in the main, was a contest between the ideas of Keynes and those of Harry Dexter White, the most senior American official. The geopolitical ascendency of America allowed most of White’s ideas to carry the day and Keynes remained concerned that the power imbalance in the economic system overly favoured America, and he argued that insufficient attention had been paid to the economic development of poor nations which was critical to global stability and prosperity.

Keynes’ brilliance was widely appreciated, but most also found him arrogant. Although warmly welcomed at the opening of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and World Bank, travelling to America against medical advice, he remained deeply concerned and disappointed with the outcomes from the Bretton Woods Conference, and is rumoured to have been working on a paper recommending the British not ratify it when he passed away on the 20th of April, 1946.

The American economist Dexter White went on to be the first US Executive Director of the IMF but in just over a year resigned abruptly and was implicated in Russian espionage including evidence of passing to a Russian spy network highly sensitive information from the State Department written in his own hand.

Hjalmar Schacht, the German economist and central banker who was influential in setting economic policy early in the Nazi period, had been arrested by the Nazis as a suspected co-conspirator in an elaborate attempt to assassinate Hitler in an explosion to stage a coup d’état on the 20th of July 1944. The conspirators aimed to negotiate a cease fire with the Allies, apparently at terms highly favourable to Germany inconsistent with their deteriorating position in the war. Although Schacht earlier enjoyed a good relationship with Hitler, who understood Schacht’s value to war preparations, his arrogant and forthright manner at expressing counter opinions to the way the economy was run for and through war had estranged him from the most extreme Nazis and Hitler had sidelined him in 1943 stripping him of any real authority. He had escaped execution by the Nazis by the end of the war, but within days of German surrender Schacht was arrested to stand trial in the Nuremberg denazification tribunal. He was one of only three to be cleared of charges and released, after cumulatively 4 years of incarceration, but was left broke and his association with Nazism left him diminished as a historical figure then in his 70s. He lived into his 90s in Munich with his much younger wife, Manci, with whom he had two daughters.

Leaving politics after his failed run for the 1940 Democratic nomination, FDR’s former right-hand man, James Farley, led Coca-Cola International for 30 years as Chairman of the board. Through political suasion, no doubt, in WWII Coke was included along with food and ammunition as a “war priority item” shipped to boost morale and energy of fighting men, and after the war the US government paid for Coca-Cola factories to be built and installed throughout Europe as a part of ‘rebuilding’.

While the Soviet Union’s iron curtain finally fell in Europe in 1989 as the economic and societal deficiencies of authoritarian communism became impossible to deny or repress, the capitalist democracies had not resisted the use of war to impose ideology within spheres of influence. Rightwing idealogues always suggested that USSR’s aggressive coercion had to be met with equal opposing force and so that besides the cold war involving nuclear standoff directly with the USSR, including some notable and terrifying close calls, the west was involved in almost continuous actual war against communism since the end of WWII including in Greece, Korea, a 30 year civil war in Vietnam (fought initially by the French and then American and other anglophone nations, and also involving Cambodia and Laos), as well as shorter conflicts in Cuba and Grenada.

A mindset of being in a continuous state of war, apparently the American ‘wholesome’ way of life under siege, resulted in a population that was either desensitised to the atrocities of war, or believed that it will always be necessary to defend the greatest lifestyle that humanity has ever devised, ignorant to the reality that if it were so virtuous and successful it would be sustainable without the bloodshed.

The enduring peace that was fought for in WWII seemed entirely forgotten. The only counter voices were the younger generations, and while they succeeded for a time in bringing an end to the forced conscription of young men from western countries to fight these wars, soon after leaving university they became mesmerised by the riches on offer to the fortunate in the capitalist system and in many ways became the most disappointing of all generations.

While it is true that nobody can ever know the counter factual of fighting against communist forces at that moment in time, predominantly in Asia, whether it resisted a momentum that might have spread like Nazism and imperialist Japan, logic and balance to policy was in short supply. Allies of the powerful American nation offered little in the way of objective counterbalance in their relationship. Instead, a cabal of mostly anglophone nations formed seeking to win favour and economic rewards from supporting America in whatever military conquest its leaders decided was necessary. These nations might even be described as opportunistic appeasers, and certainly the antipodeans have since British colonisaton felt insecure within the Asia Pacific and preferred to believe that they have had a security guarantee from the most powerful anglophone nation of the era – first Britain, then America – even though the guarantee by America has never been made explicit because, ironically, of latent American isolationism. 

By the late 80’s the mindset of the anglophone populations of the world considered the song “Born in the USA” an anthem for Americans, heartily joining in and singing loudly and proudly – especially – the line “sent me off to a foreign land to go and kill a yellow man”, in reference to the American Vietnam war, rather than understanding that it is ballad of regret at the cost of war, and wasted lives and political capital which could instead have been used to do good in the world which ultimately impacted the war veterans in terms of limited economic opportunity.

Moreover, emphasising this contradiction, while the performer, Bruce Springsteen, had the social conscience to write the lyrics, his business acumen and the wealth that flowed from the song limited his desire to underline their real meaning and moral underpinnings to his largely ignorant audiences.

Elliott Roosevelt is a largely forgotten figure in American history, as are essentially all of the descendants of Franklin and Eleanor Roosevelt. In many ways, Eleanor is as widely acclaimed for her contributions to American social culture through her contributions to civil and gender rights as FDR, and to broader humanity in being the first chairperson of the UN Commission on human rights and leading the drafting of the Universal Declaration of Human Rights. When Eleanor died in 1962, however, the influence associated with the Roosevelt name fell precipitously.

Coincidentally, Elliott’s final day in the military was V-J day. After the war he bounced around through jobs, marriages, and cities.

A postwar Senate committee investigated Elliott for his actions and involvement in a procurement contract for reconnaissance aircraft in mid-1943. It was alleged that an official of Hughes Aircraft had corrupted the process by excessively lavishing Elliott and his then girlfriend, Faye Emerson, with entertainment and gifts, even paying for their wedding at the Grand Canyon in December 1944, 18 months after the $39 Million contract had been awarded to Hughes Aircraft. In the two weeks ahead of the final procurement decision Elliott met extensively with FDR and Chief of the Army Airforces, General Arnold, and the latter was said to disagree with the choice.

Elliott represented himself at the 1947 committee investigation and presented evidence that he was on duty overseas on some of the dates when parties that he was alleged to attend took place. Denying the underlying premise of the allegations, Elliott told the committee that “If it is true that for the price of entertainment I made recommendations which would have in any way endangered the lives of the men under me…that fact should be made known to the public.”

Elliott was ultimately exonerated. It was not to be the final time, however, that Elliott’s character would be called into question in political hearings.

Always the favourite child of Eleanor, Elliott was assisted by her financially which may or may not have played a part in the family tensions that grew in latter years with siblings offering alternate views on family relationships to those which Elliott wrote about in books he wrote in the ‘70s.

For a brief period in the late ‘60s Elliott was mayor of Miami. He was linked with organised crime in his business activities and in 1973, after having moved to Portugal, in a Senate subcommittee investigation into corruption was accused by a mob hitman-turned-informant, Louis Mastriana, of attempting to contract him to murder the Bahamian Prime Minister Lynden Pindling in 1968. Mastriana alleged that Elliott, through a “mobster front man”, had paid him a $10,000 downpayment for the contract in retaliation for Pindling not granting a gambling license to an associate. Mastriana had a cheque signed by Elliott which he alleged constituted part-payment. Mastriana did not go ahead with the assassination plot because he believed he would not be able to get off the island without being apprehended. Mastriana also said that in 1970 the US Postal Service had wired him with recording equipment when he discussed with Elliott details of securities transactions.

Again, Elliott appeared in person and denied all allegations. No official actions were taken against him. Living in Portugal where he was breeding Arabian horses, he moved to England when civil war broke out in 1974, before moving back to America.

Elliott married 5 times and had 5 children with three wives, and adopted the three children of Patricia Peabody Whitehead whom he married last in 1980. They were living in Scottsdale, Arizona, in October 1990 as his health failed him. He had said, riley, that his final wish was to outlive his brother James. Elliott Roosevelt was 80 and had heart and liver failure.


Chapter 4 – A Future Of Our Own Making (Next)

Chapter 2 – Rementar (Previous)


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“Reset”: Chapter 2 – Rementar

During a business trip to New York in June 1940, Elliott stopped over in Washington to stay with his parents in the White House. Over breakfast Elliott pressed his Dad about business taxes, but for both men their minds were really on other business.

The American press had speculated all through Spring on whether FDR would run again for the Presidency. Already knowing his father’s intentions to continue to lead America through the turbulent war period, Elliott had been taken by how rapidly events had unfolded in Europe.

September 1939 Germany invaded Poland, prompting Great Britain and France to declare war on Germany. Two weeks later, countering the advance of Germany, the Soviet Union invaded eastern Poland, and Poland was divided when it surrendered. December 1939 the Soviet Union invaded Finland and in March 1940 Finland ceded territory for armistice. Spring 1940 Germany invaded and annexed Denmark and Norway followed by Western Europe and by June controlled Luxembourg, the Netherlands and the northern half of France including the Atlantic coastline.

Elliott discussed with FDR what other young men in America had increasingly wondered that Spring of 1940 – whether he should enlist in the armed forces. He wanted to know whether his father had any thoughts on it in relation to he and his brothers. Giving little away, and in his usual liberal-minded style of parenting and mentorship, his Dad left it entirely a matter for Elliott’s own conscience. Through a Texas summer the gravity of the situation in Europe broke through Elliott’s dissonance, along with that of many other observant Americans, and by August Elliott was at the War Department in Washington discussing with Army Airforce contacts how he could serve. He kept his commission as a Captain in the procurement division, having failed the medical for a pilot, quiet from his family – and especially father – until September when it became official.

Between appointments with Cabinet members Elliott slipped into the office and placed the notification before his Dad. With eyes welling with tears, and a heart swelling with pride, FDR looked upon the first of his sons to volunteer, cleared his choaked throat enough for the five words to audibly clear his lips – “I’m very proud of you.” No mention was made of how previous Roosevelts had served in the Navy.

That night when Elliott came to his Dad’s bedroom to say goodnight he lingered while they discussed how Elliott felt about his commission, and they talked plainly – as plainly as a President could to only those he most trusted from his lonely position, his flesh and blood – of his hopes for the future. They talked broadly about geopolitics, and specifically why the US was still supplying Japan with scrap iron knowing that it equated to Chinese casualties in Manchuria – FDR was concerned that Japan might consider withdrawal of supply a provocation and he accepted that it was essentially an act of appeasement (a vulgar word and concept in those fraught times).

Father and son parted that evening closer than ever before; a deep family bond that FDR would count on, along with his other children, at critical times over the remaining years of his life which were more impactful than almost any other human to walk the Earth in modern times.

Concerned about Germany’s rapid advance westward, and even though he had told his closest political confidant James Farley that he will not contest thereby leaving the field open for Farley’s own political ambitions, aided by political party bosses fearful that no other Democrat could beat the charismatic Republican candidate Wendell Willkie, FDR easily carries the Democratic National Convention in Chicago. Eleanor Roosevelt vouching for his new VP, Wallace from Iowa, after his previous VP Garner ran against him on the basis of FDR’s liberal economic and social policies, was a pivotal moment in the convention.

The Republican nominee Willkie supported intervention in the European crisis, and the rapidly evolving events there in late Spring ahead of the Republican National Convention was a clear catalyst for him defeating highly favoured isolationist candidates by coming from obscurity and claiming the nomination with rapidly growing, widespread public support. So unexpected was the result to Willkie, himself, that he had not decided on a running mate, and allowed that decision to be made by the convention chairman.

The 1940 election was a highly charged affair. Though extremely popular in some circles, in other circles Willkie was seen as a symbol of ‘big business’ which had caused the Great Depression and was often the target of hurled rotten fruit and vegetables when campaigning in working class regions. Willkie at first argued that FDR had left the nation unprepared for war, but then swung 180 degrees suggesting that FDR was secretly planning to take the nation to war after some details of war preparations were publicly released.

In the days ahead of the 1940 US Presidential election, FDR declared on a national radio broadcast that he would “not send any American boys to a foreign war” even though Britain had been engaged in influencing the election for an FDR win as they knew he was sympathetic.

FDR won the 1940 election resoundingly and remains the only US president to serve more than 2 terms.

Elliott was based in Newfoundland in March of 1941 conducting aerial reconnaissance against Nazi submarine operations which aimed to disrupt American supplies to Britain via the North Atlantic as a part of ‘lend-lease agreements”, and he participated in an operation to locate suitable staging points for the delivery of American war materiel to Britain. He had his first experience of war when he spent a few weeks in London towards the end of the Nazi aerial blitz.

In August 1941 Elliott was ordered to fly the general commanding American forces to Argentia. When the bay came into view, they observed it to be full to the brim with warships. FDR and his military chiefs were there to meet the British PM Churchill and military counterparts to negotiate the Atlantic Charter which made explicit America’s support for Britain in the war and laid out the principles by which America and Britain would seek to influence world affairs, critically promoting free global trade and economic co-operation for the advancement of all peoples along with disarmament of all nations once peace had been secured. FDR held all the cards, even though statesman Churchill played his hand to the fullest, conceding that although America was insistent that Britain move beyond its much-advantaged colonialist position in the postwar period, he knew that “without America, the Empire won’t stand”.

Elliott’s brother, James, was also present, and both were on hand for much of the sparring between Churchill and FDR over Britain’s colonial prestige, as well as for private chats with their father, which the official proceedings and outcomes showed clearly favoured FDR’s position which aimed to improve the living conditions for broad humanity.

Talks concluded, Elliott stood by FDR’s side on the ‘Augusta’, his Dad’s arm on his, as the ‘Prince of Wales’ set out to sea for an uncertain, war-wearied Britain. Father and son quickly said their goodbyes and parted, not knowing when or under what circumstances they may next meet.

Back State-side in the Fall of ’41, Elliott found the prevailing mood disconnected as friends cajoled him to lay down his uniform and avail himself of some of the many sweet business opportunities present in a rebounding US economy. That dissonance was disrupted December 7th as Japan attacked the U.S. Naval Base at Pearl Harbour. Summoned back to base, before word of the attack had spread, and following two hours of anxious attempts, Elliott was put through to his Dad by the White House switchboard operator. FDR was buzzing with the focused energy of a high voltage transmission line. He asked his son first how he was and then what had he heard. After Elliott had listed the many rumours he had heard in those few hours, FDR asked that he keep him informed of any developments as he placed down the phone, leaving Elliott puzzled by the hectic and unidirectional flow of information in their chat.

The next day FDR addressed Congress which voted to declare war on Japan and Germany, thereby America entering World War II. Only one person in Congress voted against, Jeanette Rankin who said “As a woman I can’t go to war and I refuse to send anyone else”. Rankin was the first woman to hold office in the US and was a pacifist. After the vote she needed a police escort.

January ’42 and Elliott was summoned by highly secretive orders to First Mapping Group at Bolling Field in Washington. He was to join operation ‘Rusty Project’, conducting aerial intelligence and mapping over northern Africa. Even the code name bellied its inconsequential nature to Elliott. A departing conversation with his Dad, one of their regular (when circumstances permitted) ‘post breakfast, pre work chats’, set Elliott straight on the critical importance of the operation being to secure the Mediterranean supply route. Even then, however, his location in northern Africa was likely more than opportune.

Around this time, unknown to most, FDR authorised the go ahead for the Manhattan project to develop an atomic bomb, responding in handwriting directly on a report from American scientists and asking they keep the only copy on site. America had been conducting background research since the famous physicist Albert Einstein wrote to Roosevelt in 1939 warning that the Nazis were working on developing an atomic bomb.

A year later, and two months into Allied operations in Africa, Elliott was again required to undertake highly secretive orders – this time he had an inkling of the nature of these orders, however, as his mother had mentioned as much when they spent a night together in London a few months earlier. Elliott arrived at the Casablanca Conference in January 1943, a few days ahead of his father’s arrival, and was again to act as an aide in his father’s meeting with Churchill, and, it was hoped, with Stalin.

FDR arrived by Douglas C-54 Skymaster. As they waited together for “the sacred cow” to land, the nickname later given to the Presidential flying monstrosity, Elliott mentioned to Mike Reilly, head of the Secret Service agents in charge of securing the President’s safety, that it was actually the first time his Dad had flown in a plane in over 10 years. Reilly’s body language as he responded revealed the true depths of his anxious deliberations.

“It’s a lot more firsts than that. It’s the first time any President has ever used a plane to travel outside the States. In fact, it’s the first time a President has ever used a plane, inside or outside the country, on official or unofficial business.”

His spirits still aloft by what he had just experienced and seen, for the entire ride in an old French limousine that had been requisitioned to carry them to their compound FDR spoke enthusiastically about the importance of experiencing prevailing flying conditions for himself for the first time since his Naval days. As they continued to reconnect later that evening when Elliott bid his Dad good night in his bedroom, after a small evening gathering with Churchill and his most trusted aides, merging his thoughts from his travel, and especially his observations and learnings on the ground and from the air over Africa, with the saliency of the conference, FDR was concerned for the conditions of colonialised people. It was clear that this element of great contention would continue to feature in the personal and professional exchanges between these great Allied leaders.

In a charged atmosphere where the British had continually argued to relocate to perceived safer ground in Marakesh, and as the two leaders communicated with Stalin via telegram as being a serving military commander he felt unable to be further than a day’s flight from Moscow, Britain and America hashed out a winning strategy for the Allied forces, always with a clear view to the following peace. As he saw it, Elliott gathered that FDR was especially alert to Churchill seeking to influence strategy in a way to maximise British prestige and power in the postwar period, and it was through this lens the FDR considered Churchill’s argument to focus Allied forces through the Balkans to ameliorate Russia’s postwar influence over eastern Europe, over the American preference for northern France.

That disagreement of strategy would play out between the Americans and British for several years, all the while American war production cranked on to provide the Allies an overwhelming advantage. Similarly, the British objected to the proportion of American war goods being allocated to Russia as opposed to Britain in the Allied lend-lease agreements; of course Britain argued for a greater share, but with only one eye on protecting Britain from attacks by the enemy Axis.

Agreeing to a prior movement of Allied forces northward through Sicily prior to the cross-channel invasion, and to increasing actions in the Pacific theatre, the conference concluded but with underlying tension remaining on strategy with a view to postwar power struggles. 

With the conference proceedings finalised, once more father and son bid their goodbyes, but there was just enough time for FDR to underline what was truly on his mind that day in northern Africa:

“I’ve tried to make it clear to Winston – and the others – that while we’re their allies, and in it to victory by their side, they must never get the idea that we’re in it just to help them hang on to the archaic, medieval Empire ideas. I hope they realise they’re not senior partner; that we’re not going to sit by, after we’ve won, and watch their system stultify the growth of every country in Asia and half the countries in Europe to boot… Great Britain signed the Atlantic Charter. I hope they realise the United States government means to make them live up to it.”

A knock at the door notified the President of his appointment with the Commander-in-Chief of the French North African fleet, and again they parted not knowing when they would again meet, but not before Elliott asked his Dad to give a kiss to his Mum and to look after himself, likely in part a recognition that Elliott had become increasingly perceptive of the strain of leadership through a harrowing decade on his father.

After leading the photographic reconnaissance for operation Huskey, the Allied invasion of Sicily, and with Allied troops in firm control now in Sicily, Elliott was summoned back for a role in the Pentagon in July 1943. Back home in America was too distant from the action for Elliott, but it meant that he was able to spend valuable time with his parents, especially his Dad who had aged even more obviously over the intervening 6 months.

In between, however, FDR had met with Churchill in Quebec, Canada, where the Allies finally agreed on the cross-channel invasion, even though Churchill insisted it be an agreement ‘in principle’ for continued ‘wiggle-room’.

FDR was calm and confident about military operations, and Elliott frequently dropped in to talk with his Dad, usually after his breakfast at around 9 am, or just before turning in at around 11pm.  In one of those evening chats FDR dared to draw an optimistic timeline for the conclusion of hostilities; with the Russian Red army “plowing through the centre” he felt the European theatre could be won by the end of 1944, and the Japanese defeated in the Pacific by late 1945 or early 1946 at the latest. FDR also mentioned that he was hopeful of soon meeting up with Churchill and Stalin both.

Then, around a week later when father and son met again in FDR’s study on the second floor of the White House nearing midnight, his Dad furnished Elliott another insight into the depths of his deliberations which were increasingly concerned with maintaining the postwar peace:

“War is too political a thing. Depending on how desperate are a country’s straits, she is likely to wage war only in such a way as will benefit her politically in the long run, rather than fighting to end the war as swiftly as possible… The United States will have to lead… and use good offices always to conciliate, help to solve differences which will arise between the others – between Russia and England, in Europe; between the British Empire and China and between China and Russia, in the Far East. We will be able to do that because we’re big, and we’re strong, and we’re self-sufficient. Britain is on the decline, China – still in the eighteenth century. Russia – still suspicious of us, and making us suspicious of her. America is the only great power that can make peace in the world stick.”

Having already been given the tipoff by his Dad that he would likely be seeing him again soon, saying goodbye to family was all the easier this time when in September Elliott was ordered to return to his outfit as they moved headquarters from La Marsa in Tunisia up to San Severo just south of the Molise-Puglia border in southern Italy.

Sure enough, mid-September ’43 and Elliott flew to Oran in Algeria, but this was again a slightly larger family reunion with his brother Franklin Jr also given leave to attend his father. FDR arrived on the new battleship “Iowa” appearing in slightly better health than Elliott had feared he might perceive. After a day or two in Tunisia, including FDR’s inspection of Elliott’s units in La Marsa, Franklin Jr bid his farewell to his father and brother and returned to his destroyer, to his father’s displeasure, while FDR flew on to Cairo, a day earlier than Elliott who flew in General Eisenhower’s  C-54 along with other staff officers including Elliott’s brother-in-law John Boettiger.

The agenda for discussions to be spread between Cairo and Teheran, involving the four most important strategic Allied nations in America, Britain, Russia and China, was almost entirely centred upon planning for the end of the war and organising for enduring postwar peace.

Arriving at Ambassador Kirk’s villa in Cairo, Elliott immediately went to check on his father who still, at 10.30am, was in bed enjoying a breakfast. FDR shared with his son his first impressions of Generalissimo and his wife Madam Chiang whom he had dined with that previous evening, unearthing more relevant information than in four hours of meetings of the Combined Chiefs. Chiang’s troops were not fighting against the Japanese; instead “thousands and thousands of his best men [were] up in the northwest – up on the borders of Red China.”

Then his Dad said something even more surprising. “Believe it or not, Elliott, the British are raising questions and doubts again about the western front… Winston keeps making his doubts clear to everybody… It’s still the idea of an attack through the Balkans, a common front with the Russians”.

Later that morning Elliott was enjoying the sun on the roof of the villa, looking over the pyramids, when Admiral McIntire – his Dad’s physician – interrupted his reflections on time and eternity to voice his concerns over the potential health consequences of FDR flying at high altitude to get to Teheran for the second leg of meetings, this time with Uncle Joe (Stalin). He wanted Elliott’s support in encouraging the President to undertake that part of the journey by train.

That afternoon, while greeting the many attending brief protocol visits with the President, Elliott managed a few quick words with his father’s political right hand man, Harry Hopkins, foreign policy advisor and liaison to Allied leaders, which was always good for a different perspective. He assured Elliott that his father was still the dominant voice, but highlighted the subtleties around the meeting taking place on British Empire soil in Egypt and in immediate proximity to the oil rich Middle East on which American foreign policy greatly lagged the British.

Assuredly Harry said, “He’s taking his time, a little bit. He’s still keeping his ears and his pores open. He’s learning. But he’s still boss.”

The next day was Thanksgiving and a banquet was held in the villa with the Chiangs in attendance along with Churchill and his daughter Sarah, and a swag of military brass. The mood was warm as FDR had been discussing development of China and furthering internal unity, while Allied negotiations progressed towards agreement on the western attack while the Soviet States “swept all before them”.

Over a late night cigarette with his Dad in his bedroom, Elliott learned that the British were also against the American plan to island hope to defeat Japan in the Pacific. The British favoured landings on the Malaysian Peninsula and a drive northward to push Japan out of China. The Americans were well aware that Chinese communist guerillas were actively engaging the Japanese along the coast of China but were withholding air-maps from the British at the request of the Chinese who were concerned that Britain would use the information gathered for commercial purposes postwar.

“Matter of fact, I was talking to Chiang about that at dinner, a few days ago. You see, he wants very badly to get our support against British moving into Hong Kong and Shanghai and Canton with the same old extra-territorial rights they enjoyed before the war… I’d told him that [China] was hardly the modern democracy it should be.”

FDR continued, “I was especially happy to hear the Generalissimo agree to invite the Communists in as part of the national Government prior to elections. Actually, as far as he’s concerned, the only earnest of our good faith that he expects is that when Japan is on her knees we make sure that no British warships come into Chinese ports. Only American warships. And I’ve given him my personal promise that that’s what will happen.”

When Elliott suggested that Churchill might have other ideas, his Dad responded forthrightly:

“There can’t be much argument, inasmuch as it’s ninety-nine percent American materiel and American men bringing about the defeat of Japan. American foreign policy after the war must be along the lines of bringing about a realisation on the part of the British and the French and the Dutch that the way we have run the Philippines is the only way they can run their colonies”.

The next day involved the sum up and finalization of the official communique, and FDR retired early for his flight on to Teheran as Mike Reilly and Major Otis Bryan had flown reconnaissance and found that the pass could be made in a smaller plane without going above 7,000 feet thereby assuring Admiral McIntire.

Elliott arrived with two other US military officials in the capital of Iran a few days later, a little later than had been expected due to an itinerary change decided by General Eisenhower, prompting fatherly concern when they greeted each other.

“Haven’t you got enough on your mind, Pop, what with meeting Stalin and all, without worrying about whether my plane is late or not?”.

FDR was on the point of sending out search planes, and had been having dreadful thoughts of Elliott’s plane being forced down amongst the “rough and tough” nomads of Saudi Arabia.

“I’m sorry, Pop. If [only] we’d been able to radio you…” said Elliott as they reconnected in the sitting room of his suite, in the main building of the Russian Embassy which Stalin had vacated to accommodate the American President, chosen as the site of discussion due to security concerns of travelling between the distant American Embassy. On the other hand, the British Embassy was on the other side of the street from the Russian.

His Dad was brimming with confidence having met ‘Uncle Joe’ for the first time in person and eager to fill his son in on his impressions.

“When I came over here yesterday he came up to say hello. Yesterday afternoon, it was… Right on this couch, Elliott. The Marshal [another nickname for Stalin] sat right where you’re sitting… Just me and Uncle Joe, and his interpreter, of course, Pavlov.”

FDR and Stalin just had a pleasant and polite introductory chat – no business – just to establish a personal report, and to put the discussions, at least between America and Russia, on a “non protocol basis of friendship and warm alliance”.

Elliott could see that his Dad had been impressed by Stalin, and was tickled by Churchill’s switching of civilian clothes (as he had warn in all previous conferences and discussions, pin-stripe suites or summer whites) for his high-ranking RAF officer uniforms to ‘face-off’ with the Marshal’s uniform for a dinner FDR had hosted the previous evening. Stalin was the only currently serving military officer of the three leaders and the location of Tehran was chosen on the basis that it was within a day flight of Moscow given his active service.

After lunch Elliott joined his father in a meeting with Stalin and his interpreter for a meeting where Stalin greeted the US President’s son warmly, and both leaders were at ease in each other’s company. Even though he knew Stalin was short, Elliott was surprised by his stature in person, and was impressed by his dynamic yet soft spoken, intellectually determined manner. Most of the 45mins was devoted to personal relationship development, but they briefly discussed Chinese concerns that the Chiangs had broached in Cairo, and he seemed to agree with the direction of those talks as well as agreeing to respect China’s sovereignty especially at the Manchurian frontier.

From this meeting the four men went directly into the boardroom where Prime Minister Churchill and his party had arranged a small ceremony to award Stalin on behalf of the people of Stalingrad with a British-made sword commissioned by King George VI.

It was a ceremony of deep conviction as all of the men present were deeply aware of its significance. Stalin expressed his deep appreciation to the King and walked around the table to show the sword of honour to FDR who murmured, “Truly they had hearts of steel”. It was a moment of peak unity as the leaders then went to the portico to pose for official photographs to be taken. 

Elliott was asleep in his father’s suite when discussions finally broke and FDR came in tired and of want of a rest, himself. That was not possible, however, since that evening Stalin hosted a dinner for Allied leaders and their highest officials present.

Lying on his bed for a brief rest, chatting about the days negotiations while Elliott fixed him an ‘old-fashioned’ cocktail – weak since they had been advised that Russian dinners involved much drinking – FDR revealed that still Churchill was pushing for an operation up through the Balkans in addition to the western invasion. General George Marshall had led the arguments for the past several years pushing back against the British plan which everyone knew, including Stalin, risked prolonging the war in favour of diminishing Russian influence in eastern Europe and promoting British influence there. FDR expressed that Americans owed Marshall a great gratitude for doggedly countering arguing for a single western invasion which would bring WWII to the most rapid conclusion possible and thus save countless American and Allied lives, not to mention provide greatest immediate security to Britain.

“Whenever the P.M. [Churchill] argued for invasion through the Balkans, it was quite obvious to everyone in the room what he really meant. That he was above all else anxious to knife up into central Europe, in order to keep the Red Army out of Austria and Rumania, even Hungary, if possible. Stalin knew it, I knew it, everybody knew it…” FDR explained.

When Elliott questioned whether Churchill might actually have a point, his Dad responded:

“Elliott, our chiefs of staff are convinced of one thing. The way to kill the most Germans, with the least loss of American soldiers, is to mount one great big invasion and then slam ‘em with everything we’ve got… It’s the quickest way to win the war. That’s all. Trouble is, the P.M. is thinking too much of the postwar, and where England will be. He’s scared of letting the Russians get too strong. Maybe the Russians will get strong in Europe. Whether that’s bad depends on a whole lot of factors. The one thing I’m sure of is this: if the way to save American lives, the way to win as short a war as possible, is from the west and from the west alone, without wasting landing-craft and men and materiel in the Balkans mountains, and our chiefs are convinced it is, then that’s that!”

The stirring unity from the afternoon’s ceremony was threatened that very evening, however, fueled by much too much alcohol as was the custom of Russian-hosted dinners. Elliott was not originally invited but Stalin personally brought him to the table when he realised the oversight. The tradition followed was that even to make idle conversation the speaker would stand and propose a toast to which everyone would drink, each man supplied with unlimited of his favoured drink – Churchill had his brandy, FDR was taken with the ‘Champagne’ from Stalin’s home region of Georgia, and Stalin himself drank his own special Vodka which he offered to Elliott who attested it to being 100 proof or near to it!

As the dinner progressed it became a test of who could hold their liquor as the toasts became increasingly prickly, especially between the Soviets and British. Unsurprisingly, the consumption of copious amounts of alcohol amongst a group of men bonded by circumstance but with broad cultural and experiential histories was bound to be fraught – it would be at any social gathering of much less significance, let alone the leaders that humanity was dependent on to erase Nazism.

With all a little light-headed, one Russian cried “I wish to propose a toast to your future deliveries of Lend-Lease material which I am sure will arrive on time in the future, and will not be arriving late, as have shipments to date!”. Everyone rose and emptied their glasses, the American contingent taking it as a friendly poke in the spirit of the evening.

After many more toasts a diplomatic incidence was only narrowly averted between the British and Russians, however, when Stalin proposed a salute to the swiftest possible justice for all Germany’s war criminals – justice before a firing squad, and to drink to the unity of the Allies in dispatching all of them as fast as they are caught, all 50,000 of them!

Churchill rose to his feet immediately, face and neck red, earlier from the liquor, then from coursing blood pressure, affirming that such an attitude was contrary to the British sense of justice and that the British people would never stand for mass murder.

This did highlight a definite difference of attitude between the dictator and the British, which was to become increasingly apparent later, but on this evening ‘Uncle Joe’ Stalin was delighting in a certain level of teasing, even if it was ordinarily uncouth in sobre company. Always the arbiter, but much too far to Stalin’s favour for Churchill’s comfort, FDR suggested the number be limited to 49,500 which encouraged ‘Uncle Joe’ to go around the table asking for each attendee’s own number; the British circumspect, the Americans more obliging of their guests, until it was Elliott’s turn.

Rising to his feet, to an extent following his father’s earlier lead, Elliott was positive about the prospects of rapid advancement by Allied troops from the west, and by the Soviets from the east, and suggested that perhaps many more hundreds of thousands of Nazis would be taken as well and together the Russian, American and British soldiers would (ambiguously) “take care of them”.

Stalin beamed with his response, but before Elliott’s trousers had touched his seat Churchill was back on his feet waving his finger in his direction insinuating an intention to damage Allied relations, and then arguing with Stalin over the top of Elliott’s head while he sat in stunned fear of what he may have set off.

With the final course finished, smarter heads realised the counterproductivity inherent in staying together in such a state of insobriety and the party soon dispersed, Elliott sheepishly following his father into his bedroom. His Dad found the whole thing hilarious and told him not to worry, that “Winston will have forgotten the whole thing when he wakes ups.”

The next morning FDR met with the Shah of Persia, Mohammed Reza Pahlevi and his Prime Minister and two other ministers. FDR always interested in learning of plans leaders had to allow their nations, and thus peoples, to develop and listened intently to concerns about the grip Britain had on Iran’s natural resources endowment, especially its oil. That he was impressed by what he had heard is evidenced by the fact that immediately on their departure FDR said:

“I want you to do something for me, Elliott. Go find Pat Hurley and tell him to get to work drawing up a draft memorandum guaranteeing Iran’s independence and self-determination of her economic interests”. This memorandum was agreed and signed by the three Allied leaders the following day.

Discussions the following day progressed well, and that evening FDR was pleased to confide in his son the major achievement of the conference.

“For the fourth time”, as his Dad described it to Elliott in his bedroom during a brief respite before a large function to celebrate Churchill’s birthday the next evening, the western invasion was agreed. Even the invasion date was agreed. All that was left to agree was the command, but Churchill and FDR were to hash that out when they returned to Cairo.

“We agreed, too, that there should be a thrust up from the Mediterranean.” FDR informed Elliott.

“Through the Balkans after all?”, Elliott noticing the incredulity in his response.

“No. Through southern France. Everything will be timed simultaneously – from the west, from the south, and the Russians from the east. I still say the end of the 1944 will see the end of the war in Europe. Nobody can see how – with a really concerted drive from all sides – the Nazis can hold out much over nine months after we hit ‘em”.

That evening around 30 political and military leaders of the Allies gathered to celebrate the great British war Prime Minister’s birthday. The importance of family was underlined by the fact that Churchill was joined by two of his five children, his son Randolph and daughter Sarah. FDR of course had Elliott with him and his son-in-law Peter Boettiger.

The social format for the evening followed the Russian precedent and again Elliott lost count of the number of toasts, thus the number of drinks he consumed, through the evening. The evening passed without major incident, though a British General suggesting, rather insensitively and imprudently, that their people had suffered more than any other during the war, Stalin was drawn to follow shortly with a comment undoubtedly intended to be pesky to the British:

“I want to tell you, from the Soviet point of view, what the President and the United States have done to win the war. The most important things in this war are machines. The United States has proven that it can turn out from eight to ten thousand airplanes a month. England turns out three thousand a month, principally heavy bombers. The United States, therefore, is a country of machines. Without the use of those machines, through Lend-Lease, we would lose this war.”

FDR well understood the extreme sacrifices the Soviets were making to win the war.

Elliott left that next day – to close down their rear headquarters in La Marsa in their shift northward to Italy – ahead of the allied leaders holding 10 exhaustive hours of discussion from noon so that FDR’s departure could be brought forward due to forecasts for inclement weather in Cairo a few days ahead.

As Elliott again said his goodbyes he was concerned about his Dad’s health through the intense schedule – already FDR had been overseas for 21 days.

“I don’t know exactly when I’ll be able to see you in Cairo, Pop, or even if I will”

“Try to get there, if only for a day or so”, his Dad implored of Elliott.

Entering the Kirk villa again in Cairo a few days later, Elliott was pleased to find his Dad in bed engaging in a little of one of his favourite distractions – reading detective ‘whodunit’ books. He was resting ahead of another evening engagement. The previous night FDR had hosted the Turkish President Ionu who had travelled there in an American plane with John Boettiger, after FDR’s son-in-law managed to beat the British emissary to the job. Nobody other than FDR and Churchill seemed to understand the import of that diplomatic contest.

The British and Americans had been disagreeing over the wisdom of accepting Turkey’s offer to enter the war – dependent on receiving significant sums of war materiel – but, again, it was related to the argument for a thrust upward through the Balkans and Churchill’s eye on postwar European politics. Over these days it was definitively decided that Turkey would not enter the war and a communique was carefully crafted to allow them to save face.

FDR had Elliott read the official communique from the Teheran conference and was especially keen to point out to his son that most of the wording was his. Elliott enquired why they chose to say that war would be banished for “many generations” rather than “forever”.

It was important to not be seen to overpromise to a global population that has heard it all before, his Dad asserted.

“We agreed at Teheran that our three countries, the three strongest countries in the world, could be intelligent enough about future disagreements, could so unify our foreign policies as to ensure that there would be no war ‘for many generations.’ That’s what we talked about, from noon until ten o’clock – how to unify our policies, how to mesh our individual nations’ interests in the interests of a general security for the whole world.”

Stalin’s agreement for the Soviets to declare war on Japan and fight in the Far East had also been secured, in part to settle the western invasion strategy for a final time, which was set down for 1st of May, within 6 months of Hitler’s final defeat which would allow sufficient time for logistics to be completed.

‘Uncle Joe’ and the US President also took the opportunity to chat alone, just the two of them, especially about China after the war without Churchill nearby. Stalin agreed, again, to leave Manchuria to the Chinese and to support Chiang, as well as support the American agreement with the Chinese in relation to British non-involvement in China. The always dependable Pat Hurley went to Moscow to continue those talks.

His glowing views on Hurley led FDR to rehash his contrasting view of the many ‘striped-pants boys’ in the State Department which disturbed him fully from his rest:

“You know, any number of times the men in the State Department have tried to conceal messages to me, delay them, hold them up somehow, just because some of these career diplomats aren’t in accord with what they know I think. They should be working for Winston. As a matter of fact, a lot of the time, they are. Stop to think of ‘em: any number of ‘em are convinced that the way for America to conduct foreign policy is to find out what the British are doing, and then copy that.”

Blaming his son for disturbing his rest, with jovial sarcasm, FDR began to dress for the evening which Elliott informed his Dad he would not attend as he had not slept the previous evening.

Hopefully, “But you’ll be around tomorrow?”, and Elliott was able to assure his Dad that he did not need to leave until the late afternoon.

In the morning father and son picked up where they last left off. Elliott mentioned how well his Dad had gotten on with Stalin.

The prescience of FDR’s response was patent:

“The biggest thing was in making clear to Stalin that the United States and Great Britain were not allied in one common bloc against the Soviet Union. I think we’ve got rid of that idea, once and for all. I hope so. The Thing that could upset the apple-cart, after the war, is if the world is divided again, Russia against England and us. That’s our big job now, and it’ll be our big job tomorrow, too: making sure that we continue to act as a referee, as intermediary between Russia and England.”

In that moment it was clear to Elliott, as it must have been for some time to his Dad, that America had assumed leadership of the world – of and for humanity – and Elliott was sure that his “father was convinced it would work out smoothly for all parties concerned, not the least of which were the small nations of the world”.

The next day, as he said a quick goodbye before flying on to Tunis ahead of his Dad, when Elliott mentioned that he would be seeing Ike Eisenhower later that day, FDR mentioned that Churchill had gotten his way and Ike would lead operation Overlord, the western invasion. Churchill’s way was not so much a positive in support of Eisenhower but a negative against General George Marshall who had done his job so well in refuting the British demands for an upward thrust through the Balkans that Churchill’s pettiness precluded him from agreeing to the brilliant Marshall leading Overlord. Elliott acknowledged to his Dad that he must not share this news with Ike as it was not yet 100% definite, but by the time they met later in the day in Tunis it had been properly agreed if not yet announced to either man.

Elliott was concerned for his Dad’s health which was showing, to him at least, the impact of being away for a month undertaking challenging negotiations to hold together a coalition of allies with starkly varying viewpoints especially on the postwar period. The next day FDR flew to Malta and then Sicily and back to Tunis where Elliott again greeted him along with senior military.

Though tired, his Dad was in a reflective mood showing his immense satisfaction with all that had been achieved when they debriefed before FDR slept:

“The United Nations… People at home, congressmen, editorial writers, talk about the United Nations as something which exists only on account of war. The tendency is to snipe at it by saying that only because we are forced into unity by war are we unified. But war isn’t the real force to unity. Peace is the real force. After the war – then is when I’m going to be able to make sure the United Nations are really the United Nations!”

The next morning FDR flew to Dakar to board the Iowa to return home while Elliott flow north to San Severo for a “cold and muddy” Christmas.

Early January 1944 Elliott was in England reorganising American reconnaissance air forces in preparation for the western invasion. Churchill attempted one final time to subvert that plan of two years in the making by personally insisting on launching a beachhead in Anzio on the 22nd of January, with the stated intention of liberating Rome, but its prime significance to Churchill was to force the invasion of Europe via the south rather than the west. Fighting against German forces bogged down with little Allied advancement, and the D-Day invasion forces landed in Normandy on the 6th of May 1944.

As Winter gave way to Spring Elliott’s outfit worked alongside the British RAF developing reconnaissance data from the air that he felt was extremely productive and was in part responsible for the low level of losses ultimately experienced in the D Day landings. He also had the opportunity to spend time in Moscow organizing ‘shuttle-bombing’ with Russian counterparts. Through Summer and Autumn Elliott had become exhausted with continual aerial reconnaissance work over France and Germany in support of the advancing Allied troops and was relieved to be called back to America for an assignment in the Pentagon, close to family.

Between everything else, FDR campaigned for his re-election through the Summer and Fall of 1944, doing so vigorously to dispel rumours of ill-health. In the circumstances, the fact that it would be his fourth term was an insignificant consideration and he easily won the election to claim an unprecedented fourth term as US President.

Even though he had been forewarned by his sister Anna, and it had been the subject of much press speculation, Elliott was shocked to see just how fatigued and thin his Dad appeared when they met for the first time in a year. They discussed the possibility to get away to Warm Springs for some rejuvenation and were looking forward to Christmas at Hyde Park.

FDR set aside his schedule for that evening to catch up with his returning son, suggesting that Elliott catch up beforehand by reading the newspapers. That evening Elliott did not remind his Dad of his prediction of a 1944 conclusion to the European war.

“I see what you mean, Pop. They’re all talking about Europe, after the war. Talking about how there’s not enough Big Three (America, Britain and Soviet) unity.”

“I guess it’s a question of their wanting something to be critical about. And unfortunately (sarcasm) the war is being won,” was how his Dad responded.

FDR said that there was another meeting of the Big Three in the planning, with Stalin insisting it be in Russia, and given the advances the Red Army was making, the other two allies felt they needed to oblige.

But mostly it was Elliott required to do the talking that evening, father keeping son in his bedroom until the late hours firing one question after another. Likely the caring son was happy to do the cognitive work of formulating detailed responses rather than expecting reciprocity from a weary Dad who had been living a remarkable life.

“Before and after” photographs of American Presidents – the ones who truly commit themselves to working towards the greater good – are always dramatic in the degree to which they age prematurely from the rigors of the role. FDR was President through some of the most challenging times in US and modern global history, serving for over 3 terms (when no other had or has ever been President for more than 2), and on top of all that he lived much of his adult life in pain and discomfort after his battle with infantile paralysis (polio virus) left him unable to walk, making his achievements all the more astonishing and emphasising his truly remarkable humanity.

A few days later Elliott headed to the White House early to catch up with his Dad before he started his official schedule and managed to catch him still in bed but reading the morning papers. He was contemptuous at what he had been reading:

“Greece. British troops. Fighting against guerillas who fought the Nazis for the last 4 years… How the British can dare such a thing! The lengths to which they will go to hang on to the past!”

Recognising the futility in his anger, he moved onto a subject somewhat related but more positive in prospect telling Elliott of Queen Wilhelmina of the Netherlands’ visit to the White House some months earlier, and how she had promised that after the war their Government would grant the people of the Dutch East Indies first dominion status meaning the right of self-rule and equality.

“Just as we are granting it in the Philippines,” his Dad said. “The point is we are going to be able to bring pressure on the British to fall in line with our thinking, in relation to the whole colonial question. It’s all tied up in the one package: the Dutch East Indies, French Indo-China, India, British extraterritorial rights in China… We’re going to be able to make this the twentieth century after all, you watch and see!”

A few days later Elliott left Washing bound for Arizona, and on the 3rd of December 1944 Elliott married for the third time, to actress Faye Emerson.

Although he expected to be called back to duty in Europe, Elliott was instead granted furlough and was able to spend Christmas with family which was to be his last with his Dad, and described it as a “time of great peace and contentment, [where] the world was for a brief moment shut out, and we were once more one family together, the more closely knit – as Father had pointed out, a year ago in Cairo, at Thanksgiving – because we are a big family.”

Elliott gave an insight into that family scene and the warm reverence with which his Dad was held central by them all:

“On Christmas Eve Father took his accustomed rocker, to one side of the fireplace, and opened the familiar book, while we all found places around him. My place was prone on the floor, by the gate. The fire crackled pleasingly; Father’s voice, going over the well-remembered ‘Christmas Carol’, rose and fell rhythmically; my thoughts wandered, aimless, and presently ceased altogether. Then, Jab!, in my ribs came Faye’s elbow, and her fierce whisper in my ear [telling me that I had been snoring]”

After further disruptions from grandchildren FDR closed the book laughing and saying “there’s too much competition in this family for reading aloud”.

Faye then said that by next year it will be a peacetime Christmas, to which Elliott’s Mum, Eleanor, responded:

“Next year we’ll all be home again”.

As they cleaned up the wrapping paper, FDR went to his stamp album to carefully store a much-treasured gift, and Elliott admiringly joked about one day his Dad being able place in there a United Nations stamp.

“Don’t think I won’t, Elliott. And sooner than you think, too.”

And FDR suggested, half-jokingly, that he should have it placed on the agenda for the next meeting of the Big Three scheduled for next month, to which Elliott asked if he might be able to join his Dad again as his aide.

“Depends on your Commanders, Elliott. I hope it will work out.”

“So do I”.

“But even if it shouldn’t, I’ll be seeing you soon again, anyway. I’m seriously thinking of a trip to England, in the late spring or early summer. I think that might well be the best way to sell the British people and the British Parliament on the need for Britain to put its hopes for the future in the United Nations – all the United Nations – and not just in the British Empire and the British ability to get other countries to combine in some sort of bloc against the Soviet Union.”

When Elliott asked whether he seriously thought that was a danger, FDR continued:

“It’s what we’ve got to expect. It’s what we’ve got to plan now to contend against”, and with that Eleanor broke up the much too serious for Christmas discussion between father and son with:

“We agreed, no talk of business today”.

Elliott never did see his Dad again.

FDR’s 4th Inauguration was intentionally a subdued affair reflecting the tenor of the times. Even FDR’s speech was short, likely a deliberate ploy to emphasise the powerful richness and sincerity that lifted from each sentence, as exemplified by this passage:

“We have learned that we cannot live alone, at peace; that our own well-being is dependent on the well-being of other nations far away. We have learned that we must live as men, not as ostriches, nor as dogs in the manger. We have learned to be citizens of the world, members of the human community.”

Elliott was promoted to Brigadier General in early 1945, at the recommendation of his senior officers and approved by Generals Spaatz and Eisenhower, but FDR had the power of veto and the political situation – especially the suggestions of nepotism from political combatants and right-wing press that naturally come with a family that had occupied the seat of power for such a prolonged period – meant that his Dad deliberated longer than usual, ultimately signing because he was convinced that his son was deserving.

The consequence, however, was that FDR felt that he would be pushing it too far by having Elliott join him again as his aide for the final wartime meeting of the Big Three held at Yalta on the Crimean peninsula in Soviet territory in February 1945. However, Elliott’s sister Anna attended in that capacity, and through discussions with her and with senior US military officials prior and after the conference, he was able to form an opinion that FDR continued to carry sway as the dominant figure in the alliance, made all the more critical given his increasing need to act as mediator and arbiter between the British and Soviets.

The Yalta conference focused almost entirely on the structure of the peace, the organisation of the United Nations, and the need to ameliorate in Europe and Asia the potential for a political vacuum in the immediate postwar period.

The previous Fall the Dumbarton Oaks Conference was held in Washington to develop the framework for a general international organisation led by the “Four Policemen”, a council proposed by FDR as guarantor of world piece and including America, Britain, USSR and China, which would soon become the United Nations. The month before that the Bretton Woods conference was held with 730 delegates from all 44 Allied nations to decide the order of international economic affairs which was critical since so much of the social upheaval and tension that allowed for the rise of Nazism in Europe, as well as disadvantage throughout the world during the Great Depression, was caused by ‘beggar thy neighbour’ international financial decisions.

Prior to leaving to meet FDR, Harry Hopkins met with Elliott over dinner and Elliott learned that, of course, Churchill could not help but devise another plan to justify sending British-controlled troops into the Balkans to join with the Soviets, the weakness to the plan being that it would require diversion of landing-craft that were desperately required in the Pacific, so it never had a chance of getting past the American Joint Chiefs. Harry also stressed that his Dad was insistent that self-interested parties not be allowed to control postwar Germany with an aim to building up Germany’s cartels again.

Given the breadth and finality of decisions being made, more advisers were present in Yalta than in any other of the previous conferences. At the preliminary military staff conferences held in Malta in the days immediately prior, the only real point of contention was to what degree allied resourcing should swing from the European theatre to the Pacific, and that was more between the arms of military (Navy and Army). Over that week in Yalta, as British and American military leaders speculated that Germany might collapse at any moment in the face, especially, of the rapidly advancing Red Army on the east, the leaders of the Big Three agreed on the postwar arrangements including: occupation and control of Germany (FDR argued for integrated not zonal control to create more active collaboration at all levels between the Allies, but Britain and the Soviets disagreed and their position was adopted), reparations by Germany, and they reaffirmed the principles of the Atlantic Charter and agreed on the holding of a United Nations Conference to be held in two months at San Francisco completing the groundwork done at Dumbarton Oaks (after agreeing on the structure of voting and veto powers).

More than ever the American President was at the centre of leadership but with strong personal connections with both Churchill and Stalin. No doubt FDR was looking forward to working closely with Allied leaders and believed that more meetings of the Big Three would be required. However, of the two other leaders he knew it was only Stalin that he was certain to be meeting with through the remainder of his 4th term since he had long before mentioned to Elliott his, ultimately correct, view that Churchill was unlikely to retain his station in the peace (and a British general election was to occur within two months of the conclusion of the war).

There were enduring tensions, to be sure, between and even within delegations – FDR not entirely trusting of all of his advisers, for example – but the unity of the Big Three had been fortified through a war that was aimed at yielding an enduring peace.

All three leaders were acutely aware of the importance of dialogue and co-operation in the postwar period to maintaining that peace, and before the Yalta conference ended Stalin repeated his assurance to FDR that the Soviets would declare war against Japan following V-E day, only revising his timeframe down to 3 months from 6 months in a show of strengthening support.

As the American contingent left Yalta they were gifted generously by the Soviets with Russian Vodka and wines, including the Georgian ‘Champagne’ which FDR had been especially impressed by, as well as caviar and fruit in spontaneous act of connection and warmth prior to the long trip back for most to the States.

After travelling to Egypt to board the US heavy cruiser ‘Quincy’, FDR met several important African and Middle East leaders. Most significantly he met with the King Ibn Saud of Saudi Arabia to discuss the possibility of a settlement in Palestine of homeless European Jews, and by all accounts found the King to be uncompromising. Then after the ‘Quincy’ passed through the Suez Canal, during a short stop at Algiers, FDR was informed that de Gaulle considered the timing and location for meeting inconvenient, he shrugged his shoulders and they departed for America.

Although optimistic and proud of the outcomes achieved, FDR was exhausted and gaunt as he left the Mediterranean behind, and the strain of the period was both underscored and exacerbated by the death of Pa Watson on that return trip, one of FDR’s oldest and closest friends.

On the evening of the 12th of April 1945, the mood in England lifting as victory drew nearer and nearer, Elliott attended a dinner party hosted by Lady Sylvia Ashley, future wife of Clark Gable, at a London restaurant. Soon after he arrived at 8.30pm Lady Ashley leant down to whisper to Elliott that a military officer and car were waiting in the carpark to rush him back to his base at Mount Farm.

The military officer said that his father had experienced a health episode, and that there was an urgent cablegram from his Mum waiting for him back at the base. Elliott knew that his Dad had been having heart issues for around a year and was consulting a cardiologist, Dr. Howard Bruenn, so he felt numb and disconnected as the London lights whizzed by and his gaze became hypnotically disengaged as he stared at the headrest of the front seat ….

Sooner than expected Elliott arrives at his base. The cablegram from his Mum, Eleanor, informs him that his father was at Warm Springs when he experienced discomfort in his chest and was rushed to hospital. She undertakes to call him by midnight London time with an update.

Elliott’s ruminating 3 hour wait, while ordering the memories of the many close times he had shared with his Dad through the war period, comes to a relieving end when he hears his Mum’s calm voice telling him that his father is doing well, that it had been just a minor health scare, with the election campaign and many war conferences having taken a toll on him. With genuine bedrest of not less than a week, Dr. Bruenn believes he will be able to resume his full and unrelenting work schedule.

The relief felt by Elliott was one of a son who knew that he had more work to do, more things to be cleared up and things said, to have a clear conscience. Before the war he had fought often with his Dad about political beliefs, often supporting Republicans’ viewpoints, and though his Dad had risked political capital for Elliott’s most recent promotion to Brigadier General, his Dad knew there were rumours of Elliott’s indiscretions in an airplane procurement contract and was displeased by his son’s womanising.

It is an odd but oft repeated feature of human psychology how the traits that parents pass on to their children are the greatest points of friction, as if the reflection of those flaws from their offspring are too blindingly stark to bare even though – indeed perhaps, because – they were innately acquired, genetically and/or learned, from themselves.

FDR is back on the job only a matter of weeks ahead of V-E day when Germany unconditionally surrenders on 8 May. On the 29th of April Mussolini and his mistress, Clara Petacci, are killed by Italian partisans and strung up by their heels for a while before being left in the gutter. The next day, as Russian troops close in on his compound, Hitler commits suicide after marrying his longtime partner, Eva Braun, who commits suicide beside him.

FDR then has the agonising decision no decent person, of faith in God, spirituality, or their fellow mankind, would wish to have to make – the decision to kill and maim millions of fellow human beings in an instant with the detonation of a weapon of mass destruction in the hope that it will save even more people from loss. What was developed as a tool for deterrence – knowing the tyrannical enemy was already working at its development – had the opportunity to bring the world to peace most rapidly, but only after a huge number of innocents were killed and families lost or torn apart forever.

True to Stalin’s commitments, he declares war against Japan on the 7th of August and over a million Soviet soldiers engage the Japanese occupiers in Manchuria.

Atomic bombs are dropped on Hiroshima and then Kokura on the 6th and 9th of August, 1945, respectively, and Emperor Hirohito announces Japan’s surrender on the 15th of August and signs an unconditional surrender on the 2nd of September 1945. In officially bringing WWII to an end, FDR knows that the most important – the most fraught – piece of the puzzle that he had been assiduously shaping lies ahead, succeeding in the peace, but without Churchill who loses the postwar election in July.

The American public is jubilant and united behind FDR in a postwar glow and rewards him in the 1946 mid-term elections by electing a democratic legislature to enact his full postwar plans after he assures the electorate that he will not contest the next Presidential election, a commitment he honours. Americans understand the privileged position they hold as the most powerful nation in the world, as enunciated in FDR’s 1945 inauguration, and collectively understand that with great privilege comes great responsibility.

Frictions between Britain and the Soviets simmer in the immediate postwar period, but FDR maintains the moral authority as mediator and arbiter. He especially understands and respects the contribution that Russia made to winning the war, a price paid especially in lives lost – more Soviet soldiers were killed than all of the other nations who fought in WWII combined, almost double the number of German soldiers killed! Including civilian deaths, the Soviets lost around 24 million lives in WWII whereas Britain and America each lost less than half a million lives.

After the use of the atomic bomb on Japanese people, knowing that it was only a matter of time before all other major nations would soon have the capability of producing weapons of mass destruction thus assuring mutual destruction, and fully appreciating the need to maintain trust especially amongst the Big Three, FDR shares atomic technology with Stalin and the Soviets as well as the British. This draws the hawks amongst Republicans – many former vehement isolationists – and within the State Department out into open and intense debate, but that serves to underline the strength of American democracy and FDR’s moral and intellectual standing in American and global society.

From the ashes of WWII a new global order for humanity is created. The United Nations, which meets for the first time in late Spring 1945 in San Francisco, is at the forefront along with the other institutions arising from the long negotiations between the Allies at Argentia, Casablanca, Quebec, Cairo, Teheran, Yalta and, immediately prior to V-J day, at Potsdam.

Suffering relevance deprivation, Churchill gives a provocative speech suggesting that Europe is at risk of an iron curtain descending on the eastern boundary of the buffer region that Soviets are working on, from “Stettin in the Baltic to Trieste in the Adriatic”.

The following week, at another meeting of the Big Three plus Generalissimo from China and de Gaulle from France, in Moscow, FDR provides additional assurances that satisfy Stalin, and Prime Minister Attlee walks back the comments of the ex-Prime Minister, so that Stalin resists the impulse of responding publicly to Churchill’s provocations.

FDR understands that the only way to prove the virtue of capitalism to humanity is to do so in the way capitalists live in peace rather than fight from fear, and for the remainder of his fourth term he chooses his arguments with Stalin and Attlee carefully, never losing sight of what was sacrificed and fought for, and what is the danger inherent in ceasing to listen and communicate.

In the 1946 State of Union Address, FDR speaks to the American people in plain and direct language with a level of honesty and sincerity that no other American President would, or perhaps even could, do again.

“To do right by all Americans, as your President I must always hold in my heart as much love and optimism for all of humanity, irrespective of what region they happen to be born or reside in, which deity – if any – they chose to believe in, and whether they be rich or poor. Making the best decision for all of humanity – in light of the best information available – must take precedence over what is best for subgroupings of people or the special interests of some. This is the only way to enduringly lead in the peace.

Leading in the global peace is the awesome responsibility and privilege now held by the American people. We must be in no doubt that the durability and quality of that peace will be recorded in history as achieved under our American stewardship and we should all be determined that in the account of that record we as peoples within broader humanity are proud of our deliberations and actions.

If I or a future President of the United States of America were ever to abuse the privilege of this global leadership to advance national interests at the expense of other nations, more specifically, to the detriment of the human beings living in other geographies of the world, then that would be an act of great hypocrisy, it would undermine our privileged authority, and worst of all, it would lessen the honor of the immense sacrifices made by the families and peoples of the Allied nations in freeing the world from tyranny.”

The repercussions of FDR’s speech are widespread and immediate. Democrats are successful in the midterm elections and no less than two amendments are made to the US Constitution: the 22nd to formerly limit to two the number of terms a person may be elected President; and the 23rd being formal recognition that in the execution of leadership and administration of the nation by the President and all elected and Government officials that not only are human beings ‘created’ equal, everywhere and at all times they remain equal, so that in their decision-making and administration the concerns of all human beings throughout humanity must be considered equal.

Eleanor is instrumental in lobbying to secure the success of both amendments, understanding the practicality of and strong desirability amongst Republicans for the two-term limit, ensuring that the acceptance of one amendment be conditional upon the acceptance of the other.

The non-gender specific language and the obvious implications for civil rights of the 23rd amendment have a profound impact in America and around the world, and it leads to an enduring culture of minimising the influence of special interests in political decision-making including strict regulation and policing of political donations.

Essentially it says that, not only are all human beings (‘created’) equal, they’re to be treated equal no matter where they choose to live their lives or how they live their lives.

The British and commonwealth of nations, along with central European nations, follow the American lead and incorporate similar clauses within their constitutions and/or their formal systems of governing. It is commonly referred to as the ‘Roosevelt clause’.

The most influential economist of the time, John Maynard Keynes, whose plans for the organisation of the postwar global economy were largely usurped by the Americans at the Bretton Woods conference, increases his lobbying for alterations of the agreement before Britain will ratify. His concerns centre around the privileged position that America will have within the system, especially with the dollar being the reserve currency. Keynes also has concerns about equity in the ability of poorer nations to develop, and the instability that will cause. With an exceedingly rare level of brilliance, but with failing health from an obsessive work ethic, Keynes meets directly with FDR in early 1946 after the first meeting of the United Nations General Assembly in London and convinces the US President to intervene so that modifications are made to the agreement in line with some of his original recommendations including the creation of a new reserve currency named the ‘Bancor’ and additional safeguards and measures to ensure equitable opportunity for global development. Those changes are implemented just ahead of Keynes’ passing later that year.

Tensions remain in pockets within the world, especially in Asia where Chinese people suffer a protracted civil war between the Generalissimo’s Nationalists and Mao Tse-tung’s communists which sporadically and periodically spills over in Asia. Similarly South America remains unstable as some nations, especially Argentina which was not permitted initial entry to the United Nations due to its postwar flirtation with fascism, experience civil unrest which tends to be worse in nations with important energy resources as corrupt self-interest proves difficult to contain. The nation state of Israel is created to provide a permanent home to Jews and tensions, often along religious lines, in the Middle East especially, flare occasionally.

In the history of humanity, there has always been at least one megalomaniac able to manipulate those around him, especially when education and information has been found wanting, and so it likely will always be.

Former colonialist nations of central and western Europe, however, remain united in their determination to be constructive and aid the establishment of peace in their former colonies through negotiation, and are disciplined in not becoming involved in wars or of showing partisan support for factions within other geographies, even if sometimes they and the Soviets are suspicious of the others’ actions.

With the good intentions of the global many, backed by modern international legal processes, recalcitrants rarely manage to hold out for long against the will and desires of their populations and broader humanity. Particularly sensitive to any nuclear weapon proliferation, the United Nations acts swiftly and decisively with sanctions and other peaceful forms of economic coercion to ameliorate the actions of potential bad actors.

During FDR’s fourth term rebuilding of war-torn Europe and Asia, including of the Axis nations, is carried out with vigor and optimism. However, the global disparity is immediately apparent and the machinery of government in the developed nations less directly impacted by war, including in North America, together with international bureaucracy that emanated out of WWII especially from the Atlantic Charter – including the United Nations, International Monetary Fund and World Bank – place as much vigor into developing nations previously undeveloped and improving the living standards of the greatest majority of human beings on Earth, including throughout Africa, eastern and southern Asia, Central and South America.

In effect, America’s ‘New Deal’ goes global!

The harnessing of human drive and ingenuity in a co-operative fashion, incorporating the freedom of movement of capital within democratic capitalism, combined with safeguards to prevent monopolies and unfair use of privilege of wealth or position, has a profound effect on the global economy which is mirrored in the freedoms enjoyed by the majority of humans who are engaged in the first truly global society in human history. The freedom of movement of goods and resources, of ideas, and most importantly, of people, creates a globalisation that is deeply embedded in broader society not just within the corporate or intellectual elite of humanity.

Stalin and FDR remain in contact until the latter’s death, coincidentally the 12th of April 1950, 5 years after the health scare that sent Elliott racing back through the streets of London to his British military base to read his Mum’s cablegram. Each Christmas Stalin sends FDR several cases of the Georgian ‘Champagne’ he was so charmed by at the Yalta conference, FDR still jokingly encouraging him to engage in some ‘good old-fashioned capitalism’ selling it to the American people to outcompete Champagne and “stick it to the Frenchies”. Stalin attends FDR’s funeral and is visibly moved, hugging Eleanor in a long and warm embrace, and shaking hands graciously with Elliott and most of the extended Roosevelt family.

Stalin passes two years later and is remembered with mixed emotions inside and outside of Russia. On the one hand the world is unlikely to have been freed from the tyranny of Nazism if it were not for the extreme sacrifices of the Soviets under Stalin. He was, however, undoubtedly a harsh and cruel leader largely due to his inflexible political beliefs and leadership, though it is commonly believed that his connection with FDR moderated this somewhat in his latter years.

Stalin remains Chairman until his passing and does not nominate a successor. However, the Soviets institute a collective leadership which initiates reforms and is more open in views and outlook which leads to the ultimate dissolution of the Soviet bloc.

By the early 90’s the cohesive human community values above all else individual freedoms within the solid framework of open information and expression, logic and science. Pressing domestic and global issues are addressed as they are detected by scientists and other observant members of societies. More even economic development from equitable opportunity irrespective of geography, nationality, race, religion, gender, sexual orientation, etc. has allowed the average standard of living to increase significantly.

The post-WWII baby boom causes a spike in births but the global population peaks at around 4 billion in the 1980s, due to declining birthrates as more of humanity feel secure having smaller families. The average high standard of living, however, means that observations of increased levels of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere are detected around that same time the global population peaks and thorough research convinces all members of the United Nations that the consequent warming of the planet – without rapid action – will lead to general sea level rise and more frequent and worse severe weather events, affecting the precious natural world on which we all depend, and impacting and worsening the quality of life for human beings.

Emergency meetings of the United Nations are held, and subcommittees undertake and fund extensive research into the climate changes. It is determined that alternative sources of energy, other than from fossil fuels, will need to be rapidly developed to reduce the emissions of carbon dioxide into the environment. Embracing the challenge as was done during WWII, developing new technologies for harnessing energy from renewable sources such as the sun and wind, within a decade the latest data and modelling within the scientific community has assured humanity that catastrophic outcomes that were projected within a century have been averted.

Integral to humanity’s response to the observed climate change, and in fact, to social cohesion within global society, is a great respect for First Nations peoples’ knowledge of environment and culture.

Elliott Roosevelt promptly leaves the Army and grows somewhat distant from his Dad after WWII. Republicans and the right-wing press seek to discredit the Roosevelt legacy, attempting to ensure an end of their political family dynasty, and they see Elliott as a convenient target. Minor indiscretions in Elliot’s personal and business lives, most often revealed by those who were on the losing side of business deals, are a constant distraction for his Dad in his final years. This creates tensions so that father and son never manage to clear the air and Elliott lives with great deal of regret, sadness, and repressed shame.

After multiple failed marriages and businesses, and estranged from his children and extended family, in the 70’s Elliot trades on the family name as a political lobbyist but finds that his ability to extract gain from it is waning. He becomes increasingly compromised working with shadier and shadier operators, ultimately trading in favours and blackmail of political and business targets on behalf of organised crime.

Living a destructive life of substance abuse and boozing, prostitutes and gambling, Elliott has gotten sloppy and his tangled web of compromise and lies is unravelling and threatens to bring down high profile political and crime figures with him. Elliott is considering turning informant and meets with FBI investigators that have been surveilling him. A corrupt politician becomes aware of this and together with the Mafia they attempt to frame Elliott for approaching and paying a Mafia hitman for a contract on a foreign diplomat.

Elliott denies the allegations and uses the final remnants of family connection to bury the story and allegations.

Considering Elliott a lose end that needs to be dealt with, neither the politician or Mafia can risk him squealing. A wasted Elliott, walking in an alley with a prostitute under each arm, celebrating yet another close escape, is confronted by Mafia muscle as the girls scatter. With a henchman holding each arm, the top goon cocks his pistol upright in his right hand as he walks behind Elliott and whispers in his ear, “The Boss wants to see you”. Elliott instantly cringes and tilts his head forward expecting the crunch on the back of his head…

Elliott’s head was jolted forward as his eyes refocused on the headrest of the front seat of Humber military staff car as the military officer rushed him to Mount Farm to read that cablegram from his Mum.

“Sorry for that Brigadier General – fox on the road!”

They had left the lights of London behind, and Elliott recognized the sharp bend in the road which signified they were 5 minutes from his base. He walked briskly and was greeted at the threshold by his Commanding Officer who handed Elliott the cable gram from his mother.

Eleanor’s final words on the telegram informing her beloved son of the death of his Father were, ”HE DID HIS JOB TO THE END AS HE WOULD WANT YOU TO DO”.


Chapter 3 – Reset (next)

Chapter 1 – Rücksetzen (previous)


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“Reset”: Chapter 1 – Rücksetzen

The timeline commences in the late 1930s, as America and the rest of the world struggle to emerge from the depths of the Great Depression, and is told through the eyes of Elliott Roosevelt, the son of perhaps the greatest American President in Franklin Delano Roosevelt immortalised simply as ‘FDR’.

“The country needs and, unless I mistake its temper, the country demands bold, persistent experimentation. It is common sense to take a method and try it: If it fails, admit it frankly and try another. But above all, try something.” FDR told graduating students of Ogilthorpe University a month ahead of receiving the Democratic nomination for the 1932 US Presidential election which he won in a landslide.

FDR lived up to that pledge and Elliott Roosevelt had observed his father bring the US back from the brink of despair through ambitious and vigorously developed and implemented programs referred to collectively as the ‘New Deal’ which led to him being rewarded with a second term in 1936.

Elliott had embarked on his own deal – running a small network of radio stations in Texas – in September 1938 as the Munich Conference was held and France, Britain and Italy agreed to Germany’s annexation of Sudetenland in western Czechoslovakia hoping it would appease their expansionary impulse.

FDR, acutely aware of swirling geopolitics as the 1940 election was approaching, had been weighing up whether to run for a third term – on the one hand he believed it was his duty to continue steady leadership through the countervailing currents, especially with Europe on the brink of war which he feared might drawer in other nations including America, and ongoing hostilities between Japan and China in Manchuria, but on the other hand he would be going against convention which, whilst his uncle Teddy ignored it when he failed to be elected for a third term, his closest political confidant – the “Kingmaker” James Farley – had strongly advised him against.

Even Eleanor, his wife, had serious reservations and was looking forward to stepping back from her own very busy schedule as first lady.

Sitting in his Dad’s well-worn leather lounge chair at his family’s Hyde Park estate, enveloped by paternal safety, in plush comfort, newspaper lowered across his knee (exposing an article debating whether Germany is set to move eastward into France), Elliott drifted off remembering back to the conversation he had with his father in the oval office only days earlier where they shared their deepest thoughts and concerns for the world, and he, rather imprudently, about his business interests…

His Dad, normally clear in his convictions, was torn. Farley had been with FDR from the very beginnings of his political career, with political intuition surpassed by none of his contemporaries. The father and son talked long and earnestly, uncharacteristically so for a relationship where the father was so accomplished and admired, even for a politician.

FDR confides that more likely than not he will seek the Democratic nomination to contest the 1940 US Presidential election, even if he must compete against his right-hand man in Farley.

Nazi strategists, aware of the significance of the Presidential election to whether America would join (again) with forces against Germany, concentrate efforts on building up armaments and fortifying their eastern positions in Poland, etc through the spring of 1940. Herr Schacht, former Finance Minister and longtime head of the Reichsbank, had long warned the Nazi regime that Germany was not economically capable of waging a long war against the British with their ‘Anglo Saxon mentality’, and even though he had lost the ear of Hitler because of his ‘defeatist comments’, his views still had influence over some of those who retained Hitler’s confidence.

The British Empire, through its colonies, protectorates and independent dominions of Australia, New Zealand, Canada and South Africa, controlled 25% of the global population and 30% of the landmass, and the engagement of the broad Commonwealth in the conflict was predictable. FDR had been talking with the British, including with King George VI on a visit to his family estate Hyde Park in June 1939, and his inner circle knew him to privately support involvement in a European conflict. Americans, too, had suffered severe losses in WWI and their wives and mothers had not forgotten their pain of loss; in fact, those anguished feelings had only grown through the toughest years of the Great Depression.

The delayed advance of Germany eastward leads to the Republican party nominating Robert A. Taft as their candidate on an isolationist platform and the support of American hero Charles Lindbergh means Taft will mount a formidable challenge. At the Democratic National Convention Farley resists FDR’s wife Eleanor’s late appeal and throws his support behind Bennet Clark, an avid isolationist, to counter the strong isolationist platform on the right. A young Harry Truman, also from Clark’s home state of Missouri, has also impressed the politically pragmatic Farley. Truman holds a strong view that America cannot afford the cost of war and is sceptical of the waste inherent in producing supplies sent already to support the British. At the Democratic National Convention FDR promises that no American boys would go to a foreign war under his watch, but it is to no avail as Farley’s influence carries sway and Clark wins the Democratic nomination.

Clark ultimately wins the 1940 Presidential election with Farley his Vice President in November 1940. Hitler, however, does not need to wait for the election to be held to expand Nazi held territory eastward. With two avowed isolationists as Presidential candidates, and Americans in huge numbers joining up to the newly formed America First Committee, growing out of a movement started at Yale University (and with support of future Presidents Gerald Ford and John F Kennedy), it is increasingly clear American involvement in the war will be at most ambiguous with minimal supply of war resources. Nazi blitzkrieg by its powerful Wehrmacht allows it to annex Belgium, the Netherlands and Luxembourg, and has France in retreat, by the time the ballots are being counted, and soon after Italy and Japan sign the tripartite agreement with Germany while it battles the United Soviet States of Russia (USSR) on the east and Italians commenced operations in Africa.

The British repel the first air war, The Battle for England, against the Nazis largely with covert aid from America (in place under FDR). Knowing this, Hitler warns the US against further involvement. President Clark assures the Nazis that they had already wound down their war production, of which Henry Ford and others were somewhat ambiguous on in any case, and that the US wouldn’t enter the war so long as Japan did not move against American interests in the Pacific. German strategists talk down Japanese military strategists from actions on the Aleutian islands off Alaska and leave the Philippines untouched, while at the same time Axis members commit to acquiring American territories, indeed North America, once they have won the European war.

War rages on in northern Africa, remorselessly over England with them attempting to return fire over German cities with limited success, and in the east on the Russian front. With limited opposition, Japan marches downward through the Asia Pacific and only encounters tough opposition in New Guinea, but eventually claims Australia and New Zealand in late 1944 with resources and support of other Axis partners as the ground war in Europe winds down and a second front is opened against Russia to capture the Sakhalin Island north of Japan and the adjacent mainland territory of Primorsky Krai, including the important port city of Vladivostok, and territories against the Sea of Okhotsk. When Britain formerly surrenders in May 1945, followed shortly later in August 1945 by the Soviet States, the great Eurasian war is over.

The Soviet States are convinced to surrender following the Japanese explosion of an atomic bomb in Novosibirsk which on the one hand demonstrates the power of the technology the Japanese has first mastered, and on the other hand destroys the major site of military production for the Red Army after it was shifted from the west.

Neither Hitler nor Mussolini survive to the end of the war, however, as both are assassinated by more moderate groups within their ranks in an elaborate plot which unfolds on 20 July 1944. First Hitler is killed by a bomb explosion. Then Mussolini is killed when he arrives for a planned meeting with Hitler later that day and his entourage each is presented with a stark choice of overthrowing their fascist dictator and each putting a bullet in Mussolini or dying with him. Though the full plot has never been disclosed, nor the full list of conspirators, a large number (believed to be over 300) senior and influential members in their ranks accepted that their dictatorial and destructive style of leadership would fail to lead in the peace which many had been insisting leadership focus on from mid-1942 when an Axis win grew increasingly likely.

Emperor Hirohito, a man of science and logic, whose support for the war was always ambiguous, after the nuclear bomb detonation manages to gain sufficient support from the Japanese public and key political moderates to rest power from the ruthless conquering military leaders. A national radio address, the first time that Japanese people ever hears his voice, entitled the “Jewel Voice” where he discusses the harsh treatment of vanquished Chinese and other people in invaded territories, as well as prisoners of war, swings public opinion strongly away from military leaders.

In the postwar European power struggle neofascists triumph and throughout all of Europe the character of society becomes decidedly Teutonic (Germanic) with Berlin the centre of power and wealth, and all nation states responsible for selecting a certain number of party members (based on economic parameters) to the Pan-European People’s Conference (PEPC) in a pan-European autocracy. The leaders of the PEPC are selected via internal party politics and are typically rotated every 5 years. The form of neofascism practiced could best be described as fascism light, Hitlerism without dictatorship, Nazism without the systematic eugenics, oppression and murder, but state sanctioned racism is only thinly veiled and normalised such that very, very few Caucasian Europeans consider it a problem or even an issue.

Harry Truman, Secretary of State from 1940, becomes US President when both Clark and Farley die before the end of their term (October 8 and February 25, respectively) in 1944 and he wins the 1944 Presidential election (he was VP briefly after Farley’s death).

From the vantage point of the early 1990s, North America is the last bastion of  democratic capitalism, though its sphere of influence is largely limited to North Mexico, which fought a fierce and protracted civil war – a proxy war between capitalist and neofascist interests – through the early 60’s, repeated in Brazil a decade later resulting in a similar North-South split between capitalists and neofascists, and a handful of other small and essentially inconsequential South American countries.

America and Canada survive in a hostile world due to its development of nuclear weapon technology through a collaboration known as the Manhattan project. It was initiated in complete secrecy under FDR, mothballed for a year after he lost the 1940 election, but re-instigated with increased vigor as Canadians and Americans became fully aware of the brutality of Nazism and Japanese imperialism. Canada may not be superior to America in economic strength, but it has maintained a moral authority due to its involvement in the European war. Since the late 40s when it became apparent that Japan, Europe and North America all had developed nuclear weapon technology, assured mutual destruction from further war has largely prevented full scale warfare. The world is taken to the brink in the ‘60s, however, when an increasingly insecure America attempts to deploy missiles on Attu Island, the westernmost island of the Aleutians off Alaska. The Japanese maritime blockade of US ships carrying the missiles brings a showdown between President John F Kennedy and the Japanese Prime Minister whereby all of humanity fears that the first nuclear war had arrived. America stands down, narrowly averting catastrophe, but it acts as warning to global leaders and reductions of nuclear weapon stockpiles are negotiated.

The economist Hjalmar Schacht rose to global prominence as the architect of the post-war world economic order, though many insiders know that this success was not just in not repeating the mistakes of the Weimar Republic, e.g. limiting war reparations by Britain and the broader commonwealth of nations so as not to be overly onerous, but in Schacht’s willingness to listen to a largely forgotten British economist, Maynard Keynes (who, though 6 years junior to Schacht, has health issues through the war period and dies within a year of the war’s end). Schacht is widely considered a likely co-conspirator in the assassination of Hitler.

Europe is the centre of global corporate and social culture which emphasizes Teutonic doggedness, pragmatism and discipline, and eschews Jewish ‘fussiness’ – as Dr. Schacht describes it – and the ‘flamboyance’ of the latinised Mediterraneans. Schachtian economics emphasises the need for individuals and nations to live within their means, through austerity when necessary, with speculative activity and excessive borrowing strictly regulated to prevent speculative manias that precipitated the global depression of the late 1920s.

With single party autocracies predominating throughout the world besides North America and a few nation states within its sphere of influence, constitutional monarchies have enjoyed a renaissance to give the perception of a level of political balance but in reality most have very limited discretionary powers.

This said, in recent years technological development in communications and rapid information transfer has tested the neofascists’ hold on power in Europe, with increasing understanding there of democratic capitalism as practiced in North America forcing a certain level of liberalism. However, the dominance of the central European languages, especially German, hinders information spread especially in central and eastern Europe.

Japanese-dominant Asia and Europe maintain a competitive and mostly functional relationship as the main geopolitical powers, though Japan has never really accepted the supremacy of the Deutschmark as the reserve currency of the world which has conferred a significant advantage to European interests. The industrial machinery of Europe dwarfs that of Japan’s, advantaged by proximity and greater geopolitical influence over the energy states of the Middle East and Russia. Japan has remained more dependent on North American and South American energy suppliers. Japan is further disadvantaged by the geographical spread and the more disparate cultures within its sphere of influence. It is constantly plagued by discontent in the anglophone antipodeans and in the East Indies, for example.

Neither Japan nor Europe has much concern for central and southern Africa, except in relation to resource-rich regions, never more so than when the North Americans are actively courting their governments for resources access for their companies.

Global inequality has improved little since the Eurasian war, and has only improved, albeit marginally, in those nations of geographic importance in the contest between capitalism and neofascism, and/or with advantageous natural resources. Of course, neither sphere really cares who shares those benefits and whether they reach the citizens of those nations – they simply seek to serve their own interests, and if a thin layer of corrupt officials sequesters the benefits, which ultimately results in lower costs to the powerful nations, then so be it.

Population growth has been explosive as most of humanity has remained poor and did what all living beings are biologically programmed to do – have larger families to increase the chances of survival for themselves (as they age) and of their family lines. European, Asian and American scientists have recently noted the buildup of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere at a rate suggestive that humanity’s activities are having a serious affect which is resulting in a warming global climate which some extreme scientists suggest will result in increasingly unstable weather patterns and melting polar icecaps making parts of the world uninhabitable, first low-lying Pacific islands.

The largest global oil and gas company, Deutschpetroleum, has produced research that suggests this is not at all the case, convincing the political class that actions which would be a drag initially on economic growth were unnecessary. This is also politically convenient since many politicians and party associates have close financial links with the industry. Nonetheless the industry is working on developing hydrogen technology to power motor vehicles, especially the many millions of VWs, BMWs and Mercedes Benz that move the great majority of families daily around the globe. Few can afford the premium Japanese and Italian cars. Every nation has tried to build a car industry, with mixed success, but everyone knows the stories of the ‘lemons’ produced by inferior American car manufacturers Ford and General Motors along with Russia’s Lada Niva.

Life is tough for the majority of the world’s human inhabitants. There has always been an elite few that have soaked up the riches of the world, and then there is the rest, but the brutal and prejudicial character of the winning Axis is undeniable. Although never substantiated and strongly denied by Teutonic Europe, there are rumours that Jews especially were persecuted and executed during the Eurasian war. Very few people in Europe self-identify as being Jewish, and while they have limited access to sites of historical significance, Jewish people are welcomed postwar in Japanese held territories and in North America.

Political debate is curtailed and strictly regulated in Eurasia and most of Africa and South America. The only truly progressive region is North America with a remarkably open society built on free speech and a strong social safety network including free medical benefits and education, and support for the unemployed. Their leaders, especially JFK in America and Trudeau in Canada in the 60s, realised that social cohesion was vital to keeping those living within their island of prosperity safe. In fact, the social safety network was so favourable that a trial of a universal basic income found little benefit to most since they feel secure and regular surveys show Americans to be the happiest people in the world, though many also put that down to realistic expectations for their lives and their ambivalence to materialism.

Gun laws are the strictest in the world in America, as everyone knows that guns kill humans, and they are unnecessary in a society which can afford to protect itself from aggressors at the State level so the outdated and irrelevant 2nd amendment to the US constitution, originating from 300-year-old British law, was prudently deleted in the ‘70s.

Official and illegal migration into North America via Mexico, from South America, especially, however, is beginning to fray the social compact. And nobody suggests that America and Canada have truly dealt with racist pasts. Papering over the cracks is closer to the truth, though some headway has been made in corporate circles with a smattering of black CEOs, and while around 30% of corporate executives are females, there are very few black female CEOs, a few more Hispanic female CEOs, and no Asian female CEOs.

Europe made use of migrant labour from north Africa in the postwar rebuilding effort, and in Britain from Asia, especially India. Most returned home, however, as harsh regulations meant that they were required to live outside the limits of towns and cities, and curfews meant that at night they were not able to be in the cities that they were rebuilding during the day. Most believed that they would be better off closer to family connections and support networks once the rebuilding work dried up, while those who remained live in poor ghettoes and are subjected to ongoing discrimination and prejudice.

Throughout Teutonic Europe few in executive positions have a non-Germanic family name, certainly none are of Jewish descent, neither are there any of Middle Eastern, Asian or African descent. Inferior German language skills are often blamed as the reason. Only modest progress has been made on gender equality.

 On a train heading west from Innsbruck towards the Oetztal Valley in Austria in the late 80s Elliott observes a young Australian couple, the man Caucasian and his wife of Asian descent, subjected to overt racism. Four middle-aged women sitting in the opposite seats stare at the couple barely in their 30s to make their abhorrence with their mixed relationship apparent, looking upon them as if they are less than human, as the couple sink into their seats feeling powerless given their obvious lack of agency. Elliott speaks to the young couple to help ease their discomfort, learning that the husband is a scientist with a fellowship to research in Germany, and that they were on a planned weekend away to celebrate their 7th wedding anniversary. The young woman of colour tells Elliott how frequently on train platforms in the Bavarian capital of Munich middle-aged people, especially, stare at her with a deep scowl. The previous year living in southern France, also on an international research fellowship, they quickly became aware of the underlying dislike of the ‘Arabs’ who had remained in lower socioeconomic regions of the cities they had rebuilt after the war, unable to improve their circumstance substantially due to systemic racism. Elliott recounts to them a brief friendship with a British family where the man was of German heritage, and how shocked he was when the man – who was raised near the Black Forest, and after returning from a family trip there – spoke about how the Arab people swimming in natural springs were fowling the water for ‘others’, because they wore pants with pockets rather than swimming briefs, and suggested that they should be excluded. He also used the vile ‘N-word’ in discussion alike the deeply racist groups that remained in America on the fringes.

The situation throughout Asia is not much better with Japanese domination of corporates and broader society. Interestingly, however, in British dominions the former colonisers, now oppressed and dominated themselves, have developed close relationships with the former indigenous peoples and those they had previously minoritised, as evidenced for example in Australia through the White Australia Policy, in their common struggle for existence. Those earlier migrants of central European descent who had previously developed close relationships with indigenous peoples on the basis of their common status outside of general society are now significantly more favoured and are referred to as ‘model migrants’ in comparison to anglophones and others.

The European middle class has become precarious and proportionally has shrunk, and in recent years those in central Europe who have not shared in the benefits of strong economic growth over the past half century since the Eurasian war have become discontent and have become a manipulable force for populist sections within the one-party structure. Some politicians appeal to the disaffected with a slogan of Making Europe Great Again (in the lesser spoken vulgar English, MEGA), yet none define which period in Europe was truly great and what made it so, though it clearly involves more extreme fascism including greater systemic prejudice and overt racism.

Elliott Roosevelt has lived a life of distinguished public service. Having listened to his father extoll the virtues of American involvement in the Eurasian war, and of how a true enduring peace was only possible through reduced colonialism/imperialism and equality of opportunity on a global basis, and his mother about civil rights and gender equality, Elliott has taken it upon himself to fulfill the destiny his parents felt so strongly. FDR lived through into his 70s, dying 12 April 1955, a fair age given his significant medical issues; the women in his life agreed that he might have lived longer without the stress of leading the nation for two terms through such a troubled period.

Elliott was a Democrat powerbroker through the 50s becoming a chief advisor to JFK and was second only to his brother Bobby Kennedy in the influence he had over JFK, though many considered Elliott more influential. Elliott later became the American representative to the international League of Nations which was reinstituted after the Eurasian war, but quit in the late 80s when European nations conspired to invade Ecuador under the guise that their dictator had instigated a program to develop weapons of mass destruction and it was close to achieving nuclear status. It quickly became apparent in the war that the nation was essentially a failed state and could not manufacture a lightbulb let alone a nuclear bomb, but hundreds of thousands of innocent civilians were killed as collateral, along with the broken bodies and, more so, minds of many of those who fought. The puppet government then put in place has secured energy resources for Europe, and more importantly, has restricted access to it by Japan and North America.

Married twice, with one child to his first wife, and three with his second, Elliott Roosevelt lives a long life in close contact with his entire family, especially his mother Eleanor after his Dad’s death. He was highly regarded as a great American and many felt that he would have made an even better president than his father, FDR. In October 1991, 10 months after the death of his brother James, Elliott has a heart attack – surrounded by family and loved ones, in a hospital bed he drifts off with only the noise of a mechanical ventilator piercing the stark quiet of the room…

Elliott stirs in his Dad’s well-worn leather lounge chair at Hyde Park, disturbed by the housemaid reviving the dwindling fire by squeezing a set of bellows to direct air onto the glowing coals, and notices the paper that has fallen off his knee onto the ground. Staring blankly at the headline, as we all do when awoken from a deep Sunday afternoon slumber – even those not yet 30 years of age – reflecting on the vividness of his dream.


Chapter 2 – Rementar – Next

Reset: Introduction – Previous


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“Reset”: Introduction

“Reset” uses a retelling of post-WWII history contrasted with two alternate histories to highlight the choices that humanity has made to arrive at a moment where regionally and globally humanity lacks the cohesion to address the serious issues that we together confront. By highlighting these divergences, told predominantly through the perspective of Elliott Roosevelt, the son of the great American President of that turbulent era, illuminated is the necessary path towards a more optimistic and kinder humanity which is necessary to overcome our challenges of which the climate crisis is foremost.

In Chapter 1: Rücksetzen, the first timeline, isolationists prevail in the 1940 US Presidential election so that America never enters WWII, thus creating a tripolar world at the end of WWII of post-Nazi Europe, Japan-dominant Asia, and a US-Canada alliance in North America, maintained by a cold war with assured nuclear destruction. Rücksetzen is the closest German translation of Reset highlighting the Teutonic nature of society in that timeline.

The second timeline, presented in Chapter 2: Rementar, resumes immediately before the 1940 Presidential election which FDR won followed then by the 1944 election as WWII is drawing to an end. On 12 April 1945 FDR has a health scare but recovers. FDR leads America through to the end of his fourth term thereby steering the implementation of his full vision for the postwar period.

This second timeline portrays a positive period with greater enlightenment and inclusion leading to vast improvements in societal equality within societies and globally. It is far from a utopia, but it involves kinder and less aggressive societies which are less based on domination and winning, and more on co-operation, inclusion, and open dialogue and thought. As such, pressing domestic and global issues are addressed by political and corporate leaders as they are detected by scientists, public servants, and other observant members of societies. Consequently, societies are more cohesive and it is almost universally agreed that, while clearly we are the most influential species ever on Earth, humanity has attained the knowledge and cultural wherewithal to live sustainably and deal with almost any unknown unknown that might be encountered as responsible custodians of the natural world.

Rementar is the closest translation of Reset in Interlingua, an international auxiliary language developed between 1937 and 1951 by the American International Auxiliary Language Association, highlighting the internationally inclusive nature of societies in that timeline.

For the third timeline the reader is brought back to 12 April 1945, the day that FDR died, and an honest, non-nationalistic portrayal of global and domestic events is presented. Titling Chapter 3: “Reset” highlights our contemporary challenges and the need to develop a vastly different character to society to place humanity on a path towards a better and brighter future.

Chapter 4: A Future Of Our Own Making; A father and son fireside podcast is reminiscent of the fireside chats that FDR was famous for during the Great Depression. It provides contemporary context to the current social and environmental crises we confront, while providing a parallel to that earlier difficult period.

The father and son discuss how the features in societies that were present in the early 90s – where the timelines finished – have become entrenched. Factors that have caused this, and ways that humanity could be led back towards the brighter path, are discussed in forthright yet warm and compassionate terms paralleling the relationship between FDR and his son Elliott. Topics discussed include; “Global Inequality”; “Capitalism at an extreme”; “Racism and prejudice – personal experiences”; “Corruption of political processes”; “What separates modern capitalist societies from fascism?”; “How have we humans managed to progress through so much division?”; “The best vaccine against crises is social cohesion”; “Quality globalisation”; “bell hooks showed us how to set ourselves free”; “A changing relationship with work and ourselves”; “Revisiting forgotten ideas”; “The United Nations”; “Projects of vainglorious men”; and “Towards a new universal greeting”.

The penultimate Chapter 5: “There is no point in going through all this crap if you’re not going to enjoy the ride”, a favourite quote from a favourite Hollywood movie, draws all of these factors to a conclusion with a challenge to all to lead the political ‘leaders’ to the necessary Reset.

Chapter 6: “Roosevelt Weather” concludes the story of Elliott Roosevelt and discusses the waning influence of the Roosevelt family in American and broader human society.

On MacroEdgo the complete “Reset” story is available for download in a Word document.

Available to download in toto also is “Reset”: The Movie Treatment which tells the same story in the same fashion but is condensed especially in the “Remantar” timeline and in the “A Future of Our Own Making: A father and son fireside podcast” to be presented to members of the movie industry with the aim of the story being made into a trilogy.

Text Legend

Historical record

Alternate history

Future


Reset: Chapter 1 – Rücksetzen – Next

Reset: Preface and Acknowledgements – Previous


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“Reset”: Preface and Acknowledgements

For me this story took root when I bought from Amazon “Speeches That Changed The World” (compiled by Owen Collins, Westminster John Knox Press, 1999) while I was living in Europe in 2001-02. I remember being awestruck especially by the First Inaugural speech by President Washington and his humility, integrity, and authenticity stuck with me. Although it was not published in that book, inexplicably, during this period I also read FDR’s Fourth Inaugural speech and his words of strength, optimism, and love for humanity impacted me deeply at a time when I was undergoing a period of intense personal development.

These were lessons in the power of the written word as spoken at an auspicious moment in history by a great leader.

I visited the site of the Dachau Concentration Camp first in 1998 when I spent a few days touring with Finnish colleagues and friends after we had attended a conference at Augsburg in Bavaria. They did not join me at Dachau as they explained they felt a great sense of shame because Finland was a Nazi ally. Then living in Munich in 2002 I visited Dachau numerous times as I insisted any Australian (especially family) who stayed with us must go there. It is heart-wrenching, for certain, but for some reason there I have always felt more of the light from the love of humanity shining through and over the darkness. Even though the Nazis meticulously and systematically categorised and divided their prisoners as indicated by ‘badges’ sewn on their prison uniforms, ultimately, they were all human beings, sometimes forced into desperate decisions, but more often showing miraculous altruism in their common goal of survival.

Then as many in the Western world objected to the extension of American-led operations in the Middle East into Iraq in early 2003, and even though I was a vulnerable early-career research scientist returned to my home nation without a job, thus unemployed and working tirelessly to develop a job for myself through research grant writing, to my professional email signature I appended the passage from FDR’s speech that appears twice in this text (in the second instance I intentionally degenderised the quote).

It was not a time to be silent or ambivalent.

I have used that same quote on my email signature almost continuously for 20 years and even though at that earlier time I would frequently have someone respond by email along the lines of “how far away from that are we now!”, to me the words remain every bit as relevant as they have ever been over those 20 years, or indeed the almost 80 years since FDR spoke them.

One of my first posts on MacroEdgo in December 2019 was a reproduction of FDR’s Fourth Inauguration speech in full, and soon after that I purchased a copy of “As He Saw It” by Elliott Roosevelt, the son of FDR, published in 1946, and I typed and posted the entire introduction on MacroEdgo in February 2020.

Introducing that extended quote I said:

“Elliott Roosevelt explains why he was the only person who could give an accurate depiction of events, negotiations and deals brokered, and his own father’s viewpoints on these. I think most would agree that a loving son would faithfully seek to have his father’s vision for the world remembered accurately when events transpired which made it clear that promises were broken and that vision was not being enacted.”

Perhaps in some way wrapped up in my own complicated relationship with my father, I always felt there was a duty upon me to remind humanity of these words and events for their enormous contemporary context. However, that would have to wait as I felt an even greater duty to share what I understood about the challenges that a newly discovered coronavirus highly pathogenic to human beings would present to our societies, and Elliott’s book remained half-read on my bedside dresser covered in a deepening layer of dust as I rapidly passed 100 posts on MacroEdgo, many concerned with COVID-19, but many also dealing with the issues discussed in detail herein in “Reset”.

As 2022 drew to a close I shared on social media my cautious optimism that “perhaps 2023 will be when we truly begin to feel ‘normal’ again”, in relation to the pandemic, and the dark tunnel that I and my family had been forced to walk and endure by the unscrupulous acting upon my love which we solved for ourselves, so I was in a place to look forward and seek to produce a more enduring impact for society than I had previously with any of my earlier writing.

After not working in paid employment for nearly 20 years, as I am a stay at home Dad, I applied for a job to work in an organisation committed to pressuring corporations to act responsibly especially in responding to climate change. That act crystallised my preference to not be ‘restricted’ to one organisation or to a subset of the problems humanity faces. Unsurprised when I received notification of being unsuccessful, I was also relieved as I had already commenced my writing of “Reset” in earnest.

“Reset” transports the reader back to World War II to feel the elation and relief that the world had escaped tyranny and disaster, and to open a window to how it felt for humanity to be on the cusp of brighter future than anyone had dared to dream for a decade and half since the 1929 collapse on Wall Street which ushered in the Great Depression.

The deeper questions “Reset” poses is whether we human beings have made the most of the opportunity that we made for ourselves from the sacrifices of many, and if not then why not, ultimately to propose a way back towards a brighter future for all human beings – a Reset.

The story is told through the eyes of Elliott Roosevelt, the son of Franklin Delano Roosevelt, ‘FDR’, and the author of a number of books where he explained his perception of developments from his unique viewpoint, drawing on his father-son relationship with one of the most important leaders of the modern world.

This emotional teleportation is achieved by presenting three timelines from the mid-1930s to early 1990s. Societal characteristics are naturally different in each timeline dependent upon decisions taken by leaders and within broader humanity, and economic features are critical.

The first timeline is dark but not nearly as dark as many other alternate histories around the outcome of World War II because in this story the extremists were eliminated by more moderate forces, and the American experience – though isolated – is even ‘rosy’; the second timeline is the brightest highlighting the most optimistic timeline under the extended steerage of FDR; and the third much closer to the first than the second, in fact it is our modern history, and it is followed by a no-holds-barred discussion of what is required to get humanity back on the track towards a more optimistic future.

Elliott’s own path, also, leading to different ‘versions’ will also be dependent on the decision he and others reach, and influential economists of the time, especially Hjalmar Schacht of Germany and John Maynard Keynes of Britain, are also key characters sometimes with vastly different outcomes in their lives dependent on broader circumstances within humanity.

Key dates, especially deaths of important characters, repeat through the timelines imbuing a sense of destiny.

The concluding part focuses on a potential future still within grasp, but only just, in the form of a father and son podcast somewhat reminiscent of the fireside chats that FDR was famous for during the Great Depression. It provides contemporary context to the current social and environmental crises we confront, while providing a parallel to that earlier difficult period.

The father and son discuss how the features in societies that were present in the early 90s – where the timelines finished – have become entrenched. Factors that have caused this, and ways that humanity could be led back towards the brighter path, are discussed in warm and compassionate terms paralleling the relationship between FDR and his son Elliott.

This story is the most important to be told at this moment in time.

It is the story that humanity needs to hear right now, and it can’t wait.

There have been other engaging pieces spanning non-fiction, documentary, science-fiction, and outright fiction which have had impact, certainly. But none has put the whole story together – instead we talk about actions of people within societies without truly highlighting the ‘why’.

If we can understand the ‘why’ as well as the ‘how’ we came to be in this position, the keys to doing the best we can from here become clear and harder to ignore.

Then there is a chance that we will leave all in the future generations a semblance of the quality of life that previous generations, especially in rich Western nations, have been fortunate to experience.

Besides the influences already mentioned, in the early stages of writing I bought and read “Confessions Of ‘The Old Wizzard” (1956) By Hjalmar Horace Greeley Schacht. Midway through writing I bought and read “Economists At War: How a handful of economists helped win and lose the world wars” (2020) by Alan Bollard, and as I completed writing I bought and read “Hitler’s Shadow Empire: The Nazis and the Spanish civil war” (2015) by Pierpaolo Barbieri. All of these helped me considerably in honing my historical understanding of events and providing finer details, but most importantly they confirmed for me that my ideas were sound and that my alternate histories were plausible.

Then as I finished writing I bought and began reading “Utopia: The influential classic” (2021) by Thomas More with an introduction by Niall Kishtainy. It was the first time I had read More’s classic written 500 years ago, and here I must make a serious confession which is a pointer to my (almost non-existent) literary education and my broader outlook. Truthfully, I am not what would be commonly considered ‘well read’ at all. Moreover, I have intentionally avoided reading the classics because I wanted to be certain that my thoughts were my own, well as much as we can in a media-saturated world where ideas of earlier thinkers pervade common social norms and thought along with their continual contemporaneous adaption. Undoubtedly this speaks to a certain level of arrogance on my part and a strong desire to be ‘original’ indicative of my natural contrarian impulse.

I found it fascinating to compare More’s thinking, he heavily influenced by classic Greek and Roman philosophers, with mine in “Reset” and specifically the tug of war through human history between wealth and power on one hand and on labour on the other. Moreover, reading More’s Utopia made me all the more confident in saying that herein I have not proposed a utopia in the second timeline nor in the fireside podcast, but a realistically attainable world.

Having said that, I realise that the features for a better humanity that I propose, many of which others no doubt have before me, if more disparately or outside contemporary context, will not be instantaneously, and are even unlikely to be rapidly, implemented. I do believe that these features encapsulate the general direction of human progress and I expect that from the vantage point of 500 years in the future most if not all of what I have described will have come to pass. In actual fact, I would expect that much of it will be in place in under 80 years as the next (Gregorian) century dawns, in large part because it needs to be for humanity to continue to progress socially and technologically.

As a thinker – in modern parlance, a thought leader – I admit to continuous frustration for how long it takes for the masses to catch up, and I lay a large part of that blame at the feet of the human beings elected and entrusted to lead, especially when so much damage is being done to human beings and to the natural world in that delay.

I also made extensive use of publicly available resources via the internet including Wikipedia.

All text was written and researched by Brett Edgerton.

Quotes in the ‘Historical record’ sections are mostly taken from “As He Saw It” by Elliott Roosevelt published in 1946.

All pencil sketches were produced by generative AI (Dall-E) from text prompts by Brett Edgerton.

On MacroEdgo the complete “Reset” story is available for download in a Word document.

Available to download also is “Reset”: The Movie Treatment which tells the same story in the same fashion, but is condensed especially in the “Remantar” timeline and in the “A Future of Our Own Making: A father and son fireside podcast”, to be presented to members of the movie industry with the aim of the story being told in a trilogy. 


Introduction – Next


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It Is Possible to Work in Oil and Gas and Not Carry Deep Guilt that You Are a Part of Stuffing Up the World

But you need to be honest with yourself above all else

I think it is only natural that people want to believe that they are good contributors to humanity. But what to do when humanity appears to ‘turn on you’, once working for an employer and/or doing a role which you perceived many around you in society valued, now feeling almost like a pariah?

In such cases people often argue the case for their employer, increasingly erratically as the writing is on the wall – after all, as a lay person, how can you even begin to argue against human induced climate change when 99.9% of the human beings on Earth who chose to specialise and spend their life understanding and researching the relevant science are united against those views?

We human beings are wonderful at seeing what we want to see, and not seeing what we don’t, even in the face of overwhelming evidence to the contrary.

That is exactly why scientific practice incorporates processes to eliminate biases, overriding impulses we typically submit to in our normal lives.

I can understand that there is a desire amongst those who work in oil and gas companies to believe that they are so safety conscious that they would not continue to engage in activities that put the whole of the world at risk. From many I have heard examples of the extreme lengths that such companies go to to report and manage safety issues. 

But those who are prepared to be honest to themselves will realise very significant contradictions. 

In one such office that on occasions went to extremes on safety and wellbeing, like instructing adults on how to travel to work safely, there was a woman who was made extremely unwell by the misogynist, racist and prejudiced character of the workplace culture, and senior executives – even the CEO of this multinational company – knew of her challenges, which were reported through official grievance channels, but NOTHING was done to address the issue, prevent her condition from worsening, or assist the woman to regain her health.

Others suggest that perhaps climate change observations are really only now being detected because of this western, cautious mindset, and that these changes (like increased incidences of climatic events such as severe cyclones and droughts) might not have been otherwise detected.

Yet these are hardly subtle or minor events, and the science is damning.

The point is that even in apparently sophisticated businesses, people will only see what they want to see, and the culture within the business will have a large impact on what its people actually want to see.

Oil and gas absolutely remain necessary for human society, but for ours and future generations to be healthy and happy or content we know we must significantly decrease its usage and quickly.

If you work in the oil and gas industry, and your workplace culture is one of compassion and inclusiveness, and you have confidence that your business is working towards an energy transition, then you can hold your head high knowing you are serving humanity well.

If after honest reflection you know it to not be the case, then you need to consider your actions e.g. you can influence from within or depart for greener pastures.

A high income cannot extinguish a guilty conscience…


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Carrying Over False Narratives From The COVID-19 Pandemic Will Hurt Vulnerable People In The Next Pandemic

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-03-14/covid-killed-black-children-three-times-more-often-than-white-children

To those who argue schools should not have closed – with full hindsight of what happened through the COVID pandemic rather than in the heat of moment not yet having a clear indication of the infection fatality rate (IFR), nor lifestage susceptibility variances, let alone long term implications from single or multiple infection, which we are still learning –  I suggest reading this article quietly and reflecting.

Then realise that the next pandemic pathogen will have different characteristics.

The one thing I believe we can all be grateful for about COVID is that impacts on young were not so severe.

But that was not the case in 1918.

It is very common in epidemic disease that vulnerable lifestages – the very young and old – are impacted more severely.

Running retrospective reviews are only worthwhile when not run with pre-determined outcomes and/or subconscious bias – that may be the case in some commentary I have read.

Implying anything about how we manage in the next pandemic all-of-life risks to young people – including mental health, education, and so on – from the COVID pandemic must be done very cautiously. 

When we inevitably face another pandemic, all issues, again, will require deep consideration in real-time, and it would be best done without carrying over false narratives. 

Still think that in the next pandemic schools should not be closed unless and until we are certain that it is necessary to protect the life and long-term health of children?

What is always the case in a pandemic is less healthy individuals living in environments which increase  the likelihood of exposure are more severely impacted.

For disadvantaged children to make use of the education all progressives desire strongly for them to lead better lives than their parents, they must first survive, and better survive in good health without long-term health issues.

In the heat of the pandemic it was suggested by some that people like me self-identifying as progressive belied our conservatism as evidenced by the biosecurity measures for which we argued.

Simplistically suggesting that somebody who would argue for closing borders, for example, notably damaging the university sector, is conservative without any consideration of the context is intellectually rigid, and together with the inherent self-interest, is in actuality indicative of conservatism.


Australians have a great deal to be proud of in the way we responded to the COVID pandemic, and those who followed me at MacroEdgo, or have since acquainted themselves with my writing of February 2020, know that the strategy for which I argued strongly was what delivered this result – using our geographical advantage and biosecurity know how to protect as many lives as possible while we waited for our brilliant scientists to provide protective vaccination.

Who else remembers Morrison saying, with exasperation, something like “There are some who argue that we should just close our borders and wait for a vaccine!”.

That was me he was talking about.  I don’t say that I was the only one, but you will be hard-pressed to find others saying so publicly in a verifiable manner.

The Albanese Labor government can acknowledge this because we all know that PM Morrison was dragged kicking and screaming against it all the way – and if they need support, just look at more of my writing including my open letters to Morrison, as I held him to account even when left of centre media fell in behind him (just when he was beginning to gather his ‘extra ministries’).

The one aspect of my strategy that was not adopted was to renounce vaccine nationalism because, as a progressive, I spurn nationalism in all its forms.

Sadly many who consider themselves progressive really lost their way on that one!

If the hard and fast lockdowns perfected in the Labor states was followed in NSW, we could have continued to maintain biosecurity protection of our citizens for a few more months – while planning for very rapid vaccine rollout prior to Winter 2022 – allowing our nation to be global humanitarians vaccinating more of the global poor.

It was at this point in time that Mr Morrison tried out one of my phrases – “it’s not a race” – and we know how that worked out for him, because he had not developed any of the reasoning for why we should not race to vaccinate as I had done.

I was disappointed that Labor chose to take full political advantage of this, but that’s politics for you… and I am in no doubt that in this case some will argue that the ends – of getting rid of a societally damaging PM – justified the means.

However, it is a shame that so many self-labelled progressives flipped to such a strongly conservative stance… touché 😉


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The Unity Bell

Those truly seeking productive workforces need to fit a bell curve to work tasks – not workers – to eradicate value-destroying, demoralising work

There has been much talk recently of how organisations still adhere to the Jack Welch strategy of fitting a bell curve to performance of a workforce to pressure employees to increase productivity.

A  manager at Activision Blizzard quit when he refused to mark an employee’s work performance down to fit a bell curve based on a stacked or forced ranking system.

Many executives say they apply this employee ranking system even while understanding the negative impact on employee morale and health, having a deleterious impact on longer term productivity, and thus being counterproductive to the bottom-line objectives of the organisation. This is all proven by research.

When this forced ranking system intersects with unconscious bias and outright prejudice and racism, well the outcome is obvious and the consequences are only now being openly discussed. No doubt it is an important factor in why 6 in 10 woman of colour in Australia experience discrimination in workplaces.

With unionism long threatened with extinction, and through a prolonged period of Extreme capitalism where white collar employees have been convinced to trade increasing proportions of their best time and energy of their lives for envy-producing goods (status symbols and experiences), executives and managers seem bereft of other ideas to wring more production out from their employees.

Well there is a really, really obvious strategy to improve productivity, but very few Executives or Managers have the mental framework to recognise it let alone implement it. 

Below I explain what is this ‘miracle’ strategy to improve productivity and why it is that most executives and managers simply don’t ‘get it’ even though most in the lower levels of hierarchy understand it implicitly.

Q. So what is this miracle strategy to increase productivity? 

A. Apply that bell curve (of distribution) to all of the work tasks that managers’ subordinates perform, not just to regular tasks in a prospective or planning manner, but also in a retrospective manner to capture all of that ad hoc work – which I call ‘just in case’ work – to identify wasted effort on tasks that add little or no value to the bottom line outcomes of the organisation, or even detract from it.

The importance of collecting data on the ad hoc work cannot be overstated because it is in this once fertile field that the toxic sludge from a half century of increasingly extreme capitalism built on unrelenting self-interest is buried; it captures the work performed ‘just in case’ a manager might have a chance to impress those who might have an influence on their career advancement chances, or alternatively to quell the tirade of an overbearing, bullying superior to survive another day.

I say once fertile because that was where the nuggets of value used to lie in a workforce that was not overworked and overwrought from organisational restructure after restructure in the name of increased productivity which in reality destroys it because workers are burnt out and do not have the bandwidth to carry out necessary tasks to the best of their ability let alone have the energy and clear-headedness to notice those rare but oh so precious golden opportunities to add value for the organisation.

The most surprising of all of this is that it is not subtle or ambiguous.

It’s not like it hasn’t been discussed, either. 

That is why there have been books written like “Bullshit Jobs” by David Graeber and “The No Asshole Rule: Building a civilized workplace and surviving one that isn’t” by Robert I. Sutton.

How much work – either ‘bullshit’ or ‘just in case’ – is performed just for each level of the management hierarchy to claim some level of ownership – and credit – over it, but adds no or minimal value to the output?

How much work is performed in haste at the behest of managers that ultimately is edited out of a text, or skipped over quickly in a presentation due to time constraints?

If it is not going to make the cut down the track, or is deemed insufficiently significant enough to mention, then why was that call not made earlier to cut it, preferably filtered out by the manager immediately who thought of it recognising that the level their group is currently working at means that a high bar for potential value-add should be applied to what ad hoc work they forward on to their subordinate group.

The reality is that nobody knows how much pointless ‘bullshit’ and ‘just in’ case work is done for ‘asshole’ managers, managers scared of ‘asshole’ managers, and just plain lost managers trying to survive in a system that they feel controls them rather than vice versa. 

Interestingly those data never seem to warrant collection.

I would point, however, to the success at improving productivity by organisations participating in trials of and/or switching to 4 day work weeks and/or reduced employee work hours without pay reduction.

Note also that organisations open to such changes in employee conditions are likely to be some of the better employers, raising the likelihood that workplaces with cultures less open minded to employee work-life balance would likely enjoy even greater productivity fillips.

I know I hardly need to give examples of these behaviours because everybody who has read to this point will have been flooded with recollections of (probably) both their own actions and those of their managers past and present.

But people like me (having been out of the workforce for 20 years) and Brian Birmingham (the manager who quit his job at Blizzard Entertainment) are relatively rare nowadays in being prepared to speak out openly as most fear implications to their careers. So I will give a personal example.

One of my few genuinely paid ‘gigs’ as a scientist (i.e. with a professional salary rather than subsistence level stipends and fellowships) was as a Government biosecurity policy risk analyst and I was recruited by the head of animal biosecurity after she had completed a one year sabbatical in the group where I completed my PhD. She was a strong, intelligent woman, and at a personal level I enjoyed her company. But professionally she was incredibly controlling even though she was very senior, so much so that she would literally re-write everything that came out of the unit. At the time I had published a widely acclaimed PhD thesis, and at least 10 peer-reviewed journal articles as well as consultancies and magazine articles, and was frequently praised by reviewers for my writing (which was intentionally more concise than my writing on MacroEdgo). None of my immediate managers did this, nor the person who replaced her. It was a complete and utter waste of her time and mine, it was demoralising to be treated in such a way to mechanically sit there and carry out her editing exactly (because it was all done with red pen on typed pages), and it added no value whatsoever to the output of the unit.

The documents were no better or worse, just different. All it did was utterly stamp her mark on the output of the team and put everybody in their place.

In truth having taken the time to write that I now feel it is petty and of limited value. But that is a reflection of the nature of what occurs, and again – this happens to everyone, in one form or another, and it is petty and pointless!

These behaviours destroy productivity over the short, medium and long term.


To the bell….

It is my strong contention that if a distribution were fitted to the quality (in terms of potential value-add to the bottom-line outcomes of the organisation) of tasks asked of employees in most contemporary organisations it would have a strong positive skew as shown below.

Figure 1: Positively skewed distribution of the potential value of work tasks asked of a theoretical ‘typical’ employee – the distribution has a long, fat tail to the right comprising tasks of increasingly marginal and questionable value.

This graphic is taken from The Wall Street Oasis website with the accompanying description:

In investing or finance, a positively skewed distribution tells us that an investment or portfolio is expected to experience frequent small losses and few large gains.

In this case we are talking about investments in human capital in the form of employees’ time, and even more critical, their energy.

Does that positively skewed distribution not explain the work experience for very many?

This sort of statistical comprehension is taught in all business schools. It’s taught in first year undergraduate degrees, for Pete’s sake. It’s Finance 101!

So here’s the thing – if all of this is so obvious, why don’t all of these MBA brightsparks just change and start implementing a bell curve to the tasks they have their subordinates carry out rather than to the rankings from their perception of their subordinates’ performance to improve productivity?

First observation, of course, is that fitting a bell curve to performance is a top down process, whereas fitting a bell curve to tasks, including retrospectively, has a large element of bottom up to it, and that runs counter to the power structure in modern organisations. 

Related to this point, Executives and Managers are products of this current system and most of us humans have a natural aversion to doing away with a system that we have succeeded within. Moreover, maintaining the system produces more of the same types of managers ascending the escalator behind them, and that gives them comfort and embeds affinity bias.

Most importantly, though, bell hooks was entirely correct when she highlighted the significance of and corrosion caused by domination within our contemporary societies and at work, including by women over other women, emanating from our historical system of white-supremacist patriarchy (see relevant quotes in this article and preferably read “The Will To Change: Men, masculinity and love”)

The type of significant culture change that this represents is always resisted because the ranks of executives and managers are full of the products of the existing system, and that is a very significant problem to overcome.

Those who truly want to achieve productivity gains, however, need to weed out the Managers who select for mini-me aggressive types, who for example, recognise themselves in actions which place a manager’s self-interest ahead of their subordinates and then smirk (almost in admiration) when informed by that subordinate. 

Leaders who weed out the assholes, no matter how highly placed in the hierarchy, will be rewarded with significant leaps in productivity which endures because it is the product of a cohesive and engaged community of employees.

What will be observed is that when a compassion imperative supersedes the profit imperative, productivity, and thus profits, are actually improved as a consequence.


Pre-empting the disagreement… (Note, this is getting right into the reeds, so readers without a strong intellectual interest in this area might prefer to skip to the final passage for some masterful lyrical imagery…)

In conducting my desktop research and due diligence for this post I came across an interesting riposte of David Graeber’s “Bullshit Jobs” thesis by researchers from the universities of Cambridge and Birmingham which they claim counter many of Graeber’s main points. 

Their research suggested that indeed there was significant psychological harm to someone from working in a role that they perceived as being pointless.

However, the researchers largely discounted all of the other points of Graeber’s thesis finding that surveys show only around 5% of workers in European countries feel that they were not doing useful work.

I would hope, having read to this point, that the flaw in their argument is apparent.

What the researchers actually did was bury down into workers who answered ‘rarely’ or ‘never’ to the statement: “I have the feeling of doing useful work”.

I am not surprised that only 5% of workers feel that they do work that is of no use. Not at all, because, as the researchers agreed, that is really destructive to mental health so people who feel that way are going to try to move on before long to another role. In nations with social safety nets they will likely quit or find another way to exit the job.

More importantly, however, note that I talk about pointless tasks not a job as in a position or role occupied by an employee. Even ‘jobs’, as in ‘bullsit jobs’, can be a synonym for ‘tasks’, as can the term ‘roles’. 

But these researchers approached the questions based on the employee’s whole job or role as the empirical unit for examination, even though in their journal publication they frequently quoted Graeber’s comments in relation to ‘tasks’.

The reason why Graeber’s thesis captured so much attention is because many, many people – most likely very nearly everybody – does, and has often done, tasks (or ‘jobs’ or ‘roles’) as employees which they considered pointless.

Note, then, that the research did not examine the proportions of employees who felt that some of the tasks that they performed were pointless, so of course there was no opportunity to analyse proportions of their tasks that they performed that they perceived as pointless.

The problem with this analysis is highlighted in the below passage from the “Methodology”.

Figure 2: First paragraph of the “Methodology” section from Soffia, Wood and Burchell (2019) “Alienation Is Not ‘Bullshit’: An Empirical Critique of Graeber’s Theory of BS Jobs”. Work, Employment and Society36(5), 816–840

The researchers apply a very absolute measure for a ‘useless’ job – essentially the feeling of being totally and utterly devoid of use, or extremely close to it – which in turns sets a very, very low bar for what is a ‘useful’ job, that being the employee sometimes has the feeling of doing useful work. They then go on to argue that they are not (further) lowering the bar by discounting “don’t know” responses, asserting that they achieved some sort of equivalency with Graeber.

I simply do not agree with the authors. These words are meant to create conversation, and Graeber’s certainly did, a point which the authors ultimately seem to appreciate. Okay, whenever anybody writes like this it is impossible to scrutinise every single sentence, phrase and word for law-like precision. Graeber’s words should not be approached as a legal document to be proved beyond a shadow of doubt. Neither, do I suggest, they should just be accepted at face value. It is the thesis that matters and this research, in my opinion, does little to address the true underlying concept or spirit of the thesis. And, importantly, there are some data there that could be drilled down into by the authors, unfortunately that was not done.

Moving on, noting closely that this research was based on pre-pandemic data, it was also interesting to observe that one major issue of apparent contradiction with Gaeber’s thesis was that he listed garbage collectors, and cleaners and helpers as having critical non-BS jobs whereas the survey found that these workers ranked highly for feeling that they did useless jobs (almost 10% in some cases which I find truly saddening).

I would suggest that this shows a level of self-perception, as a reflection of broader societies’ perceptions, on the value of these roles, and this whole issue was put under the spotlight early in the COVID-19 pandemic. It would be interesting to see whether these workers’ self-attitudes have changed through and after the pandemic. 

Moreover, we cannot ignore that much of this attitude is associated with a dismay that society does not value these roles significantly enough to ensure that remuneration reflects the value they add to society in comparison to other roles occupied especially by white collar workers. As Prof. Michael Sandel told us in his meritocracy discourse (discussed on MacroEdgo here in Part 1 and Part 2), it is not just the elites through this long period of Extreme capitalism (my words) that have come to believe that their efforts truly merit their fortunate position within society, but less fortunate people have been forced to accept widening wealth outcomes which have gradually infiltrated their own perceptions of their value to society so that they (sometimes painfully, other times angrily) accede to the view that the situation is a result of them not ‘achieving’ or being ‘meritorious’.

Interestingly the authors arrive at a similar viewpoint to mine, however, when they attribute the social suffering from the feelings associated with useless work to social interactions at work, especially with managers, finding relevance for Marx’s writings on alienation.

It is disappointing that in their study they set the limit for that suffering too low by discounting people so disengaged they did not know whether they ever had the feeling of doing useful work and those who only sometimes have that feeling.

I do not consider that this discourse by the UK researchers dispels what I have written on the subject, nor the underlying premise within Graeber’s thesis, and certainly not Sutton’s discussion of assholes with which they may largely agree.

Finally, I consider it telling that the authors use their perceived debunking of Graeber’s thesis to outright dismiss the need for a universal basic income while at the same time coming out in support of unions. This is a feature of left-wing writing over the past decade that I have noted previously.

Ultimately, I cannot escape the sad reality that working people at all strata of society are poorly served by the political structures with which we entered the 21st century, for the right is motivated to exploit them, and the left to recruit them into unions to staunch their losses from the past half century.

Thus, both sides of the political divide are conflicted, and neither side is truly reflecting the reality of where we are heading in this new era which highlights why this area requires the greatest Reset.


I leave you with the full lyrics to “High Hopes” by David Gilmour and Polly Samson from “The Division Bell” Album by Pink Floyd because they seem somehow incredibly appropriate…

Beyond the horizon of the place we lived when we were young
In a world of magnets and miracles
Our thoughts strayed constantly and without boundary
The ringing of the division bell had begun

Along the Long Road and on down the Causeway
Do they still meet there by the Cut

There was a ragged band that followed in our footsteps
Running before times took our dreams away
Leaving the myriad small creatures trying to tie us to the ground
To a life consumed by slow decay

The grass was greener
The light was brighter
When friends surrounded
The nights of wonder

Looking beyond the embers of bridges glowing behind us
To a glimpse of how green it was on the other side
Steps taken forwards but sleepwalking back again
Dragged by the force of some inner tide
At a higher altitude with flag unfurled
We reached the dizzy heights of that dreamed of world

Encumbered forever by desire and ambition
There’s a hunger still unsatisfied
Our weary eyes still stray to the horizon
Though down this road we’ve been so many times

The grass was greener
The light was brighter
The taste was sweeter
The nights of wonder
With friends surrounded
The dawn mist glowing
The water flowing
The endless river

Forever and ever


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Pernicious Envy

“The world is not driven by greed. It is driven by envy”.

Charlie Munger, Feb 2022, aged 98, Vice Chairman Berkshire Hathaway, Chairman Daily Journal Company, Billionaire, Genius.

The pandemic-time reflecting that I first foresaw in February and March 2020 and discussed here at MacroEdgo revolves a great deal around envy.

Envy has become integral to our modern identity – how we see ourselves, and especially whether we are ‘worthy’ of envy by others, and how we identify others, or how we perceive our relative ‘envy-worthiness’ in comparison to others.

Pandemic reflecting was always going to revolve around two things – first, what sacrifices have we been making to be more envy-worthy, and then are these sacrifices really worth it and ultimately are they making ‘me’ content in my life and proud of who I am.

I believed that the answer to that final question for very many would be ‘No’, and that is why I predicted a ‘Great Reset’ in attitude and behaviours.

Since much of this reflection revolved around envy, which obviously is intimately involved with income and employment, this Reset has involved a progression of observed worker behaviours from the Great Resignation, then Great Reshuffle, then Quiet Quitting, and now the Great Breakup.

This is where greed intersects with envy, and especially how the greed of the Global Elite 1% intersects with and encourages the envy of many of the remaining 99% of us or 7.92 Billion people (note that the global population right now is surpassing 8 Billion!)

I expressed this view in my brief essay “What Really Scares The Global Elite“, as humanity was beginning to struggle with the consequences of the first truly global pandemic in over a century, on 14 April 2020:

What the Global Elite really fear is you developing insufficient ASPIRATION to acquire all of those things [defined earlier as impressive life experiences and things that may create envy in others]!

That in this time of solitude, with painful loss experienced by so many families, when the Jones’s who must be kept up with are less visible to us, societies of people might reflect on what it is that nourishes souls and gives meaning, and that we collectively might decide that is not continual wasteful mindless consumerism hand in hand with higher consumer debt.

The Global Elite fear what I have termed “The Great Reset” because they know that major global events often are accompanied by this psychological reset.

That is why the Global Elite are so concerned to end the lockdowns as soon as possible. They want to get everyone back on their hamster wheels – of working more and more to earn more and more to buy more and more things with the aim of impressing others – before those habits are lost for a generation.

I concluded that piece by imploring people to continue their honest reflections and not be manipulated back into that downward spiraling envy cycle.

Still two and a half years later we are doing just that en masse as the Global Elites – exclusive of Charlie Munger and his partner Warren Buffett – try all of the tricks at their disposal to get us back on our hamster wheels, imbalanced, discontent, many angry others hurting for reasons they do not understand…


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Families And Work

I am always up for a real talk – whether it be ‘gritty’ or ‘feel good’.

And I think it is wonderful you shared your depth of emotion, Georgie Dent, in this post – I appreciated it greatly. I also wish to express gratitude for you working so hard to gain progress for families which the expanded parental leave [announced in the Australian Federal Budget on 25 October 2022] undoubtedly is.

In my writing I regularly express my vulnerability over what my family has faced, also, but for good reasons I cannot be as open as I want to be. Not at present, anyhow.

Let me just say, in total and complete honesty and sincerity, I don’t think we (all) would have survived what we have been through these past 3 years (totally unrelated to the pandemic) somewhat ‘intact’ if I were not a fulltime home parent and able to give all of my support and energy to keeping our ‘pieces together’ at home.

If I were carrying my own work stress on top of what we have faced, I am certain the impacts of what we confronted (and still do as recovery remains uncertain) would have been even more devastating, especially to our sons.

Yesterday I wrote in an email that when I think of what happened to Aishwarya Venkatachalam I am just grateful we are all still together. It then struck me what a profound statement that is to make.

What we faced, perhaps, was extreme, but the very high rates of burnout occurring globally show very many are struggling with contemporary work-life imbalance.

However, this discussion needs to be much broader than just about burnout and work-life balance.

While facing these extreme challenges I also contributed to society through blogging about and impacting policy around the COVID-19 response due to my highly relevant prior professional experience.

And before that I volunteered extensively at our sons’ primary school where they are increasingly dependent on the shrinking pool of school hours volunteers to give the children special and rich experiences from excursions to swimming lessons to sports carnival food stands to classroom learning in reading, maths, crafts, etc.

These are critical contributions which are necessary for these opportunities to go ahead for the students since regulations are necessitating increased adult participation and/or oversight while at the same time parent volunteering is decreasing.

Hand on heart, on behalf of my family, as a fulltime parent I have contributed fully to society and to the next generation.

Where are the voices to support those of us who make these contributions?

Where is the support, including from two-income families whose children have benefitted greatly from these voluntary contributions, to reduce precarity and reduce the financial impacts on families that make these sacrifices forgoing income?

It seems there is a delusion that time spent in paid employment earning for the individual, including individual families, is more valuable than time spent contributing to all.

Why is work + family always about both parents working more hours, meaning more hours disengaged from family and community?

Ultimately that is what the extra parental leave aims to achieve, also.

Why do we not give greater support to investment in families and community in the form of greater engagement, and not just for their early years but for the whole of a child’s schooling?

If I wanted to be extra ‘gritty’ I would say that it seems to me that contemporary feminism has been subverted by this virulent form of Extreme capitalism that says everything is about money and winning.

We cannot lose sight of the truth that a mother does not need to work to prove they are a ‘real’ feminist any more than a father must work to prove he is a ‘real’ man.*

I consider both views equally toxic and derivatives of toxic masculinity since the system remains an “imperialist white-supremacist patriarchy based on domination” as bell hooks told us in “The Will To Change: Men, masculinity, and love”.

I have considerable sympathy for single parent families, and I know there are a lot of sad stories out there that mean that working long hours in paid employment is necessary and was not a choice for many.

But a lot of Australians with two new(ish) cars in the garage of million dollar plus homes will tell you they have no choice but for both parents to work long hours in paid employment.

The truth is there was a choice, and it was made based on parents’ priorities.

Moreover, plenty of parents say that they would go ‘around the bend’ staying home fulltime with kids; that for themselves they require the extra stimulation from working.

That’s an admission that fulltime parenting is a challenging sacrifice to make.

I agree. I have found it extremely difficult at times.

I just wonder why it is that that sacrifice is no longer respected or valued in our society?

And, perhaps most importantly, I do note that worker-led phenomena in this new era, including the Great Resignation, Quiet Quitting, and the Great Breakup, suggests that many have serious concerns that they were indeed heading ‘around the bend’ in any case trying to balance a ‘normal’ life with the demands of working in Extreme capitalism.

Please note that this post is not directed at any individual – I just hope that we can be open-minded enough for a real conversation to emerge.

And please take extra careful note Prime Minister Anthony Albanese and Jim Chalmers, if you do not broaden your approach on this you leave yourself (and all of us) susceptible to a culture war over family values led by the conservatives, and that would be a very unfortunate circumstance…


* As a Caucasian, heteronormative, middle-aged man I probably would not have had the courage to make such a statement if I did not have the words of bell hooks in “The Will To Change: men, masculinity, and love” to support my views.

In truth, I agreed almost entirely with this work even before I knew it existed – before I had even heard of bell hooks (which was at her recent passing).

On page 55 (first paragraph of “Chapter 4: Stopping male violence”) bell hooks says “As women have gained the right to be men in drag, women are engaging in acts of violence similar to those of their male counterparts. This serves to remind us that the will to use violence is really not linked to biology but to a set of expectations about the nature of power in a dominator culture”.

With another 2 decades of Extreme capitalism since these words were first written, many of hooks’ points of criticism have worsened in an increasingly dominator culture.

Her “Chapter 6: Work: What’s love got to do with it” is incredibly valuable to the reader. I thought to include large swathes of it here but will suffice to pull out a few key passages and implore all readers to buy the book or reread it.

“Work stands in the way of love for most men then because the long hours they work often drain their energies; there is little or no time left for emotional labor, for doing the work of love. The conflict between finding time for work and finding time for love and loved ones is rarely talked about in our nation. It is simply assumed in patriarchal culture that men should be willing to sacrifice meaningful emotional connections to get the job done.”

I would suggest that final sentence now stands accurately gender-neutral.

Later in the same discourse: “Most women who work long hours come home and work a second shift taking care of household chores. They feel, like their male counterparts, that there is no time to do the emotional work, to share feelings and nurture others. Like their male counterparts, they may simply want to rest. Working women are far more likely than other women to be irritable; they are less open to graciously catering to someone else’s needs than the rare woman who stays home all day, who may or may not caretake children.”

I truly wonder at how many contemporary parents working fulltime – irrespective of gender – this passage resonates with. Answers are always looked for in terms of the other parent working more in the home, or to access more and better childcare, and while I have little doubt that these are important considerations, I do wonder how many people are truly capable of assessing the real and full causes of these feelings.

Perhaps, just perhaps, the answer lies in working less hours in paid employment by one or both parents…

Finally, I cannot leave this without acknowledging one of the few areas where I think bell hooks is not so much wrong, but missed an opportunity to be more expansive in her views. Then again we all have the benefit of hindsight of viewing in the intervening 2 decades how Extreme capitalism has worsened these trends.

Further in this discourse bell hooks points out:

“Sexist men and women believe that the way to solve this dilemma [of mother exhaustion from working in paid employment and at home] is not to encourage men to share the work of emotional caretaking but rather to return to more sexist gender roles”.

So she is highlighting the point that I make to our left wing Government, that they failing to be more open-minded on this issue invites a culture war from the conservatives.

She goes on “Of course they do not critique the economy that makes it necessary for all adults to work outside the home”.

I have done “the work of homemaking and child rearing” – and yes, I have had to put up with stigma that it “is still viewed as ‘unnatural’ by most observers”. From some it stung, like from my father, but I mostly ignore it because I am so confident in my choices knowing how my family benefits from these decisions.

However, I have never suggested that I am doing any more than anybody should do in a loving, caring relationship.

In fact, I am critiquing not just the economy but the society that has led people to believe that it is necessary for all parents to work outside the home.

And I will say this: I say proudly but with humility that I believe that if bell hooks knew us she would think that we are a good, well-functioning family that lives a life close to that which she describes as the way forward for society.

I share our experiences not to boast or to lecture but to help when I see that many are struggling, not just day to day, but to understand why they feel tired and discontent when by all appearances they have so much.

Published first on LinkedIn on 24 October 2022


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If Quiet Quitting Results in Reduced Production – A Big ‘IF’​ – Then It Was Production That Never Was Paid For

The despondency many feel captured in pre-release comments by a friend, immediately agreed upon by another…

Since my comment on LinkedIn about David Westin’s sub-par coverage of Quiet Quitting on Bloomberg Television, I am pleased to observe that he has lifted the bar to his normal high standard. Even articles on Bloomberg’s website with titles ostensibly indicating opposition to the trend on deeper reading point at all of the reasons for why it is an important and necessary development.

On Bloomberg Television’s Wall Street Week from 23rd September David Westin had a much better discussion over these developments with Larry Summers, introducing the topic through Tom Brady’s announcement he is taking each Wednesday off from work.

Larry discussed his concern over the potential impact of these trends on productivity, which is a regular concern mentioned by business leaders and economists, and by politicians in general talking about policies aimed at increasing workplace participation.

It was suggested by Larry that a drop in hours worked by employees of say 3% equated to a pay increase of 3% and a 3% drop in productivity.

It was unclear whether Larry was talking about overtly working fewer hours for the same pay, which is obviously a related issue as it addresses improving work life balance, or whether he was talking about Quiet Quitting which meant the reduction was in reality setting a boundary and that the time being reduced was never paid for by the employer.

If it were the latter, I would find it jarring that there would be concern about a loss in productivity that was obtained as a gift from workers at best, and by exploitation of workers at worst.

Yes, when all of the labour businesses use must be paid for, productivity per dollar spent producing a product will decrease.

But is there not fundamentally something wrong with not paying workers for the labour they supplied to produce the product?

Is that not something that the West has railed against for over a century since slavery was abolished and has objected to with regards to other nations?

There is another problem with this simplistic view, however, and it is made obvious by the data emerging from trials around the world at reducing paid weekly work hours while maintaining the same level of weekly salary. Consistently these case studies are showing that the level of production is maintained even though people are working fewer hours per week, i.e. real labour productivity increases, that being production relative to effort as measured by time.

It is confirmation of what David Graeber said in “Bullshit Jobs”, along with others, and of what I have been saying about ‘just in case’ work consuming large portions of workers’ effort and time.

Many may have trouble accepting this reality. So, as I like to do, I am going to break it down with a concept to show how this all was predictable based on changes in the workplace that have occurred over the past half century of Extreme capitalism.

Implicit in capitalism is a view that each worker will contribute towards the bottom line of the enterprise, whether it be profits for businesses (as in Friedman’s Profit Imperative) or outcomes towards goals for not-for-profits and Government agencies. Of course, as greater acceptance of these Friedman’s precepts spread in management culture, the not-for-profits and Government agencies were reorganised to more closely resemble in function and in culture profit-based organisations so that outsourcing and all sorts of initiatives were undertaken in the name of efficiency (even when experiences were often showing these to result in inferior outcomes).

But the point is that this culture spread so that there is not much cultural difference between workplaces, in general, and that the rare workplaces that standout for being good employers for workers are a result of actively and decidedly swimming against that current.

(Don’t believe me, well check this article out and while I readily admit to being impressed by the Founders, the reader should note I did not even realise that the article I was about to mention in my post was actually on the Atlassian blog until I copied the link.)

What has been the biggest element of these culture changes through the long period of Extreme capitalism?

I would suggest it has been the increased competitiveness between colleagues and the acceptance of a view that the ends – of achieving promotion and other individual rewards – justify almost any means.

This explains a large part of my interest in the reality show “Survivor”, and especially how the show has developed – i.e. competitor tactics or behaviours – over the past two decades, as I have mentioned often in my blog posts.

The belief in the importance of the individual over the collective good has been central to this change. The misbelief that greed is the greatest natural motivator of human beings was used as justification and led to broad acceptance that self-interested actions are a natural and, to some, even admirable modus operandi.

I also have it on good authority – actually several authorities – that recent and temporary migrants from developing nations are especially sort after within strongly domineering organisations as such individuals typically retain a stronger ethic of working towards a collective goal, culturally they are inclined to believe (and are less likely to challenge) their boss and higher executives on what is that goal, and because their extra vulnerability makes them especially compliant and hardworking, and thus less likely to object to their exploitation.

Where did this self-interest culture come from?

Well ask the average person whether they believe many politicians are acting in the interest of the broader community, and whether CEOs deserve pay packets equivalent to 100x the average remuneration within the organisation and then receive a sweet golden handshake when leaving after just a few years at the helm even when their performance was sub-par.

In Australia we even had a recent ex-politician (and Ambassador to the US) admit that the government he was a part of had given up on doing the job of leading the nation, justifying their dereliction of duty with some waffle about private enterprise and the individual.

When people observe those entrusted to lead exploiting the system for their own advantage over the collective good, then the concept of working towards something greater than oneself is not just severely eroded – it is entirely lost!

Why would they be a dope and work for something greater than themselves when nobody else is?

Now I am not for a moment suggesting that ambition to ‘get ahead’ is new, but I would suggest that whereas that saying once indicated a desire to get ahead of regular bills and financial commitments to give a little breathing space in life, now it is given to imply a great deal more about outcompeting colleagues and others in society.

And along the same lines, I will get in quickly before the doubting reader retorts, “but aggressive and dominating bosses have been around since day dot”, and say that the fracturing and individualisation of the workplace – along with strict control of information sharing between colleagues, with legal implications – has weakened those collegial links and made everybody more vulnerable to psychological and other impacts from dominating bosses.

So here is the concept. Whereas 50 years ago there was an assumption that everyone in an organisation knew that they were working towards maximising the bottom line outcomes, and understood within the organisation there would be a spectrum of ambitions held across the workforce, most people believed that the leadership – if not always sympathetic to individual concerns – was invested in those outcomes.

Conceptually that might be depicted as below with all levels of the organisational triangle from the CEO (or highest placed executive) at the peak right down to the newest and most junior members (the bottom level of the hierarchical pyramid) of the workforce committed to working for that outcome. In this model with 6 hierarchical levels above the base level (left triangle) each person has 6 direct reports so that the level below the CEO is responsonsible for the resources below them in the triangle (the middle triangle) and each subsequent heirarchial layer has responsibility for resources below them (as shown in the right triangle for an employee on the second level below the CEO) and so on downwards to the base layer. Thus, this model organisation is composed of 46,656 employees below the CEO.

In the pre-Extreme capitalism period there was an implicit assumption that employees’ motivations were well understood – everyone was working towards the same goals (below left, a portion of the above hierarchical triangle depicting every worker at every level in the organisation motivated to drive towards the desired ‘bottom line outcomes’ for the organisation as indicated by green arrows) while there would be variation in the level of aspiration for promotion amongst the workforce (as indicated on the right in the same portion of triangle, thus the same employees, with various sized red arrows pointing upwards indicating varying aspirations for promotion).

Now from a half century of increasingly Extreme capitalism few really believe that everyone is working primarily towards the stated bottom line outcomes because it is not their lived experience or what they see from people in privileged positions within society.

Yes, I realise that compensation frameworks for high level executives attempt to match remuneration with stakeholder expectations, especially of the owners of capital (large and powerful shareholders), but we all know the whole system has become very short-sighted. Shenanigans that lift share prices rapidly or are at least seen to rapidly achieve other goals, irrespective of long term needs or even consequences, win out with the owners of capital and other influential stakeholders who are more often than not looking for quick gains. But you don’t need to believe me on that, just observe Warren Buffett’s commentary over much of this period (I realise some infer he is a relic who does not understand the modern business world… or is the reality that he imposes a level of authenticity to contemporary business practices that most insiders would prefer left unstated?).

In a very individualised system, where greed is thought of as not just natural but a necessary ingredient for success, where there is no trust that anybody near or around you is authentic and genuinely working primarily towards the bottom line of the organisation, it is very obvious what a person in charge of resources – including labour resources – is going to do…

Of course they see those resources as theirs to get for themselves additional winnings including remuneration and bonuses, promotions, and other status-related trappings of their position which they can brag about internally within the organisation or externally within their social groupings and display to broader society.

The people with greatest self-interest in the system are primarily motivated by using the resources at their disposal for their own purposes, and the degree to which this self-interested motivation outweights organisational bottom line goals is inversely correlated (as below showing the same portion of the organisational triangle as above modified to reflect the situation in Extreme capitalism).

That is where ‘just in case’ work erodes the bottom line of all medium to large organisations – those in charge of these resources fill much of the time of those working under them with extra tasks that might just be handy to make that manager look good, as if they have gone ‘above and beyond’, to those in a position with influence that just might increase their case for rewards including promotion.

This works just the same for those (many) managers with dominating bosses – their anxiety over being picked apart leads them to have their staff following all sorts of red herrings ‘just in case’ their boss has had a bad day and is intent on finding something wrong in what has been done knowing that continual setback will impact their chances of receiving rewards.

Now here is another thing – of those businesses that I mentioned earlier that have been trialing reduced weekly work hours for the same weekly pay, I wonder where these businesses open-minded enough to participate in the trial might be on the spectrum of workplace cultures.

I think most would agree that they are likely to already be some of the better workplace cultures.

And if these ‘better’ workplaces are seeing significant benefits, then you can be sure that workplaces with very dominating and destructive cultures will see very significant benefits.

So I ask anybody thinking deeply on Quiet Quitting and the other broader changes happening in this new era which I refer to as the Great Reset, which revolves around significantly greater self-care through redefining our identities through our broader connection in society, what is the most important task for leaders today…

Convincing workers to go back to the office and doing all of those extra unpaid work hours?

Or implementing a Compassion Culture so that the workforce buys into the authenticity of the bottom-line goals of the organisation?

Now, just as the answer to this question is obvious, so too is the biggest stumbling block – that the escalators of budding executive leaders within organisations are full of the same type of self-interested, hyper ambitious individuals – affinity bias in action – which need to be made to understand that the culture has changed; that the resources that they have been privileged to oversee are living breathing human beings with lives more diverse and complex than their pure utility in the workplace.

This is where I actually was encouraged by the recent widely discussed Gallup research which found that fully two-thirds of managers were not engaged. That supports my thesis because it shows that these people trying to ride the escalators of ascension are also hurting, and I would have been disappointed and discouraged if the findings were at the other extreme.

This means that these managers know that they are not thriving as individuals within such competitive and dominating environments, and many likely are seeking change but feel powerless to achieve it by staying in place, while believing that a shift is unlikely to be to a better workplace culture.

This has actually been a common retort of employers through the workplace changes noticed in the Great Reset era thus far from ‘the Great Resignation’ through to ‘Quiet Quitting’ now.

My response is simple – you are not better off with the devil you know!

Think about what you said. You are dealing with a devil!

And we all need to have greater optimism in humanity and that the best we can aim for is to be accepting of our exploitation.

It has long been my view, based on vicarious observation, and ultimately trauma, that for many who spend time in a deeply toxic work environment their behaviour migrates from civil to increasingly boorish as they learn from observation and experience that such behaviour is more frequently rewarded within the culture.

Such compromises to character and values are not done without a psychological cost to those who plasticise their personality for personal gain.

The bottom line is this – managers will buy into a Compassion Culture if the leader is authentic. And those who resist, those truly psychopathic managers out there (I recall one Australian survey found that 1 of 6 managers had psychopathic traits) who have been favoured by the selection process and affinity bias applied through the Extreme capitalism period, will simply need to be culled.

And if senior decision-makers baulk at the thought of paying out the phsychopathic managers to remove them, just consider for a moment the cost of not doing that in terms of productivity loss from their negative impacts, and worse still, costs from injury claims and legal costs that I stated are likely to explode over the years ahead especially for organisations slow or resistant to implement a Compassion Culture.

Perhaps the biggest question is exactly how many of the psychopaths made it to the real seats of influence within our organisations. As my close connection made clear in their comments to me in the photographic header to this post, and another who read their comments and immediately agreed, there are many who have been in these environments for several decades and are deeply despondent in their belief that there are far too many psychopaths in influential positions to even countenance that positive change is possible.

But I think you will agree, Larry Summers, perceived drops in productivity from Quiet Quitting is really quite trivial when we consider the prospective unleashing of the full creative potential of humanity in the Great Reset era where work life balance is sustainable and people identify fully with their broad contributions to society …

Published first on LinkedIn on 30th September 2022


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Quiet Quitting, Quiet Firing and Loud Quitting: Explainers

Quiet Quitting – An employee doing what they are paid to do to the best of their ability, but doing no more. At its basis this is about a worker setting boundaries to not be exploited by an employer and is thus a rejection of Extreme capitalism that assumes an employee will accept any and all ‘opportunities’ for a chance to ‘get ahead’, i.e. build more wealth in competition with colleagues and in broader society to acquire more material and status goods. Some QQs may be prepared to do more work, to the best of their ability, if paid. Others are not interested in doing more work, even if paid fairly for it, because they recognise the extra costs to them of that work in terms of their broader roles in society and the impacts on their health, and because they have deprioritised the acquisition of material and status goods.

Quiet Firing – An employer, most often a manager or group of managers, deciding that a worker or group of workers is no longer beneficial to them – or perhaps the worker(s) has tried to improve the culture which threatens the manager(s) as in the case of ‘whistleblowers’ – so the workplace is made intentionally hostile to that worker or group of workers to psychologically coerce them to leave rather than them being overtly fired with potential costs including, but not limited to, legal action or bringing extra attention to the manager(s) internally or externally. Results in greater toxicity, because those implementing such a strategy are inauthentic and incapable of the authentic compassion and empathy necessary for a healthy work culture, which may be counteracted by offering (real or illusory) enticements to others to encourage the isolation of those being quiet fired so that colleagues lose their own empathy and compassion for their colleagues who are being mistreated.

Loud Quitting – Is when an employee has become so disillusioned with a workplace that they will leave but will not do so quietly taking to social media and other means to expose the toxic workplace culture responsible for traumatising them. Many career advisers suggest that this is an error for the worker, and while there is some validity to the view that there may be career consequences, it is important to not trivialise the trauma to which the employee has been subjected especially when their voice (cries/pleas) was disregarded. I do not profess to know what was going through that dear, precious woman’s mind, but it would appear to me very obvious that by taking her life by jumping off the Ernst & Young building where she worked, for very long hours in an environment she had told friends she was mistreated, Aishwarya Venkatachalam’s final statement to the world was a piercingly loud one against toxic workplace culture and racism. As a society we cannot let that statement pass without action – we must not remain tone deaf to these cries for help from very many amongst us! #sayhername

First Published on LinkedIn on 21 September 2022


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Quiet Quitting

Actually, it looks like I have lost my posting ‘privileges’ on LinkedIn so it remains to be seen whether this will be published on LinkedIn today – I have tried several times, although it says posting was successful, it does not appear in my list of posts or in my activity … addendum – amazing what mentioning here and in an email did – post up now…

Quiet quitting – the term – is a misnomer. 

Most assume that it is about quitting on a job. It is not.

It is about quitting, or refusing to participate, in a system that has progressively become unsustainable because it is unfulfilling and unhealthy to those within it.

Extreme capitalism is what is being quit!

Quiet quitting is an appropriate and compassionate action to take and it is a part of major changes that come together in a new era which I refer to as the Great Reset.

What needs to be asked is not whether it is acceptable that a colleague does just what they are paid to do, nothing more, nothing less.

What really needs to be asked is whether a colleague should be permitted to outcompete others purely in terms of hours worked.

If someone feels insecure at proving their value from a set number of working hours, with their unique combination of hard, intense and efficient work (relating to intelligence including EQ), should they be permitted to work uncapped hours to outcompete others who may not be able to work extra hours because of any number of reasons related to their broader lives (i.e. parenthood, other caring roles, and other giving roles within society including self-development and self-care)?

Of course the employers and self-interested managers within the system are not going to recognise this and support or even agree with the need for this change; Extreme capitalism benefits their self-interests and many feel they are due this from subordinates or employees because it is what they did to achieve their status.

With no cap to permitted work hours, within a system based on domination from imperialist white-supremacist patriarchy, insecure workers in large organisations take on more and more meaningless, ‘bullshit’ (from David Graeber’s work), just-in-case tasks that are pointless and soul-destroying, while in small business they remain vulnerable to exploitation as there are few other options where a compassion imperative is enacted.

Like all Real change this is being driven by people power. 

It requires self-reflection on what is really important in your life. Many have done that work for themselves through the pandemic and have decided to quietly quit on Extreme capitalism.

There is nothing to be afraid of, you just need to be honest with yourself on one question – Did I feel fulfilled with the life that I was living in 2019?

If the honest answer is No, then you need to ask yourself whether you really want to return to it as pandemic measures become forgotten and employers push for a return to ‘normal’, the normal that favoured them so greatly.

Perhaps quiet quitting is the most compassionate thing you can do for you.


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Compassion Culture Benefits All Stakeholders Including Shareholders

Why is a compassion culture better for all stakeholders in capitalist societies including shareholders?

Besides the threat of unheralded injury claims from toxic workplaces that put businesses in jeopardy (as I explained in “The Great Reset At Work“)…

it is my thesis that a great deal of work done by white collar workers is ‘just in case’ work which is really about making self-interested managers look good, or addressing their anxiety over potentially appearing bad to their domineering managers, rather than actually adding value to the business.

I have witnessed the rise of ‘just in case work’ from many sources over many years.

And yes, this is highly related to David Graeber‘s famous “Bullshit Jobs” thesis where he argues that over half of work is pointless and knowing this does harm to those who are made to perform this work.

After the extended period of Extreme capitalism, many workplaces are operating manically, and managers down through the hierarchy are thus incapable of making good decisions to increase productivity by genuine efficiency measures. Executives have continually initiated restructures to achieve efficiencies which in the main are a euphemism for smaller workforces. 

Headcount cuts just drives that viciously manic cycle and actually decreases pure productivity (quantity of work adjusted for quality relative to effort) thus burning out workers trying desperately to, at best, appear to be as productive as before the headcount cuts by increasing their own effort even further.

All of this is worsened by ubiquitous communication technology eliminating separation of work and home life.

This explains the negative stimulus behind the Great Resignation/Reshuffle and Quiet Quitting.

(Of course the positive stimulus is Great Reset era thinking that a better work life balance, and an identity less entwined with ‘what I do’ for income, is indeed attainable.)

This describes the reality of many large organisations, and the consequence has been an enormous experiment to see how long before large numbers of human beings ‘break’.

The evidence, from many sources including from insurers, suggests that point was surpassed in the past decade.

Of course in small businesses the reality is somewhat different in that actively involved owners will immediately seek to eliminate inefficient ‘just in case’ and other pointless work if detected.

The more tenuous nature of the small business workplace, however, incentivises small business owners to exploit workers and owners use this to justify their own poor behaviours to themselves. 

This behaviour is systematically supported in two ways. After decades of Extreme capitalism, regulatory capture by business groups including small business means that regulation and enforcement is not as active as it should be to protect workers from exploitation.

Secondly, when the worker knows that there is as high a chance of being overworked and burnt out in a large corporate business as a small business, ‘better the devil you know’ becomes a strong factor in accepting exploitative practices.

If large corporations develop a ‘compassion culture’, and if Governments regulate and enforce for it, then small businesses will have no choice but to follow, and businesses that are viable only by exploiting workers will be exposed as unsustainable.

This will lead to much better allocation of resources in economies, and thus will actually strengthen our capitalist societies.


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The Great Reset: The concept and the passion

In “The Great Reset: An explainer” I gave a brief description of the political and economic backdrop that led to humanity entering the pandemic at a moment of social extreme with a paradigm shift due or even overdue.

I explained that trends in society tend to occur in cycles that can be conceptualised as a swinging pendulum.

The truth is that this concept is simplified because it infers that trends oscillate around a stationary point but we know that – no matter how much conservatives seem to dislike the idea of it, at least over shorter time frames – human society has progressed an awful lot since we mastered fire and put circles to work (as wheels and then gears).

So intuitively most of us understand that our societies progress over time, but most of us also recognise that there are periods where change seems to happen quickly, and there are other times when change happens slowly, or perhaps conditions even go backwards. In many ways we see societal progress over time as the diagram below shows, a wavy line but generally heading up to the top right hand corner of the graph.

Wavy line of social progress over time

To make the situation even more complex we all understand that societal progress is in reality a whole host of factors ranging from major issues such as how we view inequity in wealth (the major idea discussed in the ‘explainer’) to relatively minor factors such as how we choose to dress and present ourselves, though older members of society through history have often treated these as far more significant issues (for example in the 1960s when young people as a cohort really began to express their individuality). That is in part an over-reaction from those who feel insecure that they are no longer a part of the demographic that sets trends within society, but it is also a reflection that all of these trends intersect to produce an overall view of societal progress.

In other words, if we were to narrow in on that wavy line of progress we would notice that it is the overall trend, but that there are an infinite number of trend lines – some more significant, some less significant, some oscillating more slowly, others more rapidly – that together make up the overall trend. This is a little like zooming in on a Google map revealing progressively smaller roads which are less and less significant to the overall way people move around, but that does not mean that those very minor roads are less significant to all of us (e.g. those who live nearby in the case of roads).

Of course the relationship between capital and labour – those who have large pools of resources and wealth at their disposal, both personally and/or as a consequence of status or position within society, and those who do not – has always been one of the most critical trends affecting human progress.

Now these wavy lines of social progress can still be reconciled with the swinging pendulum concept if we think two-dimensionally, or in the second derivative as some who like maths prefer to say.

If you are not a fan of mathematics, let me explain it this way. Imagine that you have an animation of a singing pendulum on your phone which you are looking at on the face of your phone. Turn the phone a quarter turn so it is at a right-angle to you and then gradually raise your phone as you move it from left to right while visualising in your mind the position of the round end of the pendulum. Hopefully you can visualise it tracing a wavy line like the one above.

Now in this concept I intentionally chose a pendulum singing widely and above the centre point because that is how progress has occurred for humanity to this point as I described in my explainer. The path of the centre point of that pendulum swing is drawn on the next diagram to show that it indeed rises at a constant stable rate but that there are moments of extreme when the pendulum approaches a course change at the top of its swing.

Wavy line of social progress showing periods of extreme

Side view of a pandulum at various positions indicating its centre (the orange line) moving upwards at a constant rate over time.

I referred to this concept of an upwardly rising pendulum for societal progress in an earlier essay entitled “How Might Milton Friedman Respond To The COVID-19 Pandemic“. Friedman is considered a hero of conservatives as it was in large part his intellectual rigor that led to the reforms of the 1980s most famously implemented in the US by President Reagan and in the UK by Prime Minister Thatcher due to their veneration by Anglophone conservatives. In Australia reforms around this time were implemented by the centre-left Hawke/Keating governments.

The main point of that essay was to say that I believe that the Mr. Friedman who wrote “The Social Responsibility Of Business Is To Increase Its Profits” in 1970, if he were brought forward in time to assist humanity in responding to the COVID-19 pandemic by allowing his economic rigor to intersect with recommendations of medical experts, would not have recognised the economies that he was dealing with because it would be unfathomable to him the extreme to which his ideas had been taken. Thus I posited that he would have said that if he was to formulate a response to the COVID-19 pandemic he would not be starting from here!

There is no need to rehash exactly where we are, in my view, in an observational sense as it would be a repeat of that essay and much else that I have written over the past 3 years including most recently in “The Great Reset: An explainer” and in “The Great Reset At Work“. Instead I will label the most recent half century of that wavy line of social progress with dates as below showing how through the 2010’s the pendulum was at an extreme and its direction change has created the perception that our progress is actually retarding.

Just as the 1960s and 70s was a period of social extreme, so too was the 2010s as the pendulum reached its climax especially in the way our Extreme capitalist system favoured capital over labour.

However, if we narrow in on the model for the present day and through the next few decades this model explains exactly why I am ultimately very optimistic.

As the pendulum reached its extreme in the 2010s social conditions were extreme. But the pendulum has begun its swing back and is gathering momentum. This is the Great Reset Era and the rate of change will continue accelerating as ideas spread from early adopters to influencers to the broader public.

I firmly believe that we are setting ourselves up for a golden Great Reset era where social progress will accelerate on the back of significant reform which is possible because humanity is primed for that change no matter how much conservative and other right wing political actors attempt to scare the population away from the idea of social progress (again, which I will not discuss as I have on many occasions, most recently in “The Great Reset Era At Work“).

The evidence of this is pervasive through society in the way that we communicate and tell stories, i.e. through all of our media, and is apparent to anyone perceptive to it. And my perception is that this is indeed accelerating as I would expect to happen.

Much of that change will centre around how we identify with ourselves in the Great Reset era, and at the centre of that will be the role of paid employment and creating a better balance between it and our broader lives and roles in society. Thus industrial relations is shaping up, once again, to be a focal point. 

Given the level of inequality, debt, and middle-class erosion, however, the breadth of dissatisfaction expressed and change desired will surprise many corporate and organisational leaders and leave many flat-footed and unable to adjust. The impacts will not be felt just in poor performance of organisations under their influence, it may prove fatal if toxic workplace culture is exposed through the legal systems as I anticipated in “The Great Reset At Work“.

Simply Milton Friedman’s profit imperative is being replaced by a compassion imperative.

The corporate leader who has best articulated this change to this point is Indra Nooyi and I recommend this video to all.

In my next post I will describe one idea which I believe its time has come and which has the potential to unleash human potential in unimaginable leaps and bounds – the introduction of universal basic income. 

Before I close, however, I feel I need to go negative once more because that is still the mood of this phase of the Great Reset era, and it is appropriate because it spells out exactly what is at stake.

As this model of social progress shows, and as most of us know intuitively when we think over the very long term, humanity is continually at its most progressed state even though there are periods where we perceive we may be regressing, sometimes for long periods such as in Middle Ages (for a brilliant blog post on this see On Progress And Historical Change at Ex Urbe).

We look back and wonder – either actively or subconsciously – how was it that we lived without developed language skills and proper shelter, without knowledge that mercury and lead were poisonous, without electricity and modern mechanisation, and without labour and human rights protections.

Many of us take that one step further and wonder how our current societies will be viewed in centuries ahead, and as our science continues to progress, what commonly used substances and practices will ultimately be proven to do us more harm than good.

I am of the opinion that this period over the past half century will be viewed dimly because, for all of our smug contempt for our ‘primitive’ forebears, we have lost our sense of community as self-interest has led to the ‘democratisation’ of human beings harming human beings as people have fallen for the Extreme capitalist propaganda that status benefits (materialism and ego) from ‘winning’ outweigh the benefits of deep and rich connection with our societies. 

There are no real winners in Extreme capitalism, just an unquenchable aspiration for more wins and more things. 

Even the ‘winners’ and ‘owners’ are hurting, they just cannot admit that to themselves let alone others.

A culture of domination nourishes nobody.

And when it comes to the unsustainable use of our finite resources, we are all losers even if many still refuse to admit their error.

The extreme self-interest exhibited by our leaders within the political and corporate spheres has been especially harmful. It is hardly a surprise that this type of behaviour has been imitated widely throughout society, after all, there is a reason why the term ‘leader’ developed.

For my entire life I have lived in a society where nothing is valued, not an action, thought or thing, unless at least one other is prepared to pay for it. Now that the mental health impacts of all of this are becoming understood, mainly because it is impacting the profitability and functioning of businesses, there is growing acceptance of the critical need to address mental health. But there is no market value in acknowledging that this crisis stems from the unquenchable aspiration at the heart of Extreme capitalism.

The evidence now shows that diverse, equitable and inclusive workplaces are more profitable. So finally we have sufficient reason to be fair to all human beings within organisations, if only we would genuinely commit to achieving it!

And what about equality on a global basis?

That our society has devolved to the point where human beings being good to other human beings is only prudent when it is profitable says everything about us as a modern society.

The most striking peacock is equally vulnerable to the same diseases as the rest of the flock, the toughest fighting male salmon soon meets the same fate as the vanquished, and the hardest working bee will survive not one day without a hive.

The success of humankind was not built on the individual, it was built on the collective support of individuals within our society. If we wish to unleash humanity’s full potential we need to collectively support all individuals with compassion and love. 

That is at the heart of the Great Reset era…


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To Reset To a Compassion Culture A New Global Formal Greeting Is Necessary

In organisational and formal social culture, nothing speaks more to an imperialist white-supremecist patriarchal system based on domination than the handshake.

There is so much social expectation and perception associated with the handshake. Virtuallly every person living in a western nation has had the feeling of having their hand twisted into a more passive position (with their palm facing more upwards) by someone intentionally or subconsciously asserting dominance.

I have heard body language professionals give advice on how to respond in such a situation.

When greeting by handshake a hand extended in the upright position indicates equality – a willingness to meet as two equals. So when the hand is extended with it twisted over beyond the upright position – indicating inequality – rather than responding by being passive and submitting by turning your hand with your palm facing upward, you can place your hand atop theirs and shake.

Much is made of handshakes because of the importance of first impressions.

Those particularly polished in etiquette and diplomacy train themselves around this, intentionally altering their handshake for the circumstance. If they wish to appear warm and non-threatening they will extend their hand with their palm more open and facing upwards so that they can embrace the other person’s hand, often then cupping it with their other hand or touching them further up the forearm to accentuate that warmth. If they wish to appear firm but fair, the hand is extended upright at 12 o’clock. And if they wish to assert themselves they extend it in the dominant form, twisted over beyond 12 o’clock to a varying degree depending on the level of strength or dominance that they wish to express.

The force exerted in grasping the hand is also important with obvious correlations.

It is as common for people to criticise others’ handshakes for being too weak or limp as it is to criticise them for being too firm. In my experience women often speak of males’ handshakes being weak suggesting a level of learned or hard-wired expectation of masculinity.

Personally, I was taught how to shake hands when I was 5 by my father when he refused to continue kissing me when I went to bed at night, telling me that men shake hands.

I am certain this behaviour, stemming largely from homophobia, is repeated in many cultures. I remember my brief but great mentor JR Bonami (also a very important mentor to my friend Dr Shi Zhengli, the brilliant “Batwoman” scientist from the Wuhan Institute of Virology) explaining to me local social etiquette during my time in Montpellier, France telling me that in the south of France men don’t kiss like the (apparently less macho) northern French men.

In the new Great Reset era, where we are developing a compassion culture to replace the culture of domination, where for instance heteronormative men are expressing themselves by wearing clothing formerly associated only with women, it is appropriate that we develop a new custom of greeting in formal situations in parallel with the fluid informal expressions of affection that accompany friends greeting.

However, because what is being discussed is a formal greeting, and people often feel uncomfortable over-expressing warmth such as by hugging or kissing, and often females especially feel pressured to comply when someone leans in to kiss or hug, it must take a form that is truly inclusive.

Developing a new mores (I admit I needed to search for the right word) for formal greeting is important because it gives us agency to express immediately in a formal setting that we are woke and will not accede to imperialist white-supremacist culture of domination.

The greeting should be strength expressed as warmth and compassion.

Do you think we can learn from other non-imperialist matriarchal or more passive cultures and adopt that custom, and if so, please share your suggestions.

Otherwise should we develop a totally new style of greeting?

Head to LinkedIn to let me know your thoughts in the original post, and please share… thank you

Published on LinkedIn 25 August 2022


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The Great Resignation In The Context Of The Great Reset

At this point in the Great Reset era we have heard most about the Great Resignation (or Great Reshuffle) which is unsurprising as businesses wonder aloud why they are finding it challenging to retain their workers and how to attract talented workers.

Some employers are even sceptical, and have suggested workers may regret their actions, especially as interest rate increases result in more challenging economic times which employers believe will give them more leverage over their workers.

Those who lead organisations would be wise to accept that the Great Resignation is just one, albeit important, feature of this new Great Reset era.

What is occurring is much deeper and goes to our identity and our perceptions of self-value.

Collectively we are all acknowledging that our lives are short and precious, and that we want to live the best versions of ourselves.

While the majority of us continue to trade for income our most valuable time and energy of our lives – for over 40 hrs each week for 48 to 50 weeks each year from our late teens or early 20s through to our 60s – we are going to continually assess whether that situation is working for us and whether it allows us to be who we really want to be.

Organisations that thrive in the Great Reset era will be those whose leaders engage authentically and deeply in compassionate wellness with their fellow human beings.

Published on LinkedIn on 9 August 2022.


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The Great Reset: An explainer

Pendulum at extreme in favour of Capital

After walking amongst humanity for a while, cycles beyond the seasons or clothing and hairstyles become noticeable.

These cycles are noticeable also in political beliefs, and although that can seem boring to understand, it’s important because the political system affects all of us.

Perhaps the most important political cycle that affects everyone is the balance of power between those who have a lot of resources or ‘capital’ – that is the wealthy and privileged within society – and those who have few resources beyond their own natural attributes – that being their unique combination of intelligence and physical abilities – which they trade as ‘labour’ to employers.

In our modern capitalist societies the balance between various groups is arbitrated by our democratic rights to share our views freely and vote based on them.

In my lifetime over the past half century that cycle between capital and labour has swung from one extreme to the other as if we were on a widely swinging pendulum. When I was young the balance was in favour of labour, the majority of people, as trade unions had significant support and power within the political system.

It was a time of many strikes, high inflation and poor economic growth as priority was given to providing good incomes to the majority of people. In truth the system was not very efficient and it became unsustainable.

But from the 70s the pendulum swung back and a lot of necessary reforms happened. It’s important to note that these changes were agreed and often enacted by centre-left governments as well, which occurred in my own country of Australia.

Unfortunately humanity has not really worked out how to know in real-time when we have reached the point when too much of something is a bad thing because the balance has shifted too far.

By the time we entered the new century the balance between capital and labour had shifted too far and the signs that we had reached a form of Extreme Capitalism were showing, especially in the extreme level of inequality even in the most prosperous societies.

The middle class was shrinking and the working class poor were numerous and growing.

At the human level these deficiencies were mainly expressed in the impact on the mental health of people in the system where most felt that they were on a hamster wheel, sprinting and reaching out for juicy carrots but getting nowhere fast. The only thing in their hands were a few crumbs that had trickled off the table from the privileged one percent.

People were increasingly expressing their exhaustion but were feeling trapped, partly because they believed the saturation advertising that the rewards would be worth it if they just ‘hustled’ enough on their hamster wheels.

So by the end of the 2010s the system was due for a paradigm shift; the swing in the pendulum back from that extreme form of capitalism.

The unceasing drive for efficiency in the system, which led human beings to treat each other as if they were already machines, was unsustainable because it was literally breaking people.

Human beings were breaking other human beings!

Enter the COVID-19 pandemic which, in an attempt to minimise human impacts, or at least manage impacts on hospital capacities, led to isolation measures which for many forced separation from their hamster wheels.

Many still worked, either at home or onsite in essential services, which in itself highlighted for many that the rewards from this form of extreme capitalism were not tightly correlated with the importance of those roles in society.

This forced physical separation allowed a unique opportunity for reflection for everyone. It allowed psychological separation to varying extents.

While we were isolated from most others in society, for those who sheltered with others closely related to us, including family and other loved ones, it was an intense period of connectedness with those who matter most in our lives.

Right through this period we all searched for updates on the pandemic, watching the news or scrolling through social media, which served as constant reminders of the reality of human life and of sad loss experienced by so many.

It was always going to be the case that through this period many people would reflect on their lives and whether they felt that trading the majority of the quality time and energy of their lives for the rewards of the hamster wheel was really a fair trade.

Some parents and families realised that they had not been all that closely connected in recent years as the parents were on those hamster wheels convincing themselves that they are doing best for their families, and even children were kept busy with extracurricular activities almost as training for their own future hamster wheels.

Others realised that they had made compromises and moved away from their earlier aspirations and ideals.

Still others reconsidered whether the cost of earning extra income for now or later in retirement was worth the cost to them in the here and now while their health is good, especially as they understood that life expectancy was falling with this new ultramicroscopic threat which just highlighted one of the many omnipresent threats to human lives that have always existed.

With the pendulum at its extreme in favour of capital – the wealthy and privileged – our societies were due for a reset.

That it coincided with, and in many ways was catalysed by, the first global pandemic in a century meant that it would be a very significant Reset.

Given the potential for it to lead to the addressing of some of the longest lasting or most devastating issues humanity has confronted, in the form of social cohesion and in the climate crisis, optimistically from March 2020 I began to refer to this era as the Great Reset!

As I have consistently stated since the first few weeks of the pandemic, the more of us that engage with these changes and share our views and aspirations for a better humanity, the better – dare I say, the Greater – will be that Reset and the more cohesive our societies.

By working together towards compassionate societies we will reduce the oscillation of the pendulum and prevent the turbulence and heartache that the extremes cause. This will improve the quality of life for all of humanity and the space that this peace provides will allow us to address new crises from nature as they are certain to continue to arise.


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In The Great Reset Era Successful Leaders Focus On Wellbeing And Authentic Connection

The underlying premise of what many say here at LinkedIn – especially those employed in the corporate wellness sector, either embedded in organisations or as external consultants – is that addressing wellness is good for the bottom line.

While I recognise the accuracy of this statement, I find it confronting.

Since work culture is a result of the behaviours of groups of human beings, what is really being said is that human beings should care about human beings because it is good for company profits.

While this argument might act as justification for a salary or a consultancy, from a societal perspective there is something fundamentally very wrong with that statement.

Moreover, while these measures may lead to improvements, I really do wonder at how enduring change will be when it is so correlated to monetary and market-based rewards. We all know that organisation/managerial fads are commonplace in contemporary workplaces.

I can say this because I am not driven by a profit imperative or self-interest. I simply want to play a role in helping society towards a better future by engaging and sharing my views.

That we have devolved to a society where it makes most sense for human beings to be good to each other, and within our broader interactions in the world (i.e. our impacts on the environment), if the market rewards it monetarily or in some other manner (typically related to societal status) is a consequence of the form of extreme capitalism that we have swung towards over the last half century.

This is at the heart of emotion and logic behind major changes, such as #thegreatresignation , we are seeing in this new era we have entered which I refer to as #thegreatreset .

People are tired of this world of transactional relationships as they crave authentic and deeper connection.

In the Great Reset era work-centric rhetoric and responses are seen as lacking and impotent.

Compassion is the only sustainable answer, and that is true in all settings

The irony is that those who understand and enact that in the way they live will reap the full rewards from engaging in society, including from capitalist markets as the underlying premise of the statement is correct, though they probably will not notice it since it is no longer their main goal.

For example, over many years I have closely observed one of the greatest capitalists ever in Warren Buffett and it is very clear to me that he was never driven to be powerful. Instead he was driven to excel at whatever he did, no doubt partly to provide security for he and his family, but also as a contribution to his society, and since he was especially good at capital allocation in a capitalist system he became wealthy almost as a byproduct of his passion and skill.

The short answer: if your motives are true, your actions will also be, and everything else will fall into the place it should be…

Published on 2 August 2022 on LinkedIn


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Power Dynamic Disruptions At Work In The Great Reset Era

Anybody who wishes to monetise their ‘social’ activities on the internet knows that they should frequently remind the human beings they are engaging with of the value of those activities. In other words, they must post frequently lest their engagement metrics decline along with their potential earnings.

I said from the outset that I was not about seeking financial reward for sharing my views at MacroEdgo, even though the pandemic provided a timely opportunity to do just that given my related experience and uncanny ability to accurately forecast how the pandemic progressed which caused my readership to explode in early 2020. I recognised this opportunity, but my motivation remained true to providing a service to my community rather than seeking to profit from what was a very sad and unfortunate development for everyone.

Now I have been especially quiet in my writing this year and that is primarily because I have had to deal with some very serious personal issues. In truth these issues were present at the beginning of the pandemic, requiring a great deal of balance to pour energy into everything I needed to at that time. Then early this year, as the pandemic issues settled – note carefully, not the pandemic itself, but the rate of new issues of relevance settled considerably – and as my personal issues reached a crescendo, I needed to prioritise care for my loved ones and myself.

Now that those issues have also settled I am able to engage again with social issues that I see as critical and which I feel passionate to write about.

I continue to be more and more convinced of my views about humanity having entered the Great Reset era, and in fact I am noting how this phrase is growing in use through society, in entirety or with an alliterated R-word following ‘Great’, as in the Great Resignation, Reshuffle, Reassessment, Rethink, etc, etc.

Much of this usage to this point relates to changing power dynamics at workplaces as workers enact plans for change to balance their lives better as I foresaw early in the pandemic – this search by people for balance and purpose in their lives is, after all, one of the main underlying premises of my ‘Great Reset’ thesis.

Since career and workplace dynamics is a major focus of change, I have decided to become active on LinkedIn. Below is a recent post which was spawned from some thoughts that I shared in a comment on LinkedIn.

The underlying premise of what many say here at LinkedIn – especially those employed in the corporate wellness sector, either embedded in organisations or as external consultants – is that addressing wellness is good for the bottom line.

While I recognise the accuracy of this statement, I find it confronting.

Since work culture is a result of the behaviours of groups of human beings, what is really being said is that human beings should care about human beings because it is good for company profits.

While this argument might act as justification for a salary or a consultancy, from a societal perspective there is something fundamentally very wrong with that statement.

Moreover, while these measures may lead to improvements, I really do wonder at how enduring change will be when it is so correlated to monetary and market-based rewards. We all know that organisation/managerial fads are commonplace in contemporary workplaces.

I can say this because I am not driven by a profit imperative or self-interest. I simply want to play a role in helping society towards a better future by engaging and sharing my views.

That we have devolved to a society where it makes most sense for human beings to be good to each other, and within our broader interactions in the world (i.e. our impacts on the environment), if the market rewards it monetarily or in some other manner (typically related to societal status) is a consequence of the form of extreme capitalism that we have swung towards over the last half century.

This is at the heart of emotion and logic behind major changes, such as #thegreatresignation , we are seeing in this new era we have entered which I refer to as #thegreatreset .

People are tired of this world of transactional relationships as they crave authentic and deeper connection.

In the Great Reset era work-centric rhetoric and responses are seen as lacking and impotent.

Compassion is the only sustainable answer, and that is true in all settings 🙏

The irony is that those who understand and live that will reap the full rewards from engaging in society, including from capitalist markets as the underlying premise of the statement is correct, though they probably will not notice it since it is no longer their main goal.

For example, over many years I have closely observed one of the greatest capitalists ever in Warren Buffett and it is very clear to me that he was never driven to be powerful. Instead he was driven to excel at whatever he did, no doubt partly to provide security for he and his family, but also as a contribution to his society, and since he was especially good at capital allocation in a capitalist system he became wealthy almost as a byproduct of his passion and skill.

The short answer: if your motives are true, your actions will also be, and everything else will fall into the place it should be…

Brett Edgerton (Stay at home Dad at MacroEdgo) at LinkedIn published 3 August 2022

I have also written an essay entitled “The Great Reset Era At Work” which I published exclusively at LinkedIn.

I will still publish here at MacroEdgo, but please consider coming and following me at LinkedIn. I have a few more pieces in draft ready to be published there.


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Redeeming Imposter

This is my attempt to increase the momentum in support of the Uluru Statement From The Heart especially amongst us non-First Nations Australians.

This past year I have opened my eyes and heart more than ever to the need for progress towards true reconciliation. As the Uluru Statement From The Heart website says, First Nations people make up only 3% of our population and progress will remain slow and prone to setbacks unless greater numbers of non-First Nations people openly and actively accept the beautiful and generous invitation extended to us.

The Uluru Statement From The Heart talks about Makaratta, the coming together after a struggle, which encompasses truth telling. In this spirit I have written my own statement of regret, and as is my own way to attempt to show leadership, I have chosen to share it below.

I would like all to consider writing their own statement of regret for themselves – it does not need to be published because I don’t know what good it would do for each and every one of us to confess our failings publicly.

I offer mine as much as anything as a guide to help others to accept our truths and complicity in wrong-doings.

The most important act any of us can do is honestly open our hearts to our truths – only then can we publicly affirm our acceptance of the generous gift within the Uluru Statement From The Heart.

I have guilt for my wrong doings, but I refuse to be silent in my guilt. As Mohammed Ali famously said “the man who views the world at 50 as he did at 20 has wasted 30 years of his life”.

I chose not to waste mine.

I ask all of my Australian friends and contacts to commit to the objectives in the Uluru Statement From The Heart and be guided by Makaratta to make peace and mend all our hearts and heal our nation.

Simply, and in the same way that much of the power in the statement Black Lives Matter is the absurdity in this day and age that it NEEDS to be stated – laid bare in statistics from life expectancy to incarceration rates including juvenile incarceration to deaths in custody – let’s all agree that there are no Australians amongst us MORE IMPORTANT than those who trace their ancestry here back 60,000+ years!

Write your own truth telling – share it if you wish – but the most important act is to do the work for and with yourself, and then publicly commit to supporting the Uluru Statement From The Heart by sharing this post or by writing your own declaration.

In unity with First Nations people and all people of good character,
Brett

Redeeming Imposter

Oh guilt.
I cannot let go of his words
“What happened to you?
When we first met [at 17]
You were more racist than me!”.

It is not him that I struggle to move beyond.
He is trivial and long forgotten.
Pruned.
It is me I struggle to forgive.

“I saw the world and it changed me”.

Never one to be outdone,
“I also saw the world.
It never changed me!”

My greatest shame is that I was no longer a child when he first knew me.
I was a lad.
A weak, confused fool.
A traumatised young man,
But still an adult.

I realised, however
That my guilt is no reason to stay silent.
Yes, I am an imposter.
I wish I wasn’t,
But I cannot deny it.

I was always an imposter.
As a lad my indigenous team mates never understood the prejudice I harboured.
If they did they never called me out.
Instead they showed me admiration I did not deserve from them.
And at uni a group of beautiful, vivacious young indigenous women took me under their wing.
They never called me out.
They showed me affection and acceptance that I did not deserve from them.

I never felt like a greater imposter than the night these beautiful, caring women honoured me by inviting to a kup murri
to feast on dugong and turtle
And other traditional foods
And share in their culture
At university.
I now understand just how special that was
And what an honour it was that they chose to share that with me.
I deeply regret that my immature heart was not properly open to that wonderful experience.

Racism is weird
Because the truth is that growing up
I did feel bonded with these people.
It was always more about what I perceived
Others would think of me.
That was my weak character.

These guys I always admired and felt connection with,
And they were often who I considered the coolest in the school yard
Or in the footie club
Chinny, Freddie, Jack and Johny Sav, Namok, and many more.
And at uni beautiful and funny Wilma,
Zelda smart and hard-working,
Nola’s wit could run rings around anyone.
All brave, funny and inspirational.
I don’t know why I allowed there to be barriers within me
Which hindered our connection.

In truth
I do know why I did –
Conditioning by my elders.

Racism is stupid because it continually calls for the disregarding of the observed obvious.
The continued judgement of a group
Or ‘type’
Of people irrespective of your own personal observation and experience.
Worse still,
The disregarding of your own feelings.

During my recent reading of bell hooks’ masterful
“The Will to Change: Men, masculinity, and love”
It was very clear to me that
Racist conditioning
Is an extension of the
“Psychic self-mutilation”,
The killing off of the emotional parts of ourselves,
The “first act of violence that patriarchy demands of males”,
In fact it is demanded of all of us.

Away from home for the first time,
I saw the shock in other young eyes
When I repeated the filth that my elders had said,
Unchallenged by others,
In front of me.
Truthfully I was just as shocked
Because the hurt was written on the faces
Of the Caucasian youth
Never before exposed
To such strong racist comments.

I was never a clever imposter.
I was gutless and afraid.
It was that cowardice which motivated my deception.
And if I got pulled up,
I would have shit myself.

I suspect it was the hearts of my indigenous friends
Which saw mine
And some innate wisdom in theirs told them to look past my failings
To see the potential that I possessed
To be a future ally.
An authentic and strong ally.

As a descendent of a pioneer of the sugarcane industry
I must acknowledge that I personally benefitted from your displacement from your custodial lands,
And it is further likely that I benefited from the exploitation of First Nations and other minoritised peoples.

For that I wish to extend my heartfelt apology.

My failings extend beyond these,
I know,
In ways that I now understand
And in ways that I am yet to.
I know that I have experienced privilege all my life
Which means that conversely,
Each and every one of you has faced obstacles that I did not.

I cannot change any of this now,
So I will always feel like an imposter.
It is better to feel like an imposter,
And use that to spur me on to be a better person,
Than be afraid to admit it to myself
Thereby continuing to be one.

I will always try to use that guilt
To maintain my humility
To be the best kind of ally.
An ally that listens
And is guided by your voice.

For over half of my life, now,
I have considered myself your ally.
I have listened to your voices
And advocated for you based on what I discerned from those voices.
I spoke up against elders and contemporaries when they criticised indigenous culture and practices.
Or when they have expressed overt racism.
And I have sort to role model to my sons a deep love and respect for all First Nations peoples,
Especially our own.

But I know I have been too passive.
Too inactive.

I offer this expression of regret
In the spirit of Makaratta
Described in the ‘Uluru Statement From The Heart’ as
“a process of conflict resolution, peacemaking and justice”.

It is my personal response to First Nations peoples’
“aspirations for a fair and truthful relationship with the people of Australia.”
It is my truth in the hope that I can make genuine connection with my lifelong friends
And with the culture
That I love
And am so proud has existed in you
The custodians of these lands
For
Over
Sixty
Thousand
Years!

For all of my life I have beared witness to
The “torment of [your] powerlessness”.
What is more,
As above makes clear,
I have, regretfully, been a party to
Perpetuating your powerlessness.
And even when I realised it,
I was far too passive.

I know
I, too, must
Get up
Stand up, and
Turn up.

And I will!

If we cannot treat right the people who have lived in this country for over 60,000 years,
Then really,
who can we do right by?


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The Great Reset: Inevitable, irreversible, deep-rooted in connection


The Great Reset is the era in human history that we entered (or which accelerated) in the COVID-19 pandemic where connection with ourselves, within society, and to the natural environment, and fairness, equity, inclusion and compassion superseded accumulation of material wealth and ‘winning’ as the primary aspiration within societies leading to more balanced and sustainable lifestyles.


On 30 March 2020, as humanity remained naïve to the implications of the newly recognised pandemic from COVID-19, having exhausted myself in attempting to influence Australian national policy to minimise human impacts from the pandemic, and wanting to give a more optimistic glimpse into what could be our future as an aid to get us through the difficult months that lay ahead, I released my essay “The Great Reset“.

I concluded the essay as follows:

Be in no doubt that there will be hard-hearted factions that want things to go back as closely as possible to the inequitable and unfair world that existed before this war [against this novel coronavirus] because that is the game that they know how to win. That is exactly what was occurring in the post-GFC period. There will even be others who want to tilt things further to their advantage. These are the people that like to say that “a good crisis should never be wasted” and you just need to read Elliot Roosevelt’s “How He Saw It” to understand how that occurs.

Ask yourself this: Do we really want to get through all of this hurt, of the realisation that we are all humans, fearing and hurt by the same things, and come out the other side of this battle against COVID-19 to enter into the same petty argument of the reality of the climate change crisis with hard-hearted right wingers behaving petulantly not accepting that they are in the wrong?

If this battle against COVID-19 proves nothings else it shows that all our fates on this beautiful planet are inextricably linked. The only sustainable way forward for humanity is united and time and effort spent moving in the other direction is an utter waste and dangerous to us all.

Let this be the Great Reset that puts humanity back on the track that perhaps the greatest US President ever [FDR] wanted for us all!

In understanding early what were the biological consequences of the emergence of the ‘novel coronavirus’ outbreak due to my professional training as a research scientist in infectious disease and biosecurity, and having also developed a strong and enduring interest in socioeconomics, I foresaw earlier than others that humanity was collectively entering a period of extreme shock that would cause personal pain through all of the main channels in societies.

I was certain in early February 2020 that our world had changed, and I knew that this shock would cause a ‘psychological reset’ within all but the most emotionally repressed so that humanity would be forever changed.

(To underline just how ‘ahead of the curve’ I was, including in comparison to experts who were being referenced at the time, and to counteract hindsight bias, I recommend that the reader consult my comments on these articles at “The Conversation (Australia)” from late February 2020 to be reminded of the context in which I was writing at the time – one article is by a foremost journalist, and another is by experts who have since become household names in the pandemic.)

I developed ‘the Great Reset’ topic into a series of posts on MacroEdgo which includes to this point:

Beyond these posts, my view that humanity had entered a new era in our collective history catalysed by the COVID-19 pandemic, but not nearly entirely caused by it, is an underlying premise of my writing on MacroEdgo since February 2020.

Specifically I draw attention to my essay “How Might Milton Friedman Respond To The COVID-19 Pandemic” as seminal in highlighting why Western Societies had become primed for this inflexion or paradigm shift.

As I explained in “The Great Reset: Momentum builds with the World Economic Forum agenda“, I have suggested that in the fullness of time this period in human history might best be referred to as ‘the Great Reset’ in the way that ‘the Great Depression’ is used to refer to that historical period. That post is my most thorough description of recent history around the use of the phrase ‘the Great Reset’ with the intention of discussing how I came to use it along with a continuation of my views on the importance of societal progress in a cohesive manner against the divisive forces of Trumpism and other variants of populism.

I should be clear early on that I was very supportive – even flattered – that the World Economic Forum (WEF) adopted ‘The Great Reset’ as the title of their agenda. While I was disappointed to see the extreme left join with the extreme right in rejecting the agenda, due to a suspicion or rejection of capitalism, thus giving the phrase a public relations challenge in its wider adoption, I am deeply respectful of the WEF’s efforts to progress their agenda which is so very similar to that which I and others have espoused.

I have dealt with the concerns of the far left in much of my writing, especially “The Great Reset: Building the bridge” and “Humanity Needs Good People In Tough Jobs“.

In short, the problem is not capitalism itself. The problem is the extreme form of capitalism that we have developed over the last half a century.

Evidence is already mounting that the ‘reset’ that I anticipated is manifesting. Though in societies which have managed to protect themselves from the worst impacts of the pandemic, as in Australia where I have resided through it, the signs are perhaps a little dulled and less perceptible, they are more visible through popular culture channels and the various media feeds from broader humanity.

Having placed myself within the broader context of this new era which I refer to as ‘the Great Reset’, I will now describe what are the signs and themes that I am seeing of this new era unfolding. I will then share my optimistic views on how I believe that these trends are set to broaden and deepen within our societies.


The Great Reset era can be expressed in one word above all others in my view. Connection. Everything else flows from that one character of human existence.

My typical Australian upbringing leaves me uncomfortable with the thought of appearing narcissistic or immodest. Nonetheless, in the 19 months since writing “The Great Reset” I have seen so many signs of that reset in connections within our lives that I have grown even more certain that it is well in progress, and I am growing more optimistic that it will be ‘Great’. What follows is a far from complete list of observations by mentioning key actors in this era and what is their significance.

Prince Harry and Meghan Markle are major contributors in this space with their willingness to show vulnerability especially on mental health and to speak up strongly on issues of equity and compassion. Their ability to promote their messages is unparalleled with strong links to the most established of ‘influencers’ such as Oprah. Meghan’s children’s book “The Bench” is one very clear example of how they are having long-lasting, positive impacts:

While this poem began as a love letter to my husband and son, I’m encouraged to see that its universal themes of love, representation and inclusivity are resonating with communities everywhere. In many ways, pursuing a more compassionate and equitable world begins with these core values. Equally, to depict another side of masculinity—one grounded in connection, emotion, and softness—is to model a world that so many would like to see for their sons and daughters alike.

Meghan Markle, The Duchess of Sussex

I also noted that in an interview discussing the “The Bench” Meghan says “from scraping a knee, to having a heart broken, whatever it is they [father and son] always reset at this bench and have this moment to bond“, the reference to ‘reset’ being both patent and appreciated.

The release of Prince Harry and Oprah’s Apple TV+ production, “The Me You Can’t See”, was an inspiring moment during the depths of the pandemic in the developed northern hemisphere in May 2021, shining a bright spotlight on mental health and trauma. When Prince Harry and Oprah began collaborating on the project in early 2019 they could never have foreseen the circumstances into which it would be released. It’s impact was marked as evidenced by immediate jumps in Apple TV+ subscriptions and viewership revealing the strong desire of audiences to engage with authentic material and especially fellow human beings who have overcome adversities to connect more deeply with themselves and others.

A key feature of being a leading figure in this new era thinking is being singled out by ultraconservative media and Trumpists for being ‘woke’, or well versed in the vernacular of ‘political correctness’, and Prince Harry and Meghan Markle has rapidly become one of – if not ‘the’ – favourite targets for their attacks, which likely has nothing to do with the English royal family into which Prince Harry was born.

In all of my writing about the Great Reset era I have stated that the ultraconservative political apparatus will fight against all of this change, and there is evidence that the trolling against Prince Harry and Meghan Markle is indeed professional and highly targeted.

It is appropriate to state here, also, some very serious concerns. The role that Prince Harry and Meghan Markle are playing share many similarities to that of John Lennon and Yoko Ono in a previous era, and it is clear that their views and their ability to get their messages out to broader society greatly threaten very many conservatives. I have no doubt that the security issues involved with protecting this family that especially Harry expressed concern about in his discussion with Oprah are very real.

It is a very great shame that through disappointment with their decision to live their lives in the US the decision was taken by the relevant UK and/or royal authorities to cease their obligation to actively protect this wonderful family that has become so important as a globally uniting force. My greatest fear is that tragedy befalls them and it is only then that high-level royals, UK officials, and the broader UK public realise their error and petty-mindedness.


While the very essence of the Great Reset era is a desire for richer, more fulfilling connection, it is my firm belief that very many of us had been in search of that connection leading up to the COVID-19 pandemic. The search for connection was there upfront and centre in my one and only reality television appearance (filmed in June 2019) where it was the factor that outweighed my desire to buy land with a property in Abruzzo, Italy, instead buying in a village to connect with authentic Italians whose traditional lives highly value social and family connection. In my application to the show I referenced some of the issues that I have now fully disclosed in “How Farmers Lose Their Perspective” and “For A Moment Consider That Meghan Might ‘Complete’ Harry Not Contaminate Him“, and the executive producer pushed for me to open up on these issues on camera. Liz recognised that this search for connection, and the underlying reasons for that search, was extremely topical and thus made me ‘relatable’ to the audience, but I was not ready to do that in such a widely viewed manner. I always felt that her disappointment was in part because she, herself, was searching for some answers.

Of course the pandemic and the measures taken, either by mandate or personally, to minimise the chances of contracting COVID-19 have on the one hand highlighted the necessity for human connection in our lives and on the other exacerbated the thirst for that connection.

Much of the discourse around connection does relate specifically to male connection, either males searching for that connection, or the consequences of males not having quality connections.

Male connection has provided a deep but rich vein of emotion for artists to tap into over the years, with some of the more memorable classic songs of the last half century being focused especially on the challenges fathers and sons can face in forming strong and enduring connection. Songs like “Cat’s in the Cradle” by Harry Chapin and “The Living Years” by Mike and The Mechanics tap into the feelings of sadness and loss from inadequate and/or partially fulfilled father-son connections.

Popular anglosphere culture has often, in the past, shone a spotlight on these challenges with comedy. Most of this, however, suggest that these challenges are almost inevitable and that it is ‘normal’ within society to have difficult or largely unsupportive relationships with our most important male mentors during and after our teenage years. In doing so it was almost accepted that this is an issue within society that has no real solution.

Young men were in effect told by society to “harden up” and move on with their lives. And for several generations we did, with the consequences showing up in various ways including what and how young men drive and in other ways in which many young men behave in society.

It is no exaggeration to say that this issue is at the very heart of many of the major issues that Western societies confront today with the hurt and anger that many young men carry – after having suppressed it in relation to its primary cause – expressed in anti-social behaviours leading to movements especially by women and/or minorities such as Black Lives Matter and #MeToo, standing against all forms of racism (overt, covert and systemic), gendered violence, sexual and other forms of harassment, bullying and prejudice.

Here I need to be clear that it is in no way just Caucasian men behaving badly as there have certainly been examples of anger and entitlement expressed in divisive and dangerous ways by others. And I do not infer that inadequate male connection – to males, females and others on the gender spectrum – is the only source of this anger. I do feel comfortable in saying, however, that it is a very significant part of the problem.

That is where societal leaders, especially many from the arts community, have leaned into our collective longing for human connection, exacerbated by the COVID-19 pandemic, by confronting the long-time taboo – soft masculinity – to progress society in the Great Reset era.

I have already mentioned Meghan Markle’s wonderful involvement here, but Prince Harry’s open discussion of his issues with his father – the Prince of Wales, first in line to the throne of England – in his interview with Oprah and elsewhere, has been equally important because it underlines how these challenges can exist for all no matter how privileged their upbringing. Moreover, a consistent theme for Prince Harry is talking about the need to end cycles of trauma to the benefit of the next generation, which is something that I believe drives most men who are speaking up on these issues (and certainly was for me in my writing on the subject including in “How I Re-made Myself After A Breakdown“, “How Farmers Lose Their Perspective“, “For The Sons Of Deeply Insecure Men“, as well as other essays).

Speaking for myself, I never thought that I would open up as I have while my father was still with us. A few factors came into play including a perception that he had felt increasingly conflicted in recent years between the common perceptions of his contemporaries in his community (where I was raised), and being amplified by right wing media and politicians which promote narrow-mindedness and divisiveness, and the more progressive ideals by which I and my family live – and he ultimately chose to be intolerant of us. The final straw came when he said to me “Who would want to live next door to Indians!” Besides the unadulterated racism inherent in the statement, it is a clear expression of unease with being seen with my family since my wife is of Sri Lankan decent, our sons’ first names are from her cultural background, and they are commonly confused for being of Indian heritage.

His choice there broke a lot of loyalty and released me from the guilt that I would have otherwise felt to discuss our complicated and painful history.

More importantly, however, I have been a leader in my community as a stay at home Dad, and being inspired by other men who have found the courage to speak up courageously about what it really is to be a male and father in this modern world, I wanted to share my experiences and thoughts so that I could help others and ultimately my own sons to be freed to be fully and authentically who they are, not just by their upbringing, but within broader society.

Nothing that I have said or done is out of anger for my father. While I cannot deny that I harbour anger and hurt at things that have been said and done, I have spoken up in the hope that it helps humanity to progress to a better place so that boys and men can be released from this cycle of pain from unmet emotional needs and the trauma that sometimes occurs as a consequence of it. I love my father and will always acknowledge that he did the job that he was capable of doing in raising me with the limited toolset he had (I have also acknowledged in my writing why he had that limited toolset). And while I have challenged myself to be a better father to my sons than he was to me, and I am proud in the belief that I achieved that, I have also challenged my own sons to be determined to continue on that improvement if and when they are privileged to be a Dad.

The eagerness of men to open up and show vulnerability, in no small part inspired by the work of Brenè Brown, and talk about the biggest taboo subject there is for men of previous generations – their relationships with other men, and especially their male role models, usually father-figures, has been truly inspiring. Besides Prince Harry I would make notable mention of the podcast by President Barrack Obama and Bruce Springsteen who had a fascinating discussion on their very challenging relationships with their fathers. Both men gave generous and rich insights into the challenges that young men can experience in overcoming trauma that can stem from those dysfunctional and/or absent connections by opening up about their own experiences.

In Australia, and of particular note for its relevance to indigenous men, the book “Dear Son” by Thomas Mayer is a critical resource in this new era. “Dear Son: Letters and reflections from First Nations men and sons” is a collection of heart-felt, moving and incredibly insightful letters written by the broad assemblage of men for their own sons. I was struck by the similarities between mine and Thomas’ story, in particular, and I confess I read only a few paragraphs before needing to put it down for a while because it cut so close to my own experiences. It showed me that regardless of our cultural experiences – me from a Caucasian colonialist background, him from a dispossessed custodian indigenous background – that the challenges of connecting with our most important male mentors transcends culture especially when living in modern colonialist nations.

Writing in Australia other notable mentions of men displaying the courage to be vulnerable and express their full authentic self, sometimes in contrast with common perception or against societal expectations, I would list the withdrawal from Masterchef Australia season 13 by Brent Draper on mental health grounds, and the honest and very open way Luc Longley engaged with the “Australian Story” piece after his role in the success of his NBA team the Chicago Bulls was omitted from the Michael Jordon documentary “The Last Dance”. Luc actually discussed pulling out of the project because he was afraid that he might be seen by the public (and possibly past teammates) as a ‘7 foot sook’.

This on the one hand highlights the impediments that men, in this case Australian men, have placed in front of each other to open up and reveal their honest and deep feelings. On the other hand, that he had the courage to face down those fears and reveal his true self Luc played a very important role in allowing other young men to be their full authentic selves openly and proudly.

Personally I find it especially gratifying when physically large men, or men superficially assumed within society to be hyper masculine due to their achievements in sports or otherwise, display the courage to openly express their vulnerability and the full range of human emotions to broad audiences. When this occurs the impacts in breaking down stereotypes are extremely significant.

In sharp contrast, when we see glimpses of outdated male stereotyping, they now jar more than ever before. As one example I was appalled watching a Foxsports show on rugby league when one of the main male hosts disagreed with an English player being released from his contract on emotional grounds with especially his fiancé struggling with homesickness. She was pregnant with their first baby and it was their second year away from home, not to mention the extra stresses as a consequence of the COVID-19 pandemic. The host’s strenuous objection was that this young man should place the team’s success at a higher priority than the wellbeing of himself and his fiancé, and of his relationship and thus family.

It is this inability to empathise – and the pressure placed on young men to conform with that culture and continue that cycle – that is at the heart of this issue over male vulnerability and emotional repression.

I can not say it any better than this from “For The Sons Of Deeply Insecure Men“.

The more we acknowledge our truths as individuals and across broader society the more we free ourselves from our histories and the more light we let into our souls. We become receptive to deep and authentic connection with others, in doing so becoming better people, better friends, better partners, better parents, better leaders, and better contributors to communities.

When I think of my Dad it is easy to see how challenging and frightening that seems to those who have lived a life suppressing emotion. In saying that I am also seeing in my mind’s eye a slide show of especially middle-aged men from the conservative side of the political divide. It is ironic that those who cultivate an image of rugged masculinity and toughness are in fact putting up a protective barrier and are afraid of what should be the least threatening things in life – themselves, their own thoughts and feelings, and the people around them who want to give them love and light.

Indeed these people are worthy of our compassion and understanding, but also our firm assertion that inappropriate behaviour and faulty thinking springing from their fears and misperceptions will no longer be tolerated. Humanity has either run out of time or progressed to the point where it is entirely unacceptable.

Now in the Great Reset era we are forging ahead to a better, fairer, more inclusive world. There is nothing to be afraid of and there is much to be optimistic about even if we face many challenges especially in addressing the climate crisis.

We have relearned through the pandemic that we feel safest and grounded when closely connected with our communities.

We want to cross that bridge together to a brighter future. Humanity has good people in tough jobs and the bridge is broad and stout.

None of us wants to leave anybody behind.

That we have angry young men speeding around our streets in never off road 4x4s, harassing others and driving so irresponsibly as to risk their own and others’ lives, committing road rage and so on; requiring courses on how to respect others and especially to understand what is consent; are all symptoms of a lack of connection with society by some of our young men. They have been taught and partly had role modelled to them a way of life that probably never really existed – a mythical time when “men were men” and women, who mostly had no control in the matter, accepted that behaviour as true to their male gender.

Now living in highly organised societies, often cities, where we each perform only a few specific roles required for our collective survival, the majority of young men have nowhere to put to productive use their strength and aggression which once was so vital in protecting our family and small community groups from physical threats (such as from sabre toothed tigers or aggressive neighbouring tribes). In many societies stories of risk taking, larger than life virile male characters of yesteryear often capture the imaginations of especially these young men as an indication of their vestigial potential value to society in certain circumstances. But in contemporary life in developed nations such circumstances are atypical and rare.

There will always be a role for young men to play very physical and aggressive sports as a primordial throwback to when the most powerful and courageous within society competed as a show of political power and for training for actual conflict to protect or expand resources, for a public which appreciates these attributes and associated skills. Similarly nations will always maintain armed forces capable of defending geopolitical interests and, unfortunately still too often, used to project political power and interests abroad. However, even there gender equality has opened up these arenas to all. And for the great majority of young men outside of these roles, the only real way to deal with this long lost role – much to the relief of many parents and broader society – is the redefining of the perception of male’s contribution to society. It is, in fact, a revision of perception above all else because it is in reality an honest re-emphasising of what has always been a significant part of the male contributions to cohesive societies through the ages as aggression and antisocial behaviour within societies is clearly disadvantageous.

Even in contemporary societies the overflow of aggression and other forms of anti-social behaviour from the minority of men professionally engaged in sports or in the defense forces out into broader society is an issue which raises its head from time to time, re-highlighting the need for programs to ensure they understand and respect the boundaries that societies expect of them as on the one hand privileged and on the other hand role models to the very young.

In many ways the imagery around risk-taking and aggressive behaviour is cherry-picking from human history and has been an unhelpful ‘marketing strategy’ to our young men which has added to their confusion over their role in modern societies.

The more popular culture and role models within it display the more common male character of soft masculinity the better off will be our societies and broader humanity. Young men, especially, will benefit enormously by being freed to experience and express, and thus most importantly process, the full range of innate human emotions.

Of course it is the emotionally repressed male role models, made increasingly anxious by their isolation – I first jarringly heard the now oft repeated assertion that “there is no ‘species’ more threatened than the middle-aged white male” from an academic mentor 30 years ago – who remain the greatest stumbling blocks to progress in this area.

I would suggest that their increasing assertiveness is in part a reflection that they know in their deepest recesses that in the Great Reset era they are no more likely to hold back this progress by and for young men then they are to hold back the tide.

I cannot leave this section on male connection without a mention of two of my family’s favourite pandemic entertainment binges – “Ted Lasso” and “Schitt’s Creek” – the former a new production on Apple TV+ released during the COVID-19 pandemic, the latter’s finale airing on CBC Television at the commencement of the pandemic. Both are ground-breaking exposes into human connection: “Ted Lasso” especially exploring father-son connection and pushing boundaries on expression of male vulnerability and racial inclusion; and “Schitt’s Creek” pushing boundaries on class and sexual orientation, and will be long remembered for their brilliant writing and acting which brought male same-sex relationships closer to mainstream audiences. The issues that “Ted Lasso” brought to the fore, in season 2, around the suicide of Ted’s father when he was 16 cut especially close for me.


With connection being the overriding issue in this new era, it is little wonder that many are reflecting deeply on how we make connections and what impedes our ability to connect.

Still early in the Great Reset era, much attention has focused on the changing attitudes and preferences of employees, with employment being a key mediator of connection within society (as both an enabler and a deterrent). The phenomenon has been given a title, a derivation from my name for the new era, ‘the Great Resignation‘. Presently there is much discussion about this trend and many are closely observing how employees and employers each negotiate this new era.

Former US Labor Department Chief Economist Betsy Stevenson was early to spot the employee changed behaviour in an interview on Bloomberg Television in June 2021. Dr Steveson referred to it as a ‘Great Rethinking’ and she summed up the psychological basis of it being in what I originally described as ‘the Great Reset’ saying “we all have had this great big shock, the pandemic, which has caused us all to question what it is we do with our lives“.

As discussed in “The Great Reset Era Theme: Investing in family and community connection“, excerpted from “Full Thoughts On Prof. Michael Sandel’s Meritocracy Discourse: Part 2“, a typical fulltime employee in most developed nations gives (more accurately sells) over 40 hours of their time to their employer of all but a few weeks every year, and that time had been creeping upwards in many societies leading into the pandemic. However they give more than that. With ubiquitous electronic communication, and allowing for time doing tasks required to perform work (grooming and travelling), it is clear that fulltime employees were giving an extremely high proportion of their quality energy to perform paid employment.

The change in routines to home-based working through to periods spent unemployed, to time spent together in safe family and social bubbles or attempting to connect via modern technologies, together with the tragedy of much loss at the personal and societal level, naturally caused a reset of attitudes towards employment. Those reflections are based on some very basic questions: what do I get out of work, what of that really means something to me and people I care about, and what do I lose out of work. It appears that many having undertaken that reflection have decided that their work-life tradeoff was not balanced before the pandemic, or that it could be better balanced, and they are taking action. Businesses that want to be seen as good employers, to create safe and healthy work environments out of social responsibility, and as a competitive advantage to hire who they consider the best employees, have observed these developments closely and are modifying their practices and culture to accommodate these changed attitudes.

That ‘the Great Resignation’ ultimately relates to connection is explained well in a podcast by Russell Brand where he finds much common ground with my writing at MacroEdgo including the senseless use of income on consumerism.

To be absolutely clear, I do not for a moment suggest that prior to the pandemic what I describe as extreme capitalism had totally reversed all of the employee protections hard-won over the previous century. Neither do I suggest that the imbalances were entirely the cause of employers or executives within organisations. It is clear in my writing that I recognised that the balance that was the lived experience of many employees was in large part voluntary as an expression of competing in an albeit imperfect meritocracy and their aspiring to ‘win’ or succeed as a means of building self-esteem and to strengthen personal identity.

Demonstrating how these issues are entwined and interdependent, the issue of identity and self esteem for many relates ultimately to gender stereotypes including around paid and unpaid work. During the pandemic a spotlight was shone on the roles played in households and families and how much of that unfairly remains based in outdated gender stereotypes. It became apparent that over recent decades as more households moved to dual-incomes as mothers’ in traditional nuclear families increasingly became fulltime employees, their roles within the home did not shrink commensurately. As the unfairness of this situation was highlighted through the pandemic, with men especially pressured to take on more of roles which were considered non-traditional for their gender, this again raised the shackles of conservatives who argued strongly for traditional gender roles to be maintained.

The discourse hit a low point when a conservative venture capitalist said, in response to comments about senior US civil servant Pete Buttigieg taking paternity leave, that he viewed any male “in an important position” who took 6 months off from their careers for parenting as a loser. His justification for the view:

In the old days men had babies and worked harder to provide for their future – that’s the correct masculine response.

The ill-considered interjection by this conservative, attempting to create yet more division or polarisation by appealing to conservatives to stand up on such issues, highlighted for many just how unreasonable and unhelpful to our societies are such outdated attitudes based on gender stereotyping. This is an example of how poor role modelling can do as much for achieving progress on an issue as positive role modelling can because the toxicity inherent in the statement is patent and appeals only to those with already extreme views.

The upshot may well be that many more males, who traditionally have not made full use of leave entitlements for caring for partners and family, or generally to enhance their connections, take greater advantage of these employment conditions as well as ceasing to pressure peers from doing so.


Writing in Australia I absolutely must make mention of two personal heroes in Grace Tame and Brittany Higgins who in a broader discussion might be included under the umbrella of the #Metoo movement. Both women have been incredibly strong leaders, while showing their natural vulnerability, in standing against gendered violence. I can not express in words fully just how inspiring and impressive I have found these young women. Grace Tame, by virtue of the platform afforded by being Australian of the Year 2021, has had the opportunity to expound on her thoughts and opinions more broadly and at times has articulated the underlying principles of the new era with clarity and great conviction.

This is also an opportune moment to point out that a writer in a different geography, with different local issues in recent years, would point to the same overarching themes while highlighting other local heroes. It would also be remiss of me as, as a resident of the traditional lands of the Turrbal and Jagera people, not to mention the critical activism by many indigenous leaders and victim families in Australia for justice for aboriginal deaths in custody, which might be included under the Black Lives Matter umbrella, but which has a long and unique history of fighting for justice.

In doing so I must also acknowledge the Traditional Custodians of the land I and my family live and work, and of the many different nations across the wider Brisbane south region. We pay our respects to the Elders, past, present and emerging as the holders of the memories, the traditions, the culture and the spiritual wellbeing of the Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples across the nation.


Key to connecting with ourselves and others is occupying at a minimum conducive, and preferably highly supportive, environments for living our lives. Even above man-made environments, healthy natural environments are critical as they are the primary sources of most of the necessities of human life. What is more, the COVID-19 pandemic highlights how even with contemporary science we are not yet transformed into post-biologic beings, meaning that we are susceptible to all of the biological hazards that afflict other species. In fact we are accelerating interactions by virtue of our exploitation of the natural resources and that puts us at increasing risk.

In “The Great Reset” I concentrated heavily on humanity uniting to address the biggest overriding crisis – climate change – and perhaps the reader might be surprised that I have not discussed it earlier in this essay. The emphasis in that statement highlights the reason, that an effective response is only possible by humans connecting more deeply and authentically with each other, as I also explained in “Social Cohesion: The best vaccine against crises“, so the first priority has to be on how that connection to each other is strengthened.

Climate scientists are obviously important actors in the Great Reset era because, having already alerted humanity to the crisis through diligent research and robust, well reasoned debate, they hold much of the collective wisdom on what must be done to escape catastrophic consequences. However, bringing people together is now what is really important and again the ultraconservative attack dogs have fired the flare to signal who are the key actors – Greta Thunberg and other young people who are increasingly concerned for their futures.

I am in no doubt that humanity does have many good people in tough jobs ready to pull together to do the work for humanity to place our natural world on a path to sustainability, but it is the strength of our connections that will provide the necessary political backdrop and thus determine our success.


I must mention one more personal hero. I released “The Great Reset: Building the bridge” on 2 January 2021, a few days before the insurgent attack on the capitol which was when Amanda Gorman completed her poem “The Hill We Climb” for the inauguration of President Biden. I was mesmerised by Amanda’s performance and her words, and it immediately occurred to me that perhaps her mention of the bridge may have been a reference to my post from a few days earlier, but I guess I will never know.

If we’re to live up to our own time, then victory won’t lie in the blade, but in all the bridges we’ve made.

“The Hill We Climb” by Amanda Gorman

I readily admit that my writing is not widely read – that is apparent whenever I view my site logs – but my aim never was to be immediately widely read, nor to monetise my writing. That is not necessary to make the impact I hope.

It is far more important to be read by the right people at the right time.


The final group of critical actors in how ‘the Great Reset’ era progresses are those who shape our next generations – parents and the various mentors of young people – who play the most active and important roles in shaping the attitudes of our next generations. In my view there is a growing understanding of how important we are in providing a better way forward to the young people who are in our care, and thus our responsibility to shape the environment which they inhabit and their attitudes.

While this might seem an obvious and odd statement to the contemporary reader, it is a vital factor because it is a departure from earlier generations of parents and mentors who really did not give a great deal of thought to what are their roles and how they should self-monitor their ‘performance’ (for want of a better word, as ‘success’ would read even worse through the modern competitive ‘lens’). They saw their roles in a more perfunctory context – the primary carer, usually mother, made sure the children were well fed and maintained their health and administered their home environment to the fullest, while the ‘bread winner’ was usually the father and his main responsibility was earning the income to provide for those conditions in the most stable and surest fashion possible. They essentially aimed to raise their children as their parents raised them.

This progression can be explained by the changes usually observed in societies as they develop economically and typically the number of children in families fall. When a family is made up of 13 children as my great Grandparents’ was, and conditions were such that some would perish early in their lives, or even as my Grandparents’ with 7 children, and they worked in the fields from daylight to dark to survive, it is hardly surprising that they gave little thought to how any one particular child was feeling emotionally. Neither is it surprising that children raised in those conditions with those role models would parent similarly.

That is why, I contend based on my own experiences and observations, that most in my parent’s generation did not give thought to how well they parented beyond those perfunctory parameters. Certainly they cared whether children were happy or not, but they saw that solutions to any problems lay fully within that context. Emotional intelligence no doubt varied amongst parents, but as a concept valuable in parenting it was years away from being understood or appreciated.

Nowadays we do give a great deal of thought to all of these issues. And we place pressure on ourselves to do the best possible job we can as parents and continually monitor – often judging ourselves too harshly – on how well we are doing at it. Collectively as a generation of mentors we aim to improve on the foundations our own mentors gave us, if not because they were deficient or dysfunctional, as surely they were in some cases as discussed above, but because we have a far greater appreciation of the speed of human progress and that it requires our young people to progress with it.

That we want better for our children and young people means that we continue to challenge those who say that conditions were better in the past while providing spurious and/or harsh and non-inclusive examples.

That is exactly why conservatives harking back to times of intolerance and gender stereotyping is futile.

I sincerely sympathise with emotionally repressed people. I have observed and felt the consequences of emotional repression, and I understand how a ‘Sliding Doors’ moment saved me to an unknowable degree from such a fate.

In the family into which I was born emotions are very repressed and unexpressed. Telling another family member that you love them remains challenging because through our long history placing ourselves in such a vulnerable position was unrewarded or worse still, repulsed because of the awkwardness of dealing with emotions. Resetting these life-long relationships requires such a deep connection that it rarely happens outside of the most significant of psychological shocks that we humans experience which break through those barriers that we have erected from our earliest experiences to protected ourselves from emotional pain.

If that shock ever comes, more often than not it is in the final moments of life, and that is why these stories resonate and speak to us at such a deeply personal level.

I do not expect that everybody will achieve that emotional reset in this lifetime, not by a long stretch. However, the more that these issues are discussed – and they really are being discussed a lot now – the more those who carry emotional scarring from trauma and injuries caused by emotionally barren connection with our most important mentors acknowledge it, and the greater the desire within society to break the cycle of repeating those unhealthy behaviours.

Absent a serious psychological disturbance or abnormality, it is much less likely that any child, irrespective of gender, given unconditional love from mentors throughout their lives, goes on as an adult to hate or exhibit highly anti-social behaviour, or be susceptible to radicalisation by others.

It is this desire in contemporary parents (and other mentors) to improve that makes them open to the changes underway in the Great Reset era, and will play a part in them searching for better work-like balance through to being more open than previous generations to the broad spectrum of the human condition, helping this and subsequent generations to be the most connected and cohesive in human history.


The Great Reset era, in my conceptualisation of it, is not in any way a ‘movement’ or a strategic plan by one or several human beings to change the world, and here I should admit that in my first essay – “The Great Reset” – I could have been clearer on that. In my defense rather a lot was happening at the time. Moreover I concede that the (well-meaning) adoption of the phrase by the WEF for their agenda did lead to a public relations campaign against it by the conspiracy theorist ultraconservatives and far left united in their distrust of ‘elites’.

My writing on the Great Reset era recognises that at the commencement of the COVID-19 pandemic humanity was due, in fact overdue, for a change in course because a multitude of factors had coalesced to make it inevitable. The pandemic was the catalyst that caused that to occur, and that shock to societies being so severe ensured the change of course was stark. In fact a reset. Because humanity will never truly go back to the way we were pre-pandemic, the reset is irreversible.

That is normal human progress. We never can go back to exactly the way things were in the past no matter how fondly we remember it, often inaccurately or incompletely through ‘rose-tinted glasses’. The optimist relishes the truth that change is inevitable, always seeking to make progress and improvements. More commonly, however, people become anxious at the uncertainty that change brings, and with fear of loss well known to be a stronger motivator for action, we are susceptible to manipulation for political advantage.

My challenge to broad humanity that I laid out in my essay “The Great Reset” was to collectively work towards making the ‘Reset‘ which was certain to occur – the new era – ‘Great‘ by adopting the best possible path to improve the lives of all living and future human beings.

The inexorable creep of the extreme form of capitalism being practised in the first two decades of the new millennium, the roots of which had extended so deeply in our Western societies that both the left and right of the mainstream polity had accepted it as the ultimate form of social organisation, had created an ill-feeling in many who had suffered due to inequity and the harsh consequences of finding themselves on the wrong side of market developments. I suspect that malcontent even extended to many of the ‘winners’ it had created who, if they did not feel guilty about the inequity they were party to, perhaps had (repressed) guilt to those close to them for the consequences of their behaviour necessary to hold a disproportionate share of the assets on the monopoly board.

As I write still less than 2 years into this new era, if indeed historians ultimately time its commencement at the start of the COVID-19 pandemic, I am heartened by the changes already amongst our societies along the lines that I had expected and hoped.

As would be expected in a psychological ‘reset’ catalysed by a major global humanitarian shock, the COVID-19 pandemic, the degree of societal change manifested in our societies appears roughly proportional to the human impacts from the pandemic in those societies. The degree to which societies were primed for change by the adoption of extreme capitalism expressed especially in inequality and disadvantage, in itself directly proportional to human impacts from the pandemic, is also likely determinant of the rate and degree of societal change.

As is now characteristic of this globalised world, these trends are already spreading globally rapidly as the main centres and producers of popular culture have been some of the worst affected areas in the pandemic and had developed the most extreme forms of capitalism (i.e. greater inequality and lesser social benefits resulting in precarity). In fact, in Western nations extreme capitalism predisposed them to even greater impacts from the pandemic not just in the societal inequality leaving the many disadvantaged vulnerable, but the extreme capitalists rallied against measures to protect society from the worst impacts of the pandemic such as social isolation measures and even wearing of face masks.

Ironically, to the extent that extreme capitalists were successful in minimising measures to lessen the human impacts from the pandemic they sewed the seeds of discord by proving how modern – i.e. extreme – capitalism fails the majority in society.

This is the interesting juxtaposition that China is keen to show their own population as well as the non-Western nations who they vie against Western allies for hearts and minds for global influence and future geopolitical power. (It is also my greatest miscalculation in this pandemic which reveals my own bias to Western nations being ‘good’ and righteous even if I consider myself lucid enough to acknowledge some of our previous wrongdoings). The clear conclusion is that in their callous short-sightedness these hard-hearted right winger ultraconservatives really did weaken themselves substantially as many of these conspiracists rope in the threat from authoritarianism into their extraordinarily convoluted theories, and their fight for individual liberties in the pandemic – essentially for the right to increase the chances of contracting COVID-19 and thus dying – strengthened the position of the main global authoritarian Government that these individuals feel threatened by – the Communist Party of China (CCP).

That is the nature of conspiracy theory – all emotion and no logic – which reminds me of Voltaire’s “The Story of The Good Brahmin“:

I would not care to be happy at the price of being a simpleton… “that we must choose not to have common sense, however little common sense may contribute to our discomfort.” Everyone agreed with me, but I found nobody, notwithstanding, who was willing to accept the bargain of becoming a simpleton in order to become contented. From which I conclude that if we consider the question of happiness we must consider still more the question of reason.

The problem, of course, now, is that those lacking the wisdom to discern between legitimate and fallacious sources of fact and honesty are no longer contented, due to that extreme inequity in societies where they have been led to believe that they could or should have enjoyed a higher standard of living, and thus they consider themselves ‘philosophers’ and wiser than others and are emboldened by social media.

(I must confess that I deliberated on omitting the above, to be more generous in my thinking, and conscious of my own biases, but then I just cannot cease returning to the thought that anybody who could be led to believe that 5G is spreading a pandemic virus, or that vaccines contain microchips, or that some past US presidents drink blood of children, can only be described as displaying simple-mindedness. That is neither radical or unfair to them, let’s not be ‘politically correct’ about that!)

Recently I discussed that fascinating contradiction with a migrant friend from a developing nation in the middle-east who had observed that Australians appeared so very stressed in comparison with people of his home nation even though the appreciably higher standard of living afforded by our more structured society based on democracy and the rule of law suggested a higher level of contentment and satisifaction would be normal.

Dissatisfaction comes not just from inequality but from unmet expectations of equality, or even (maintained) privilege, in outcomes.

This leads onto the discourse on meritocracy, but I will not go down that ‘chute‘ here again, sufficing to say that I consider Prof. Michael Sandel‘s contribution highly significant.

Reading my favourite blog ExUrbe it is patent just how far humanity has come in 500 years from the environment that Machiavelli wrote his political science treatise, “The Prince“. The world is more connected and so friction points are on a grander scale rather than between the city states of that time, and even go well beyond the earlier ambitions of Alexander the Great or the Roman empire, and even the major global conflicts of last century in World War I and II.

Those who believe, however, that we have arrived at a point in human history where there is a single mastermind or organisation of masterminds that have hatched a plan for global domination is suggestive of someone who has read or watched way too much dystopian science fiction for their own mental wellbeing.

Ada Palmer of ExUrbe penned a brilliant article on who has the power to change the world in a robust historical perspective. While there is no doubt that highly dispersed, individualised/tailored and targeted (social) media does allow for broader manipulation by powerful people, and I myself have talked about the political apparatus that supports extreme capitalism (or neoliberalism), individuals have far more power to effect change than readers of these conspiracy theories believe.

In actuality their own mobilisation proves that point, but what they fail to understand is that their efforts are not broadly supported because the general public has far greater common sense than these ‘protesters’ perceive. One need only consider the overwhelming support within society for measures to protect them from the ravages of the pandemic. Yes, it is easy to notice the few non-mask wearing shoppers and the noisy protests in a city concerned about the spread of a virus, but that ignores the reality that the overwhelming majority have complied with the measures so much so that leaders supporting the toughest measures are most popular (why even our own Prime Minister Morrison was supporting rapid lockdowns until recently).

In “How Society Will Change If A COVID-19 Vaccine Is Elusive” published July 2020 I wrote:

“The Great Reset”… has already begun and it is irreversible.

High quality, effective leadership will nurture it so that the best outcomes are realised to the benefit of humanity. Scoundrels will try to harness it to bend society to a more warped and less inclusive version. We all must show leadership and engage with the process to achieve the best outcome for ourselves and those we love, and those who succeed us. And we should all prepare to be flexible and supple in thought to make the best decisions that we can with the information that we have as we emerge from the shock of our altered existence [from the COVID-19 pandemic] and as our future comes into clearer focus.”

As I have demonstrated in this essay, that we have entered a new era has become more clear through the pandemic, and the ‘tussle’ for hearts and minds within societies is as intense as I predicted. The Great Reset era, as I began describing it right back in March 2020, certainly has arrived. However, as I have said in all of my writing, that it was inevitable and it is irreversible does not mean that it’s progress is preordained or predetermined. Circumstances made humanity conducive to reflection on our existence, but our path through the Great Reset era will be determined by us all. How we each individually and collectively piece together our thoughts on what is most important to us and those we care most about will be the greatest determinant of the direction our societies take.

For those with powerlust, often harnessing forces at the political extremes, there is much at stake.

It is very clear that ultraconservatives are attempting to bend the curve of the Great Reset era to yield a version of society which conforms with their views, in many ways a return to a perceived better time which, even for them, likely was not matched in reality, and which definitely was not for many including the majority of women and minorities. Those ultraconservatives suggest it is them that is ‘under attack’ from the left, and they are using the discontent and anger of especially lower and middle-class conservative men as a political force, made clear, for example, in this speech by a future conservative presidential aspirant. Cleverly this political apparatus highlights real concerns – addressed also in much of my writing here at MacroEdgo – but does not address the real issues, instead scapegoating others within society and suggesting that the answer is to go back to the conditions which existed before societal progress had eroded some of their privilege.

As is typical of political operatives throughout human history, those within this apparatus do not really care about these people, they simply wish to harness their anger and resentment to achieve power for themselves.

How do I know they do not care? If they did care they would present real solutions to the issues that can be addressed in a modern society. By scapegoating globalisation and civil rights/equal opportunity movements they dog whistle an enthnonationalistic anthem which leads to entirely inappropriate and unrealistic political strategy (I won’t describe it as outdated because even though it does hark back to a reality for many nations, it never was appropriate). Worse still, their divisive agenda is counterproductive to all of the major issues humanity confronts, as I explained in “Social Cohesion Is The Best Vaccine Against Crises” published 3 February 2020 (encompassing my first public discussion of extreme concerns about ‘novel coronavirus’):

it is when we face collective crises that we truly know that we are united together as human beings against our greatest challenges. Please let this be a lesson that we can hold onto and move forward together before we damage ourselves and our wonderful planet to a point where all of the progress of the last century is lost.

The preface to “The Great Reset” published 30 March 2020 opened with:

This is a post of hope. Of promise. Of potential within our grasp if we have the courage to reach for it.

I wrote those words when I had known for almost 2 months that humanity faced an enormous challenge with the emergence of a novel coronavirus, and had begun to process what that meant for myself and those I care about, but while the majority of humanity remained naïve to the threat. My aim was to offer optimism through what I knew would be a dark moment in human history.

Since writing those words we have all witnessed changes within our societies that nobody of a sound a mind would have predicted as 2019 drew to a close. Over the last year and a half, as I briskly walked through a shopping centre in Brisbane, Australia, wearing a face mask and observing the extremely high compliance by others, I have occasionally caught myself imagining what it would have been like to have a flash forward to that view from two years earlier, concluding that the shock would be overwhelming and utterly confounding.

It is easy to concentrate on what we have lost, for extremely good reason, and bearing in mind some have lost much more than others. But the truth is that we have also been witness to remarkable feats from humanity. We have shown that the very great majority of us will act for the common good out of compassion for our fellow citizens. And our science and its practitioners have achieved what would have been impossible just a few decades ago, and even sober and informed analysts thought vaccine development would take considerably longer.

The impacts of our changed circumstances and shock resides in each of us. Those impacts have caused a Great ‘reevaluation’ or ‘reawakening’ or ‘rethinking’, terms used variably and interchangeably by multitudes of observers. Whatever term is used, it is the first stage of ‘the Great Reset’ era and the decisions that individuals make will determine its course.

We are already seeing the consequences of those decisions at the society and macroeconomy level.

If modern organisations undergo frequent evaluation and reorganisation, even though it causes stress through uncertainty for the majority of human beings that make up the organisation and who have come to feel that they have little power or control, why should an evaluation by those same people of how they have organised their lives be threatening?

Ada Palmer concludes her post “Who We Think Has The Power To Change The World” as follows:

So I hope what you take away from this is some point of encouragement and hope, and the understanding that we will not make exactly the world we imagine, but the world we’re going to make is going to be an amazing world, and that we are all contributing to making it, not just elite geniuses, but every one of us, every day.

I am neither a genius or a ‘simpleton’. I lie somewhere between like nearly all of us. I am well aware that some conspiracist somewhere has put 2 and 2 together and gotten 500, thinking that here is someone who wants to change the world and is also a former colleague and friend of the head of the laboratory in Wuhan which Trump (and, sadly, now even President Biden) cast dispersions over as causing the pandemic – a ha!

I am a stay at home dad who has spent a lot of time “watching the wheels go round and round” and I am an absolute political and cultural outsider. In many ways I am a social outsider, also, with a very small number of very close friends. I have little time for the meaningless, hollow chitchat – beyond a pleasant chat with a stranger while waiting in line at a checkout – required to spread myself so thinly to maintain regular contact with a large group of acquaintances by giving and receiving the emotional depth of a thin film of water over Kurrimine Beach’s tidal flat sufficient for a skimboard to run freely. I prefer to give to my friends deeply, and because I do, I know that I can lean on them when circumstances require it.

The upshot of all that is that I have no grandiose view of my impact on humanity, and anybody who ascribes that to me is delusional, but I do firmly believe that all of us who have the compassion, intellect and sensibilities to think deeply on these issues owes it to themselves, those they love, and yes, broader humanity, to speak up and share their thoughts openly with humility.

I have always understood that to be the way humanity progresses, one person, one conversation, one reader, one viewer, one listener at a time, in the manner that Ada Palmer at ExUrbe blog describes has always been the case.

And while I know it is always easy to slip into cynicism, I remain very optimistic that humanity is indeed finding its way to that better path. But, as I have underlined in all of my own writing, and as Ada also reminds us, we all need to realise that we can not sit back and leave the work to others, for we each are responsible for the world in which our future generations will connect, including with us.


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© Copyright Brett Edgerton 2021